There's something missing from the first round in the September top 30 for the 2014 draft: the KHL (or MHL). None of the top 30 are playing in the K, which means it's a down year for Russian talent, or as we saw over the last few seasons, the "Russian Factor" is pushing KHL players down the draft board.
The sources for the consensus list are Future Considerations, ISS, Red Line Report, Craig Button of TSN, Corey Pronman of ESPN and Bob McKenzie from TSN. Their rankings are weight by their accuracy in ranking previous drafts: Bob McKenzie's rankings carry the most weight as he was the most accurate prognosticator in the group. I may tinker with the model as the draft approaches - McKenzie is the most accurate of the group, but he typically only ranks 75-90 players. Pronman is the most accurate predictor from rounds 4-7, but that isn't reflected in the overall weighting.
|1||Sam Reinhart||C||6'1, 186||11/6/95||R||Kootenay||WHL||0|
|2||Willie Nylander||F||5'10, 163||5/1/96||R||Sodertalje||SHL||0|
|3||Aaron Ekblad||D||6'4, 213||2/7/96||R||Barrie||OHL||0|
|4||Leon Draisaitl||C||6'0, 199||10/27/95||L||Prince Albert||WHL||0|
|5||Anton Karlsson||F||6'0, 170||9/3/96||L||Frolunda||SHL||9|
|6||Sam Bennett||F||6'0, 165||6/20/96||L||Kingston||OHL||5|
|7||Jake Virtanen||F||6'0, 199||8/17/96||R||Calgary||WHL||6|
|8||Nicholas Ritchie||F||6'3, 218||12/5/95||L||Peterborough||OHL||-3|
|9||Michael Dal Colle||F||6'2, 172||6/20/96||L||Oshawa||OHL||-2|
|10||Ivan Barbashev||F||6'0, 181||12/14/95||L||Moncton||QMJHL||2|
|11||Roland McKeown||D||6'0, 186||1/20/96||R||Kingston||OHL||-3|
|12||Haydn Fleury||D||6'3, 202||7/8/96||L||Red Deer||WHL||5|
|13||Matthew Mistele||F||6'2, 183||10/17/95||L||Plymouth||OHL||8|
|14||Kaspar Kapanen||F||5'11, 165||7/23/96||R||Kuopio||SML||1|
|15||Blake Clarke||F||6'1, 190||1/24/96||L||Brampton||OHL||-9|
|16||Jakub Vrana||F||6'0, 183||2/28/96||L||Linkoping||SHL||-7|
|17||Adrian Kempe||C||6'2, 178||9/13/96||L||Modo||SHL||9|
|18||Jared McCann||C||6'0, 175||5/31/96||L||S.S. Marie||OHL||-8|
|19||Nick Schmaltz||F||5'11, 158||2/23/96||R||Green Bay||USHL||13|
|20||Brycen Martin||D||6'1, 178||5/9/96||L||Swift Current||WHL||3|
|21||Brayden Point||C||5'9, 170||3/13/96||R||Moose Jaw||WHL||10|
|22||Jack Glover||D||6'3, 173||5/17/96||R||USNT||USHL||-3|
|23||Nikolai Goldobin||F||5'11, 165||10/7/95||L||Sarnia||OHL||-5|
|24||Oskar Lindblom||F||6'2, 187||8/15/96||L||Brynas||SHL||1|
|25||David Pastrnak||F||5'11, 165||5/25/96||L||Sodertalje||SHL||-3|
|26||Spencer Watson||F||5'10, 165||4/25/96||L||Kingston||OHL||1|
|27||Jacob Middleton||D||6'3, 194||1/2/96||L||Ottawa||OHL||-3|
|28||Joshua Ho-Sang||F||5'11, 160||1/22/96||R||Windsor||OHL||-12|
|29||Adam Ollas Mattsson||D||6'3, 194||7/30/96||L||Djurgardens||Alls||1|
|30||Alexis Pepin||F||6'2, 230||4/22/96||L||Charlottetown||QMJHL||8|
- There are two Russians in the Top 30, Ivan Barbashev with Moncton in the QMJHL, Nikolai Goldobin playing in the OHL with Sarnia. Things are worse for Finland, with just one Finn in the top 30.
- The league breakdown: OHL: 12, Sweden: 7, WHL: 6, QMJHL: 2, USHL: 2, SML: 1
- There are still just 7 blueliners in the first round and not a single goaltender.
- I touched on Leon Draisaitl's chance to be the highest-drafted German in history. Ryan Kennedy has a profile on him.
- Anton Karlsson climbed 9 spots to #5, but McKenzie has him at #11, meaning he's closer to the bottom of the top 10 than #5.
- #7 overall Jake Virtanen is featured in the WHL Radio show this week.