Colin Fraser Scoring Chances 2010-2011

Replacing Kyle Brodziak wouldn't be difficult for most teams.  For Edmonton, however, it's akin to capturing the mares of Diomedes.  Steve Tambellini's attempt at finding a penalty killing fourth-line center to win defensive zone faceoffs meant trading a sixth-round pick for Colin Fraser, a coup in the minds of the experts - they'd received the 99th and 133rd picks from the Minnesota Wild in exchange for Kyle Brodziak and the 161st selection.  All Fraser had to do was replicate the performance of Brodizak.

Chance % Team Rank:  22/23
Chance % Fwd Rank:  14/15

Diff/60 Team Rank: 21/23
Diff/60 Fwd Rank: 13/15

Scoring Chances by Season Segment

TCF = season total even strength chances for; TCA = season total even strength chances against; SCF = segment even strength chances for; SCA = segment even strength chances against; Segment % = player scoring chance percentage during the season segment; Team Seg % = Oilers team scoring chance percentage during the season segment.

Game # TCF TCA SCF SCA Segment % Team Seg %
1-10 12 27 12 27 0.308 0.453
11-20 20 52 8 25 0.242 0.401
21-30 30 70 10 18 0.357 0.449
31-40 50 90 20 20 0.500 0.467
41-50 68 107 18 17 0.514 0.531
51-60 71 112 3 5 0.375 0.470
61-70 85 129 14 17 0.452 0.454
71-82 90 135 5 6 0.455 0.486

 

 

Scoring Chances Line Graph by Season Segment

*click to enlarge

  Fraserseasonsegment_medium

Take away the first 30 games and Fraser actually had 60 CF and 65 CA, not bad for the Oilers.  In those first 30 games, Fraser had a 30% chances percentage.  But what was special about the first 30 games?

 

Scoring Chances WOWY


With Fraser
Without Fraser
Fraser Without
# CF CA %
CF CA %
CF CA %
22 39 58 0.402
34 35 0.493
51 77 0.398
28 26 63 0.292
137 201 0.405
64 72 0.471
46 37 46 0.446
8 13 0.381
53 89 0.373
91 14 22 0.389
251 300 0.456
76 113 0.402












2 16 38 0.296
230 261 0.468
74 97 0.433
5 38 30 0.559
294 347 0.459
52 105 0.331
6 10 24 0.294
158 169 0.483
80 111 0.419
26 24 36 0.400
215 265 0.448
66 99 0.400
43 16 18 0.471
124 142 0.466
74 117 0.387
49 19 53 0.264
259 307 0.458
71 82 0.464
58 15 11 0.577
147 132 0.527
75 124 0.377
77 36 52 0.409
335 340 0.496
54 83 0.394

 

The Ryan Jones effect dominated Fraser's first 1/3 of the season.  

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