*Note - this started as a response to this post by Derek, and when I was done, it screamed "POST ME". I am but a slave to my creations...*
Regardless of whether the Oilers get the first or second overall, there needs to be a clear decision on how close those players you mention are. If there is little difference in the current value of any of them to the Oilers (they could all fill needs if they meet their potential) I think that they need to consider making a move at the draft.
I wouldn't drop out of the top five, so that only leaves a few teams who could make a deal, unless they went in for a multi-team swap (which seems to be hard to swing). So the question then becomes what assets would you get back for that #1 or #2 pick?
Teams that seem to be in the bottom 5, and assets that those teams have (all draft info from Wikipedia):
2011 Picks: FLA 1 ,2 ,3,4,6, MTL 2, NYR 3 WAS 3 BOS 3
2011 Picks: NYI 1 ,2 ,3 or COL 3, 4,5, 7, MTL 2, ATL 5
2011 Picks: OTT 1,2,3,4,5,6,7 NSH 1 BOS 2, CHI VARRIABLE 2, PHO 6
COL 1, 2, 4, 5, 6, 7, STL 1?
As you can certainly see, there are some desirable options there, although it would likely require several trades to get a second pick in the top 5, if we were dealing with draft picks alone.
However, there has also been a fair bit of chatter about how our multitude of small centres fit into this team moving forwards, and it's pretty clear to me that 2/3 of 13/67/89 do not have a future at centre with the Oilers. So likely two of them need to be moved, and one or two packaged with that #1 make for a fairly compelling (read - valuable) package. Or,, if we don't trade down, dangling one or two plus a second or our late first might see us get another pick in that range.
Personally, in my dreams we get some combination of RNH/Strome and Hamilton/Larsson, but that's definitely pie in the sky right now. How that would happen... I'm really not sure
What I really want to see is that management is working to try to make something good happen. I'm convinced that the Penner Deal was terrible for the Oilers now, but it certainly has the potential to be better later. Hopefully, they can be agressive and go after the players that they rank highly with the assets we currently have.
God knows we don't have the assets to be good right now at the moment... and its hard to fathom management fixing that, so... what other option is there? Come on Stu - Roll another hard eight!!