Gilbert Brule - Number Eight With a Bullet In The Oilers Top 25 Under 25
Welcome to Opposite Day here at The Copper & Blue. The crew here thought it would be a great idea if I wrote the overview for Gilbert Brule's entry in our Top 25 Under 25, and thought it especially amusing because I've ranked him lower than anyone here. For once, Ben likes a player not from the St. Albert Saints, thinks he's a good guy, and he doesn't do the writeup.
Gilbert Brule is a great person, that much is clear. He went above and beyond for little Maddox Flynn, not only donating $10,000 to go towards the kid's surgery, but he flew to New York to be with the family prior to his second surgery. Most professional athletes are just regular guys, some athletes are jerks, and a few are something much worse, but Gilbert Brule is something else - he's an outstanding person with a willingness to make a difference in his community. Players like that don't turn up every day, and his value to the team should increase when his value to the community, the fans and the organization is considered.
Ben moved Brule up eleven(!) spots to 6th, and Scott moved him up five sports to 12th. I left him in 13th overall.
My reason for ranking Brule lower than anyone else stems from a number of questions about whether his 2009-2010 season was sustainable or not. Previously I've talked about Brule's numbers away from Dustin Penner, and showed that without Penner he was no better than any of the other younger core. Jonathan outlined Brule's five "Red Flags" and discussed why fans should temper their expectations for Brule in 2010-2011. Scott outlined all of these arguments in his opening arguments in the Gilbert Brule arbitration case, and came to the same conclusion that Jonathan and I did: we should not expect Brule's performance in 2009-2010 to be the norm.
It's not that I don't like Brule. As others (Ben) have said, Brule has tools, there is no denying that. But as Jonathan points out, he's got a history of injuries because he plays a reckless style in a small body. In order to score his 17 goals last season, he had to double his career shooting percentage. He's rugged, but not a penalty killer. He's got a great shot, but not skilled enough to be a threat on the power play. He plays center, but doesn't have high-end faceoff skills. He's scrappy, but not a defensive presence. He reads like a small bottom six role player to a lot of people - similar to Dean McAmmond.
I do understand why Bruce and Jonathan continue to rank Brule so highly (I'll throw out Ben's schizophrenic ranking system on this one) though. Brule is still young, he's a very good skater, he plays a physical game, he's got an explosive shot, and he's got some pedigree from his career in Major Junior. In his draft year he was compared to Trevor Linden. Doug MacLean even compared him to Steve Yzerman, but that's Doug MacLean. Brule seems like a much smaller version of Chris Kunitz if everything is working for him and even his SB Nation profile projects him as an aggressive scoring forward.
Steve Tambellini did a very nice job in signing Brule to a two-year deal with an annual cap hit of $1,850,000 - the deal gives the Oilers a player with a chance to outplay his contract. I think it's a slight overpayment, but given the bizarre restricted free agent contracts that we've seen this off-season, this seems to be a value deal. Brule will be given every opportunity to succeed, as he's either going to be on a second minutes line with Sam Gagner or he's going to get third minutes as a center, both of which should help his counting numbers greatly.
Next up, I talk about the greatness of Vancouver hockey.
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We note that all six [comparable] players received new contracts in the 2-3 year range, with all but Mr. Steen receiving a graduated salary with increases built in after the first year. Since Mr. Brule’s award will be for one season only, the comparative figures used for this award will be the comparison players’ first-year salary, not their overall cap hit. Mr. Brule will have every opportunity to earn a further raise one year hence, an opportunity that the other players forewent in agreeing to multi-year pacts.
“We award Gilbert Brule a one-year contract in the amount of $1,550,000.”
Me, in the role of C&B’s Mock Arbitrator
Your award came in too high
- Derek, in the comments
In reality I suspect Brule winds up getting more than my figure if he signs for multiple years. I held the figure down because it was just the one year. Hopefully I’m wrong and he signs a two-year deal at $1.2 or something, but I’d be surprised, let’s put it that way.
- Me, in the comments
I think it’s a slight overpayment, but given the bizarre restricted free agent contracts that we’ve seen this off-season, this seems to be a value deal.
- Derek, today
Derek: I think we’re seeing a bit more eye to eye on this now. The key is the second year. To me that is the optimal length contract for a guy in his situation. Certainly we have past experience that three years can be at least one too long (Nilsson, POS). I don’t see Brule as a core player that we want to wrap up for 5 or 6 years, but this gives him ample time at a fairly reasonable price to prove what he really is, with the club still holding an option at the end of the pact.
I suspect the area where we continue to disagree is in the “what he really is” part, with you seeing a lower ceiling than do I. The insurance policy in Brule’s case is he has the sort of game that can contribute in a bottom six role as well, whereas the bought-out guys mentioned above were pretty much top six or bust.
