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Canucks and Hawks - Series Review

It seems to me that we should all be willing to give a big thank-you to the Minnesota Wild for letting us enjoy a wonderful series. A lot of people came into this series thinking that the Canucks should roll over the Blackhawks (I know because I rode the Skytrain with a bunch of them), which obviously didn't prove to be the case. Of course, I picked the Blackhawks to win, and that didn't happen either, much to my chagrin. Unless you live here, you really don't understand the level of angst that was in the air, although that "better than the Olympics" celebration after Game Seven should give an indication. I had the Canucks controlling play in four of seven games, so they earned this win, but there's not a lot seperating these two teams. 

Star-divide

Scoring Chances (Series Totals)

I'll start by giving the links to each game in case you want to be reminded of any particular contest when looking at the totals for the series. After that, we'll take a look at how the teams did by period, and how the individual skaters performed. For those who'd like a definition: a scoring chance is defined as a clear play directed toward the opposing net from a dangerous scoring area - loosely defined as the top of the circle in and inside the faceoff dots, though sometimes slightly more generous than that depending on the amount of immediately-preceding puck movement or screens in front of the net.  Blocked shots are generally not included but missed shots are.  A player is awarded a scoring chance anytime he is on the ice and someone from either team has a chance to score.  He is awarded a "chance for" if someone on his team has a chance to score and a "chance against" if the opposing team has a chance to score.  And, of course, a big thanks to Vic Ferrari for making the whole damn thing possible with his awesome script.

Game One
Game Two
Game Three
Game Four
Game Five
Game Six
Game Seven

Here are the scoring chances by period:

Chi_van_1_medium

The numbers are awfully close, though in a series that included two big blowouts, it's hard to know whether or not these chances are really representative of who carried the play. Still, those numbers in the third period really stand out. Over the course of seven games, Vancouver put the boots to Chicago late in the game every time. Whether they were ahead or behind, it was the same story. The other thing that surprises me a bit are the totals on special teams. Much was made of the huge power play advantage that the Blackhawks had in the series (42:11 on the PP compared to 26:49 for Vancouver), but the Canucks' ability to generate a lot more chances per minute closed that gap almost completely. Hard not to think about Chicago's lone power play chance in overtime of Game Seven when you see that.

Chicago_medium

Jonathan Toews and Patrick Kane both played wonderfully, but they needed more support. Some of the lesser lights got beat up badly, but that's mostly to be expected, especially given the way Alain Vigneault uses his bench. What really hurt was Marian Hossa, Troy Brouwer, and Brent Seabrook getting beat up in important roles. I expected more of Hossa in particular. Granted, he was pretty much even if you throw out the seventh game, but the Hawks needed a lot more than break-even hockey from Marian Hossa in order to win this series on merit. Looking ahead, Nick Leddy's performance in a sheltered role is a huge positive. It's surprising that, given his results, he wasn't given a larger role.

Vancouver_medium

There's an awful lot of good news in this chart for the Canucks. Daniel and Henrik Sedin, for example, didn't even look all that impressive in this series, and yet there they are leading the team in scoring chance percentage (and in actual scoring too). I mentioned the very good power play, and the Sedins were a big part of that too. The scary thing is, I get the feeling that they can be even better. With Sami Salo getting injured in this series (shocker!), it must also be encouraging to see Keith Ballard playing well in a limited role. Maxim Lapierre is another guy who ended the series playing more (and more difficult) minutes than might reasonably be expected, but managed to do quite well. Ryan Kesler looks okay by these numbers, but a lot of that is thanks to Game Seven. Before that, he'd been getting beaten up pretty badly by Toews and friends.

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Thanks for doing this Scott, it was a great series. Toews and Kane were fun to watch.

by antro on Apr 28, 2011 6:06 PM MDT reply actions  

It was definitely fun to watch these two teams go at it. I can only hope for a huge emotional letdown to start Round Two :)

The biggest fanana of the Havana Bananas.

by Scott Reynolds on Apr 28, 2011 6:40 PM MDT up reply actions  

Some random thoughts:

- Toews/Kane on the same line is quite a handful. Currently, I think they are only matched in the league by Zetterberg/Datsyuk, Crosby/Malkin when they play together.

