Canucks vs. Bruins Scoring Chances - Stanley Cup Finals Totals
Whether it was karma, injuries, exhaustion, or Boston was the better team, Vancouver was outplayed in this series. The goal differential might have been less lopsided if Luongo could have avoided the road collapses, but Boston did outchance the Canucks, especially on the power play. Claude Julien navigated the match-ups and did his best to keep Johnny Boychuk and Andrew Ference out of trouble and keep Zdeno Chara and Patrice Bergeron on the ice against the Sedins. Despite being outchanced, David Krejci's line was able to outscore (thanks Tim Thomas) and Vancouver found no offense when Chara and Bergeron were able to shut down the Sedins. Boston was able to use superior depth to outlast Vancouver and it can't be ascribed to Vancouver's injuries - the Bruins were missing Marc Savard and Nathan Horton.
Scoring Chances - Boston vs. Vancouver, Series Total
NHL Game Numbers 30411, 30412, 30413, 30414, 30415, 30416, 30417
Team Totals, Boston in Gold
| Period | Totals | EV | PP | 5v3 PP | SH | 5v3 SH | ||||||
| 1 | 37 | 28 | 21 | 23 | 16 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | 33 | 26 | 22 | 18 | 6 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | 33 | 32 | 21 | 28 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Totals | 103 | 87 | 64 | 70 | 29 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
The Bruins were slightly outchanced at even strength and though my first instinct was to pin that on playing to the score, it's not true. In the third period of Boston's four blowout wins, the Bruins were actually +1 in EV scoring chances. Vancouver was +8 in their three close wins (thanks Tim Thomas!).
More interesting, surprising actually, were the chances numbers on special teams. Vancouver had the top-ranked power play in the NHL during the regular season. Boston was 20th. Vancouver had the third-ranked penalty kill during the regular season, Boston was ranked 16th. Despite the big disparity in rankings, the Bruins whipped the Canucks on special teams. The Bruins had the advantage in every category: 29-12 at 5v4, 4-2 at 5v3 and 4-2 short-handed. They held a 37-16 advantage on special teams.
In fact, Boston scored more short-handed goals (3) than the Canucks scored on the power play (1). Boston's 3 short-handed goals on 4 short-handed chances is either an indictment of Luongo or the Canucks' defense or both.
Scoring Chances by Player - Boston
| # | Player | EV | PP | SH | ||||||
| 11 | Gregory Campbell | 55.4 | 11 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 28.1 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 | Tomas Kaberle | 75.9 | 17 | 14 | 26.8 | 19 | 0 | 0.53 | 0 | 1 |
| 17 | Milan Lucic | 95.9 | 22 | 28 | 23.5 | 17 | 0 | 0.07 | 0 | 2 |
| 18 | Nathan Horton | 32 | 8 | 8 | 6.9 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 | Tyler Seguin | 49.1 | 9 | 4 | 5.17 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 | Daniel Paille | 48.9 | 13 | 9 | 0.72 | 1 | 4 | 21.5 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 | Andrew Ference | 114 | 27 | 25 | 14.1 | 7 | 2 | 20.8 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 | Shawn Thornton | 46.3 | 10 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.37 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 | Chris Kelly | 82.7 | 12 | 13 | 1.43 | 0 | 4 | 17.2 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 | Mark Recchi | 79.1 | 13 | 19 | 19.8 | 12 | 0 | 0.37 | 0 | 0 |
| 33 | Zdeno Chara | 127 | 21 | 29 | 21.9 | 12 | 9 | 34.1 | 2 | 0 |
| 37 | Patrice Bergeron | 89.5 | 13 | 20 | 19.3 | 12 | 4 | 14.9 | 3 | 2 |
| 44 | Dennis Seidenberg | 122 | 18 | 31 | 25.4 | 16 | 8 | 32.8 | 2 | 2 |
| 46 | David Krejci | 104 | 24 | 27 | 25.4 | 17 | 0 | 1.27 | 0 | 2 |
| 49 | Rich Peverley | 90.4 | 18 | 21 | 9.32 | 6 | 4 | 16.9 | 1 | 0 |
| 54 | Adam McQuaid | 85.3 | 18 | 15 | 0.02 | 0 | 1 | 7.2 | 0 | 0 |
| 55 | Johnny Boychuk | 113 | 27 | 27 | 3.17 | 2 | 4 | 18.7 | 3 | 0 |
| 63 | Brad Marchand | 98.5 | 21 | 25 | 3.05 | 1 | 2 | 10.7 | 1 | 0 |
| 73 | Michael Ryder | 77.7 | 18 | 12 | 21.7 | 17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
Chara and Seidenberg played a ton of minutes matched mostly against the Sedin line. They both came out on the short end. Ryder's +6 led the Bruins in raw chances, but Tyler Seguin's low-event +5 was second. Krejci's line was out-chanced overall, but was able to outscore their Canucks opponents.
