UFA Target - Vern Fiddler
--Forrest Gump
Given the rich tradition of defensive and all-zones centers in the Oilers' franchise history, it's odd to write a sentence that includes the words, "The Oilers desperately need a defensive center..." Management has done such a good job of sourcing and signing men who can play the game and cover assignments for younger developing players, it's a true surprise that the Oilers are in need of such a player.
Oh, who am I kidding? For the fifth consecutive season, the Edmonton Oilers are in desperate need of a center capable of winning faceoffs, killing penalties and playing his own zone. For the fifth consecutive season, it's unlikely that the Oilers will address this problem. It's not the team's biggest need, but it's one that can help every forward on the team. Even though this one signing creates a domino effect throughout the lineup, the Oilers will probably ignore it. As an Oilers' fan, it's something one comes to accept.
If, however, the Oilers were to target a center to help out with a hole in the lineup that's existed since Ales Hemsky was 22 years old, there's one out there that goes together with the Oilers like peas and carrots.
In the "Oilers and Free Agency" article I wrote last week, I implored the Oilers to seek a center to play between Magnus Paajarvi and Linus Omark, one who can win faceoffs, kill penalties and play defense. I mentioned Vern Fiddler, Marty Reasoner, Eric Belanger, and Marcel Goc as candidates, but the best fit is Edmonton's native son Vern Fiddler.
| Team | Corsi Rel QoC | Corsi QoC | Corsi Rel QoT | Corsi QoT | Corsi Rel | Corsi On | Sh% | Sv% | PDO | Ozone% | Fin Ozone% |
| NSH | 0.524 | 0.786 | -0.943 | 0.186 | -2.4 | -1.21 | 8.33 | 913 | 996 | 47.3 | 47.2 |
| NSH | 0.617 | 1.941 | 0.344 | -2.278 | -5.5 | -6.7 | 6.71 | 907 | 974 | 39.7 | 48.7 |
| PHX | 0.502 | -0.139 | -2.578 | 2.044 | -5.3 | -0.45 | 9.64 | 931 | 1027 | 41.1 | 46.1 |
| PHX | 0.456 | 0.252 | -3.253 | -1.802 | -16.4 | -11.79 | 8.11 | 947 | 1028 | 35.9 | 46.7 |
Thanks to the venerable and terrifying Gabriel Desjardins' Behind The Net Player Card feature, Fiddler's recent underlying stats are easy to view and understand. However, these numbers don't tell the entire story behind the role that Fiddler has played for the Predators and Coyotes over the last four seasons. His Corsi On and Corsi Rel values don't look so hot, but when his Corsi is adjusted for his zone start position, the numbers change drastically.
| Ozone% | Adj Corsi/60 | FO% | PKTOI/G | |
| 2007-08 | 47.3 | 0.384 | 0.503 | 2.38 |
| 2008-09 | 39.7 | -0.587 | 0.541 | 2.69 |
| 2009-10 | 41.1 | 5.525 | 0.525 | 2.96 |
| 2010-11 | 35.9 | -2.306 | 0.539 | 2.69 |
| Average | 0.408 | 0.684 | 0.530 | 2.677 |
Over the last four seasons, Fiddler has taken only 40.8% of his faceoffs in the offensive zone, a number amongst the lowest in the NHL over that span. His faceoff percentage over the period was 53.0%, impressive given the large number of defensive zone faceoffs. Adjusting his raw Corsi value for zonestart shows that Fiddler was a breakeven player by possession metrics. I've included his penalty kill time on ice in the above table as well. Fiddler has been a first-option penalty killer for two different coaches over the last four seasons, something the Oilers desperately need to shore up their terrible special teams.
Fiddler is the ideal center for a pair of wings like Paajarvi and Omark. The two were outstanding possession players, for rookies at least, towards the end of the 2010-2011 season. They struggled in the defensive end and could use a center with Fiddler's pedigree, one who can win the puck in the circle and get it up the ice and play nursemaid to the high-flying rookies. The addition of Ryan Smyth means that Smyth and Shawn Horcoff will probably be the first two forwards over the boards on the penalty kill, but Fiddler's faceoff ability makes him the ideal match for newly-minted PK ace Andrew Cogliano. Fiddler's faceoff ability would also allow Tom Renney to move Fiddler up to play with Ryan Smyth and Ales Hemsky late in games, especially when protecting a lead, or taking a defensive zone faceoff.