- By my eyes, the Canucks and San Jose were the most impressive teams in the 1st round. I am looking forward to their battle in round 3. Not sure the Nux will have enough to get by the Sharks though…

- Lapierre and Higgins really exceeded expectations. Higgins was particularly impressive. Wouldn’t be surprised to see him moved up to the 1st line with the twins to replace Samuelsson, who has been making bad offensive decisions with the puck.

- On the Sharks side, Wellwood and White were two nice little pickups that are really adding value. Wellwood looked stronger and swifter than he’s ever looked in the past.

- The higher pace of the playoffs (to borrow a saying from Toews) really exposed certain players for what they really are. Guys like Vanek and Penner really don’t have the games to be the go-to guys when all the teams raise the pace of play. By no means were they alone in this regard but it’s just that they were at one time both candies in Kevin Lowe’s eyes. Hmmm…

by choppystride on Apr 28, 2011 7:07 PM MDT reply actions  

I don’t have the Canucks among the most impressive teams in Round 1. They were outscored by six goals for goodness sake. Very lucky to move on.

They did play good in Games 6 and 7, but they served up two (2) monumental stinkers immediately before that.

Writer for The Cult of Hockey, The Copper & Blue, and primary shareholder of Zorg Industries

"Never be ashamed of who you are" -- Jean-Baptiste Emanuel Zorg

by Bruce McCurdy on Apr 29, 2011 9:37 AM MDT up reply actions  

It’s about context.

I don’t think I’m stretching the truth when I say that, despite where they finished in the standings, the Hawks were the 4th best team in the West. In fact, I personally have them pegged as arguably the 4th best team in the entire playoffs. So that was not a typical run-of-the-mill bottom seeded team which the Canucks faced. And then you factor in a hot goalie who might have temporarily played above his true ability (like countless others in playoffs past), it was as difficult a 1st round matchup as any top seeds could have gotten.

I thought the two blowouts were as much about the Canucks being complacent (I thought it was very unusual that they began those games with hardly any hitting) as about an excellent Chicago team fighting for survival. When the Sharks were complacent against a good LA team in game 2, they looked like amateurs and lost 4-0. Last year when they became complacent after going up 3-0 against an excellent Detroit team, they got blown to bits in game 4. Shit happens when a team gets too comfortable in the playoffs. So whatever. It’s not like we’re talking UEFA Champions League knockout stage soccer where every goal counts.

However, when both teams played with an equal amount of urgency, as in Game 1, the Canucks were the better team for the most part. But the most telling was when both teams played with an equal amount of urgency as well as a sense of survival being threatened, as in Games 6 & 7. That the Canucks were able to dominate the Hawks to such an extent under the circumstances, it’s really saying something.

In fact, I think the most impressive team performance that I witnessed in round 1 were Game 5 by the Sharks and Game 6 by the Canucks. They dominated a very good team and an excellent team, respectively. And in both cases, the dominating team lost. So I guess that tells you how little I care for goal differentials over a short duration such as a playoff series LOL.

I mean, look at VAN/NSH series – that might very well turn out to be a mismatch. If by the luck of a few bounces in the regular season, the Nucks had ended up playing the Preds in the 1st round, we might not even be having this debate on whether or not the Cancucks were impressive.

by choppystride on Apr 30, 2011 1:51 AM MDT reply actions  

I agree completely about the quality of the Blackhawks. They were definitely among the top four in the West, and I agree that those four may well be the four best teams period. But with the urgency thing… I don’t know. It might explain what happened, but it might not. No way to know really, and it’s the kind of after-the-fact explanation I have a hard time with.

The biggest fanana of the Havana Bananas.

by Scott Reynolds on Apr 30, 2011 7:10 AM MDT up reply actions  

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