Boston - Chances Differential / 15
| # | Player | CF/15 | CA/15 | CD/15 |
| 19 | Tyler Seguin | 2.752 | 1.223 | 1.529 |
| 20 | Daniel Paille | 3.990 | 2.763 | 1.228 |
| 73 | Michael Ryder | 3.474 | 2.316 | 1.158 |
| 12 | Tomas Kaberle | 3.358 | 2.766 | 0.593 |
| 54 | Adam McQuaid | 3.167 | 2.639 | 0.528 |
| 21 | Andrew Ference | 3.559 | 3.295 | 0.264 |
| 18 | Nathan Horton | 3.754 | 3.754 | 0.000 |
| 55 | Johnny Boychuk | 3.588 | 3.588 | 0.000 |
| 23 | Chris Kelly | 2.178 | 2.359 | -0.181 |
| 11 | Gregory Campbell | 2.981 | 3.252 | -0.271 |
| 46 | David Krejci | 3.459 | 3.891 | -0.432 |
| 49 | Rich Peverley | 2.988 | 3.486 | -0.498 |
| 63 | Brad Marchand | 3.199 | 3.808 | -0.609 |
| 17 | Milan Lucic | 3.442 | 4.380 | -0.939 |
| 33 | Zdeno Chara | 2.486 | 3.433 | -0.947 |
| 28 | Mark Recchi | 2.466 | 3.605 | -1.138 |
| 37 | Patrice Bergeron | 2.178 | 3.351 | -1.173 |
| 22 | Shawn Thornton | 3.243 | 4.541 | -1.297 |
| 44 | Dennis Seidenberg | 2.216 | 3.817 | -1.601 |
Seguin's time was carefully managed, and that's obvious in his CA/15 numbers (1.223) which were almost twice as good as the next lowest CA/15 (Ryder's 2.316). The biggest surprise to me is Paille's 3.990 CF/15 which led all Bruins in the series. Johnny Boychuk was even for the series in more carefully managed time. Chara, Bergeron, Recchi and Seidenberg are all at the bottom of the differential list because of their large amount of time spent against the Sedins.
Scoring Chances by Player - Vancouver
| # | Player | EV | PP | SH | ||||||
| 2 | Dan Hamhuis | 4.03 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4.12 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Kevin Bieksa | 130 | 34 | 29 | 23.6 | 4 | 14 | 21.6 | 1 | 0 |
| 4 | Keith Ballard | 14.9 | 2 | 5 | 0.32 | 0 | 0 | 0.58 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | Christian Ehrhoff | 121 | 23 | 15 | 32.9 | 7 | 8 | 10.6 | 0 | 4 |
| 6 | Sami Salo | 96.8 | 24 | 21 | 24.2 | 3 | 13 | 20.5 | 1 | 1 |
| 10 | Jeff Tambellini | 30.4 | 5 | 8 | 0.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 13 | Raffi Torres | 81.1 | 17 | 15 | 5.33 | 1 | 0 | 0.07 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 | Alexandre Burrows | 98 | 23 | 16 | 16.3 | 2 | 11 | 16.8 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 | Tanner Glass | 27.7 | 2 | 8 | 0.38 | 0 | 0 | 0.05 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 | Ryan Kesler | 92 | 25 | 24 | 36.1 | 10 | 10 | 17.8 | 1 | 3 |
| 18 | Christopher Tanev | 41.6 | 8 | 7 | 1.3 | 1 | 0 | 0.55 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 | Chris Higgins | 86.2 | 23 | 17 | 17.5 | 2 | 5 | 5.77 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 | Mason Raymond | 61.8 | 16 | 14 | 16.6 | 1 | 6 | 8.55 | 0 | 1 |
| 22 | Daniel Sedin | 100 | 24 | 18 | 35.7 | 10 | 0 | 0.53 | 0 | 3 |
| 23 | Alexander Edler | 120 | 32 | 19 | 25.8 | 9 | 9 | 20.6 | 1 | 3 |
| 27 | Manny Malhotra | 54.3 | 11 | 12 | 8.95 | 0 | 8 | 14.5 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 | Aaron Rome | 36.3 | 5 | 9 | 0.1 | 0 | 1 | 2.52 | 0 | 0 |
| 33 | Henrik Sedin | 102 | 22 | 18 | 33.5 | 10 | 0 | 0.4 | 0 | 4 |
| 36 | Jannik Hansen | 86.1 | 20 | 16 | 2.83 | 0 | 12 | 16.5 | 0 | 0 |
| 38 | Victor Oreskovich | 44.1 | 8 | 12 | 0.92 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 40 | Maxim Lapierre | 77.7 | 14 | 13 | 0.85 | 0 | 6 | 10.1 | 1 | 0 |
| 41 | Andrew Alberts | 70.3 | 10 | 22 | 0.13 | 0 | 12 | 11.1 | 1 | 0 |
| 49 | Alexandre Bolduc | 1.65 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
By the chances, the Sedin line was the Canucks best line this series, but the pucks weren't going in. Kesler was the man when it came to generating chances, leading all Canucks with 4.077 CF/15 and his regular linemates Higgins and Raymond were at the top with him. On the other end, Glass and Alberts weren't very good in this series and Tambellini and Oreskovich didn't finish much better than Alberts.
