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2010-11 NHL Marginal Cap Efficiency

In attempting to measure NHL management effectiveness, I've looked at a number of different takes on Marginal Cap Efficiency, a term borrowed from The Falconer at Bird Watchers Anonymous.  Through reader comments and feedback, we've created Marginal Floor Efficiency, Marginal Playoff Efficiency and looked at a number of different averages and rolling averages in an attempt to rank the NHL's General Managers. 

For more on the topic, check out these articles:

Marginal Cap Efficiency

Marginal Cap Efficiency Averages

Marginal Floor Efficiency

Marginal Playoff Efficiency

Dollars Per Win

As the 2011-12 season approaches, I thought it was a good time to update all of those stats with the 2010-11 data.  After the jump, we'll look at the basic Marginal Cap Efficiency of all 30 teams in 2010-11.

Star-divide

Team 2010-11
Tampa Bay Lightning 2.054
Phoenix Coyotes 1.941
St. Louis Blues 1.930
Nashville Predators 1.921
Atlanta Thrashers 1.871
Vancouver Canucks 1.823
Dallas Stars 1.779
Carolina Hurricanes 1.763
New York Islanders 1.726
Philadelphia Flyers 1.719
Washington Capitals 1.715
Anaheim Ducks 1.713
San Jose Sharks 1.709
Los Angeles Kings 1.705
Chicago Blackhawks 1.686
Detroit Red Wings 1.681
Pittsburgh Penguins 1.647
Buffalo Sabres 1.641
Boston Bruins 1.637
NHL Average 1.606
Toronto Maple Leafs 1.494
New York Rangers 1.489
Montreal Canadiens 1.463
Colorado Avalanche 1.433
Columbus Blue Jackets 1.407
Florida Panthers 1.384
Calgary Flames 1.378
Minnesota Wild 1.334
Edmonton Oilers 1.142
Ottawa Senators 1.129
New Jersey Devils 1.101
  • Steve Yzerman's low-cost moves paid off for Tampa Bay last year - names like Moore, Bergenheim, Thompson, Jones, Downie, Lundin, Jones, and Purcell might not have been headliner signings, but Yzerman brought cheap and effective depth to a team loaded with stars and it paid off.
  • The Atlanta Thashers were above the league efficiency average just once while employing Ilya Kovalchuk; as soon as he leaves, they move well north of the average.  Why spend $7 million extra to earn the same 85 points?  Cutting Kovalchuk loose was the biggest favor Don Waddell did for the Jets' owners.
  • Doug Wilson continues to steer the Sharks in the top tier by this measure.  One interesting point:  if he had gone with a low-cost option rather than Niclas Wallin, the Sharks would stand alone in 5th place.
  • The Maple Leafs got close to the league average, but they weren't quite efficient enough.  The Leafs have yet to move above the league average in the six seasons since the lockout.
  • The Blue Jackets' owners should be concerned -- they were well below league average and didn't get close to the playoffs, and Scott Howson piled on even more salary in the off-season.
  • There's a reason Darryl Sutter is no longer in charge in Calgary - he's not a good General Manager and it shows in these numbers.
  • The Wild are in the same boat as the Jackets - they're spending loads more money this season after showing no ability to be efficient since Jacques Lemaire left.
  • Even though the Oilers ranked 25th in cap expenditure, they still come in 28th in efficiency.  Edmonton's efficiency ranking since the lockout is abysmal, far and away the worst in the league.
  • The New Jersey Devils should be concerned.  Prior to Ilya Kovalchuk, they were one of the most efficient teams in the league.  Atlanta drops Kovalchuk and moves quite high in the rankings while New Jersey adds him and plummets to the bottom of the league.

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The New Jersey Devils should be concerned. Prior to Ilya Kovalchuk, they were one of the most efficient teams in the league. Atlanta drops Kovalchuk and moves quite high in the rankings while New Jersey adds him and plummets to the bottom of the league.

Atlanta moved high not just because they got rid of Kovalchuk, but because they stopped piling on the terrible free agent signings which have plagued the franchise. They took the money they spent on Kovalchuk and instead spent it on Byfuglien and Oduya, and that’s obviously been a great trade-off.

