microstats Stories - The Copper & Blue
Sam Gagner IS A ______ Line Centre
I had and article detailing Sam Gagner's comparables ready to go for this morning, until I was inspired by this comment from Copper & Blue regular melancholyculkin:If you use the criteria of top 30=1st line, top 60=2nd line then Gagner is already a second-line center. He was the 49th highest...
Taylor Hall, Jordan Eberle, Tom Renney and Qualcomp
I've written at length about the importance of context in framing statistical discussions. Some pundits aren't capable of comprehending context, leading to gross misrepresentations of stats, both traditional and underlying. Fans are selective in recall, muddling hazy memories with facts, leading...
UFA Target - Vern Fiddler
Jenny and me was like peas and carrots.--Forrest Gump Given the rich tradition of defensive and all-zones centers in the Oilers' franchise history, it's odd to write a sentence that includes the words, "The Oilers desperately need a defensive center..." Management has done such a good job of...
Edmonton Oilers Scoring Chances 2009-2011
One of the great things about the work done by Dennis King at MC79hockey is the sheer amount of scoring chance information available to Oilers' fans. I've torn it apart, put it back together and posted the raw numbers and combinations in nearly every way imaginable. After the jump is the set of...
Edmonton Oilers Penalty Kill Scoring Chances 2010-2011
Remember the Diamond Penalty Kill? Remember how bad it was when executed by the 2010-2011 Edmonton Oilers? Remember how it looked like the Oilers were purposefully moving out of position when shorthanded? It was so bad that Tom Renney and Ralph Kreuger finally gave up on it and went back to the...
Does Hockey Math Work?
"Hockey is too complex for numbers to help understand, let alone predict..." Does this sound familiar? It should, it's one of the major arguments presented by those who do not appreciate the predictive value of math. In May of 2010, I wrote an article about using some basic advanced stats to give...
Edmonton Oilers Power Play Scoring Chances 2010-2011
As promised during our season recaps, today we'll work through the scoring chance rates of the regulars on the Edmonton Oilers' power play. As always, full credit goes to Dennis King at mc79hockey, without whom none of this would be possible. That he's counted scoring chances for two last place...
Fans Dodge The Truth To Hold Fast To Their Delusions
Numbers don't lie. They just don't agree with you. --George E. Ays In 2009-2010, the Colorado Avalanche received more press than any other team in the Western Conference besides the Chicago Blackhawks. Initially predicted to finish 14th in the conference, a group of young players with enormous...
The Touches Stat - The Next Horizon In Advanced Stats
The evolution of advanced NHL statistics begins sometime during the Original Six era. The building blocks of advanced statistics have been gleaned from interviews, books and conversations with men like Harry Sinden, Roger Nielson and Jim Corsi. Sinden's Bruins were tracking an ancestral version...
Scoring Chances, Microstats And Why They Matter
...After tracking scoring chances, usually at the NHL level, since 1980, some interesting facts emerge. . . . The average number of scoring chances is about the same as when Roger and I coached in Buffalo, when anything under 15 chances against was acceptable..." That's Ron Smith, currently...
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