Oilers' Even Strength Scoring Chances By Situation
by Derek Zona on Jan 15, 2012 11:00 AM MST
in Analysis
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When I last checked in on situational scoring chances, the Oilers were on top of the league, and in fact, hadn't trailed by two goals at any time in the first dozen games. It's time for another data dump, this time at the midpoint. All data compiled and published by Dennis King and mc79hockey.com.
| 5v5 | ||||||
| GD | Total | Even | +1 | +2 | -1 | -2 |
| Chances For | 436 | 155 | 71 | 46 | 80 | 40 |
| Chances Against | 506 | 160 | 103 | 41 | 79 | 63 |
We still don't have much data to work with in the up/down situations. The percentages are below:
| 5v5 | ||||||
| GD | Total | Even | +1 | +2 | -1 | -2 |
| Chances For | 0.463 | 0.492 | 0.408 | 0.529 | 0.503 | 0.388 |
When the score is tied, this team has been able to play close to even up. In all other situations, their chance percentage is .448. With a lead the chance percentage is .448, when behind the chance percentage is .443.
Some how the Oilers are a 50% team at evens and a 44% team in all other situations. Strange.
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Isn’t that a signature of a inexperienced team? The team plays hard when they think have a chance to win and get discouraged with when the goals start piling on.
The +1 marker is interesting though, and could have a lot to do with the defensive mindset of the coach to preserve the lead. Not surprising, this team absolutely gets killed when trying to play D.
The Edmonton Oilers, keeping opposition fans happy for the last 6 years
So the Oilers ARE like the Capitals!
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by red army line on Jan 15, 2012 5:36 PM MST via Android app reply actions
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