Writer for The Copper & Blue and primary shareholder of Zorg Industries
"Never be ashamed of who you are" -- Jean-Baptiste Emanuel Zorg
Why do you hate Gilbert Brule?
(The schizophrenicity of my rankings is more due to my valuing current, clear NHL ability above future, possible NHL ability this time whereas I did very much the opposite last time. I think I’m right this time around.)
by Benjamin Massey on Jul 28, 2010 7:12 PM PDT reply actions
(Schizophrenicness.)
(Schizophrenitude.)
by Benjamin Massey on Jul 28, 2010 7:12 PM PDT up reply actions
Schizophrenological?
SNN Sports - A theoretical Oilers blog (i.e. theoretically, I write stuff there). Link now 100% less broken.
Schizophrenliness.
I dunno. The schizoid folks I’ve encountered don’t seem all that phrenli.
Writer for The Copper & Blue and primary shareholder of Zorg Industries
"Never be ashamed of who you are" -- Jean-Baptiste Emanuel Zorg
by Bruce McCurdy on Jul 29, 2010 10:13 PM PDT up reply actions
This has nothing to do with Gilbert
But I wanted to just say that I think this blog is consistently one of the most well-informed, well-written, and most entertaining of the hockey blogs I read regularly. All of you do an excellent job and should know that your efforts are appreciated. :)
"It is a mistake to try to look too far ahead. The chain of destiny can only be grasped one link at a time." --Sir Winston Churchill (1874 – 1965)
Hey, thanks Baroque! Good to hear from you … I saw the Tigers on the tube briefly the other day and thought of you.
Writer for The Copper & Blue and primary shareholder of Zorg Industries
"Never be ashamed of who you are" -- Jean-Baptiste Emanuel Zorg
by Bruce McCurdy on Jul 29, 2010 10:45 AM PDT up reply actions
Best to keep it brief right now. They are playing some pretty sad and pitiful baseball right now with all their injuries and chock-full of rookies. They are almost more Toledo Mud Hens than Tigers at the moment.
//sigh// Nothing to do but stick it out and see what the kids can do, and start fresh next season. :)
"It is a mistake to try to look too far ahead. The chain of destiny can only be grasped one link at a time." --Sir Winston Churchill (1874 – 1965)
I have been reading regularly, but just not commenting much. I’ve gotten sucked into twitter lately.
"It is a mistake to try to look too far ahead. The chain of destiny can only be grasped one link at a time." --Sir Winston Churchill (1874 – 1965)
Are you @Baroque? Or … ?
I’m @BruceMcCurdy, although after an initial run I have given Twitter a fairly wide berth. That shit can eat up your whole day.
Writer for The Copper & Blue and primary shareholder of Zorg Industries
"Never be ashamed of who you are" -- Jean-Baptiste Emanuel Zorg
by Bruce McCurdy on Jul 29, 2010 10:12 PM PDT up reply actions
I’m @Baroque97
And no kidding on the time suck. It’s fantastic because I can chitchat with friends and check my newsfeeds in five to ten minutes of dead time at work when I’m waiting for a timer to go off or a temperature to be reached, but I feel like I am back in college and a great conversation is going on in the evening and I cannot tear myself away to work on my lab report that is due tomorrow. My effectiveness after staying up past 3:00 am is a lot less now than it was 20 years ago, sadly enough. :)
"It is a mistake to try to look too far ahead. The chain of destiny can only be grasped one link at a time." --Sir Winston Churchill (1874 – 1965)
Followed. I’m now at the point where I have so many hockey and video-game journalists, in addition to hockey bloggers and game-forum friends, I literally cannot keep up anymore. I’m not sure if that means I’m doing it wrong or doing it right.
SNN Sports - A theoretical Oilers blog (i.e. theoretically, I write stuff there). Link now 100% less broken.
I think what I find the most interesting is a lot of people who hype up Brule (read the comments of the JW article) by saying don’t look at the stats, watch the player aren’t actually watching the player.
I think they see his 17 goals and get all doe-eyed about that and ignore all of his obvious flaws when you actually get around to watching him.
He’s a horrible positional player, he doesn’t read the play well and relies far too much on his speed to accomplish anything. Brule likes to hit, but how many times have you actually seen him hit the guy with the puck? He’s always hitting the guy a second or two after he passes it, meaning he’s behind the play and has to play catch up.
Can you recall how many times Brule would wait in the seams and anticipate a play? Where he’d be in a good position and properly anticipate and react to the puck? He just doesn’t do it. He has Jani-Rita syndrome. Good tools but absolutely no clue on how to use them.
He’s a timbits hockey player. Running around all over the ice chasing the puck like a magnet. Works great in junior, not so much in the NHL.

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