Taylor Hall Scoring Chances 2010-2011

by Derek Zona on Apr 14, 2011 1:00 PM MDT in Analysis

Taylor Hall had a remarkable rookie season. Unfortunately for everyone involved, it was wasted on a last-place team. From the beginning of the season, Hall showed a willingness to go to the tough areas of the ice at high speeds and an eagerness to shoot the puck early and often. He didn't play the toughest competition, though with Rawhide line changes and the Alberta Waltz in the back who can tell, but he did drive the play. His underlying metrics were solid and as you'll see below, he improved the players on the ice with him.

Chance % Team Rank: 2/23
Chance % Fwd Rank: 1/15

Diff/60 Team Rank: 2/23
Diff/60 Fwd Rank: 1/15

TCF = season total even strength chances for; TCA = season total even strength chances against; SCF = segment even strength chances for; SCA = segment even strength chances against; Segment % = player scoring chance percentage during the season segment; Team Seg % = Oilers team scoring chance percentage during the season segment.

Game #	TCF	TCA	SCF	SCA	Segment %	Team Seg %
1-10	39	35	39	35	0.527	0.453
11-20	78	88	39	53	0.424	0.401
21-30	137	143	59	55	0.518	0.449
31-40	202	205	65	62	0.512	0.467
41-50	262	249	60	44	0.577	0.531
51-60	324	297	62	48	0.564	0.470
61-70	349	321	25	24	0.510	0.454
71-82	349	321	0	0		0.486

Hall's numbers were better than the Oilers' team numbers in each season segment except the final one, when Hall was out with an ankle injury.

*click to enlarge

That is a tremendous red line. Imagine what he could do with some real defensemen.

	With Hall			Without Hall			Hall Without
#	CF	CA	%	CF	CA	%	CF	CA	%
10	121	86	0.585	78	100	0.438	228	235	0.492
13	90	98	0.479	200	231	0.464	259	223	0.537
14	216	193	0.528	93	110	0.458	133	128	0.510
16	9	14	0.391	81	121	0.401	340	307	0.526
22	2	0	1.000	71	93	0.433	347	321	0.519
23	7	6	0.538	146	179	0.449	342	315	0.521
27	61	42	0.592	187	206	0.476	288	279	0.508
28	7	13	0.350	156	251	0.383	342	308	0.526
46	5	3	0.625	40	56	0.417	344	318	0.520
67	17	20	0.459	91	134	0.404	332	301	0.524
83	65	58	0.528	128	140	0.478	284	263	0.519
85	4	5	0.444	107	128	0.455	345	316	0.522
89	100	98	0.505	171	219	0.438	249	223	0.528
91	4	7	0.364	261	315	0.453	345	314	0.524

2	74	54	0.578	172	245	0.412	275	267	0.507
5	118	113	0.511	214	264	0.448	231	208	0.526
6	63	65	0.492	105	128	0.451	286	256	0.528
26	88	85	0.509	151	216	0.411	261	236	0.525
43	35	39	0.473	105	121	0.465	314	282	0.527
49	108	114	0.486	170	246	0.409	241	207	0.538
58	51	38	0.573	111	105	0.514	298	283	0.513
77	136	109	0.555	235	283	0.454	213	212	0.501

The biggest surprise to me in this list is Jordan Eberle and his without Hall numbers.
The second biggest is Shawn Horcoff and his without Hall numbers, but Hall was also barely under water without Horcoff - the only instance of Hall being under water without any regular teammate.
Dustin Penner and Taylor Hall were absolutely lights out in their brief time together. Their .592 chance % meaures up to Henrik Sedin and Daniel Sedin vs. Edmonton in 2011 - .593
Taylor Hall had a ton of success with Tom Gilbert and strangely, Jim Vandermeer.

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Comments

I don’t think there is anyone within the hockey world that will say Hall is, and will be, a beauty player

by DarrenV on Apr 14, 2011 1:16 PM MDT reply actions

That won’t say, surely

Writer for The Cult of Hockey, The Copper & Blue, and primary shareholder of Zorg Industries

"Never be ashamed of who you are" -- Jean-Baptiste Emanuel Zorg

by Bruce McCurdy on Apr 14, 2011 2:02 PM MDT up reply actions

Or, that..

by DarrenV on Apr 14, 2011 2:20 PM MDT up reply actions

Segment after segment a rookie betters the team numbers. That is mighty impressive.

