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Around SBN: The Most Dangerous Division in Sports

(5) Brian Campbell v. (12) Scott Gomez

Another day, another squash. Vincent Lecavalier beat the tar out of Danny Briere in the Not-So-Sweet Sixteen yesterday, which means the Rick DiPietro still has the smallest margin of victory so far. I guess Ilya Kovlachuk will need to be seeded higher next season. Like that first match-up, we'll be comparing players of two different positions today as Brian Campbell and Scott Gomez get set to do battle in the first - but certainly not the last - contest involving a contract signed by Glen Sather. The case for each player after the jump.

Star-divide

Brian Campbell

Campbell_medium

Unlike a lot of the other long-term contracts, this was doesn't decline in value as the player ages, which makes it quite a bit harder to move. Making it harder still is Campbell's limited no trade clause (he can list eight teams that he'll accept a trade to). None of that matters, of course, if Campbell is worth more money than every defender in the league save one Zdeno Chara. The problem, of course, is that he is not. In fact, Campbell isn't even the second-best defender on his team. Now that we've added shoulder, knee, and foot injuries in the last two seasons to the mix those next five years don't look so good, especially since we're talking about a player that will turn 32 this May. When defenders fall apart, they can really fall apart, and although you might be able to save this somewhat by burying the deal in the minor leagues, that is one very expensive mistake.

Scott Gomez

Gomez_medium

Scott Gomez has a few virtues that most of the other guys in this tournament don't. For one thing, he has a history of playing tough competition. To add another, he's actually been traded despite a no-trade clause that allows him to exclude three teams from negotiations (not much of a no-trade clause, really), and for a package that included some reasonably valuable pieces. But here's the thing - that all seems to be in the past. This season, Gomez has the third most favourable zone-start ratio among Montreal forwards, and sits 10th, 8th, and 7th out of thirteen forwards in Gabriel Desjardins' three quality of competition metrics. In addition to the cushy circumstances at even strength, Gomez has been given 2:30 minutes of power play time. And what's he done with this new soft minutes role? 35 points, and a plus/minus rating of -14, both career lows. Granted, some of that has to do with his laughably horrendous on-ice shooting percentage at even strength (4.6%), but then again, Gomez has never been a good shooter (his career rate is 7.5% in all situations, so that'll be boosted by power play goals) so at least some of that is on him. He's due less cash per year than Campbell and the contract expires sooner, but the cap hit is also a tad higher. It might just be worse.

Poll
Which player has a worse contract going forward?
(5) Brian Campbell
319 votes
(12) Scott Gomez
167 votes

486 votes | Poll has closed

Comment 20 comments  |  0 recs  | 

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I picked Gomez just because I think a healthy Brian Campbell is a better player now than a healthy Scott Gomez.

In theory, there is little difference between practice and theory, but in practice there is!

by dawgbone98 on Mar 24, 2011 10:33 AM MDT reply actions  

Ditto

Same here.

Same vote for the
Same reason.

Because Gomez’ salary is dropping, his contract could look much better a year from now.

Have a nice day

by Mr DeBakey on Mar 24, 2011 12:41 PM MDT up reply actions  

I put Campbell, because its much much longer. at least Drury is done soon. in fact no more after this season

without honor, victory is hollow

by SumOil on Mar 24, 2011 12:45 PM MDT up reply actions  

oh damn……I was distracted…its Gomez…But yeah again it will be over soon. Furthermore, I dont think it will impact any RFA singings or anything for MTL, while Campbell signing did have an effect on Chicago

without honor, victory is hollow

by SumOil on Mar 24, 2011 12:50 PM MDT up reply actions  

Honest mistake, there could be an all-Sather edition of this thing. I’m hoping we at least get an all-Sather matchup.

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by George E. Ays on Mar 24, 2011 1:12 PM MDT up reply actions  

Healthy Brian Campbell is definitely a defenseman alongside Bobby Orr If His Knees Were Fine and Nick Stajduhar If He Stayed Away From Shady Bars on my All-Unicorn Team.

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by Benjamin Massey on Mar 24, 2011 1:01 PM MDT up reply actions   1 recs

It’s not like Campbell has a huge track record of getting hurt. He’s missed 31 games in the last 2 years but before that had an excellent track record of being healthy.