There's also the matter of Fiddler's birthplace. He was born and raised in Edmonton, and his family still lives in the area. He played bantam hockey in Edmonton and went to Kelowna for his stint in the WHL. He was undrafted but worked his way into the NHL as a bottom-end player and has turned himself into one of the best faceoff centers in the game. Apropos of nothing but the story I'm trying to create, he was also named the Phoenix Coyotes hardest-working player in 2009-10.
The Oilers number one need remains a top-pairing defenseman and that should remain the priority. Vern Fiddler would fill a role that's been empty for four years and improve everyone around him at even strength and even help the penalty kill. Fiddler's not going to post enormous traditional numbers, but he's going to do all of the little things to allow the younger, less-experienced, offensive-minded forward to succeed. There are Reasoner, Belanger, and Goc could also fill that role, but none fit quite as perfectly as Vern Fiddler.
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He’s perfect for a non-playoff team. Good leader and puts up decent regular season numbers for his role.
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He’s good for a playoff team that needs a PK center
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Drury is being bought out… I doubt he’d sign with the Oil but he’d be worth getting for 3 to 4 million.. yes, I am serious.
You mean over 4 years, right?
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by George E. Ays on Jun 29, 2011 1:52 PM MDT up reply actions
I LOVE the free agent inaccuracies… ok, so Jagr is worth less than 2 mill but we are okay with Souray making 4.5.lol Smyth is worth a 6.5 mill cap because it is sentimental and you can’t put a tag on that… got it. Oilers desperately need a guy just like Drury… I’d pay up to 3 for him, I really would. The rookies won’t teach themselves and as many awesome posts have pointed out, the stanley cup runs of Chicago and Pittsburgh HAD veterens (you know, lightweights like Marian Hossa).
I’m telling you, Drury’s not who you think he is any more.
He’s effectively Blair Betts with more offensive pop and a bum knee. He does fit the Oilers needs (defensive center, good faceoff and PK guy), but $3m for him now is more of an overpay than Sather gave him on his current deal.
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by George E. Ays on Jun 29, 2011 6:01 PM MDT up reply actions
I like the way that Derek gives us a heads-up on what will be appearing in August in Edmonton newspapers.
“Oilers tried to land Fiddler” the headline will say, before explaining that Ryan O’Marra can handle the job anyway.
A posse ad esse.
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by Jonathan Willis on Jun 29, 2011 4:14 PM MDT reply actions
‘I like the idea in theory, but in practice it’s one less spot for a young player.’
A posse ad esse.
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by Jonathan Willis on Jun 29, 2011 6:09 PM MDT up reply actions 1 recs
At which point we all pierce our ears with broadswords.
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As much as I would love to see V. Fiddler come and play in Edmonton I find it incredibly unlikely. First off due to the lack of a deep free agent pool he is probably going to be getting many many offers from around the league which will drive his price up. Tambellini is unlikely to get in any bidding war and overpay someone. Secondly I look at comments like those of Kelly Buchberger and Bob Stauffer. I know they aren’t the best sources but they do have connections to the organisation and it is likely that management will be pointing Stauffer in the direction they want him to go in order to prepare the public.
Some recent comments:
On the free agency period that begins July 1st: "The Oilers are going to be very, very quiet"
Another on free agency: "Ryan Smyth…is the Oilers free agent move".
On 2011-12 versus 2010-11: ""I don’t see a dramatic improvement coming"
On being competitive in 2011-12: "It’s time to be more competitive…but you have to have a degree of practicality"
Thirdly is because I believe that Renney thinks he has a good enough PK guy in Cogliano, Also with Ryan Smyth there is another reasonable penalty killer. Oilers could kill two birds with one stone through signing Zenon Konopka. He can do what Fiddler does (albeit less effective all round player and little offence) but he kills penalties, is better in the faceoff dot, and he brings in A LOT of team toughness which Tambellini has stressed over the last two years. I could see two PK units of Horcoff/Smyth and Konopka/Cogliano.

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