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Around SBN: News And Other Updates Leading Up To Pats-Giants

Oilers acquire Colin Fraser from Stanley Cup champs

Colin Fraser is the newest member of the Edmonton Oilers. The "energy" forward was acquired very late Wednesday from the Chicago Blackhawks in exchange for a 6th round pick in the immediately upcoming Entry Draft. It is unclear which of the Oilers three 6th-rounders was the one that changed hands, be it their own #151, the #162 they acquired from Anaheim as a kicker in the Lubomir Visnovsky - Ryan Whitney deal, or the #166 acquired from Ottawa for last year's 7th-rounder. (Add: According to @dantencer, it's the #151 pick)

Whatever, a 6th-round pick is a lowlow price to pay for an Actual NHL Player™, which Colin Fraser clearly is. Moreover, he's one that's ready now, doesn't need two more years of junior and two or three or forty years of minor-league training for a shot that may never come. He's already done all of that: 340 regular season and playoff games over 4 seasons with the Red Deer Rebels of the WHL, 248 games over three full AHL seasons with the Norfolk Admirals and Rockford Ice Hogs, and finally 162 games over the last two years with the Chicago Blackhawks. Just 25, this is one experienced hockey player.

Much of that experience is of the winning type, as the Hawks have been a mighty successful team during Fraser's two seasons. For the most part he's been cast as a fourth-line centre who can win an own-zone draw, kill a penalty and make things happen for the 10 minutes a night he's out there. In other words, the second coming of Kyle Brodziak, who was traded out in a very similar deal at last year's Entry Draft, but for less apparent reason. The Oilers never adequately filled that 4C spot in my opinion, but may have done so with this latest transaction.

Of mild concern is that Fraser didn't see much actual playoff action, just 5 games over the two years, which is to say 5 more games of playoff experience than a whole lot of Oilers have. This year he got caught behind a quartet of pivots that included Jonathan Toews, Patrick Sharp, Dave Bolland, and John Madden, all of whom played all 22 games of the playoffs. Chicago's depth was pretty outstanding; but it's from that depth that they must deal bodies away in order to shed payroll, as we saw twice on Wednesday.

Fraser is currently a restricted free agent, having signed a one-year deal with Chicago which paid him $700,000 for the 2009-10 season. That was a $200K raise from his rookie season, and one might surmise that it'll require a similar boost in pay to get this guy happily under contract with his new club. Something in the Ryan Jones range, just under $1M. Get 'er done, I say, and welcome to the club, son. We could use a good man like you.

A microstatistic look at the newcomer after the jump.

Star-divide

Colin Fraser was the first person drafted in the third round of the famously deep 2003 Entry Draft, 69th overall. He was picked (by Philly) immediately after J-F Jacques, while fellow new teammates Ryan Potulny and Zack Stortini were picked later in that third round. (Incoming President of the Optimist's Club or not, I had to temper people's expectations at some point.) Like them, he is a survivor; like them, he is a bottom-sixer. But, as I am fond of saying, every team needs at least 6 of those. With the Oilers' injury history, 16 of them is probably a better number. I'm convinced Fraser is a starting bottom-sixer who will play when healthy, and who should help the club when he does.

Never a big scorer, Fraser improved from 42 to 52 to 53 to 67 points over his four junior years. In the last of those he was picked to play on one of the great World Junior teams, Team Canada 2005, and was later named the CHL's Humanitarian of the Year (!) At the AHL level he improved from 25 to 36 to 41 points. He looks to be one of those guys who just keep getting better.

Fraser posted decent enough numbers (81 GP, 6-11-17, +3) in his rookie season, and despite missing some game action this past season, improved slightly across the board (70 GP, 7-12-19, +6). Much as Brodziak had done in 2008-09, Fraser had very weird splits, just 2-2-4, -4 in 35 games at home, but a very respectable 5-10-15, +10 in the same number of road fixtures. (In '08-09 his home/road splits were indistinguishable from each other so road dominance is hardly a trend, but at least he's not one of these Patrick O'Sullivan types who get destroyed outside his home rink.)

The addition of John Madden seems to have cost Fraser some ice time in 2009-10, at 4C, on faceoff duty, and on the penalty kill. In his rookie season Fraser led Hawks forwards with 2:57 SH TOI/G, while in his sophomore season that number was halved to a still-respectable 1:26. Still, that sounds like a guy who will help the Oilers' woeful PK unit.

