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RW, D, G Potential Returns for Hemsky and others...

For the Edmonton Oilers it's time to get something worthwhile in return for Hemsky

It's time to get something that pays off and that may mean packaging some players with Hemsky to get 1 or 2 quality prospects from one of the teams below.

The Oilers have a need for a top pairing D, but they also have a glaring lack of quality RWs after Eberle. They've been putting LWs and Cs at the position all year with limited success. There is nobody in their system that is a true potential top 6 RW. It was frustrating to see Ty Rattie still available after our second pick at the 2011 draft.

At goalie we don't have much but outside potential. Khabibulin is getting older everyday and has cooled significantly since his hot start and it doesn't look like Dubnyk will ever be a starter. We've got a few potential prospects that may or may not turn out.

Star-divide

These are teams that may have interest in 'buying' at trade deadline (in the playoff hunt with some cap room). I've eliminated some huge prospects that these teams most likely won't give up.

I think the Oilers should be willing to give up any of these players to get a deal done. I don't think Hemsky alone will return a top prospect. We should have packaged Hemsky and Penner last year to go after a top prospect like Brayden Schenn. I also don't think we should give up on Gagner and O'marra or Smid, Peckham, Plante, Petry and Chorney or Belanger for his faceoff prowess.

These players should all be in play:

UFA This year - Hemsky-RW, Smyth-LW (if waives NTC for a contender then resigns in summer), Sutton-D, Hordichuk-LW, Green-LW, Petrell-C, Danis-G, Keller-RW

RFA This year - Omark-LW, Vande Velde-C, Kytnar-C, Barker-D, Dubnyk-G, Tremblay-LW

UFA Next Year - Jones-LW, Whitney-D (NTC), Khabibulin-G

Could also consider these players: Gilbert-D, Potter-D, Eager-LW if the price is right.

I really like what the Hawks, Kings and Penguins could offer as prospects.

Which teams could give us the best return?

Last First Position Height Born Property Age
Olsen Dylan D 6'2" 91-1-3 Blackhawks 21
Simpson Kent G 6'3" 92-3-26 Blackhawks 19
Hayes Jimmy RW 6'6" 89-11-21 Blackhawks 22
Cole Ian D 6'1" 89-2-21 Blues 22
Allen Jake G 6'2" 90-8-7 Blues 21
Rattie Tyler RW 6'0" 93-2-5 Blues 18
Orlov Dmitry D 6'0" 91-7-23 Capitals 20
Holtby Braden G 6'2" 89-9-16 Capitals 22
Kuznetsov Yevgeni RW 6'1" 92-5-19 Capitals 19
de Haan Calvin D 6'1" 91-5-9 Islanders 20
Poulin Kevin G 6'2" 90-4-12 Islanders 21
Okposo Kyle RW 6'0" 88-4-16 Islanders 23
Forbort Derek D 6'5" 92-3-4 Kings 19
Jones Martin G 6'4" 90-1-10 Kings 22
Toffoli Tyler RW 6'1" 92-4-24 Kings 19
Gudbranson Erik D 6'4" 92-1-7 Panthers 20
Markstrom Jacob G 6'3" 90-1-31 Panthers 21
Hyman Zachary RW 6'2" 92-6-9 Panthers 19
Despres Simon D 6'4" 91-7-27 Penguins 20
Killeen Patrick G 6'4" 90-4-15 Penguins 21
Bennett Beau RW 6'1" 91-11-27 Penguins 20
Blum Jonathon D 6'1" 89-1-30 Predators 22
Hellberg Magnus G 6'5" 91-4-4 Predators 20
Budish Zach RW 6'3" 91-5-9 Predators 20
Erixon Tom D 6'2" 90-2-24 Rangers 21
Johnson Chad G 6'3" 86-6-10 Rangers 25
Thomas Christian RW 5'9" 92-5-26 Rangers 19
Smith Brendan D 6'2" 89-2-8 Red Wings 22
Mcollum Thomas G 6'2" 89-12-7 Red Wings 22
Pulkkinen Teemu RW 5'11 92-1-2 Red Wings 20
Cowen Jared D 6'5" 91-1-25 Senators 20
Lehner Robin G 6'3" 91-7-24 Senators 20
Noesen Stefan RW 6'1" 93-2-12 Senators 18
Oleksiak Jamie D 6'6" 92-12-21 Stars 19
Bachman Richard G 5'11" 87-7-25 Stars 24
Smith Reilly RW 6'0" 91-4-1 Stars 20
Brodin Jonas D 6'1" 93-7-12 Wild 18
Hackett Matt G 6'2" 90-3-7 Wild 21
Coyle Charlie RW 6'2" 92-3-2 Wild 19

