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Around SBN: Odds On Peyton Manning's Next Home Includes Three Teams

The Edmonton Oilers, Their Fans & External Attribution

Downtown Edmonton.  via upload.wikimedia.org

John Tauer, a Ph.D. Associate Professor of Psychology and Assistant Men's Basketball Coach at the University of St. Thomas, penned an article on external attribution in sports.  While the author was interested in external attribution in the Rick Pitino "Unfortunate Things" story, the underlying premise applied to the Oilers as well.

This response is not uncommon among athletes. In fact, one study of professional athletes found that they made significantly more internal attributions for their successes than they did for their failures. In other words, they were more likely to blame a referee for a loss, but rarely would they credit a referee or some other external factor for their success. How often do you hear a player say, "That umpire gave us that game!"

The money quote from Tauer's article nails the situation in Edmonton perfectly:

Of course, the danger behind external attributions is that they enable us to escape from personal responsibility for our actions.

Star-divide

The study mentioned in Tauer's article, "Attributions in the sports pages" by Lau and Russell, was published in the Journal of Personality and Social Psychology - Volume 39, Issue 1, in July 1980.  The researchers rated interviews given by professional athletes to determine attribution of success and failure.  The conclusions of the study bring us to the City of Edmonton.

Edmonton must be a terrible, horrible place.  The city has been the single reason for the Oilers' demise over the last two decades.  Fans have blamed a myriad of intangibles, all centered around the horrible place called Edmonton as the reason that players won't stay, won't sign, and ask to be traded.  First and foremost, the awful weather is to blame.  The brutal Edmonton weather chases away the marquee players.  Even the players that are willing to brave the icy tundra are chased out by their own wives.  Grown men being paid millions of dollars will not play in the cold.  Unless it's Calgary or Chicago.

Not only does the weather make the city nearly unlivable, the fans are completely unbearable.  They approach players in the streets!  Random hooligans accost them in restaurants.  Fans have the gall to say "Hi!" in the grocery store.  And ohhhhhh, the mean, mean things they say about players on talk radio.  A professional athlete can't be expected to play in these conditions.  Unless the conditions exist in Montreal or Pittsburgh.

And being so isolated from the rest of the world, a solar unit away from civilization, the distance drives men to do unreasonable things, like a northern form of space madness.  Being so far north, the flights take so much longer.  It's a full 90 minutes to Vancouver, forty-five minutes shorter than the flight from Denver to Los Angeles.

That distance means the travel schedule is too much for a grown man to bear.  Millions of dollars isn't enough to heal the pain of so many frequent flyer miles, even though the Oilers will fly less miles than the Sharks or Canucks.

Of course, if there is a back woodsman, Les Stroud-type of a man out there willing to take on the wilds of Edmonton, the stunning lack of nightlife and nonexistent culture will eventually run those manly-men out of town.  After all, hockey players need symphonies and galleries, molecular gastronomy and Michelin Stars or else they break down like Jack Torrance.  Unless they live in Detroit.

Any level-headed person would look at this list and realize the significant omission, the actual reason behind Edmonton's inability to attract and retain talent - the state of the franchise.  Unfortunately, judging by the reaction of the fanbase in the latest Sheldon Souray hullabaloo, the team still gets a pass.  Kevin Lowe nearly found the correct balance between internal and external attribution in his now-infamous Edmonton Journal interview when he asked "Is it me?"  While Lowe was trying to play the part of exasperated martyr, he was on the right track.  You want to attract and retain the top talent in the league?  Start by ending a decade of mismanagement.  Players want to win and play for winning teams no matter how cold it is, how isolated they are, how desolate their home will be, and how many men with monocles they encounter on a nightly basis.

Don't believe me?  In 1980, Jari Kurri leaked word to Glen Sather that he was going to evade his mandatory military service.  He was willing to and wanted to leave Helsinki for Edmonton, even though it was going to be 8 degrees colder in the winter.  He was willing to move to a city that would be the most isolated place he'd ever lived in.  He was willing to move from historic Helsinki to a hick town on the plains of Canada.  No matter how terrible Edmonton may look to an insider, winning is the great equalizer.  NHL players spend their entire careers thinking about the Stanley Cup - it's a singular league-wide goal.  Give a man a chance to win a Cup and he'll play anywhere, even Edmonton.

