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Steve Tambellini Expects The Oilers To Make The Playoffs, Should He?

According to CBC play-by-play man Mark Lee, he had a conversation with Steve Tambellini Friday night. During the broadcast of the Oilers - Sharks Hockey Night in Canada game, Lee told the audience that Tambellini said he "…thinks they’ve got all of the pieces here to make a run at the playoffs."

As the oft-accused resident Copper & Blue pessimist, I've written about the lack of balance, lack of defense, lack of goaltender, and lack of real NHL players in Edmonton, so Tambellini's statements make me alternate between uproarious laughter and stunned disbelief as I try to figure out why in the world he said this.

Star-divide

Thus far, I've come up with:

  • Tambellini is delusional. He looks at the roster and sees the veterans at 100% health, the young players stepping forward in a big way, and career years being the baseline expectation for a number of players. He doesn't see how fragile a significant portion of the roster really is and doesn't realize the defense, as constructed, is full of more questions than answers.
  • Tambellini is putting his job on the line to inspire the team. While sitting in last place in December 2010, Tom Renney said he wouldn't be surprised when the Oilers make the playoffs. Prior to this season, Tom Renney again said his expectations were that the Oilers would make the playoffs. But continued failures demonstrate that Renney's job isn't on the line. If the coach can't motivate the team, perhaps Tambellini believes that the head of the club can do so by setting lofty expectations. At the same time those expectations put Tambellini at risk. He's the man responsible for the makeup of the team and if he expects them to make the playoffs, he has to fire the coach or sacrifice his own job when they don't. If he's held to his word by the owner, that is.
  • Tambellini is saying the right things so he won't lose this young team. As the Oilers fall through the Western Conference standings, all of the second-year players (Taylor Hall, Jordan Eberle, Magnus Paajarvi, Jeff Petry) risk finishing in last place two years running. Rather than building a winning culture (as Tambellini has talked about at length), the Oilers risk turning a young core into the Thrashers, Islanders or Blue Jackets. If none of the people in charge of the organization expect to win, why should we expect the players to win? Tambellini is putting the brakes on that by setting winning expectations and doing so in a public manner so the young Oilers can see his confidence in the team and his plan.
  • Tambellini is worse at team and talent evaluation than any of us ever imagined. Except for signing Eric Belanger, Tambellini has yet to do anything of significance towards building the Oilers. All of the added talent has come through the draft and farm system while Tambellini has traded away an enormous amount of NHL talent. Each time this happens, the local media runs a "pro scouting department problem", but the above statement could indicate the issue isn't with scouting at all.

Have I missed any explanations for what Tambellini sold to CBC?

Poll
Steve Tambellini thinks the current roster can make the playoffs. Is he...
delusional?
111 votes
putting his job on the line to inspire the team?
20 votes
saying the right things so he won't lose a young team?
213 votes
worse at team and talent evaluation than any of us ever imagined?
131 votes

475 votes | Poll has closed

Comment 27 comments  |  0 recs  | 

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I voted delusional. But really, he’s just high. What do you expect when your team is owned by a drug lord.

by PrvVsTheWorld on Dec 18, 2011 4:38 PM MST reply actions  

I’m an Avs fan, and I see somewhat similar situations. Sometimes, when I see the Oilers play, they look like a playoff team, sometimes, they don’t. The race is still really tight, so I wouldn’t be surprised if the Oil slid into the 8 slot, but there is still a lot of season left.

by ProfessorOak on Dec 18, 2011 4:54 PM MST reply actions  

I think last week was the last time the Oil would be in 8th place for the rest of the season… I don’t see them getting to a playoff spot even for another day this season.

by Czechboy on Dec 18, 2011 5:17 PM MST reply actions  

Not if they don’t make a trade for an actual NHL defenseman or two.

by gcw_rocks on Dec 18, 2011 6:20 PM MST up reply actions  

See that’s what bugs me… fuck the rebuild. They have a great core, so add some players and lets be competitive NOW… it’s entirely possible but won’t happen. I honestly think we are about 2 trades away from being competitive immediately.

by Czechboy on Dec 18, 2011 7:53 PM MST up reply actions  

Rebuilds can and should include trades. Ottawa is in full rebuild mode and look, they made a trade. And (shockingly) it involved using a player from a position of depth to go get a player for a position of need.

