Canucks vs. Bruins Scoring Chances - Stanley Cup Finals Totals

VANCOUVER, BC - JUNE 15: Head coach Claude Julien, Dennis Seidenberg #44, Tim Thomas #30, Patrice Bergeron #37 and Zdeno Chara #33 of the Boston Bruins pose with the Stanley Cup after defeating the Vancouver Canucks in Game Seven of the 2011 NHL Stanley Cup Final at Rogers Arena on June 15, 2011 in Vancouver, British Columbia, Canada. The Boston Bruins defeated the Vancouver Canucks 4 to 0. (Photo by Bruce Bennett/Getty Images)

Whether it was karma, injuries, exhaustion, or Boston was the better team, Vancouver was outplayed in this series. The goal differential might have been less lopsided if Luongo could have avoided the road collapses, but Boston did outchance the Canucks, especially on the power play. Claude Julien navigated the match-ups and did his best to keep Johnny Boychuk and Andrew Ference out of trouble and keep Zdeno Chara and Patrice Bergeron on the ice against the Sedins. Despite being outchanced, David Krejci's line was able to outscore (thanks Tim Thomas) and Vancouver found no offense when Chara and Bergeron were able to shut down the Sedins. Boston was able to use superior depth to outlast Vancouver and it can't be ascribed to Vancouver's injuries - the Bruins were missing Marc Savard and Nathan Horton.








Scoring Chances - Boston vs. Vancouver, Series Total

NHL Game Numbers 30411, 30412, 30413, 30414, 30415, 30416, 30417

Team Totals, Boston in Gold

Period Totals EV PP 5v3 PP SH 5v3 SH
1 37 28 21 23 16 3 0 0 0 1 0 0
2 33 26 22 18 6 7 1 1 3 0 0 0
3 33 32 21 28 7 2 3 1 1 1 0 0
4 0 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Totals 103 87 64 70 29 12 4 2 4 2 0 0

*4v4 chances do do not count as even strength time on ice. See here for an explanation.

The Bruins were slightly outchanced at even strength and though my first instinct was to pin that on playing to the score, it's not true. In the third period of Boston's four blowout wins, the Bruins were actually +1 in EV scoring chances. Vancouver was +8 in their three close wins (thanks Tim Thomas!).

More interesting, surprising actually, were the chances numbers on special teams. Vancouver had the top-ranked power play in the NHL during the regular season. Boston was 20th. Vancouver had the third-ranked penalty kill during the regular season, Boston was ranked 16th. Despite the big disparity in rankings, the Bruins whipped the Canucks on special teams. The Bruins had the advantage in every category: 29-12 at 5v4, 4-2 at 5v3 and 4-2 short-handed. They held a 37-16 advantage on special teams.

In fact, Boston scored more short-handed goals (3) than the Canucks scored on the power play (1). Boston's 3 short-handed goals on 4 short-handed chances is either an indictment of Luongo or the Canucks' defense or both.


Scoring Chances by Player - Boston

# Player EV PP SH
11 Gregory Campbell 55.4 11 12 4 2 6 28.1 2 0
12 Tomas Kaberle 75.9 17 14 26.8 19 0 0.53 0 1
17 Milan Lucic 95.9 22 28 23.5 17 0 0.07 0 2
18 Nathan Horton 32 8 8 6.9 3 0 0 0 0
19 Tyler Seguin 49.1 9 4 5.17 2 0 0 0 0
20 Daniel Paille 48.9 13 9 0.72 1 4 21.5 1 0
21 Andrew Ference 114 27 25 14.1 7 2 20.8 1 0
22 Shawn Thornton 46.3 10 14 0 0 0 0.37 0 0
23 Chris Kelly 82.7 12 13 1.43 0 4 17.2 0 0
28 Mark Recchi 79.1 13 19 19.8 12 0 0.37 0 0
33 Zdeno Chara 127 21 29 21.9 12 9 34.1 2 0
37 Patrice Bergeron 89.5 13 20 19.3 12 4 14.9 3 2
44 Dennis Seidenberg 122 18 31 25.4 16 8 32.8 2 2
46 David Krejci 104 24 27 25.4 17 0 1.27 0 2
49 Rich Peverley 90.4 18 21 9.32 6 4 16.9 1 0
54 Adam McQuaid 85.3 18 15 0.02 0 1 7.2 0 0
55 Johnny Boychuk 113 27 27 3.17 2 4 18.7 3 0
63 Brad Marchand 98.5 21 25 3.05 1 2 10.7 1 0
73 Michael Ryder 77.7 18 12 21.7 17 0 0 0 1