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There arent many teams in the league that have competent management. However you are right. Oilers have taken it to the next level. After our 05-06 run, never was there a summer, when the management actually tried to fill up the holes in the roster. They always kept creating new ones by trying(but failing) to fill the old ones. Agreed this summer, Tambo tried to go ahead and be somewhat pro-active. However we still more players who are suited to 4th line minutes than a tough EV minutes. I have to appreciate that our esteemed GM tried to sign Malhotra, but that was 2 summers too late. Furthermore, after Malhotra turned us down, he did not try and sign anyone else for that role. One by one Moore, Belanger and others signed on with other teams.

Sins can be forgiven but conscience is a killer.

by SumOil on Aug 26, 2010 9:14 AM MDT reply actions  

There arent many teams in the league that have competent management.

In general, I disagree. There are a number of competent management teams and outside of some really obvious examples, the mediocre managers usually kill themselves with a series of smaller poor decisions.

Editor of The Copper & Blue, and leader of The Cult Of Hartikainen.

by Derek Zona on Aug 26, 2010 9:40 PM MDT up reply actions  

Excellent writeup.

Except you missed the other great equalizer: a new stadium. Who wants to play in a sold-out and history laden atmosphere? No-one except Vandemeer. The studies I have imagined include FA’s flocking to a winter garden. It will be glorious.

by till_horcoff_is_coach on Aug 26, 2010 9:17 AM MDT reply actions  

I agree that being a winning team is the single biggest factor.

However, there is some truth to the notion that veterans with families (and glitter wives) will use the urban environment as a factor in making their decisions. However, I think this is far less of a factor than winning and good management.

Edmonton had no farm team and then they had Springfield. I think even this situation was enough for players to think ’What’s wrong with that franchise’. I think a lot of the background factors have been dealt with well by ST3.0 and I look forward to improvements on the ice.

by book!e on Aug 26, 2010 10:15 AM MDT reply actions  

However, there is some truth to the notion that veterans with families (and glitter wives) will use the urban environment as a factor in making their decisions.

How do you explain the desire to sign in American Basra, Detroit, then?

Editor of The Copper & Blue, and leader of The Cult Of Hartikainen.

by Derek Zona on Aug 26, 2010 4:54 PM MDT up reply actions  

The other thing that (may) help Edmonton is that the tax rate is quite low compared to a lot of other markets. If the team is good and the take-home pay in Edmonton is better (i.e. a $3M contract in Edmonton is worth more than a $3M contract in New York), I think some players would definitely want to come.

by Scott Reynolds on Aug 26, 2010 7:00 PM MDT up reply actions  

But again, how do you explain 05-06?

Sure, there were guys like Dvorak and that who weren’t brought back, but what about Pronger, Peca, Samsonov, Spacek, etc… ?

I don’t discount that winning makes a huge difference, but I think appearance matters as well.

As soon as Pronger left, there was a stigma attatched to this club (and by extension city). The only way to get rid of that stigma is to start winning again, but it doesn’t explain the initial exodus.

In theory, there is little difference between practice and theory, but in practice there is!

by dawgbone98 on Aug 26, 2010 11:55 AM MDT reply actions  

Sure, there were guys like Dvorak and that who weren’t brought back, but what about Pronger, Peca, Samsonov, Spacek, etc… ?

Money?

The team finished 8th in the conference, perhaps the players didn’t see a winning situation?

Editor of The Copper & Blue, and leader of The Cult Of Hartikainen.

by Derek Zona on Aug 26, 2010 4:53 PM MDT up reply actions  

I think the players were smart enough to see the difference between the shithole goaltending they got before Roloson and what the team was capable of after.

Peca was leaving regardless and Samsonov and Spacek took similar money from other teams. I don’t think money was the reason.

Don’t get me wrong, players don’t want to be here now because the team sucks, but that’s not to say the Chris Pronger situation didn’t hurt the appearance of Edmonton and it’s attractiveness to other players.

The problem is, unless the Oilers are winning they are going to have issues drawing players. Players will play here if they can win, but you aren’t going to get a marquee guy to come, especially after the Pronger incident.

Detroit is in the same boat. As soon as they start to slip they are going to have a hell of a time getting players to come to that city. They were fortunate (much like the 80’s Oilers) to get some incredible players later on in the draft but that’s not a viable option over the long term. At some point that team is going to fall and it will be another example of what happened here.

Winning makes up for a lot. And once Edmonton starts to be a top team again (hey, I’m a fan), it will be the place to play (like it was in the 80’s). But until then, as long as the $$$$$ are equal, Edmonton is at a disadvantage to almost every team in the league.

