How bad are they?
Eric T. at Broad Street Hockey compares the highest-rated Score-Adjusted Fenwick teams in the NHL over the last five-and-a-half seasons and looks at their playoff results. *SPOILER* It turns out well for those teams. Eric explains (in glorious detail) how the metric came about and how to calculate the number. In the end:
The result is a formula that I called Score-Adjusted Fenwick, which averages together how much better or worse than average a team did in each game state. This turned out to be a better predictor than Fenwick Tied or Fenwick Close, especially early in the season.
In the comments, Eric looks at the worst 10 teams over the same time frame. *SPOILER* It doesn't turn out well for Oilers fans.
| Rank | Season | Team | Score Adj Fenwick |
| 171 | ’12-13 | Leafs | 45.3% |
| 172 | ’08-09 | Islanders | 45.1% |
| 173 | ’09-10 | Oilers | 44.7% |
| 174 | ’12-13 | Oilers | 44.7% |
| 175 | ’10-11 | Oilers | 44.7% |
| 176 | ’12-13 | Sabres | 44.6% |
| 177 | ’11-12 | Wild | 44.3% |
| 178 | ’10-11 | Wild | 44.1% |
| 179 | ’07-08 | Kings | 44.0% |
| 180 | ’07-08 | Thrashers | 41.7% |
Maybe Jonathan Drouin is the final piece to the puzzle.
Click through to read Eric T's article on Score-Adjusted Fenwick, here.
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