Disclaimer: The views and opinions expressed in this FanPost are those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views or position of the staff.

Poll
What do the Oilers need most at the trade deadline?
RW - proper right handed winger prospect
14 votes
D - top pairing prospect
158 votes
G - projected starter
29 votes
C - 2nd or 3rd line
4 votes
LW - seriously?
1 votes
New Management - shameful baiting
53 votes

259 votes | Poll has closed

Comment 31 comments  |  0 recs  | 

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Islanders? Buying?

They are only on the table due to an article I read about Okposo being a good fit here, which I agree with but I don’t seriously think the Islanders will be interested in Hemsky. Their development trajectory is too similar to ours.

by Maurey Loeffler on Jan 13, 2012 9:39 AM MST reply actions  

Hawks probably need a centre more than a winger.

I would be shooting for d-men that are closeer to NHL ready and leave the RW to the draft. Despres, Gudbranson (but I highly doubt he is available), Voynov, and Blum would be interesting. Cowen would be great but no way Ottawa trades him now that they have Turris.

If you want a good RW, why not re-sign Hemsky? The Oilers also have multiple ways to fill Hemsky’s spot:
1) Omark
2) Hartikainen
3) Fail for Nail
4) Draft a centre with the Oilers first pick and move Gagner to Hemsky’s slot.

Lots of options. Options on defense are scary. If your gonna move an asset like Hemsky, defence has to be coming back.

by gcw_rocks on Jan 13, 2012 9:51 AM MST reply actions  

LW in RW spots

Good points.

We keep putting LW like Omark and Hartikainen on RW, but are then surprised if they underperform. I think the right shooting Gagner at RW is a worthwhile experiment.

It is looking like we may have another shot at 1st pick this year…grrr. So we may be able to draft a top RW and there are a couple high RW prospects like Yakupov and Collberg although they are abit on the small side and with Eberle I think a big power forward might be a better option.

by Maurey Loeffler on Jan 13, 2012 9:58 AM MST up reply actions  

Teams with multiple RWs

It’s too bad Annaheim (Palmieri, Etem) and Buffalo (Kassian, Armia) are not in a buying mood as it may be easier to pry a top RW prospect off a team with more than one.

But teams like Dallas (Chiasson, Reilly Smith, Glennie), Florida (Dadonov, Donskoi, Hyman), St. Louis (Tarsenko, Rattie), Detroit (Pulkkinaen, Jurco), Rangers (Thomas, Miller), Chicago (Hayes, Shalunov) and Ottawa (Mark Stone, Noesen) may be willing to part with one of their quality RW prospects for the instant offence that Hemsky can bring to a playoff run.

by Maurey Loeffler on Jan 13, 2012 9:51 AM MST reply actions  

No way, injury prone, non producer, UFA Hemsky is traded to Rangers unless you want Wolski, Zuccarello, Fedotenko, and
Woywitka.