Fraser can take a faceoff (a shade under 50% in both seasons, good for a young player), and was relied on by Quenneville to take a lot of defensive zone draws. In '08-09 he was third on the club (behind Ladd and Bolland) with an OPCT of just 44.3%; in '09-10 that got bumped to second on the club (behind Madden) at 41.1%. Impressively, Fraser's OPCT to finish his shift was over 52%. This was a guy who saw, and presumably helped, the puck go in the right direction.

From a scoring perspective, in 2009-10 Fraser posted a pretty impressive ESP/60 rate of 2.01, which ranked a decent sixth among Blackhawks with 40+ GP. (Among the Oilers, just Dustin Penner and Gilbert Brule outperformed him in this category; Potulny was a distant third at 1.60.)  Evidence his offensive improvement was real can be seen in his personal shots rate, which soared from 0.8/GP to 1.3.

Playing with and against fourth-liners for the most part, Chicago outshot their opposition by 29-18 for every 60 minutes Fraser was on the ice at evens, with that shots-against rate being the best of a pretty impressive Hawks forward corps. Despite a middling PDO# of .979, Fraser's group outscored by over half a goal per 60 minutes.

Among his more impressive attributes, Fraser has shown a good ability to draw many more penalties than he takes. A steady 150-PiM-per-season guy throughout his junior/minor league apprenticeship, Fraser has cut that down to around 50 minutes in the bigs. According to Behind the Net (where I've gotten many of these microstats), he drew 1.3 penalties per 60 in 09-10, more than any Hawk not named Kane or Toews, while taking just 0.3 himself, less than any Hawk not named Madden. That's a real nice combination. Even as a rambunctious rookie Fraser posted almost as good numbers of 1.3 drawn to 0.6 taken. A little thing, maybe, but one of those little things that helps his team win. Right, Ethan?

Fraser is a moderately physical player, finishing fifth among Hawks forwards with 62 hits despite being only 12th in total TOI. He's a decent shotblocker, having led the club in this dept his rookie year, and had a real solid takeaway:giveaway ratio of better than 2:1. For what those numbers are worth.

If you haven't guessed by now, I like this trade, and the more I think about it the more I like it. This is exactly the kind of player the Oilers need:

decent size? check
experienced? check
affordable? check
coming INto his prime? check
a competitive so-and-so? check
a centre? check
... who can actually check?? check
... and can take a draw??? check
... in his own end???? check
... when a man down????? check

Man oh man, is that a shopping list or what. This guy - or somebody exactly like him! - is the sort of player the team has sorely missed since Jarret Stoll, Marty Reasoner and Kyle Brodziak left town. Stifled somewhat by a team so outstanding he became the 13th forward, Fraser's good enough to make the top 12 of every other club in the league. Dare I say the top 9 on some clubs? The good thing is, the description above works equally well for a 3C as a 4C. There's room for a bottom sixer to grow (especially on this club). I expect that Fraser will welcome the challenge, which also represents an opportunity, and get his name under contract sometime before the 30th.

Finally, credit where due to Steve Tambellini who has acquired both a known and needed commodity for a song. A minor deal, perhaps, but such deals are absolutely necessary building blocks to reinforce the long climb back to respectability. Teams don't thrive on stars alone.

Only bummer is Colin is going to have to find a new number. Sorry, bud, 46 is taken. By your new RW.

Poll
Oiler fans, are you happy with the acquisition of Colin Fraser for a 6th round draft choice?
Yes, that's a real sharp pick-up by Tambo
414 votes
No, I would rather have hung on to all our picks
6 votes
Just what we need: more training camp fodder
18 votes
Meh, we got bigger fish to fry
50 votes

488 votes | Poll has closed

Comment 34 comments  |  0 recs  | 

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Very nice move by Tambellini. It’s going to be interesting to see how he clears out the logjam of less useful players at the bottom of the lineup.

Editor of The Copper & Blue, and leader of The Cult Of Hartikainen.

by Derek Zona on Jun 24, 2010 6:47 AM MDT reply actions  

I am now somewhat confident that he knows what he has to do

by SumOil on Jun 24, 2010 6:48 AM MDT up reply actions  

Slow learner, eh?

by Yeti# on Jun 24, 2010 7:09 AM MDT up reply actions  

Slow learner, eh?

You talking about Sum, or Tambeliini?