Are these long term issues he’s having or are they just a short run?

In theory, there is little difference between practice and theory, but in practice there is!

by dawgbone98 on Mar 24, 2011 2:27 PM MDT up reply actions  

Someone will take that Gomez contract in 2 years. Also, one of your statements is incorrect – Gomez has an NTC that allows him to name 3 teams that he will NOT go to. While Sather loves to overpay, he does get at least one benefit out of that – most of his players don’t take full NTC/NMCs.

I actually think a Lecavalier-Gomez swap would make some sense.

by Triumph44 on Mar 24, 2011 10:36 AM MDT reply actions  

Thanks for the heads-up. I must have read it wrong.

The biggest fanana of the Havana Bananas.

by Scott Reynolds on Mar 24, 2011 10:37 AM MDT up reply actions  

The funny thing about campbell is, when he crushed Umberger in the playoffs, his perceived value went up 500% instantly, then he added the spin-o-rama to the mix, boom! 7 million dollar player..

No mention of rings, off the top of my head i’d say gomez has 2 rings, campell 1 ring……anyone?

by One_Roy_Save_On_The_Calendar on Mar 24, 2011 11:23 AM MDT reply actions  

I didn’t mention Stanley Cup rings because they aren’t terribly relevant to whether or not this is a good deal, but you’re correct about the number each player has.

The biggest fanana of the Havana Bananas.

by Scott Reynolds on Mar 24, 2011 11:45 AM MDT up reply actions  

Glenn Healey has a Stanley Cup ring which should tell you all you need to know about the value of one when evaluating players.

In theory, there is little difference between practice and theory, but in practice there is!

by dawgbone98 on Mar 24, 2011 2:29 PM MDT up reply actions  

I voted Campbell because his contract makes it harder to be dealt.

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by stufflife on Mar 24, 2011 3:40 PM MDT reply actions  

Campbell is a really a $5M d-man, definitely not worth his salary. But despite the contract, he is still a very good and unique player who is immensely valuable to his team as he gets the Hawk’s offense started. They certainly miss him when he is out of the lineup (shoulder was being boarded by Ovie and his most recent is a fluke broken foot, which he is playing on).

On the other hand, Gomez’s value is nowhere near $5M, not even in the same ballpark to make up for the 2 less years.

by ozzzie19 on Mar 24, 2011 3:48 PM MDT reply actions  

Gomez is having a bad season, but I have no doubt he’d be a decent, if not great contract at $5M. If his contract was comparable in cap hit to Plekanec’s (and his current contract was signed at almost the same age), he wouldn’t be in this contest. Gomez may not be a $7M+ player, but prior to this year he’s been a legit top 6 centre who has a history of playing tough competition and coming out on top. He’s been a plus player for 7 of his 10 NHL seasons before this year, and has pretty consistently put up ~60-70 points most of his career. I have no doubt that he’d have been able to get around $5M/y in 2007 if the Rangers’ offer never happened.

by despisethesun on Mar 25, 2011 11:08 AM MDT up reply actions  

Campbell’s way better than Gomez.

In Lou We Trust/Twitter
I wish there was something I could do. But What?

by Kevin Sellathamby on Mar 24, 2011 4:12 PM MDT reply actions  

not the player but the contract. Horcoff is better than malhotra but I would probably take Mal at 2.5 than Horc at 5.5

without honor, victory is hollow

by SumOil on Mar 24, 2011 4:23 PM MDT up reply actions  

If we’re talking about Contracts, i’d say Campbell’s worse just because of the term (6 to 4). But if they had the same amount of years remaining, Gomez is much worse because it’s much easier to move an overpaid puck mover than an overpaid playmaker who can’t score.

In Lou We Trust/Twitter
I wish there was something I could do. But What?

by Kevin Sellathamby on Mar 24, 2011 5:13 PM MDT up reply actions  

You mean the way Oilers moved Lubo Visnovsky? :|

Writer for The Cult of Hockey, The Copper & Blue, and primary shareholder of Zorg Industries

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by Bruce McCurdy on Mar 28, 2011 4:05 PM MDT up reply actions  

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