Everyone knows rock attained perfection in 1974. It's a scientific fact.
Writer for The Copper & Blue and a frequenter of the time waster that is Twitter.

by ryanbatty on Apr 14, 2011 1:23 PM MDT reply actions

I don’t think the Eberle numbers should be too surprising.

There wasn’t anyone really to play with after Hall went down. When Eberle got hurt the Oilers still had forwards who were at his level or better.

When Hall got hurt, Eberle was pretty much the best forward on the team, he had no one else to play with or help take the pressue off him.

In theory, there is little difference between practice and theory, but in practice there is!

by dawgbone98 on Apr 14, 2011 1:26 PM MDT reply actions

What jumps off the screen at me is Hall’s output w Horcoff as comp’d to Gags & Cogs

Writer for The Cult of Hockey, The Copper & Blue, and primary shareholder of Zorg Industries

"Never be ashamed of who you are" -- Jean-Baptiste Emanuel Zorg

by Bruce McCurdy on Apr 14, 2011 2:07 PM MDT reply actions

Yeah, that’s a pretty stark contrast for sure.

The biggest fanana of the Havana Bananas.

by Scott Reynolds on Apr 14, 2011 3:47 PM MDT up reply actions

I’ll do some line combo work when all of our player reviews are done. It’s tough to see many trends because of the injuries and the the constant line juggling.

Editor of The Copper & Blue, and leader of The Cult Of Hartikainen.

by Derek Zona on Apr 14, 2011 9:20 PM MDT up reply actions

As Ryan Jones’ agent, I would like to reiterate that these charts are purely speculative, as these ‘scoring chances’ are not a stat recognized by the NHL, and/or it’s players association. Furthermore, I would prefer if (from this point forward) you started referring to my client as 18goalscorerRyan Jones.

Thank You

by CDA on Apr 14, 2011 2:33 PM MDT reply actions 3 recs

Glad to see that Math likes #4 as much as the Oilers store. He sure is fun to watch. Thanks for all the work putting this together.

by CDA on Apr 14, 2011 2:59 PM MDT reply actions

Man, that #22 and Hall were PERFECT together. Sure hope Hall sees more time with that guy…*

*I tried so hard to say this out loud without bursting out laughing at the absurdity of it. So Hard!!

by Permaculture on Apr 14, 2011 3:47 PM MDT reply actions

Hey, how come the essential enforcer was never on the ice with the player who needed the most protection?

In theory, there is little difference between practice and theory, but in practice there is!

by dawgbone98 on Apr 14, 2011 3:50 PM MDT reply actions

Gah, no wonder we got last place! Fire Renney!

by DarrenV on Apr 14, 2011 6:54 PM MDT up reply actions

The idea that MacIntyre was an integral part of the team was brought to you by bad idea jeans?

Editor of The Copper & Blue, and leader of The Cult Of Hartikainen.

by Derek Zona on Apr 14, 2011 9:22 PM MDT up reply actions

I wonder, is this enough to put Hall in the ‘NHL Player’ category with Hemsky, ~~Penner~~, and Horcoff?

by Oiltank on Apr 14, 2011 8:29 PM MDT reply actions

Oh I think he ended the season there. And now they are back to 3 NHL forwards. I can’t wait until this season when they trade Hemsky and get back to two.

Editor of The Copper & Blue, and leader of The Cult Of Hartikainen.

by Derek Zona on Apr 14, 2011 9:21 PM MDT up reply actions

This requires a truly terrible definition of “NHL forwards”. Jordan Eberle and Sam Gagner could both play in most if not all top nine forward groups around the league. Andrew Cogliano has played more than 300 “NHL games”, and could find a spot on almost any roster in the league. What exactly do you need to do to be an “NHL player”?

The biggest fanana of the Havana Bananas.

by Scott Reynolds on Apr 14, 2011 9:46 PM MDT up reply actions

On any roster for Cogliano eh?

Then why have they been trying to trade him without sucess? Besides the imcopentence of management of course.

by DarrenV on Apr 15, 2011 1:38 PM MDT up reply actions

Presumably because they want something of value in return. If the Oilers decided not to qualify Cogliano, I don’t think he’d have any trouble finding work.

The biggest fanana of the Havana Bananas.

by Scott Reynolds on Apr 15, 2011 1:50 PM MDT up reply actions

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