I kinda understood what the Oilers were doing last year (didn’t agree, but understood), but this year I don’t get it at all.

by gcw_rocks on Dec 19, 2011 7:57 AM MST up reply actions  

But that was a horrible trade. No trade is better than bad trade.

by Captain Obvious II on Dec 19, 2011 9:33 AM MST up reply actions  

Steve Tambellini does NOT seem like the sort of guy who’d put his job on the line ever. Of course, we’re only seeing the carefully crafted public version.

by David S on Dec 18, 2011 7:33 PM MST reply actions  

If he’s held to his word by the owner, that is.

Therein lies the rub. As long as Katz continues to treat the Oilers like his toy rather than a business, nothing is going to change.

by melancholyculkin on Dec 18, 2011 7:54 PM MST reply actions  

Weird

I’ve always been told that the Leafs’ problem is that their owners treat them like a business and not like a toy

Pension Plan Puppets: A Toronto Maple Leafs blog and a group therapy session.
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by PPP on Dec 20, 2011 6:59 AM MST via mobile up reply actions  

Clearly it should be treated as a Toy Business!

Who runs Toys r us? Hire them immediately!

In theory, there is little difference between practice and theory, but in practice there is!

Tactical contributor to the Copper & Blue and just as boring on the twitters... @dawgbone98

by dawgbone98 on Dec 20, 2011 8:08 AM MST up reply actions  

wrong

Katz treats the Oilers like a PART of a business, and not a toy. The Oilers are a big part of a business to get downtown land from the City.

by BillHK on Dec 27, 2011 10:35 AM MST up reply actions  

My real answer wasnt an option so I voted delusional :D

A GM just cant come right out and voice his true opinion. He cant just say that his team sucks and has no chance, because its his team, he built it. The media would attack him and his players and coaches would not want to play/work for him anymore. He has to do the PC thing and say playoffs or bust, because there are so few who tell the truth

Insert Witty Comment Here

by VanillaAcid on Dec 18, 2011 7:54 PM MST reply actions  

A necessary requirement of the job description of any General Manager is to lie to the media, even if it makes you sound like an idiot.

Of course he is going to say he thinks he can make the playoffs. What is he supposed to say other than that?

If I were a GM, you would never be able to tell if anything I said in public was what I actually thought. A GM is supposed to be a cypher.

by godot10 on Dec 18, 2011 9:30 PM MST reply actions  

How about… “we are not at the stage of the rebuild where we expect to make the playoffs on an annual basis, although according to our timeline, we expect that to change in the next one or two years. We will be aggressive at that point at making moves in order to ensure that we are a competitive team.”

That, even if I disagree (I think they need to start addressing the blue-line now), I could understand, and would seem like a fair interpretation of this roster. I continue to be alarmed by the comments coming from the GM, despite believing that the core talent assembled is on par with that of the Chicagos and Pittsburgs of the world (when people cite other failed rebuilds, the difference isn’t that they “didn’t do it right”, they just didn’t have the kind of core talent those teams had), the managing team does not inspire in me confidence that they have the ability to put in the finishing touches. I’m not sold that they will be a Chicago-like success story, or afraid they will turn into Columbus or Florida, ever rebuilding, never sucessful, but rather, that they turn into Washington or San Jose—ever dominant in the regular season, but never adjusted quite in such a way that a championship results.

by David Supina on Dec 18, 2011 9:42 PM MST up reply actions  

Because Lowe gave a distinctly different timeline. Now they’re contradicting each other. He didn’t have to say it, he could’ve held to the party line.

