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Sam Gagner Scoring Chances 2010-2011

By Derek Zona Updated
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Sam Gagner is a divisive topic in Edmonton.  Mention his name and some love his future, while others scream for a trade.  Among the writers here at The Copper & Blue, I hold Gagner in rare air.  I believe he's key to the Oilers' future and that he's going to be an excellent two-way center in the coming years.  Unfortunately, he's not been able to carry the weight of such a lofty ranking.  His struggles are to be expected of a 21-year-old, but not from a 4-year-veteran.  

Chance % Team Rank: 12/23
Chance % Fwd. Rank: 7/15

Diff/60 Team Rank: 13/23
Diff/60% Fwd. Rank: 8/15

Scoring Chances by Season Segment

TCF = season total even strength chances for; TCA = season total even strength chances against; SCF = segment even strength chances for; SCA = segment even strength chances against; Segment % = player scoring chance percentage during the season segment; Team Seg % = Oilers team scoring chance percentage during the season segment.

Game # TCF TCA SCF SCA Segment % Team Seg %
1-10 31 35 31 35 0.470 0.453
11-20 71 78 40 43 0.482 0.401
21-30 118 132 47 54 0.465 0.449
31-40 175 201 57 69 0.452 0.467
41-50 215 241 40 40 0.500 0.531
51-60 251 284 36 43 0.456 0.470
61-70 271 317 20 33 0.377 0.454
71-82




0.486

 

The most disheartening part of the above table is the fall-off in the late season when the injuries to the rest of the team struck.  He had a real chance to shine and he didn't take advantage.

 

Scoring Chances Line Graph by Season Segment

*click to enlarge

Gagnerseasonsegment_medium

Sam's inability to take advantage of his big opportunity is obvious on the graph.

 

Scoring Chances WOWY


 With Gagner
Without Gagner
Gagner Without
# CF CA %
CF CA %
CF CA %
4 100 98 0.505
249 23 0.528
171 219 0.438
14 78 85 0.479
231 218 0.514
193 232 0.454
23 58 82 0.414
95 103 0.480
213 235 0.475
27 67 53 0.558
181 195 0.481
204 264 0.436
28 39 57 0.406
124 207 0.375
232 260 0.472
83 82 73 0.529
111 125 0.470
189 244 0.436
91 103 144 0.417
162 178 0.476
168 173 0.493












2 57 71 0.445
189 228 0.453
214 246 0.465
5 93 112 0.454
239 265 0.474
178 205 0.465
6 67 57 0.540
101 136 0.426
204 260 0.440
26 68 90 0.430
171 211 0.448
203 227 0.472
43 36 38 0.486
104 122 0.460
235 279 0.457
49 69 92 0.429
209 268 0.438
202 225 0.473
58 35 39 0.473
127 104 0.550
236 278 0.459
77 104 112 0.481
267 280 0.488
167 205 0.449

 

The WOWY gives us some insight into the second half of Gagner's season especially when looking at his two most common linemates, Linus Omark and Magnus Paajarvi.  Gagner was not good with either of the Swedes, but that doesn't help much to get a picture of Gagner either because he spent so much time with Dustin Penner and Ales Hemsky, with whom he was very good.  Bruce and Ryan will no doubt touch on consistency when it comes to the young center:  consistency of teammates, linemates, coaching staff and defensemen, so I'll leave that discussion to the experts.

Note the Ryan Jones effect is ever-present here as well.