NY is one of the best teams in NHL-we don’t trade our future for your non producers.

by frankiec on Feb 3, 2012 10:11 AM MST up reply actions  

Hemksy, Smyth (loan), Sutton, Khabibulin, Omark

In my dream world we’d send these 5 to one of the playoff run teams in the table for their top prospects at RW, D, & G and get Smyth back in the summer. Hemsky isn’t fitting in with the new young core so let’s get something, anything, for him. Let’s trade Khabibulin while he still has some value. Let’s keep Smyth happy by giving him a chance at a Cup every spring. Let’s give Omark a chance to make a team at LW where we are deep on both the team and the farm and get something we need in return. Sutton would be very valuable to a team’s cup run and we’ll lose him at the end of the year if we can’t sign him. We’d have to send a steady D to get a quality D prospect in return. Like I said, in my dreams.

by Maurey Loeffler on Jan 13, 2012 10:11 AM MST reply actions  

Prospects!?

Prospects… Edmonton doesn’t need more prospects! The Oilers need actual NHL players.

If we ship out Hemsky that’s one less player we have, and more unproven youth that will need TIME to develop and, newsflash is not guaranteed to be as good as Hemsky or, frankly, make the NHL.

In case anyone hasn’t noticed, flushing all our actual NHL players is what has us in the situation we are in now. The amount of talent we have traded for “prospects” since is 2007 is blinding:

Smyth – for Nilsson, O’Maara, and the draft pick that became Alex Plante
Brodzaik – (and pick 161 which became Darcy Kuemper) for picks 99 (Kyle Bigos) and 131 (Olivier Roy)
Torres – for Brule
Penner – for Teubert, the pick that became Klefbom, and a 3rd rounder this year
Grebeshkov – for the pick that became Hamilton
Garon – for Dany Sabourin, Ryan Stone, and the pick that became Tobias Reider

Of course there was the time the Oil pulled off this string:
Lupul for Pitkanen
Pitkanen for Cole
Cole for O’Sullivan and the pick that was immediately swapped for Kotalik.. O’Sullivan was eventually dealt for Vandermeer, who the Oil let walk in FA last year..

That should give you a pretty good idea of some of the talent that Edmonton has dealt away over the last few years for “futures”. Now let me ask you this, how many “prospects” that the Oil have acquired in those deals are helping the team RIGHT NOW? Are any actually bringing good fortune to the OIlers? How many of the players that Edmonton traded away, could actually improve the team by being on it today? How many of the players we shipped out for futures, have created holes in the lineup that we are still looking to fill, or took years to fill? How many of the futures that we acquired, failed to pan out, never made it, or whose chances keep dimming away?

Trading Hemsky (or Gagner, or Gilbert(!?), Potter, Whitney) for futures is just pushing the Oilers down a deeper and deeper hole. Eventually the Oilers need to stop trading away their actual NHL players for prospects and start building with what they have. If not, before you know it, we’ll be trading away Hall, Nugent-Hopkins and Eberle for prospects too.

by Trites on Jan 14, 2012 11:23 AM MST reply actions  

I hear you.

I understand your argument but your examples definitely don’t support it.

Ryan Smyth was traded due to failed contract negotiations, meaning we would have gotten nothing for him. Still a chance Plante could be a steady D and O’marra might, repeat might make a solid 4th liner with some good size. Plus we have Smyth back anyway.

Brodziak was still basically a work in progress (but an old one, at 25) when we traded him away. 2 seasons at around 30 pts. and he hasn’t gotten any better – still a chance Roy could be our starting goalie.

Torres for Brule – besides Torres’ little playoff streak he hasn’t amounted to much so that looks like a wash to me.

Penner – this was a great trade. The Kings are unhappy with his play (10 pts in 33 games) and we probably would have lost Penner to free agency and got nothing in return if we waited. Klefbom is a top 50 NHL prospect who projects as a top 2 pairing D. Teubert is currently up with the Oilers since late December.

Grebeshkov – we almost had to go to arbitration to sign him for one year and that year wasn’t very good. We would have lost him to free agency for nothing. He now plays in the KHL. Curtis Hamilton is a great prospect who made the World Junior team 2 years in a row and projects as a possible top 6 forward and definite 3rd line two way player.

Garon – he hasn’t been above .904 since the year before he got traded. Not good enough to be a starter in the NHL. I’m not sure what his free agency status was goin to be. But we didn’t lose a starter and we didn’t get much in return. A bit of a wash.