Editor of The Copper & Blue, and leader of The Cult Of Hartikainen.

by Derek Zona on Dec 18, 2011 10:23 PM MST up reply actions  

So you want to get rid of Smid, one of our better skating defenseman?

The Edmonton Oilers - All we do is win!!

by OilLeak on Dec 19, 2011 5:32 PM MST up reply actions  

He’s also one of the worst puck movers.

In theory, there is little difference between practice and theory, but in practice there is!

Tactical contributor to the Copper & Blue and just as boring on the twitters... @dawgbone98

by dawgbone98 on Dec 20, 2011 8:10 AM MST up reply actions  

Tambellini said he "…thinks they’ve got all of the pieces here

Well if that is the case (it isn’t), then how about a more balanced use of those pieces? I think the 4th line full of plugs is a complete waste and I like the idea of filling it with specialists instead, I would take that one further and make the 3rd/4th lines interchangeable.

Below is how I would try the lines with our available pieces (when healthy of course). All players would get even strength time in accordance with their lines abilities but it’s pretty much a 1A/1B and a 3A/3B set. In brackets are the special teams situations the players would get in addition to their EV minutes.

Smyth (PP/PK) – Horcoff (PP/PK) – Hemsky (PP) ~ 18 min

Hall (PP) – Nugent-Hopkins (PP) – Eberle (PP) ~ 17 min

Gagner (PP) – Belanger (PK) – Jones (PK) ~ 13 min

Paajarvi (PK) – Lander (PK) – Omark (PP) ~ 12 min

Just the thought of Paajarvi and Omark working another teams 4th line for even 5 min a game makes me smile.

For the record, I would easily trade 2 forwards (Hemsky/Gagner/Omark/Eager/Prospect) and/or 2 of the 5/6/7 Dmen (Peckham/Tuebert/Sutten/Chorney/Plante) and/or all of the draft picks after the first round in a package for a top 2 Dman or 2 top 4’s. Some combination of 3 or 4 going for 1 or 2 coming back as long as there is at least A player that slots in above Gilbert/Smid on the depth chart.

by Joe Girth on Dec 19, 2011 11:12 AM MST reply actions  

Add Horcoff to your list of forwards and you have me completely agreeing. That’s what is driving me nuts… a 2nd rounder and Gagner could get us a D man we need. I wonder what we would’ve had to give up to get Kaberle? Sounds like they were giving him away for free… he may have been a good fit here.

by Czechboy on Dec 19, 2011 4:46 PM MST up reply actions  

To be honest I didn’t bother putting him there mainly because of his contract, same thing with Barker and his contract because he’s not an NHL player

by Joe Girth on Dec 19, 2011 5:21 PM MST up reply actions  

Where is this team with these extra top 4 D?

Editor of The Copper & Blue, and leader of The Cult Of Hartikainen.

by Derek Zona on Dec 19, 2011 6:02 PM MST up reply actions  

For sure they aren’t falling out of trees but they can most definately do better than Sutton and Barker in an off season.

We have some depth at forward, none on defence and they cannot (see: Paajarvi) showcase or support enough of the forwards to keep all of their values up for an extended period of time. If they don’t trade someone while their value is high they will never win a trade or get the players they need to balance the roster.

by Joe Girth on Dec 19, 2011 6:33 PM MST up reply actions  

I know that, but the fans talking points are “just trade for a top 4 D”

Valuable top 4 D that will be around for awhile aren’t going to come cheap.

Editor of The Copper & Blue, and leader of The Cult Of Hartikainen.

by Derek Zona on Dec 19, 2011 7:07 PM MST up reply actions  

Agreed, I’m saying it’s well past time to open up the wallet.

by Joe Girth on Dec 19, 2011 7:45 PM MST up reply actions  

I am curious who you think is out there to be had? Who would you try to get? The only posibilities I see out there are Franson/Aullie out of Toronto, Voynov in LA, and maybe Streit in Long island. Not exactly quick fixes in the first two cases.

by gcw_rocks on Dec 20, 2011 7:26 AM MST up reply actions  

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