How bad are they?
Eric T. at Broad Street Hockey compares the highest-rated Score-Adjusted Fenwick teams in the NHL over the last five-and-a-half seasons and looks at their playoff results. *SPOILER* It turns out well for those teams. Eric explains (in glorious detail) how the metric came about and how to calculate the number. In the end:
The result is a formula that I called Score-Adjusted Fenwick, which averages together how much better or worse than average a team did in each game state. This turned out to be a better predictor than Fenwick Tied or Fenwick Close, especially early in the season.
In the comments, Eric looks at the worst 10 teams over the same time frame. *SPOILER* It doesn't turn out well for Oilers fans.
|Rank||Season||Team||Score Adj Fenwick|
Maybe Jonathan Drouin is the final piece to the puzzle.