In theory, there is little difference between practice and theory, but in practice there is!

by dawgbone98 on Aug 26, 2010 5:53 PM MDT up reply actions  

I mostly agree that money wasn’t the big factor, although I think it was with Samsonov. I recall Spacek being pretty explicit about choosing to play in the East instead of the West, money be damned, and it obviously wasn’t the reason Pronger or Peca moved along. The city is a factor, I’d say. However, I think it’s getting used as an excuse at this point to divert attention from the poor play on the ice. I remember Tambellini “defending” Edmonton is the post-season presser, and thinking that his little speech served more to tear it down to serve his agenda than to defend the city. As a fan of the Oilers and someone who likes Edmonton, that’s pretty frustrating.

by Scott Reynolds on Aug 26, 2010 7:07 PM MDT up reply actions  

The city is a factor, I’d say. However, I think it’s getting used as an excuse at this point to divert attention from the poor play on the ice.

Nahhhhh, remain calm, all is well!

Editor of The Copper & Blue, and leader of The Cult Of Hartikainen.

by Derek Zona on Aug 26, 2010 9:39 PM MDT up reply actions  

The team finished 8th in the conference, perhaps the players didn’t see a winning situation?

They sure didn’t once Pronger was gone (and they were right). IMO the absence of Pronger on the team was at least as big as the manner of his departure in the minds of free agents including above all, the other Oilers.

Writer for The Copper & Blue and primary shareholder of Zorg Industries

"Never be ashamed of who you are" -- Jean-Baptiste Emanuel Zorg

by Bruce McCurdy on Aug 26, 2010 8:07 PM MDT up reply actions  

They will Come!

What kills our hockey is we as a team want the quick fix we are thinking about selling tickets now ! It is really a lot like politics no one is willing to vote for what a town, city or country really needs because people will vote you out. Sure in hockey they vote with their $ but we still vote. If we had a bunch of really bad seasons in a row due to not signing some exciting super player in the off season then there would be less sales. In the end it means we never really get were we need to be (High Draft pics) to win the cup on a consistent basis. We now have to hope the big three pan out!!!

by Sheldon Oilers Fan for Life on Aug 26, 2010 1:17 PM MDT reply actions  

I’d argue that any level headed person would ponder whether or not it’s such a coincidence that the city with the lowest metro population in the league has the hardest time attracting personnel. And why the second lowest metro population in the league (Ottawa) has star players asking to be traded out of town regardless of playoff success.

Law of averages, if you ask me; the people of the world don’t want to live in Edmonton, and athletes are no exception.

Some of the facetious parts of this article don’t really hold any weight, either.

For millions of dollars I would indeed play in the cold and tolerate plane rides. The key point of it all is that if I had the option not to, I would likely exercise it. It also seems to me that the most common hockey player mentality is one that actively avoids scrutiny and spotlight, especially true regarding players from Canada. The NHL is the only top tier league in the world where there will always be contending teams in cities where nobody knows your name. Conversely, no one in the NBA wants to play for the Raptors because they can’t be celebrities in the mighty centre of the Universe.

Being an elite team is the one thing that would help, but even then I would expect any other elite team to have an easier time.

by zys on Aug 26, 2010 4:01 PM MDT reply actions  

It's a simple case of bad management and media magnification

Yes, it started with the Pronger trade. Management shouldn’t have jumped at the first reasonable offer that they got. Hell, if he didn’t come to camp in the fall, then he doesn’t get his pay. It would have been that simple. They should have held out for a better trade. Seeing that he was just a game away from the Conn Smythe, I’m sure that they could have gotten a decent trade for him. Perhaps Gonchar, Gaborik or Brad Richards, or easily guys like Visnovsky, Poti or Marleau that year.

But then all this “his wife doesn’t like the cold”, was soooo overdone by the Edmonton media that it easily became a self fulfilling prophecy. Perhaps the media could have just highlighted the fact that the game is Ice Hockey, not Field Hockey. It’s meant to be payed in the winter and meant to be played in the cold! Like it or not, Australia is never going to win a Hockey gold even though they are a great sporting nation and have the best beaches.

by BillHK on Aug 27, 2010 2:00 AM MDT reply actions  

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Northwest Standings

GP W L OTL PT
Vancouver 53 33 15 5 71
Minnesota 53 25 20 8 58
Colorado 55 27 25 3 57
Calgary 53 24 22 7 55
Edmonton 53 21 27 5 47

(updated 2.8.2012 at 7:10 AM MST)

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Western Conference

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  3. Atlantic (45-37, .549)
  4. Pacific (37-36, .507)
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