Vancouver - Chances Differential / 15
| # | Player | CF/15 | CA/15 | CD/15 |
| 2 | Dan Hamhuis | 7.438 | 3.719 | 3.719 |
| 23 | Alexander Edler | 4.002 | 2.376 | 1.626 |
| 14 | Alexandre Burrows | 3.522 | 2.450 | 1.072 |
| 20 | Chris Higgins | 4.001 | 2.957 | 1.044 |
| 5 | Christian Ehrhoff | 2.844 | 1.855 | 0.989 |
| 22 | Daniel Sedin | 3.602 | 2.701 | 0.900 |
| 36 | Jannik Hansen | 3.484 | 2.787 | 0.697 |
| 33 | Henrik Sedin | 3.241 | 2.652 | 0.589 |
| 3 | Kevin Bieksa | 3.925 | 3.347 | 0.577 |
| 21 | Mason Raymond | 3.882 | 3.397 | 0.485 |
| 6 | Sami Salo | 3.719 | 3.254 | 0.465 |
| 13 | Raffi Torres | 3.146 | 2.775 | 0.370 |
| 18 | Christopher Tanev | 2.887 | 2.526 | 0.361 |
| 40 | Maxim Lapierre | 2.702 | 2.509 | 0.193 |
| 17 | Ryan Kesler | 4.077 | 3.914 | 0.163 |
| 27 | Manny Malhotra | 3.040 | 3.316 | -0.276 |
| 38 | Victor Oreskovich | 2.719 | 4.079 | -1.360 |
| 10 | Jeff Tambellini | 2.468 | 3.950 | -1.481 |
| 29 | Aaron Rome | 2.064 | 3.716 | -1.651 |
| 41 | Andrew Alberts | 2.133 | 4.692 | -2.559 |
| 4 | Keith Ballard | 2.013 | 5.034 | -3.020 |
| 15 | Tanner Glass | 1.082 | 4.330 | -3.247 |
| 49 | Alexandre Bolduc | 0.000 | 9.091 | -9.091 |
Only six Canucks ended the Finals in the red and Edler won the chances battle rather handly. I have to admit I saw Oreskovich much, much better than the chances show. I thought he was holding his own and even creating at times.
Head-to-Head Even Strength Scoring Chances
*Click to enlarge all charts
Head-to-Head Even Strength Time On Ice
Head-to-Head Even Strength Scoring Chances / 15
Krejci's line spent the last 14 games getting beat by the opponent's best and yet the Bruins still won both series.
With all of the even strength stuff out of the way, the power play chances are worth a second look. Below is a breakdown of the power play chances for each team.
| PP Chances | PP TOI | CH/2 | |
| Boston | 33 | 46.20 | 1.429 |
| Vancouver | 14 | 54.47 | 0.514 |
Vancouver had only a half of a chance per two minutes of power play time. Boston had close to a chance and a half per two minutes. The Bruins' power play outchanced the Canucks' power play by more than 2.5 to 1 per 2 minutes. None of Dan Hamhuis, Aaron Rome, or any of the other injured Canucks played a part in that miserable power play.
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I’m really surprised and disappointed in the Canucks. Say what you will about the Bruins’ goaltending, for puck possession team they were no more than decent. They had been just been thoroughly dominated by Tampa, and the Canucks, nominally the best team in the West and in the league, managed to get outplayed. One would have thought the Canucks would at least be able to outplay the Bruins, even if in the end they ended up losing due to goaltending.
Either the West is a wee bit overrated, or the Canucks, well, had a terrible stretch at the worst possible time.
Much ado has been made about Tim Thomas, but to me the percentages at the other end of the ice were at least as big of a story. Boston faced three goalies that played at .902 or less in all situations (I’m fairly sure this is below replacement level, no?). They racked up a whopping 10.3% shooting percentage at even strength for the playoffs, despite facing a .923% goalie at ES in the first round.
Theres speculation that Kesler and Henrik were playing injured, but to that I say – its the Stanley Cup Finals, if your not hurtin, your not trying hard enough
Insert Witty Comment Here
There’s speculation that everyone was injured; I’m too bitter to read the Bruins blog, but I suspect they’re in the same position.
by Passive Voice on Jun 19, 2011 12:47 PM MDT up reply actions
How good would Richards look in place of Krejci (and bump Krejci down).
