Ales Hemsky - Assorted Power Play Numbers
by Derek Zona on Aug 12, 2011 10:01 AM MDT
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Print| GFON/60 | Scoring Chances | |||||
| Hemsky | NHL AVG | TSCF | SCF/15 | %CON | EDM AVG | |
| 2010-11 | 3.9 | 6.18 | 62 | 6.145 | 0.145 | 0.16 |
| 2009-10 | 7.85 | 6.46 | 63 | 12.38 | 0.159 | 0.22 |
| 2008-09 | 6.3 | 6.73 | ||||
| 2007-08 | 7.9 | 6.14 | ||||
By goals for on per 60, Ales Hemsky has been above average until last year where there was certainly a problem. But above average isn't "good". By the scoring chances, his 2010 numbers were off by half compared to 2009, but the Oilers conversion rate with Hemsky on the ice remained low. You can find the rest of the Oilers' power play chance numbers here. Remember the caveat for the scoring chances - we're working with only two seasons of data and both of those seasons were abbreviated for Hemsky. It's also worth noting Dustin Penner's numbers last season without Hemsky for 60 games - his SCF/15 was 7.16 and his conversion rate was .208
Last note: Opponents averaged 11.028 SCF/15 against Edmonton's putrid penalty kill this season. Hemsky's SCF/15 2009-10 numbers were superior to the rest of the league against the league's worst penalty kill.
I've reached out to the other gentlemen who tracked scoring chances in 2010 to ask them to compile the power play scoring chance rates for their respective teams. I tracked Florida's chances in 2010, but they were the worst power play in the league and using them as a comparison would make J.F. Jacques look good.
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If we weight each of the average seasons equally, we get an overall average of 6.38. If we weight Hemsky’s seasons by the amount of ice time he had in each, we get an average of 6.59, so slightly above average. If the minimum time on ice per game you used to find the NHL average was low enough to include a bunch of the second unit guys, that is, in fact, a pretty bad result for a player running a first-unit power play.
The biggest fanana of the Havana Bananas.
by Scott Reynolds on Aug 12, 2011 10:31 AM MDT reply actions
Try finding comps for this situation. It’s great fun!
Editor of The Copper & Blue, and leader of The Cult Of Hartikainen.
For which situation?
The biggest fanana of the Havana Bananas.
by Scott Reynolds on Aug 12, 2011 10:35 AM MDT up reply actions
Dominant ES player surrounded by chum on the PP.
Editor of The Copper & Blue, and leader of The Cult Of Hartikainen.
I guess “chum” is a matter of opinion. Whatever evaluation you’ve used to consider those surrounding him “chum” needs to be applied to Hemsky himself too.
The biggest fanana of the Havana Bananas.
by Scott Reynolds on Aug 12, 2011 10:52 AM MDT up reply actions
The last time the Oilers had more than one decent player on the power play with him was 2005-06. They had an average power play and he had a ton of power play points.
Editor of The Copper & Blue, and leader of The Cult Of Hartikainen.
I don’t think that’s true. In 2007-08 they had Penner and Pitkanen, and in 2008-09 and 2009-10 they had Penner, Souray, and Visnovsky. These are all guys who have been part of the first unit on other teams (although Penner only briefly).
The biggest fanana of the Havana Bananas.
by Scott Reynolds on Aug 12, 2011 11:11 AM MDT up reply actions
Anahiem
Hey Copper N Blue Peeps,
I was just reading an article on Selanne and the Ducks. The article brought up that if Selanne didn’t return that the Ducks would need a top six F. Hemsky?
Might work. And the return we be ok. I assume Etown wouldn’t get a roster player, but a prospect(s) and pick(s) might be a healthy return.
Any retort?
Well, as the name states it’s…
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