First off - there have been some bizarre proclamations made about teams already, both from statheads and traditionalists alike. Fellas, relax, we're just 10 games into the season.
About these rankings:
Two seasons ago, I set out to eliminate the non-sense behind power rankings by building a power rankings model based on underlying statistics and their predictive ability. The rankings were built on points earned, special teams, even strength play and goaltending, so they were constantly in flux.
I'm still playing around with the model, but here is my best effort at predicting the standings and playoff pairings at the end of the season. One item of note - 38% of the game is luck, and I don't attempt to predict or model that 38%, and I don't plan to.
|4||St. Louis Blues||5.2||4||0|
|9||Tampa Bay Lightning||7.3||12||3|
|11||New York Islanders||7.6||11||0|
|13||Detroit Red Wings||9.5||20||7|
|14||Toronto Maple Leafs||9.9||10||-4|
|16||San Jose Sharks||10.9||17||1|
|17||Los Angeles Kings||11.2||22||5|
|19||New York Rangers||11.8||14||-5|
|25||New Jersey Devils||14.3||16||-9|
|28||Columbus Blue Jackets||17.5||27||-1|
Western Conference Rankings
|4||St. Louis Blues||5.2|
|16||San Jose Sharks||10.9|
|17||Los Angeles Kings||11.2|
- Vancouver finally played some decent competition and went 2-2 against the Predators, Ducks, Kings and Sharks.
- Dallas desperately needs to fix the defense. I've called them out a few times - specifically for not signing guys like Tom Gilbert, but at this point, Trevor Daley is getting crushed against tough competition and Alex Goligoski is Alex Goligoski. Brendan Dillon and Jamie Benn are fine against seconds, but against easier competition Nemeth was bad, Oleksiak can't keep up and Gonchar has been awful since his return. The Stars need a top pairing and fast.
- Winnipeg has been incredibly healthy so far, using just 21 skaters. 15 skaters have played in all 15 games and Zach Bogosian has played in 14.
- Calgary is punching far, far above their weight right now. The Flames are 26th in Fenwick Close and have just one regular player with a positive Adj. Corsi: Paul Byron.
Eastern Conference Rankings
|9||Tampa Bay Lightning||7.3|
|11||New York Islanders||7.6|
|13||Detroit Red Wings||9.5|
|14||Toronto Maple Leafs||9.9|
|19||New York Rangers||11.8|
|25||New Jersey Devils||14.3|
|28||Columbus Blue Jackets||17.5|
- The Sabres gave up 52 shots to the Oilers.
- Montreal made an interesting move in waiving Rene Bourque because there's a significant fall off in possession numbers for his potential replacements.
- Pittsburgh has used 19 skaters and 17 skaters have played all 13 games. Olli Maata is the only regular to miss a game.
- Detroit ranks 18th on the power play, 16th on the penalty kill, 14th at even strength and 16th in goaltending. Yet, there they sit, 9th in points percentage.
|3||Minnesota Wild||2||Anaheim Ducks|
|8||Nashville Predators||12||Winnipeg Jets|
|4||St. Louis Blues||7||Vancouver Canucks|
|5||Chicago Blackhawks||15||Calgary Flames|
|1||Pittsburgh Penguins||9||Tampa Bay Lightning|
|18||Montreal Canadiens||14||Toronto Maple Leafs|
|6||Washington Capitals||10||Boston Bruins|
|11||New York Islanders||13||Detroit Red Wings|