Dustin Penner Scoring Chances 2010-2011

One cannot escape the feeling that these mathematical formulas have an independent existence and an intelligence of their own, that they are wiser than we are, wiser even than their discoverers, that we get more out of them than was originally put into them.
--Heinrich Hertz

 

The big man, hated by the fans, but beloved by the math, has moved on.  In his place, the Oilers will have a falling man, beloved by the fans, but hated by the math.  Dustin Penner left Edmonton with a legacy consisting of some serious accomplishments totally ignored by fans who wanted to perceive passion.

Chance % Team Rank:  5/23
Chance % Fwd Rank:  4/15

Diff/60 Team Rank: 5/23
Diff/60 Fwd Rank: 4/15

Scoring Chances by Season Segment

TCF = season total even strength chances for; TCA = season total even strength chances against; SCF = segment even strength chances for; SCA = segment even strength chances against; Segment % = player scoring chance percentage during the season segment; Team Seg % = Oilers team scoring chance percentage during the season segment.

Game # TCF TCA SCF SCA Segment % Team Seg %
1-10 33 28 33 28 0.541 0.453
11-20 72 65 39 37 0.513 0.401
21-30 105 105 33 40 0.452 0.449
31-40 147 149 42 44 0.488 0.467
41-50 207 188 60 39 0.606 0.531
51-60 235 231 28 43 0.394 0.470
61-70 248 248 13 17 0.433 0.454
71-82




0.486

 

Scoring Chances Line Graph by Season Segment

*click to enlarge

Pennerseasonsegment_medium

 Penner posted six straight segments over the team average including three over 50%, one of which was a massive .606 segment percentage from games 41-50.  His fall-off in games 51-60 was severe and if he were still an Oiler, might require some investigation.

 

Scoring Chances WOWY


With Penner
Without Penner
Penner Without
# CF CA %
CF CA %
CF CA %
4 61 42 0.592
288 279 0.508
187 206 0.476
10 60 57 0.513
139 129 0.519
188 191 0.496
13 89 106 0.456
201 223 0.474
159 142 0.528
67 40 48 0.455
68 106 0.391
208 200 0.510
83 119 116 0.506
74 82 0.474
129 132 0.494
89 67 53 0.558
204 264 0.436
181 195 0.481
91 27 30 0.474
238 292 0.449
221 218 0.503












2 41 54 0.432
205 245 0.456
207 194 0.516
5 83 81 0.506
249 296 0.457
165 167 0.497
6 52 49 0.515
116 144 0.446
196 199 0.496
26 66 49 0.574
173 252 0.407
182 199 0.478
43 26 31 0.456
114 129 0.469
222 217 0.506
49 77 82 0.484
201 278 0.420
171 166 0.507
58 42 32 0.568
120 111 0.519
206 216 0.488
77 96 102 0.485
275 290 0.487
152 146 0.510
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