How many of the players we traded away would be helping the oilers RIGHT NOW? Hard to predict but based on likelihood of losing them to free agency and the fact that many of them haven’t performed well since leaving Edmonton: NONE.

And the example where we didn’t trade for future turns out badly in the end…

I think we overvalue some of our "NHL" players sometimes, if our veterans were good enough to make a winning team we should be doing better. I don’t think we should trade Gagner. He is performing quite well for a 22 year old. Actually one of the best 22 year olds in the NHL. Or buy period should coincide with the development of our youth and not precede it. And if we will likely lose a player to free agency or will not be able to afford them when we have to re-sign Hal, Eberle and Nugent-Hopkins then we need to get something in return that will be staying around when our elite players hit their elite stride.

I don’t think we should take sub-par outside chance prospects but elite prospects and in order to do that we have to give away something with value. Hemsky is of value to another team ‘in the hunt’ and possibly of no value to us if he decides to test the free agency market this summer.

by Maurey Loeffler on Jan 15, 2012 9:37 AM MST up reply actions  

I’m sorry, but you undervalue the NHL players in this post and blue-sky the prospects who have yet to make an impact at an AHL level let alone the NHL.

The Edmonton Oilers, keeping opposition fans happy for the last 6 years

by OilLeak on Jan 20, 2012 1:33 PM MST up reply actions   1 recs

Colorado may actually be a pretty ideal partner if you are looking for D and G prospects. We have Gaunce, Barrie and Siemens all in the system along with goaltenders Pickard, Patterson and Aittokallio, all of which I believe are eligible to be in the AHL next year, and with Cedrick Desjardins probably a lock in Lake Erie, that only leaves one spot left in the AHL (two spots if you want to rotate 3 goalies).

I'm not questioning your powers of observation; I'm merely remarking upon the paradox of asking a masked man who he is.

by ProfessorOak on Jan 14, 2012 11:20 PM MST reply actions  

Avalanche

I like Avalanche prospects and the fact that they have some good young RWs and D already on the team so may be willing to give some prospects up, but with the youth movement on their team, I’m not sure they’re in a ‘buy’ situation at this trade deadline. If they put together a good streak that could change. Right now they’re on the outside looking in.

by Maurey Loeffler on Jan 15, 2012 9:37 AM MST up reply actions  

Every other day we go from being on the outside to the inside and back and forth. I’m not sure what good young RWs you are talking about, hahaha. We may be one top tier winger away from being good enough to make the playoffs, it will depend which Avs team shows up, especially when it comes to divisional games. They may very well be buyers come the trade deadline, and I personally, wouldn’t mind Hemsky, as long as he can stay healthy (ha).

I'm not questioning your powers of observation; I'm merely remarking upon the paradox of asking a masked man who he is.

by ProfessorOak on Jan 15, 2012 12:45 PM MST up reply actions  

Buffalo as a trading partner?

On Sportsnet West I heard John Shannon mention that Buffalo is looking at trading Tyler Ennis, Tyler Myers and Drew Stafford. Now I know that getting all three would be unlikely but do you think it would be realistic if Edmonton offered Ales Hemsky, Theo Peckham and their first round pick (and maybe a prospect or two like Curtis Hamilton) for Drew Stafford and Tyler Myers and possible Tyler Ennis?

Imagine if you will

Hall – RNH – Eberle
Ennis/Paajarvi/Omark – Gagner – Stafford
Smyth (resigned cheap) – Horcoff – Jones
Hartikainan/Lander – Belanger – Eager/Hordichuk

Smid – Gilbert
Potter – Myers
Petry/Sutton/Whitney/Teubert

by MysteriousBurgos on Jan 15, 2012 9:27 PM MST reply actions  

I have read a number of stories that say Myers is not in play, but if he is, then the Oilers should be on the phone immediately. Hemsky, Peckham or Sutton and the prospect of thier choice would be my openning offer. Would also consider Hemsky, Paajarvi, and Sutton.

