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Around SBN: Which Players Will Join The 3,000-Hit Club?

Linus Omark - Ninth On The Oilers Top 25 Under 25 List

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When it comes to shootouts, Linus Omark makes Rob Schremp look like Jason Strudwick.  He's a highlight reel superstar with an entire bag of dipsys and doodles, stops and goes, heres and theres and now-you-see-it-now-you-don'ts.  When NHL players need a new move, they steal from Omark.  Unlike Schremp, however, Omark has already established himself as a player, at least in Europe.

The problem with expecting too much out of Omark is the same problem that plagues seemingly every Oiler drafted from 2006 - 2009 - he's small, extremely small.  Omark is 5'9" on his toes and 176 lbs soaking wet after participating in a pie-eating contest.  His size hasn't been a detriment on the larger ice surfaces of the Swedish Elite League and the Kontinental Hockey League, but the smaller surfaces of North America might neutralize his skill game completely.

His scouting reports call him "feisty", but is a little bit of pest combined with a lot of skill enough to survive against much larger players in a much smaller space?  It's a bet that I, Bruce and Scott are all making.

Star-divide


RankPlayer DOBDraftedYearBen
Bruce
Derek
JonScott
9 Linus Omark
2/5/87
97 2007
15 7 6 11 7

 

Previous rank: 6

Omark falls three spots from last season, mostly due to new arrivals and Jonathan dropping him from eight to eleven.  Ben raised him one spot and the rest of us dropped him one spot.


AgeLeagueTeamG*
A*P*+/-PIMPPG*S/GPCT
2007 - Linus Omark 20 SEL Lulea HF
13 24 37 -2
46 N/A 2.1 9.1
2008 - Linus Omark 21 SEL Lulea HF
28
38 66 +18 66 N/A 2.2 18.7
2009 - Linus Omark 22 KHL Dynamo 24 20 44 -14 34 9 1.9 19.0

*Indicates NHLE82 equivalency

It looks to many as though Omark's production dropped off when he jumped to the KHL, but as a percentage of total offense,Omark scored 12% of Dynamo's goals and 15% of Lulea's goals.  I have no explanation for the huge falloff in his assist rate.

He was also a -14 for Dynamo Moscow, which looks terrible, especially considering that Dynamo outscored their opponents 166-151 and teammate Jiri Hudler was only -4.  However, a closer look at Dynamo's scoring shows that they outscored their opponents 57-31 on the power play and 9-4 short-handed, meaning that they were outscored 100-116 at even strength.  Dynamo scored 34.3% of their goals on the power play and Omark scored 35% of his goals on the power play. 

There are three significant concerns for Omark at this point:

  • He was -8 in his last 14 games of the regular season in the KHL
  • He didn't follow that up with a strong World Championship Tournament.  He had one goal and three assists in nine games, while younger teammate Magnus Paajarvi had five goals and four assists in the same nine games.
  • Omark's shooting percentage took an enormous leap forward in the last two seasons - from 9.1% in 2007 to 18.7% in 2008 and 19% in 2009.  Does he possess true shooting talent, or are those numbers an aberration and his NHL numbers are still likely to fall in the 13 goals, 24 assists range that he produced in 2007?

Johan worked up an excellent scouting report on Omark last year, and had an interview killed by Dynamo at the last minute.  In the scouting report he noted:

Linus has got a good nose for the goal, and is a natural scorer, he really has great offensive awareness and is good at finding his teammates with the pass. Sure he is lacking in size, but makes up for it with great balance, skill and he is deceptively good at holding onto the puck both in the open ice and along the boards. That being said, he probably needs to hit the gym pretty hard if he really is going to succeed in the NHL...

If Omark makes the team, he seems a sure bet to play second unit power play minutes with Taylor Hall and Gilbert Brule.  He's got size to overcome and he's in tough against a number of younger, larger, faster wingers, but his skill level, combined with his power play prowess may give him an early leg up.

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At the least, Omark in the shootout may be worth a few fantastic moves and maybe an extra 2 points through the year.

I’m very curious if he can fill Comrie’s shoes as a small player who can play. It is probably too early to expect that, but would be nice. This might be his only shot at making the Oilers.

