Futures Odds To Win The Stanley Cup

PITTSBURGH - NOVEMBER 17: Sidney Crosby #87 of the Pittsburgh Penguins loses control of the puck as he attempts to split the defense of Keith Ballard #4 of the Vancouver Canucks and Andrew Alberts #41 of the Vancouver Canucks on November 17 2010 at Consol Energy Center in Pittsburgh Pennsylvania. (Photo by Jamie Sabau/Getty Images)

It might seem a little optimistic for an Oilers' writer to check in on futures odds to win the Stanley Cup, but as I glanced through them, a couple of things struck me as both interesting and curious.  There are a couple of caveats to these odds though.  First, though betting odds are often a true indication of the event odds, futures odds are a bit different.  First, there is an enormous amount of juice in futures odds.  Ask a book to give you a "field" bet against the favorite on a futures list and see if you get reverse odds.  Secondly, futures odds rarely reflect the true money line.  So with those out of the way, let's check in on the 2011-12 futures odds to win The Stanley Cup.

*All lines taken from Vegas Insider.

Team Odds
Vancouver 6/1 
Pittsburgh 7/1 
Philadelphia 9/1 
Washington 10/1 
Boston 10/1 
Chicago 12/1 
Detroit 12/1 
Los Angeles 12/1 
San Jose 12/1 
Tampa Bay 12/1 
Montreal 20/1 
Nashville 25/1 
Anaheim 25/1 
Buffalo 30/1 
New Jersey 30/1 
Phoenix 30/1 
Calgary 35/1 
Carolina 35/1 
Dallas 40/1 
N.Y. Rangers
40/1 
St. Louis 40/1 
Toronto 50/1 
Winnipeg 50/1 
Minnesota 60/1 
Edmonton 65/1 
Colorado 65/1 
Ottawa 65/1 
Columbus 75/1 
N.Y. Islanders
80/1 
Florida 125/1 

 

Some things are obvious and following conventional wisdom:  the Canucks and Penguins are the favorites and the Oilers are la...oh.  The Oilers aren't last!  In fact, it's the Panthers who bring up the rear.  Clearly the oddsmakers are not impressed by Dale Tallon's off-season spending orgy.  So the Oilers are at least a clear 2...huh.  Looks like the Islanders are a clear 29th, curious for me, given their improvements and the Senators...bizarre plans.  The Oilers aren't even 28th, that's the Blue Jackets -- bettors are not interested in Jeff Carter or James Wisniewski.  No sir, the Oilers are in a three-way logjam in 25-26-27 with the Avalanche and the Senators.

Breaking out futures odds by conference is interesting as well; do the top eight teams make the playoffs?

West Odds
Vancouver 6/1 
Chicago 12/1 
Detroit 12/1 
Los Angeles 12/1 
San Jose 12/1 
Nashville 25/1 
Anaheim 25/1 
Phoenix 30/1 
Calgary 35/1 
Dallas 40/1 
St. Louis 40/1 
Minnesota 60/1 
Edmonton 65/1 
Colorado 65/1 
Columbus 75/1 

 

Vancouver vs. Phoenix, Chicago vs. Anaheim, Los Angeles vs. Nashville and Detroit vs. San Jose. The Flames miss the playoffs in what should be a last hurrah and the Oilers tie for 13th in the conference.  Sound good to everyone?

East Odds
Pittsburgh 7/1 
Philadelphia 9/1 
Washington 10/1 
Boston 10/1 
Tampa Bay 12/1 
Montreal 20/1 
Buffalo 30/1 
New Jersey 30/1 
Carolina 35/1 
N.Y. Rangers 40/1 
Toronto 50/1 
Winnipeg 50/1 
Ottawa 65/1 
N.Y. Islanders 80/1 
Florida 125/1 

 

Pittsburgh vs. New Jersey, Washington vs. Buffalo, Boston vs. Montreal, Philadelphia vs. Tampa Bay and the Rangers and Brad Richards miss the playoffs altogether.  The one outlier here is the Islanders.  If Evgeni Nabokov is healthy, the Islanders should be better than 14th in the conference.

So where are the futures odds missing the boat?

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