Edmonton's Home/Road Scoring Chance Splits

The early and overwhelming team storyline for the Edmonton Oilers 1/4 of the way through the season is the team's struggles away from Rexall Place.  The difference between home and road play has created enough material for a year's worth of "home cooking" puns for Gene Principe.  Ryan Nugent-Hopkins' road woes have been well-documented, but he's not alone.  In fact, outside of the team's veteran core, the entire team has been in deep away from home this season, as evidenced by the scoring chances thus far:

Team SCF SCA SC%
Home 116 96 0.547
Road 130 166 0.439
Overall 246 262 0.484

They've performed like the Capitals at home, and like a worse version of the 10-11 Oilers on the road.

The home splits are jaw-dropping, led by the rookie:

#  Player  HSC HSCA HSC%
93 Ryan Hopkins 55 29 0.655
14 Jordan Eberle 50 27 0.649
4 Taylor Hall 51 31 0.622
91 Magnus Paajarvi 21 15 0.583
55 Ben Eager 10 8 0.556

Team 116 96 0.547
83 Ales Hemsky 13 11 0.542
89 Sam Gagner 15 14 0.517
28 Ryan Jones 26 26 0.500
94 Ryan Smyth 35 36 0.493
20 Eric Belanger 16 18 0.471
10 Shawn Horcoff 31 39 0.443
37 Lennart Petrell 8 11 0.421
57 Anton Lander 10 14 0.417

Only the much-maligned fourth line and Shawn Horcoff, he of the 33% offensive zonestart, aren't breaking even or better.  The defense, actually part of the defense, looks great at home as well:

#  Player  HSC HSCA HSC%
44 Corey Potter 36 21 0.632
58 Jeff Petry 27 16 0.628
5 Ladislav Smid 46 29 0.613
77 Tom Gilbert 44 35 0.557

Team 116 96 0.547
13 Cam Barker 21 24 0.467
25 Andy Sutton 15 21 0.417
24 Theo Peckham 18 32 0.360

Peckham's .360 is not a fluke, as he's struggled to find any part of his game this season.

As good as the team has been at home, things are just as bad on the road:

#  Player  RSC RSCA RSC%
57 Anton Lander 19 18 0.514
83 Ales Hemsky 36 35 0.507
91 Magnus Paajarvi 16 16 0.500
10 Shawn Horcoff 54 57 0.486
94 Ryan Smyth 54 61 0.470
4 Taylor Hall 37 44 0.457
89 Sam Gagner 22 28 0.440

Team 130 166 0.439
93 Ryan Hopkins 35 46 0.432
28 Ryan Jones 31 41 0.431
14 Jordan Eberle 39 57 0.406
20 Eric Belanger 26 41 0.388
55 Ben Eager 10 17 0.370
37 Lennart Petrell 12 22 0.353

WIthout the protection Tom Renney can provide at home, Hopkins drops 22 percentage points and Eberle drops 24 points.  Horcoff, even with the burden of defensive zonestarts, has performed well.  Hemsky's road trip was the best among the Oilers.

The defense hasn't been as lucky.  The combination of injuries and a long road trip have been too much to overcome.

#  Player  RSC RSCA RSC%
77 Tom Gilbert 50 56 0.472
24 Theo Peckham 36 41 0.468
5 Ladislav Smid 49 60 0.450

Team 130 166 0.439
58 Jeff Petry 36 46 0.439
25 Andy Sutton 13 19 0.406
44 Corey Potter 24 41 0.369
13 Cam Barker 12 24 0.333

Tom Gilbert's play has been stellar, Norris-worthy in fact, and he's led the team on the road, even with the tough quality of competition he's faced.  Cam Barker's play has been nothing short of terrible and Corey Potter drops 26 percentage points on the road.

As always, thanks to Dennis King for tracking the Oilers' scoring chances.

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