Chara and Seidenberg played a ton of minutes matched mostly against the Sedin line. They both came out on the short end. Ryder's +6 led the Bruins in raw chances, but Tyler Seguin's low-event +5 was second. Krejci's line was out-chanced overall, but was able to outscore their Canucks opponents.

Boston - Chances Differential / 15

# Player CF/15 CA/15 CD/15
19 Tyler Seguin 2.752 1.223 1.529
20 Daniel Paille 3.990 2.763 1.228
73 Michael Ryder 3.474 2.316 1.158
12 Tomas Kaberle 3.358 2.766 0.593
54 Adam McQuaid 3.167 2.639 0.528
21 Andrew Ference 3.559 3.295 0.264
18 Nathan Horton 3.754 3.754 0.000
55 Johnny Boychuk 3.588 3.588 0.000
23 Chris Kelly 2.178 2.359 -0.181
11 Gregory Campbell 2.981 3.252 -0.271
46 David Krejci 3.459 3.891 -0.432
49 Rich Peverley 2.988 3.486 -0.498
63 Brad Marchand 3.199 3.808 -0.609
17 Milan Lucic 3.442 4.380 -0.939
33 Zdeno Chara 2.486 3.433 -0.947
28 Mark Recchi 2.466 3.605 -1.138
37 Patrice Bergeron 2.178 3.351 -1.173
22 Shawn Thornton 3.243 4.541 -1.297
44 Dennis Seidenberg 2.216 3.817 -1.601

Seguin's time was carefully managed, and that's obvious in his CA/15 numbers (1.223) which were almost twice as good as the next lowest CA/15 (Ryder's 2.316). The biggest surprise to me is Paille's 3.990 CF/15 which led all Bruins in the series. Johnny Boychuk was even for the series in more carefully managed time. Chara, Bergeron, Recchi and Seidenberg are all at the bottom of the differential list because of their large amount of time spent against the Sedins.

Scoring Chances by Player - Vancouver

# Player EV PP SH
2 Dan Hamhuis 4.03 2 1 0 0 1 4.12 0 0
3 Kevin Bieksa 130 34 29 23.6 4 14 21.6 1 0
4 Keith Ballard 14.9 2 5 0.32 0 0 0.58 0 0
5 Christian Ehrhoff 121 23 15 32.9 7 8 10.6 0 4
6 Sami Salo 96.8 24 21 24.2 3 13 20.5 1 1
10 Jeff Tambellini 30.4 5 8 0.9 0 0 0 0 1
13 Raffi Torres 81.1 17 15 5.33 1 0 0.07 0 0
14 Alexandre Burrows 98 23 16 16.3 2 11 16.8 0 0
15 Tanner Glass 27.7 2 8 0.38 0 0 0.05 0 0
17 Ryan Kesler 92 25 24 36.1 10 10 17.8 1 3
18 Christopher Tanev 41.6 8 7 1.3 1 0 0.55 0 0
20 Chris Higgins 86.2 23 17 17.5 2 5 5.77 1 0
21 Mason Raymond 61.8 16 14 16.6 1 6 8.55 0 1
22 Daniel Sedin 100 24 18 35.7 10 0 0.53 0 3
23 Alexander Edler 120 32 19 25.8 9 9 20.6 1 3
27 Manny Malhotra 54.3 11 12 8.95 0 8 14.5 1 0
29 Aaron Rome 36.3 5 9 0.1 0 1 2.52 0 0
33 Henrik Sedin 102 22 18 33.5 10 0 0.4 0 4
36 Jannik Hansen 86.1 20 16 2.83 0 12 16.5 0 0
38 Victor Oreskovich 44.1 8 12 0.92 0 0 0 0 0
40 Maxim Lapierre 77.7 14 13 0.85 0 6 10.1 1 0
41 Andrew Alberts 70.3 10 22 0.13 0 12 11.1 1 0
49 Alexandre Bolduc 1.65 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0

