Advanced stats are branching out every day. Now that we've moved beyond defending the veracity of the numbers, the collective has branched out in search of the next innovation. The scoring chance project is utilizing group-sourced information to solve the "shot quality" claims. The zone exit numbers have shown how heavy the workload really is on puck-moving defensemen. Broad Street Hockey is tracking zone entries to find out which Flyers manage to dominate possession and which Flyers are simply passengers. That's led to interesting early indications like dump and chase hockey actually leads to more chances against. Tracking touches is right around the corner.
In the midst of a discussion with the incomparable George Ays he mentioned the Oiler who blocks the most shots. "Ladislav Smid," I said. "No sir," he responded. And we were off on a deep dive into shot block stats. After the jump, I'll look into how Ays re-created a formula used by Desjardins (I think) to determine which players were blocking the most shots, and which players were giving up a bunch of shots and blocking some.
The Oilers have been lauded for their commitment to blocking shots this season, and while they have thrown themselves into the shooting lanes with abandon, the results haven't always been pretty. Sunny Mehta showed a small team skill in shot blocking and Desjardins showed an even smaller individual skill in the same. While shot blocking is a skill, or an art, for a very small segment of the NHL player population, talking heads espouse it as yet another magical part of the game, dictated by hard work and grit. In reality, a large quantity of blocked shots simply means the team, or player, is being dominated and forced to spend their time in their own end blocking rubber rather than possessing the puck and forcing the other team to block shots.
In the table below, I've listed even strength shot attempts against, even strength blocks and the ESBS Ratio (% of even strength shot attempts blocked by an individual player), as I'm calling it until someone comes up with a better name. One caveat to these numbers - I'm using total even strength blocks, not away even strength blocks, which will leave a heavy tinge of scorer bias. But since I'm comparing teammates, that SHOULD wash out.
Player | ES Att Against | ES Blocks | ESBS Ratio |
Lennart Petrell | 215 | 14 | 0.0651 |
Ryan Hopkins | 382 | 18 | 0.0471 |
Ryan Jones | 314 | 13 | 0.0414 |
Eric Belanger | 297 | 11 | 0.0371 |
Sam Gagner | 255 | 9 | 0.0353 |
Taylor Hall | 243 | 8 | 0.0329 |
Shawn Horcoff | 408 | 12 | 0.0294 |
Ryan Smyth | 445 | 12 | 0.0270 |
Ales Hemsky | 227 | 6 | 0.0264 |
Jordan Eberle | 362 | 9 | 0.0249 |
Ben Eager | 143 | 3 | 0.0209 |
Magnus Paajarvi | 211 | 4 | 0.0190 |
Linus Omark | 54 | 1 | 0.0185 |
Anton Lander | 231 | 4 | 0.0174 |
Ryan O`Marra | 11 | 0 | 0.0000 |
Darcy Hordichuk | 42 | 0 | 0.0000 |
There's defensive specialist Lennart Petrell leading the pack, which isn't a surprise. Petrell lags far behind the rest of the team (even Darcy Hordichuk) in shots generated, so he must have some other useful quality. In second is...Ryan Nugent-Hopkins? Say what now?
Player | ES Att Against | ES Blocks | ESBS Ratio |
Andy Sutton | 204 | 27 | 0.1325 |
Ladislav Smid | 434 | 51 | 0.1175 |
Jeff Petry | 323 | 28 | 0.0866 |
Theo Peckham | 330 | 28 | 0.0848 |
Corey Potter | 225 | 18 | 0.0800 |
Ryan Whitney | 200 | 16 | 0.0799 |
Tom Gilbert | 452 | 35 | 0.0774 |
Colten Teubert | 137 | 9 | 0.0658 |
Taylor Chorney | 54 | 3 | 0.0556 |
Alex Plante | 26 | 1 | 0.0385 |
Cam Barker | 191 | 6 | 0.0314 |
Note that while Ladislav Smid has gained accolades for his shot-blocking prowess, it's actually Andy Sutton doing a better job of blocking shot attempts. It's also worth noting Cam Barker, because he's at the bottom of every list.
*Data courtesy Gabriel Desjardins and behindthenet.ca