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Ryan Jones Scoring Chances 2010-2011

By Derek Zona Updated
Do, or do not. There is no try.
--Yoda

In a very short time, Ryan Jones has become the fan favorite in Edmonton. As is typical of guys who always look like they're trying very hard, Jones' effort, along with his hair and tendency to fall often have struck a chord with the fan base. He's the working-class hero.

Unfortunately, all of that hard work isn't showing up in the underlying numbers.

Chance % Team Rank: 23/23
Chance % Fwd Rank: 15/15

Diff/60 Team Rank: 23/23
Diff/60 Fwd Rank: 15/15

Scoring Chances by Season Segment

TCF = season total even strength chances for; TCA = season total even strength chances against; SCF = segment even strength chances for; SCA = segment even strength chances against; Segment % = player scoring chance percentage during the season segment; Team Seg % = Oilers team scoring chance percentage during the season segment.

Game # TCF TCA SCF SCA Segment % Team Seg %
1-10 10 26 10 26 0.278 0.453
11-20 25 50 15 24 0.385 0.401
21-30 47 96 22 46 0.324 0.449
31-40 65 135 18 39 0.316 0.467
41-50 94 174 29 39 0.426 0.531
51-60 106 192 12 18 0.400 0.470
61-70 130 232 24 40 0.375 0.454
71-82 163 264 33 32 0.508 0.486

Scoring Chances Line Graph by Season Segment

*click to enlarge

Jonesseasonsegment_medium

Jones posted a single segment above the team average and aside from his final .508 segment his next highest segment was .426. In four segments, he was 10 percentage points lower than the team average in the same segment.

Scoring Chances WOWY


 With Jones
Without Jones
Jones Without
# CF CA %
CF CA %
CF CA %
13 49 66 0.426
241 263 0.478
114 198 0.365
14 22 17 0.564
287 286 0.501
141 247 0.363
16 26 63 0.292
64 72 0.471
137 201 0.405
22 12 30 0.286
61 63 0.492
151 234 0.392
23 10 35 0.222
143 150 0.488
153 229 0.401
46 10 23 0.303
35 36 0.493
153 241 0.388
67 13 31 0.295
95 123 0.436
150 233 0.392
85 45 52 0.464
66 81 0.449
118 212 0.358
89 39 57 0.406
232 260 0.472
124 207 0.375
91 51 63 0.447
214 259 0.452
112 201 0.358












2 41 66 0.383
205 233 0.468
122 198 0.381
5 57 95 0.375
275 282 0.494
106 169 0.385
6 21 36 0.368
147 157 0.484
142 228 0.384
26 42 76 0.356
197 225 0.467
121 188 0.392
43 23 36 0.390
117 124 0.485
140 228 0.380
49 42 77 0.353
236 283 0.455
121 187 0.393
58 24 25 0.490
138 118 0.539
139 239 0.368
77 61 96 0.389
310 296 0.512
102 168 0.378

Jones' .382 season percentage was the worst on the team. It's pretty clear to me that Jordan Eberle and Jeff Petry wear some sort of talisman that allows them to fend off the effect of Ryan Jones on their chance rates. What I find remarkable about the "Without Jones" column is how much closer so many players get to 50% without him.