Writer for The Copper & Blue and primary shareholder of Zorg Industries

"Never be ashamed of who you are" -- Jean-Baptiste Emanuel Zorg

by Bruce McCurdy on Jun 24, 2010 8:31 AM MDT up reply actions  

If all else fails, get Batman to write a cheque.

SNN Sports - A theoretical Oilers blog (i.e. theoretically, I write stuff there). Link now 100% less broken.

by Doogie2K on Jun 24, 2010 7:14 AM MDT up reply actions  

agreed. this is a nice move, the sort of move I didn’t think he knew how to make… I am confused by this sudden increase in good Tambo. I’m not complaining, but I am also a bit frightened at the same time

the other regular writer for bringing back the glory and (occasional) columnist at the C & B...

by Stephen Sheps on Jun 24, 2010 7:25 AM MDT up reply actions  

i hear you buddy. He has some real nice work out there, Maybe the way he handles his decisions and his process of decision making are probably not there yet, but he is making the right ones.

by SumOil on Jun 24, 2010 8:53 AM MDT up reply actions  

By my count they now have twenty forwards who are either signed or restricted free agents that have a realistic shot at a roster spot out of training camp. Some of these guys have two-way contracts (Eberle, Omark, Svensson and #1OV) but that still leaves two more guys who will need to pass through waivers in order to get sent down. And that’s if they don’t sign any unrestricted free agents. It seems like there will be at least three forwards at the tweener level or higher who will be out the door before camp starts.

by Scott Reynolds on Jun 24, 2010 10:32 AM MDT up reply actions  

Good pick up

Fraser for a 6th rounder…..he is a solid player. Enjoy him, he will be missed.

by pnote on Jun 24, 2010 8:21 AM MDT reply actions  

Clarity

I really think that when Tambellini says that there is now “clarity” in the organization, this refers to Lowe realizing how shitty of a job he did and is now more “hands off” on the day to day stuff.

Apparently he was very,very,very hands on in the #1OV pick and homework on the pick, but with all the correct moves Tambellini is making, you have to think that Vish’s hand is off the throttle.

by Woodguy on Jun 24, 2010 8:53 AM MDT reply actions  

K-Lowe: VP of Whale Hunting

Writer for The Copper & Blue and primary shareholder of Zorg Industries

"Never be ashamed of who you are" -- Jean-Baptiste Emanuel Zorg

by Bruce McCurdy on Jun 24, 2010 8:58 AM MDT up reply actions  

Lowe was lousy at whale hunting. He was actually not bad prior to the lockout at bargain hunting.

by godot10 on Jun 24, 2010 9:25 AM MDT up reply actions  

Not bad after either (Eric Brewer + useless prospects for Chris Pronger? Marty Reasoner + crap picks for Sergei Samsonov? Jani Rita for anything?). It was just that he mishandled half his big deals and nailed all the little ones.

by Benjamin Massey on Jun 24, 2010 10:45 AM MDT up reply actions  

I guess Lowe is looking forward to the pick being made on Friday so he can turn his focus to unrestricted free agency. :|

by Scott Reynolds on Jun 24, 2010 10:35 AM MDT up reply actions  

Tambo still has plenty of time to blow all this good will come July 1st.

Remember last year when he gained a bunch of good will by trading Cole for Sully, then he went and jumped the gun on Khabibulin and then proceeded to ignore the rest of the gaping holes on the roster (especially after creating one when he dealt Brodziak), all the while he chased Heatley?

So yeah, I’m not holding my breath on that one.

by dawgbone98 on Jun 24, 2010 9:32 AM MDT reply actions  

Trading Cole and his expiring contract for the hapless O’Sullivan and his expensive, two-year deal was good? That is an interesting concept that confuses me.

by David Staples @ The Cult of Hockey on Jun 24, 2010 10:37 AM MDT up reply actions  

I think that it’s safe to say that most commentators thought that it was a decent deal at the time. At least, I don’t remember a lot of hand-wringing and most of the people that expressed some level of discontent also understood why the deal was done.

by Scott Reynolds on Jun 24, 2010 11:12 AM MDT up reply actions  

I didn’t mind the Cole deal. I hated the Kotalik deal.

