FanPost

Amateur Scouting Analysis - How Do The Oilers Stack Up?

Charles LeClaire-US PRESSWIRE


There is allot of discussion about the Oilers ability to draft players often comparing them with the likes of Detroit whom they compare favorably in general to, I believe.

I have decided to see how the Oilers compare with other teams in the Western Conference. They say that you can't call a draft for 5 years. So I have taken from 1997-2007 Draft years to see how the teams compare on boxcars when it comes to draft picks, and then see where the Oilers fit in. Keep in mind that many of these players went to play games for teams that did not draft them, so this is a reasonable metric to judge the amateur scouting. Also this is handily when the Oilers replaced their Head Scout.

I have ordered this by a combination GP/Pick & PPG. The reason is teams draft Defensemen and Goalies that are not in general expected to contribute offensively. (Interestingly the Wing have the highest PPG, but as discussed previously that is due to 2 players - Datsyuk & Zetterburg), but also PPG does give an indication of quality even with those players not contributing, because logically teams will in general draft many similar players for similar uses.

Picks GP/Pick G/Pick Pts/Pick PPG Playoffs GP G PTS PIM/Pick PIM PIM/G
SJ 86 134.87 21.77 56.13 0.4 9 11599 1872 4827 0.59 6818 0.59
LA 107 94.94 15.07 39.73 0.4 4 10159 1612 4251 0.67 6791 0.67
VAN 90 89.86 15.38 42.51 0.5 8 8087 1384 3826 0.88 7134 0.88
NAS 97 99.44 14.12 38.62 0.4 7 9646 1370 3746 0.68 6576 0.68
MIN 66 98.62 15.14 39.44 0.4 3 6509 999 2603 0.67 4329 0.67
COL 105 105.85 14.21 39.94 0.4 6 11114 1492 4194 0.62 6932 0.62
DET 90 75.58 13.81 37.13 0.5 10 6802 1243 3342 0.48 3290 0.48
CHI 120 84.7 12.52 34.88 0.4 5 10164 1502 4185 0.67 6840 0.67
ANA 83 98.64 13.89 36.52 0.4 6 8187 1153 3031 0.69 5646 0.69
EDM 106 80.2 11.61 30.98 0.4 2 8501 1231 3284 0.8 6784 0.8
CBJ 82 84.82 11.18 27.71 0.3 1 6955 917 2272 0.87 6080 0.87
DAL 99 83.71 11.91 30.78 0.4 5 8287 1179 3047 0.83 6906 0.83
STL 99 69.45 9.69 26.82 0.4 5 6876 959 2655 0.76 5237 0.76
CAL 103 65.88 8.38 21.34 0.3 5 6786 863 2198 0.74 5004 0.74
PHX 92 53.14 6.14 16.24 0.3 4 4889 565 1494 0.72 3514 0.72

Now there are some very evident things here San Jose is very good at the draft, and Calgary & Phoenix suck at the draft. So if we were on a Calgary Flames blog right now, firing the Amateur Scouting Staff would be prudent.

Based on the Oilers draft skill being about 10th in the conference, the Oilers did need an upgrade in this department at this stage, but the fact that they were not worst in the league, means that there drafting during this period was not the source of their woes.

Detroit did the best job of outperforming their drafting abilities, was it coaching, development, or GM.

LA & Minnesota underperformed how they drafted the most (although LA's Cup goes along way to erasing that issue).

What about 2007-2012, it is likely too soon to make any judgements about this. But using the same criteria the Oilers are well placed. The Oilers scouting is actually doing a reasonable job picking players(many of the numbers are being provided on the backs of the chosen ones - but credit where credit is due, it is far from a complete screw up).

Based on drafting alone, it looks like Calgary, Detroit & Dallas maybe in tough in the coming years. While Edmonton, Colorado & LA maybe on the rise. If their coaching, GM & Player development don't scuttle them.

Picks GP/Pick G/Pick Pts/Pick PPG GP G PTS PIM/Pick PIM PIM/G
EDM 39 17.87 4.38 10.46 0.6 697 171 408 0.31 218 0.31
COL 34 22.65 4.68 11.79 0.5 770 159 401 0.33 253 0.33
LA 37 23.16 2.86 8.68 0.4 857 106 321 0.86 733 0.86
NAS 39 15.08 2.41 5.79 0.4 588 94 226 0.24 142 0.24
STL 39 8.23 1.08 3.85 0.5 321 42 150 0.28 89 0.28
ANA 41 12.73 1.49 4.54 0.4 522 61 186 0.27 140 0.27
PHX 36 13.78 1.69 4.72 0.3 496 61 170 0.3 150 0.3
VAN 31 4.84 1.1 2.35 0.5 150 34 73 0.2 30 0.2
CHI 44 5.82 0.86 2.05 0.4 256 38 90 0.53 136 0.53
MIN 32 10.5 0.66 2.88 0.3 336 21 92 0.23 77 0.23
CBJ 35 12.17 1.34 3.31 0.3 426 47 116 0.38 163 0.38
SJ 33 8.18 0.55 2.39 0.3 270 18 79 0.43 117 0.43
DET 35 1.51 0.17 0.46 0.3 53 6 16 0.19 10 0.19
CAL 31 6.32 0.23 1.16 0.2 196 7 36 0.31 61 0.31
DAL 35 5.74 0.37 1 0.2 201 13 35 0.31 62 0.31

Now what?

Personally if I was Daryl Katz, I would not blow up the Amateur Scouting with the rest of the Oilers front office as there is most definitely value there.

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Disclaimer: The views and opinions expressed in this FanPost are those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views or position of the staff.

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