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Oil Observations From Week 4

I don’t know if there’s a more polarizing player amongst Oiler fans than Ryan Jones. His 18 goals last year garnered him a lot of fans. His poor underlying numbers (scoring chances, corsi, offensive percentages) netted him a lot of detractors, especially here at the Copper & Blue.

Not only were his numbers polarizing, what people were seeing was completely different between his supporters and detractors. His supporters saw a speedy grinder who went to the hard areas of the ice to score his goals. His detractors saw a player who was constantly picking himself off the ice and getting lost defensively. It’s no wonder that Jones has been the subject of many discussions since he signed his 2 year, $1.5 mil cap hit contract.

Star-divide

There has been one area where nearly everyone can agree Jones has excelled since joining the Oilers, and that’s on the penalty kill. He survived the butchering most of the penalty killers endured during the much maligned diamond PK phase and has proven to be an indispensable part of the PK group. It was always a mystery as to why his PK abilities failed to translate to even strength.

One of the complaints I had personally about Jones is how often he cheated for offense. Last year he had a habit of leaving the zone early and hanging out at the opposition blueline waiting for the puck.

Jones throws a hit just outside the Red Wings blueline. The Red Wings gain puck possession and head to the Oilers zone while Jones stands at the Red Wings blueline. Fortunately, the puck hits the linesman and the Oilers are able to push it up to Jones who ends up putting a weak one past Jimmy Howard. While it’s great to score, it’s important to recognize when you can hang back behind the play and when you can jump out of the zone early.

When Hemsky got hurt and Jones had to take a spot on the 1st line with Smyth and Horcoff, it gave Jones a chance to play a much more challenging role than he’s had in the past. Tom Renney matched this forward group very hard against the opposition’s best players as well as relying on them heavily to start the play in their own zone.

Ryan Jones was definitely up for the task. His goal scoring suffered (1 ES goal on the season so far), but his ability to change his game was an important reason why the first line was able to have the success that they had in the role they played. Instead of being behind the play defensively and leaving the zone early, Jones has been a dedicated back checker and has often been the 3rd forward to leave the zone on a breakout.

The following happened early in the game versus the Phoenix Coyotes (right off the opening face-off to be precise). Jones initially stays near the opposition’s blueline but notices the Oilers are struggling to clear the puck. Jones comes all the way back down and helps clear the puck and gets a good scoring chance out of it(even if Dennis doesn't think so).

Rj1_medium

You can see Jones high near the Coyotes blueline, the puck is going back into the Oilers end and Jones starts to circle back.

Rj2_medium

Horcoff has the puck in the middle of the ice and Jones continues to head back to the Oilers blueline.

Rj3_medium

Jones picks up the forechecker and follows him to where he can provide puck support on the clear.

Rj4_medium

Jones takes out the winger, allowing Horcoff to come pick up the puck uncontested. Jones immediately jumps back into the play and the Oilers get a 2 on 1 out of the sequence.

Ryan Jones has a nose for the net and good speed. He’s also got very good positional awareness on the penalty kill. He’s done a remarkably better job this season at becoming a player who can play all over the ice. He’s showing that the awareness he shows on the PK (reading lanes, puck support) can translate to his ES play. It’s been a very impressive turnaround and it gives the Oilers a heck of an option in terms of how to run their lines if he can continue that play alongside Eric Belanger.

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I don’t deny that he is playing alright, and good for him making the most of his opportunity. However I’d just argue there are better options out there. I don’t mind seeing him on the 3rd line, but would be more thrilled seeing him on the 4th line, and let him kill penalties from there if the team chooses. Why not realize it’s probably variance now of his performance, and save the team 20 games before they figure it out, and waste ice time on him over a more productive forward.

However, I could be wrong, maybe he will live up to expectations, and good luck to him. I’ll just take the stance that this isn’t going to happen.

by George Roop on Nov 9, 2011 9:59 PM MST reply actions  

He made the changes necessary to his game.

It’s all but murdered his ES production offensively, but he’s a better more valuable player for it.

In theory, there is little difference between practice and theory, but in practice there is!

Tactical contributor to the Copper & Blue and just as boring on the twitters... @dawgbone98

by dawgbone98 on Nov 10, 2011 9:39 AM MST up reply actions   1 recs

As one of those in the anti Jones camp I’ve been very impressed with his play this season. You’re right, he’s changed how he’s playing and it’s made him more effective overall even if that’s not translating to the score sheet.

Everyone knows rock attained perfection in 1974. It's a scientific fact.
Writer for The Copper & Blue and a frequenter of the time waster that is Twitter.

by ryanbatty on Nov 10, 2011 11:53 AM MST up reply actions  

the other knock against him last year was “unsustainable shooting percentage”.

he got lucky on some long wristers last year but a good comparable is Johan Franzen who, like Jones, scores pretty much all his goals immediately in front of the next, which is a location where the shooting percentage statistic becomes distorted.

Franzen and Jones’ stats last year were extremely similar, especially shooting percentage, and if you look backwards and Franzen’s history have been sustainable over time.

i don’t think he’s playing that role so much this year, having been paired with Smyth, and he did have a healthy dose of luck last year but i think you can’t look at his stats in exactly the same way you might look at a more typical forward’s.

by striatic on Nov 9, 2011 11:21 PM MST reply actions  

Franzen is an 11% career shooter who typically reaches double digits in power play goals and who had taken more shots in a season than Jones had in his career going into this year.

Before last season, Jones had 19 career goals on 154 shots for a 12.33 shooting% and 4 PPG. It’s a pretty small sample size to base off of and guys don’t generally shoot that high without the benefit of PP time.

In theory, there is little difference between practice and theory, but in practice there is!

Tactical contributor to the Copper & Blue and just as boring on the twitters... @dawgbone98

by dawgbone98 on Nov 10, 2011 9:37 AM MST up reply actions  

Funny. Looks like the Oilers may actually run with a top-6 / bottom-6 format after all this year.

Magnus Paajarvi might want to look at renting a very expensive apartment in Oklahoma City.

by John Chambers on Nov 10, 2011 12:16 AM MST reply actions  

It will be interesting to watch Jones – Belanger – Gags series for a while. I would just love to see Magnus Svensson-Paajarvi – Lander – Omark, but that does not necessarily have to be in the NHL, so fare. If a team has a good quality choice, it is nothing wrong.

by Screaming69 on Nov 10, 2011 12:35 AM MST reply actions  

I don’t know if there’s a more polarizing player amongst Oiler fans than Ryan Jones.

Linus Omark

Everyone knows rock attained perfection in 1974. It's a scientific fact.
Writer for The Copper & Blue and a frequenter of the time waster that is Twitter.

by ryanbatty on Nov 10, 2011 11:54 AM MST reply actions  

I don’t think there are the extremes at either end for Omark like there are for Jones.

In theory, there is little difference between practice and theory, but in practice there is!

Tactical contributor to the Copper & Blue and just as boring on the twitters... @dawgbone98

by dawgbone98 on Nov 10, 2011 2:47 PM MST up reply actions  

Ales Hemsky, Tom Gilbert, Sam Gagner …

but yeah, Jones is on the list, for sure. I’m shocked by how many folks just think he flat out stinks.

Oilers fan through thick, thin and anorexic. Writer for The Cult of Hockey.

by Bruce McCurdy on Nov 11, 2011 3:24 PM MST up reply actions  

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