Andrew Cogliano Scoring Chances 2010-2011

by Derek Zona on Apr 22, 2011 11:30 AM MDT in Statistical Analysis

Andrew Cogliano is Maxim Afinogenov, he just doesn't realize it yet. Cogliano should be a dynamic, play-making winger, capable of lapping the field on every shift, pushing the play up ice and creating havoc within the defense with outside speed and inside drive. He should be.

Chance % Team Rank: 8/23
Chance % Fwd Rank: 6/15

Diff/60 Team Rank: 9/23
Diff/60 Fwd Rank: 6/15

Scoring Chances by Season Segment

TCF = season total even strength chances for; TCA = season total even strength chances against; SCF = segment even strength chances for; SCA = segment even strength chances against; Segment % = player scoring chance percentage during the season segment; Team Seg % = Oilers team scoring chance percentage during the season segment.

Game #	TCF	TCA	SCF	SCA	Segment %	Team Seg %
1-10	23	32	23	32	0.418	0.453
11-20	51	81	28	49	0.364	0.401
21-30	90	128	39	47	0.453	0.449
31-40	133	173	43	45	0.489	0.467
41-50	166	209	33	36	0.478	0.531
51-60	211	252	45	43	0.511	0.470
61-70	245	295	34	43	0.442	0.454
71-82	290	329	45	34	0.570	0.486

Scoring Chances Line Graph by Season Segment

*click to enlarge

Cogliano's chance percentage was above the team percentage during four of the eight segments above and he was off of the charts with a .570 in the final segment. The final segment helped to balance his first two segments and Cogliano beat the Oilers overall percentage by a couple of hundredths.

Scoring Chances WOWY

	With Cogliano			Without Cogliano			Cogliano Without
#	CF	CA	%	CF	CA	%	CF	CA	%
4	90	98	0.479	259	223	0.537	200	231	0.464
14	96	95	0.503	213	208	0.506	194	234	0.453
23	34	30	0.531	119	155	0.434	256	299	0.461
27	89	106	0.456	159	142	0.528	201	223	0.474
28	49	66	0.426	114	198	0.365	241	263	0.478
67	64	83	0.435	44	71	0.383	226	246	0.479
83	19	17	0.528	174	181	0.490	271	312	0.465
85	38	42	0.475	73	91	0.445	252	287	0.468
91	56	70	0.444	209	252	0.453	234	259	0.475

2	71	84	0.458	175	215	0.449	219	245	0.472
5	97	111	0.466	235	266	0.469	193	218	0.470
6	46	55	0.455	122	138	0.469	244	274	0.471
26	70	77	0.476	169	224	0.430	220	252	0.466
43	48	52	0.480	92	108	0.460	242	277	0.466
49	86	104	0.453	192	256	0.429	204	225	0.476
58	39	36	0.520	123	107	0.535	251	293	0.461
77	101	119	0.459	270	273	0.497	189	210	0.474

My favorite part of the Cogliano WOWY is how closely Ryan Jones resembles Gilbert Brule.

Tweet Comment 8 comments | 0 recs |

Do you like this story?

Comments

The 23 and 83 numbers are interesting. Small samples, but interesting nonetheless.

How about moving 13 to LW and 91 to C?

by Woodguy on Apr 22, 2011 1:46 PM MDT reply actions

The 23 and 83 numbers are interesting. Small samples, but interesting nonetheless.

23-13-83? That takes 23 away from 91 and those two are like peas and carrots.

How about moving 13 to LW and 91 to C?

Or just trade up for Zibanejad :)

Editor of The Copper & Blue, and leader of The Cult Of Hartikainen.

by Derek Zona on Apr 22, 2011 2:01 PM MDT up reply actions

Wasn’t thinking all of 23-13-83 on a a line. I like 91 and 23 together too.

What about 13-91-23?

by Woodguy on Apr 22, 2011 8:50 PM MDT up reply actions

What about 56-91-23?

Writer for The Cult of Hockey, The Copper & Blue, and primary shareholder of Zorg Industries

"Never be ashamed of who you are" -- Jean-Baptiste Emanuel Zorg

by Bruce McCurdy on Apr 23, 2011 12:20 AM MDT up reply actions

i am not a fan of moving MPS to center just yet.

In the perfect world, leafs would win the lottery

by SumOil on Apr 23, 2011 7:53 AM MDT up reply actions

LW or out the door. Those are the only practical choices if the guy can’t win a face-off. I like him at LW with a couple of bigger players at centre and RW. But I think he ends up competing with Hartikainen for the 3rd line LW spot and I am not sure he could win that competition.

by gcw_rocks on Apr 22, 2011 6:58 PM MDT up reply actions

I wonder if Cogs’ first waking thought every morning this winter was “Please God let Tom realize I’m a winger”. And then the day sort of went downhill from there.

by David S on Apr 22, 2011 11:17 PM MDT up reply actions

Too funny!

Some smart GM is going to reach that conclusion and offer Tambi some shiny beads and he’ll be gone.

by gcw_rocks on Apr 23, 2011 9:05 AM MDT up reply actions

Comments For This Post Are Closed

Oilers Schedule

Last 5 Games

@ Vancouver Nucks Misconduct	Sat 04/07	L 0 - 3
Anaheim Anaheim Calling	Thu 04/05	OT - L 2 - 3
@ Los Angeles Jewels From The Crown	Mon 04/02	L 0 - 2
@ Anaheim Anaheim Calling	Sun 04/01	W 2 - 1
Los Angeles Jewels From The Crown	Fri 03/30	L 1 - 4

Clear Victory Standings

Western Conference

Detroit Red Wings (27-11, .711)
St. Louis Blues (24-10, .706)
Vancouver Canucks (22-10, .688)
Los Angeles Kings (18-11, .621)
San Jose Sharks (18-13, .581)
Phoenix Coyotes (20-15, .571)
Nashville Predators (18-14, .563)
Chicago Blackhawks (21-19, .525)
Colorado Avalanche (16-19, .457)
Dallas Stars (18-22, .450)
Anaheim Ducks (14-19, .424)
Edmonton Oilers (18-25, .419)
Calgary Flames (13-21, .382)
Columbus Blue Jackets (14-31, .311)
Minnesota Wild (8-22,.267)

Eastern Conference

Pittsburgh Penguins (31-13, .711)
Boston Bruins (27-11, .711)
New York Rangers (25-16, .610)
Philadelphia Flyers (21-17, .553)
New Jersey Devils (18-16, .529)
Ottawa Senators (19-17, .528)
Washington Capitals (20-19, .513)
Montreal Canadiens (16-19, .457)
Winnipeg Jets (15-19, .441)
Buffalo Sabres (14-18, .438)
Carolina Hurricanes (13-17, .433)
Florida Panthers (14-19, .424)
Toronto Maple Leafs (17-24, .415)
New York Islanders (8-23, .258)
Tampa Bay Lightning (10-30, .250)

Division Standings

Central (79-58, .577)
Atlantic (68-50, .576)
Pacific (62-54, .534)
Northeast (69-65, .515)
Northwest (49-69, .415)
Southeast (51-81, .386)

Network Bar

The Copper & Blue -

An Edmonton Oilers Fan Site - poise of analysis and discussion