Editor of The Copper & Blue, and leader of The Cult Of Hartikainen.

by Derek Zona on Jun 24, 2010 12:28 PM MDT up reply actions  

The Cole deal would have been better if O’Sullivan’s deal was expiring the same time as Cole’s. I think that swap and its aftermath was an object lesson in the asset that an expiring contract can be, and the liability that a long-term pact can be. A realization that is still manifesting itself in the cap-era NHL, where divestiture of unwanted contracts has become a high priority in way too many front offices around the league, ours most certainly included. A bad contract costs way more than just money.

Writer for The Copper & Blue and primary shareholder of Zorg Industries

"Never be ashamed of who you are" -- Jean-Baptiste Emanuel Zorg

by Bruce McCurdy on Jun 24, 2010 1:04 PM MDT up reply actions  

Well, the Cole deal wouldn’t have made any sense at all if O’Sullivan’s contract expired at the same time. Cole was a good player here and there would be no point switching him out for a guy who probably wasn’t as good in the present. The Oilers clearly believed that O’Sullivan was actually good, and that having him locked in for two more seasons was a good thing, a sentiment shared by most folks when the deal went down.

by Scott Reynolds on Jun 24, 2010 1:13 PM MDT up reply actions  

Sorry, the point was meant as a parable, if not parabolic. The “best part” of the trade, two more years of POS locked up, turned out to be the “worst part”.

Writer for The Copper & Blue and primary shareholder of Zorg Industries

"Never be ashamed of who you are" -- Jean-Baptiste Emanuel Zorg

by Bruce McCurdy on Jun 24, 2010 1:21 PM MDT up reply actions  

Ah, I see. I must say that I agree. Sorry for my confusion there Bruce.

by Scott Reynolds on Jun 24, 2010 1:37 PM MDT up reply actions  

If you can find me 2 people who were agaisnt that move at the time, I’d be shocked.

by dawgbone98 on Jun 24, 2010 2:40 PM MDT up reply actions  

Fair enough, Dawgbone.

Of course, most people hadn’t seen enough of O’Sullivan to really know what kind of player was coming here … Many of us went by his advanced stats, such as Corsi +/-.

by David Staples @ The Cult of Hockey on Jun 24, 2010 3:25 PM MDT up reply actions  

And other crazy advanced stats like "points." Those 53 points at age 22 the year before the trade and 37 points over 62 games in L.A. the year of the trade deceived us! I guess the thing to learn here is that we should never – e-e-e-e-e-ever – use points to determine the value of individual player.

Also, Chris Jericho is great.

by Scott Reynolds on Jun 25, 2010 7:51 AM MDT up reply actions  

Feels like a nothing move to me… I’m convinced the Oilers are determined to have 9 guys on the 4th line. Can we work on the first 3 lines first?

by Czechboy on Jun 24, 2010 10:20 AM MDT reply actions  

Great Move

it is the #151, I heard n TSN…who is Dan Tencer???

by Oilerfan83 on Jun 24, 2010 10:26 AM MDT reply actions  

Dan Tencer is a reporter in Edmonton.

by Scott Reynolds on Jun 24, 2010 10:33 AM MDT up reply actions  

Upton Sinclair reincarnate.

SNN Sports - A theoretical Oilers blog (i.e. theoretically, I write stuff there). Link now 100% less broken.

by Doogie2K on Jun 24, 2010 2:00 PM MDT up reply actions  

Good-to-great signing by Tamby. Great post by McCurdy.

by David Staples @ The Cult of Hockey on Jun 24, 2010 10:34 AM MDT reply actions  

Thanks, David! It was a late night project, fer sher. Glad it held together.

Writer for The Copper & Blue and primary shareholder of Zorg Industries

"Never be ashamed of who you are" -- Jean-Baptiste Emanuel Zorg

by Bruce McCurdy on Jun 24, 2010 1:05 PM MDT up reply actions  

Great addition at a great price

by dunciano on Jun 24, 2010 11:39 AM MDT reply actions  

Wow, those poll results are pretty emphatic. The yes or no vote is currently split 85% to 0% (actually 312 votes to 3, so “just” 100:1 in favour, not ∞). I have to say it’s a deal I would make 100 days out of 100, and am gratified to see the masses agree. That’s a rare enough occurrence on virtually anything involving the Oilers.

Writer for The Copper & Blue and primary shareholder of Zorg Industries

"Never be ashamed of who you are" -- Jean-Baptiste Emanuel Zorg

by Bruce McCurdy on Jun 24, 2010 2:37 PM MDT reply actions  

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