Ennis and Stafford are kind of whatever players for me. The Oilers have been rumoured to be interested in Stafford in the past, but I would keep a laser focus on Myers, unless Buffalo wanted to unload Stafford’s contract. Then I would consider adding Omark to the deal as the offset to Stafford.

by gcw_rocks on Jan 15, 2012 9:36 PM MST up reply actions  

That is an interesting scenario

Their owner is aggressively trying to build a better team and likes to keep his fans happy so I’m not sure what they’d expect in return. Myers certainly isn’t performing to expectations (I know, I have him in a keepers pool, but I’m still holding on to him). I’m not sure what Ennis’ ceiling is in the NHL but we are pretty deep at LW. Stafford is a solid player and not too old (26) to still be productive in a few years when our young core peaks. Maybe Hemsky, Sutton, Omark and 2nd Round Pick for Myers and Stafford. Not sure we could pry Ennis off their hands too. Myers would be hard enough. All wild speculation at this point. Hell even Myers alone for Hemsky, Omark, Sutton and 2nd round pick would be fair in my books.

by Maurey Loeffler on Jan 16, 2012 6:49 AM MST up reply actions  

It would take way more than that to get those two, unless Regier has lost his mind.

Stafford’s value is debatable because we don’t know if they view him as a salary dump. If they do, then the 2nd rounder they paid for Boyes is probably a good comparable. Cost goes up from there, I think, depending on number of teams interested.

That would leave Hemsky, Sutton and Omark for Myers. If I were Buffalo, I would pass unless it includes a contract extension at reasonable dollars for Hemsky. Someone else would probably pay more for a guy with Chara-like potential.

by gcw_rocks on Jan 17, 2012 3:15 AM MST up reply actions  

Reading the Sabres’ blog sites, he is viewed as a small player who plays soft. Likely not the kind of player the Oilers need.

by gvblackhawk on Jan 20, 2012 12:57 PM MST up reply actions  

Losing is and was predictable

Just trading players to try to get better without an apparent game plan is not the solution. Everytime I watch the Oilers play, I am amazed by how good a bunch of young players can look and still lose.

I am also amazed that the management cannot see that there is a great bunch of players, but the mix is all wrong, because the two most important positions are very weak… the defence is the beginning of the offence and the goaltending is the end if it isn’t there.

This team has the two most highly sought after forwards in the last two years of drafting. The result is that with the greatest young prospects at the forward position, combined with a weak defence, and suspect goaltending… well… losing is and was predictable.

It’s time to bring in a management team that will bring a plan with them, because more of the same won’t get it done.

by Marvellous on Jan 18, 2012 10:25 AM MST reply actions  

I doubt the Blackhawks would move Hayes or Olsen

They made a point of also drafting Jimmy’s brother. Seems they want to see if there is any freaky Sedin-like chemistry. And Olsen is the only big stay-at-home d-man they have in the system who’s even remotely close to being NHL ready. They have too many puck-movers right now and would probably like to move at least one of them.

Sucks you have to post stuff like this. I thought this season was gonna be similar for your guys to the year the Hawks had in 08-09. Keep the faith. There’s a lot of talent on this team.

SCH, a softer, kinder place to comment on violent sports.

by ChicagoNativeSon on Jan 20, 2012 11:04 AM MST reply actions  

Could also consider these players: Gilbert-D, Potter-D, Eager-LW if the price is right.

One of these things is not like the other.

Editor and Lead Writer for Oil On Whyte - An Edmonton Oilers Blog

by chappy35 on Jan 20, 2012 12:34 PM MST reply actions  

No doubt. He doesn’t want to give up on Peckham or Chorney but is willing to trade our best defenseman Tom Gilbert. Tambi is that you writing this article?

by gvblackhawk on Jan 20, 2012 12:53 PM MST up reply actions  

Yes, let’s trade Gilbert for a d-man prospect and hope that one say that he will be as good as Gilbert is. Counter productive much?