As for NJ, they cut a fair amount of fat between last summer and this. Kovalchuk is obviously a cap inefficiency, more so than most UFAs, but I think NJ should rebound to being around average this year.

http://drivingplay.blogspot.com - The blog with three first lines

by Triumph44 on Aug 27, 2011 5:09 PM MDT reply actions  

They need to throw off this curse first. Perhaps they should sacrifice a chicken.

Editor of The Copper & Blue, and leader of The Cult Of Hartikainen.

by Derek Zona on Aug 27, 2011 5:27 PM MDT up reply actions  

I think they managed that in the 2nd half of the year when Kovalchuk was pouring in game winning goals every other night.

http://drivingplay.blogspot.com - The blog with three first lines

by Triumph44 on Aug 28, 2011 11:01 AM MDT up reply actions  

I wonder who performed the sacrifice?

I bet it was Danyeko.

Editor of The Copper & Blue, and leader of The Cult Of Hartikainen.

by Derek Zona on Aug 28, 2011 1:10 PM MDT up reply actions  

Cutting Kovalchuk loose was the biggest favor Don Waddell did for the Jets’ owners.

He didn’t do it on purpose. He reportedly offered Kovalchuk the moon, but was rejected.

by Kent Wilson on Aug 27, 2011 8:00 PM MDT reply actions  

I know.

He was so bad.

Editor of The Copper & Blue, and leader of The Cult Of Hartikainen.

by Derek Zona on Aug 27, 2011 8:05 PM MDT up reply actions  

As might be expected, this measure penalizes the top clubs. There are diminishing returns as you get near the top, but it’s worth it for those teams.

Also, it would be interesting to base this stuff on GD.

by RiversQ on Aug 28, 2011 8:56 AM MDT via mobile reply actions  

Yeah that’s why we have marginal playoff efficiency.

I hadn’t thought of GD. I’ll get to work.

Editor of The Copper & Blue, and leader of The Cult Of Hartikainen.

by Derek Zona on Aug 28, 2011 9:34 AM MDT up reply actions  

That’s some good work there, Northwest

Maybe
Jibblescribbits: C'mon over and waste some time

by Jibblescribbits on Aug 29, 2011 11:15 AM MDT reply actions  

DAMN YOU WALLIN!!!!!

Fear The Fin = Man goes into cage... Cage goes into salsa... Shark's in the salsa... Our shark.

by Mr. K. on Aug 29, 2011 1:36 PM MDT reply actions  

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Clear Victory Standings

Western Conference

  1. Detroit Red Wings (27-11, .711)
  2. St. Louis Blues (24-10, .706)
  3. Vancouver Canucks (22-10, .688)
  4. Los Angeles Kings (18-11, .621)
  5. San Jose Sharks (18-13, .581)
  6. Phoenix Coyotes (20-15, .571)
  7. Nashville Predators (18-14, .563)
  8. Chicago Blackhawks (21-19, .525)
  9. Colorado Avalanche (16-19, .457)
  10. Dallas Stars (18-22, .450)
  11. Anaheim Ducks (14-19, .424)
  12. Edmonton Oilers (18-25, .419)
  13. Calgary Flames (13-21, .382)
  14. Columbus Blue Jackets (14-31, .311)
  15. Minnesota Wild (8-22,.267)

Eastern Conference

  1. Pittsburgh Penguins (31-13, .711)
  2. Boston Bruins (27-11, .711)
  3. New York Rangers (25-16, .610)
  4. Philadelphia Flyers (21-17, .553)
  5. New Jersey Devils (18-16, .529)
  6. Ottawa Senators (19-17, .528)
  7. Washington Capitals (20-19, .513)
  8. Montreal Canadiens (16-19, .457)
  9. Winnipeg Jets (15-19, .441)
  10. Buffalo Sabres (14-18, .438)
  11. Carolina Hurricanes (13-17, .433)
  12. Florida Panthers (14-19, .424)
  13. Toronto Maple Leafs (17-24, .415)
  14. New York Islanders (8-23, .258)
  15. Tampa Bay Lightning (10-30, .250)

Division Standings

  1. Central (79-58, .577)
  2. Atlantic (68-50, .576)
  3. Pacific (62-54, .534)
  4. Northeast (69-65, .515)
  5. Northwest (49-69, .415)
  6. Southeast (51-81, .386)


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