By the chances, the Sedin line was the Canucks best line this series, but the pucks weren't going in. Kesler was the man when it came to generating chances, leading all Canucks with 4.077 CF/15 and his regular linemates Higgins and Raymond were at the top with him. On the other end, Glass and Alberts weren't very good in this series and Tambellini and Oreskovich didn't finish much better than Alberts.

Vancouver - Chances Differential / 15

# Player CF/15 CA/15 CD/15
2 Dan Hamhuis 7.438 3.719 3.719
23 Alexander Edler 4.002 2.376 1.626
14 Alexandre Burrows 3.522 2.450 1.072
20 Chris Higgins 4.001 2.957 1.044
5 Christian Ehrhoff 2.844 1.855 0.989
22 Daniel Sedin 3.602 2.701 0.900
36 Jannik Hansen 3.484 2.787 0.697
33 Henrik Sedin 3.241 2.652 0.589
3 Kevin Bieksa 3.925 3.347 0.577
21 Mason Raymond 3.882 3.397 0.485
6 Sami Salo 3.719 3.254 0.465
13 Raffi Torres 3.146 2.775 0.370
18 Christopher Tanev 2.887 2.526 0.361
40 Maxim Lapierre 2.702 2.509 0.193
17 Ryan Kesler 4.077 3.914 0.163
27 Manny Malhotra 3.040 3.316 -0.276
38 Victor Oreskovich 2.719 4.079 -1.360
10 Jeff Tambellini 2.468 3.950 -1.481
29 Aaron Rome 2.064 3.716 -1.651
41 Andrew Alberts 2.133 4.692 -2.559
4 Keith Ballard 2.013 5.034 -3.020
15 Tanner Glass 1.082 4.330 -3.247
49 Alexandre Bolduc 0.000 9.091 -9.091

Only six Canucks ended the Finals in the red and Edler won the chances battle rather handly. I have to admit I saw Oreskovich much, much better than the chances show. I thought he was holding his own and even creating at times.

Head-to-Head Even Strength Scoring Chances

*Click to enlarge all charts

Bruinsvscanucksh2hchances_medium

The Sedin line beat on the Krejci line, the Krejci line beat on the Kesler line, the Kesler line beat on the Bergeron line and the Bergeron line held their own against the Sedin line. Note the "gentleman's agreement" match-up, the Bruins fourth line was superior to the Canucks fourth line. Note that Alberts didn't win a single match-up.

Head-to-Head Even Strength Time On Ice

Bruinsvscanucksh2hicetime_medium

The numbers reinforce the match-ups we saw throughout the series. Chara and Seidenberg got heavy minutes against the Sedins and Ference and Boychuk played against Kesler's line. Note how few minutes Kaberle and McQuaid drew against the Canucks' top two lines. Up front, Bergeron's line matched the Sedins and Krejci matched Kesler. It's also worth noting that the Canucks didn't have a predominant match-up with their defense.

Head-to-Head Even Strength Scoring Chances / 15

Bruinsvscanucksh2hchancesper15_medium

Krejci's line spent the last 14 games getting beat by the opponent's best and yet the Bruins still won both series.

With all of the even strength stuff out of the way, the power play chances are worth a second look. Below is a breakdown of the power play chances for each team.


PP Chances PP TOI CH/2
Boston 33 46.20 1.429
Vancouver 14 54.47 0.514

Vancouver had only a half of a chance per two minutes of power play time. Boston had close to a chance and a half per two minutes. The Bruins' power play outchanced the Canucks' power play by more than 2.5 to 1 per 2 minutes. None of Dan Hamhuis, Aaron Rome, or any of the other injured Canucks played a part in that miserable power play.

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