The Edmonton Oilers, keeping opposition fans happy for the last 6 years

by OilLeak on Jan 20, 2012 1:44 PM MST up reply actions  

*day

The Edmonton Oilers, keeping opposition fans happy for the last 6 years

by OilLeak on Jan 20, 2012 1:44 PM MST up reply actions  

Good point. I’m just referring to the fact that it would be better to package players to get one player worthwhile.

by Maurey Loeffler on Jan 26, 2012 5:51 PM MST up reply actions  

This article is ridiculous. You want to trade a PPG RW for a RW prospect who might someday be as good as the one you’re trading away? The Oilers don’t need prospects – they have prospects. They need to start using the foundation they’ve built by choosing some of their prospects to keep and some as trading tools to get real NHL players. Top two D and goaltending are the obvious holes. The Oilers have plenty of offense in the organization, but without D and Goaltending it simply doesn’t matter.

by Seldom Rest on Jan 20, 2012 2:23 PM MST reply actions  

Thanks

I aim to entertain. I’m just flattered you called it an “article”. Makes it sound so official and well researched, which it is neither. I hate to break it to you but your “PPG RW” is only a 1/2PPG RW (19 points in 36 games) who might not sign with Edmonton next year. That’s a 41 point pace for a player whose skills seem to be on the downswing. Isn’t that the pace that we claim isn’t good enough for Gagner, who is improving every year at only 22 and still among the best in his draft year. Plus, I’m sure HEmsky is feeling relegated to 2nd tier here since Eberle has assumed top RW status. Hemsky may jump at the chance of signing for a contender next year. He is getting up there and apparently his skills are deteriorating. If they’re not deteriorating, then he’s either still not recovered from his glass shoulder injuries or he’s not putting in the effort he has in the past. So we could hold onto him past the trade deadline in a month and lose him for nothing, or we could try to get something for him before he leaves us. I agree that D and G are the most important needs and posted this article with that in mind. I also wanted to point out that if we lose Hemsky, we only have Eberle on the right side that is even a potential top 6 RW.

by Maurey Loeffler on Jan 26, 2012 6:02 PM MST up reply actions  

I think the Oilers should trade Hall, Eberle, RNH and PRV for the rights to a 12 of the best 15 year olds.

In 10 years the Oilers would be amazing!

by Woodguy on Jan 20, 2012 2:41 PM MST reply actions  

Updated Spreadsheet of Potential Prospect Returns at Trade Deadline

Prospect Scores based on Hockey’s Future website from October / November of 2011 Reports

Spreadsheet: Click > Potential Prospect Returns at Trade Deadline

It would be great to get a D with a 7.5B or higher rating. The table is ranked by D score first, then G, then RW.

I don’t think Boston will ever give up Hamilton.
Blum may be an option in Nashville.
The Florida Panthers look like an ideal partner if we can pry Gudbranson (not likely) and Markstrom off of them, with Hyman thrown in on RW.

For Comparison – Oilers Scores on Hockey Futures:

Ryan Nugent-Hopkins, C – 8.5C
Oscar Klefbom, D – 8.0C
_________________________
Anton Lander, C – 7.0B
Martin Marincin, D – 7.5C
Linus Omark, RW – 7.5C
Curtis Hamilton, LW – 7.5C
David Musil, D – 7.5C
Teemu Hartikainen, LW – 7.0C
Tyler Pitlick, C – 7.5D
Tyler Bunz, G – 7.5D
Jeremy Blain, D – 7.5D
Ryan Martindale, C – 7.5D
Olivier Roy, G – 7.5D
Colten Teubert, D – 6.5C
Travis Ewanyk, C – 6.5C
Alex Plante, D – 6.5C
Dillon Simpson, D – 7.0D
Tobias Reider, RW – 7.0D
Brandon Davidson, D – 7.0D

Getting one or two players that rate a 7.5B or higher is fairly elite company. The type of elite company that you build cup contenders around.

Hockey futures Scoring Explanation

by Maurey Loeffler on Feb 10, 2012 12:52 PM MST reply actions  

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