The B’s could probably afford it too.
In theory, there is little difference between practice and theory, but in practice there is!
Thanks for your work on this Derek. I think you’ve given us some great evidence about the disparity in the power play. It’s obvious that the Bruins badly outscored the Canucks on special teams, so it was always going to be a story, but that they outplayed them so badly is really interesting (and surprising).
The biggest fanana of the Havana Bananas.
Thanks for all the great reads over the playoffs!
I believe the West has more offense and maybe more skilled players. However the East plays something more akin to playoff hockey throughtout the season, and it’s why they fair so well in the finals.
Our hockey is a lot more entertaining, but Eastern teams need to adjust less to the post season. It is also likely that Eastern players have more experience with physical, tight checking games, which would give them an advantage in keeping scoring up and even avoiding getting as banged up.
To me the Canucks’ attempt to play 90’s Scott Stevens style hockey cost them more than anything (through injuries, penalties, collapse of their systems followed by collapse of their confidence) . There is a line between gritty and egregious. Their top 6 (without Samuelsson) and top pairing is fairly small and I think in the end they were more hurt than the Bruins – they played to their opponent’s strengths throughout the playoffs more than to their own.
In the playoffs, we see time and time again that enough speed with lots of grit fairs pretty well against what appears to be superior talent.
I think you have it backwards.
In theory, there is little difference between practice and theory, but in practice there is!
by dawgbone98 on Jun 20, 2011 2:47 PM MDT up reply actions 1 recs
I don’t think so. The Canucks tried to play a physical game, but it went too often beyond finishing checks to looking for huge hits – like Stevens was so good at.
I got this impression throughout. To me, they mostly managed to create rallying points for the other teams, and bang themsleves up. Hamhuis is a perfect example – he could have easily contacted Lucic and made a good play, but instead went for the big hip check and got injured because Lucic is such a horse.
Vancouver initiated much of the tone of physicality that took them down. To me their game is speed and an aggressive forecheck, but that doesn’t mean maximum contact as often as possible.
For the Canucks physically able to hit that way, their dirtiness and subsequent penalties began to cause hesitation as Torres mentioned. Kessler hit too much, got hurt and reduced his quality of play, the Sedins couldn’t get away from contact which is the hallmark of their play and got too banged up and didn’t know how to react to provocation after the lesser lights got the opponents all riled up.
As I saw it, the Canucks played away from their strengths, over-estimated their toughness. They were too aggressive, villainized themsleves, got beat up and the systems fell apart that had bailed them out earlier. Luongo’s confidence would also be affected by the team vibe and slow meltdown.
The Canucks aren’t tough enough for the playoffs now?
Editor of The Copper & Blue, and leader of The Cult Of Hartikainen.
That vibe is quite prevalent in the Lower Mainland. I’m hoping that Gillis agrees and goes with “more toughness” as his off-season goal. I’m worried he’ll opt for “more talent” instead.
The biggest fanana of the Havana Bananas.
by Scott Reynolds on Jun 20, 2011 5:29 PM MDT up reply actions
I would be happy beyond belief if he trades talent for toughness.
Editor of The Copper & Blue, and leader of The Cult Of Hartikainen.
I don’t get the mentality that you blow it up because you fell a game short. This wasn’t the 8th seed who snuck through on a lucky run. They were legitimately the best team all year and ran into injury troubles, some untimely bad play from their best players and an extremely hot goaltender.
If I was Gillis I’d bring back the same team and look for an upgrade on my #6/7 defenceman and get a hockey player in for Tanner Glass (hi Marty Reasoner, how would you like a playoff run?).
In theory, there is little difference between practice and theory, but in practice there is!
That’s what I’ve been thinking all playoffs long. It’s just that their awesomeness (vomit) in every facet of the game (or most of them, at least) had helped them overcome their lack of toughness (physical, but also mental, I think, which, I’ll add, I believe only exists in small samples).
Red Line Station and @RedArmyLine, featuring coverage of the most frustrating team in the NHL
To help with basic Timeonice functions.
If I reference a lot of stats, just assume I haven't seen anything to contradict or invalidate them.
by red army line on Jun 21, 2011 1:01 PM MDT up reply actions
The canucks top 6 is skill and small overall, their bottom 6 has two head cases which is not what you need, and anyone “tough” is inexperienced like Glass or Oreskovich(?). They aren’t really tough anyway.
To me they initiated the wars and couldn’t handle it.
I think they need more gritty physical players, but guys who play more fairly and have opponent’s respect. And like everyone they need more experience in the bottom pairings that can play.
I don’t think they’ll do this right, which makes me happy. I hope Chicago does and we see a rematch.

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