Theo Peckham Scoring Chances 2010-2011

by Derek Zona on May 18, 2011 4:30 PM MDT in Statistical Analysis

Theo Peckham was thrown into the fire and forced to face top-level competition in 2010-2011. It was clear he wasn't ready for it. While he's become a fan favorite because of his physical play and ability to punch people in the face, he's a long way from being able to handle the toughs or even second toughs.

Chance % Team Rank: 19/23
Chance % Def. Rank: 8/8

Diff/60 Team Rank: 20/23
Diff/60% Def. Rank: 8/8

Scoring Chances by Season Segment

TCF = season total even strength chances for; TCA = season total even strength chances against; SCF = segment even strength chances for; SCA = segment even strength chances against; Segment % = player scoring chance percentage during the season segment; Team Seg % = Oilers team scoring chance percentage during the season segment.

Game #	TCF	TCA	SCF	SCA	Segment %	Team Seg %
1-10	32	41	32	41	0.438	0.453
11-20	55	84	23	43	0.348	0.401
21-30	101	142	46	58	0.442	0.449
31-40	149	196	48	54	0.471	0.467
41-50	192	246	43	50	0.462	0.531
51-60	235	311	43	65	0.398	0.470
61-70	243	326	8	15	0.348	0.454
71-82	278	360	35	34	0.507	0.486

Scoring Chances Line Graph by Season Segment

*click to enlarge

Like a number of other Oilers, Peckham broke through over the last dozen games, but his numbers were terrible in through the first 70 games.

Scoring Chances WOWY

	With Peckham			Without Peckham			Peckham Without
#	CF	CA	%	CF	CA	%	CF	CA	%
4	108	114	0.486	241	207	0.538	170	246	0.409
10	63	86	0.423	136	100	0.576	215	274	0.440
13	86	104	0.453	204	225	0.476	192	256	0.429
14	106	93	0.533	203	210	0.492	172	267	0.392
16	19	53	0.264	71	82	0.464	259	307	0.458
22	18	38	0.321	55	55	0.500	260	322	0.447
23	36	43	0.456	117	142	0.452	242	317	0.433
27	77	82	0.484	171	166	0.507	201	278	0.420
28	42	77	0.353	121	187	0.393	236	283	0.455
46	11	25	0.306	34	34	0.500	267	335	0.444
67	28	35	0.444	80	119	0.402	250	325	0.435
83	44	74	0.373	149	124	0.546	234	286	0.450
85	29	37	0.439	82	96	0.461	249	323	0.435
89	69	92	0.429	202	225	0.473	209	268	0.438
91	63	86	0.423	202	236	0.461	215	274	0.440

2	52	76	0.406	194	223	0.465	226	284	0.443
5	10	25	0.286	322	352	0.478	268	335	0.444
6	7	21	0.250	161	172	0.483	271	339	0.444
26	23	31	0.426	216	270	0.444	255	329	0.437
43	17	21	0.447	123	139	0.469	261	339	0.435
77	152	171	0.471	219	221	0.498	126	189	0.400

18 of 21 players were better without Theo Peckham. He's a third-pairing defenseman and asking more of him in the near future is a significant mistake.

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Comments

Stat that makes me go hmmmmmm:

JFJ was .321 with Peckham and .500 without him.

My world view is shattered.

This paints a really horrific picture of Peckham. Only 1 player was above .500 with him (Uberle) and 6 players were above .500 without him.

I know he was a rookie, but he wasn’t this bad by eye. Sad news, hope he can improve and they keep him on the 3rd pair.

He was 5/8 in CorQC and 2/8 in CorQT.

He needs sheltering in a big way.

by Woodguy on May 19, 2011 8:13 AM MDT reply actions

And yes Uberle was on purpose. I hereby trade mark that nickname for 14.

by Woodguy on May 19, 2011 8:13 AM MDT up reply actions

How do you sqaure this with Peckham having the second Best +/- among regular defencemen? Scoring chances all skill, conversion rates all luck? Or … ?

Writer for The Cult of Hockey, The Copper & Blue, and primary shareholder of Zorg Industries

"Never be ashamed of who you are" -- Jean-Baptiste Emanuel Zorg

by Bruce McCurdy on May 19, 2011 8:41 AM MDT up reply actions

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Oilers Schedule

Last 5 Games

@ Vancouver Nucks Misconduct	Sat 04/07	L 0 - 3
Anaheim Anaheim Calling	Thu 04/05	OT - L 2 - 3
@ Los Angeles Jewels From The Crown	Mon 04/02	L 0 - 2
@ Anaheim Anaheim Calling	Sun 04/01	W 2 - 1
Los Angeles Jewels From The Crown	Fri 03/30	L 1 - 4

Clear Victory Standings

Western Conference

Detroit Red Wings (27-11, .711)
St. Louis Blues (24-10, .706)
Vancouver Canucks (22-10, .688)
Los Angeles Kings (18-11, .621)
San Jose Sharks (18-13, .581)
Phoenix Coyotes (20-15, .571)
Nashville Predators (18-14, .563)
Chicago Blackhawks (21-19, .525)
Colorado Avalanche (16-19, .457)
Dallas Stars (18-22, .450)
Anaheim Ducks (14-19, .424)
Edmonton Oilers (18-25, .419)
Calgary Flames (13-21, .382)
Columbus Blue Jackets (14-31, .311)
Minnesota Wild (8-22,.267)

Eastern Conference

Pittsburgh Penguins (31-13, .711)
Boston Bruins (27-11, .711)
New York Rangers (25-16, .610)
Philadelphia Flyers (21-17, .553)
New Jersey Devils (18-16, .529)
Ottawa Senators (19-17, .528)
Washington Capitals (20-19, .513)
Montreal Canadiens (16-19, .457)
Winnipeg Jets (15-19, .441)
Buffalo Sabres (14-18, .438)
Carolina Hurricanes (13-17, .433)
Florida Panthers (14-19, .424)
Toronto Maple Leafs (17-24, .415)
New York Islanders (8-23, .258)
Tampa Bay Lightning (10-30, .250)

Division Standings

Central (79-58, .577)
Atlantic (68-50, .576)
Pacific (62-54, .534)
Northeast (69-65, .515)
Northwest (49-69, .415)
Southeast (51-81, .386)

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