I also think Hall’s shot and pedigree will give him 1PP with Hemsky.. Depending on Omark’s shot and ability to win battles, he would probably slot to play 2nd PP with Gagner and Brule… If he doesn’t have either then I would have to think he’s in OKC.

by till_horcoff_is_coach on Jul 27, 2010 12:00 PM MDT reply actions  

There’s a real possibility that he’s going to sell a bunch of tickets in Oklahoma City.

Editor of The Copper & Blue, and leader of The Cult Of Hartikainen.

by Derek Zona on Jul 27, 2010 2:31 PM MDT up reply actions  

The RSL has always been sort of dicey when it comes to handing out secondary assists, so that might be one explaination as to why his assist numbers are down.

by dawgbone98 on Jul 27, 2010 1:24 PM MDT reply actions  

I thought about exploring that, but didn’t feel like crunching the numbers. If it’s not that, I’d be happy with “glitch” as an explanation. He’s a proven playmaker.

Editor of The Copper & Blue, and leader of The Cult Of Hartikainen.

by Derek Zona on Jul 27, 2010 2:30 PM MDT up reply actions  

I’m with Ben on this one. I can’t see Omark making it in the NHL except perhaps with a team that can give him exceptionally well sheltered even strength minutes and then use him predominantly on the power play. Call it the Schremp phenomena, if you like, because I’d project a similar marginality for Omark in the NHL.
Again, I hope to be proven wrong on this.

by Yeti# on Jul 27, 2010 1:37 PM MDT reply actions  

The big difference between the two is that Omark can skate. Whether he chooses to apply himself will likely be the difference. There’s no denying that he has a world class skill set.

Editor of The Copper & Blue, and leader of The Cult Of Hartikainen.

by Derek Zona on Jul 27, 2010 2:30 PM MDT up reply actions  

Omark’s bad luck that he is one of four (4) high-skilled wingers all looking to break in at once. And I’m not even counting Hartikainen (yet). At least Tambellini opened up two spots with the riddance of POS and Nilsson, but the competition should be hot and heavy. Surely at a minimum we can expect the Oilers to have upgraded on the wings by the time the dust settles.

Writer for The Copper & Blue and primary shareholder of Zorg Industries

"Never be ashamed of who you are" -- Jean-Baptiste Emanuel Zorg

by Bruce McCurdy on Jul 27, 2010 4:55 PM MDT up reply actions  

If the World Championships were any indication, his assists decreased because Harju couldn’t score.

by zys on Jul 27, 2010 5:39 PM MDT reply actions  

The reason omarks assist total dropped in the KHL is because they don’t count the second assist .

by jamescastleii on Jul 28, 2010 6:50 AM MDT reply actions  

They do count them, they are just rare.

http://en.khl.ru/report/168/?idgame=27861

From a quick look, it’s about 40% of goals in the KHL have a second assist.

From the NHL it’s close to about 65-70%.

by dawgbone98 on Jul 29, 2010 9:49 AM MDT up reply actions  

Do they play hockey or keep away?

Editor of The Copper & Blue, and leader of The Cult Of Hartikainen.

by Derek Zona on Jul 29, 2010 9:53 AM MDT up reply actions  

Typical Euros, no sense of teamwork!

by Benjamin Massey on Jul 29, 2010 10:08 AM MDT up reply actions  

I tried to type a long, reasoned comment about why I ranked Omark so low on my way home using my phone. Then SB Nation ate it and I got mad.

So I ranked Omark low because Omark is shit. THERE.

by Benjamin Massey on Jul 28, 2010 10:18 AM MDT reply actions  

I am with you here Ben…Well. i dont think that he is shit, but I am not really sold on him.

by SumOil on Jul 28, 2010 12:19 PM MDT up reply actions  

I wonder if his late-season swoon might be an undisclosed injury.

SNN Sports - A theoretical Oilers blog (i.e. theoretically, I write stuff there). Link now 100% less broken.

by Doogie2K on Jul 28, 2010 11:47 PM MDT reply actions  

Yeti# is reminded of Schremp. I keep getting flashes of Robert Nilsson, a player seemingly hated by everyone.

by lawrenharris on Aug 4, 2010 3:00 PM MDT reply actions  

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