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Blackhawks 2 Flyers 1 - Game 2 Scoring Chances

Marian Hossa controls the puck as two opponents close in.  Everybody knows that one isn't going to be enough.

The second period starts slowly.  There is still ample tension but the game is more subdued physically than it had been in the first.  The play goes back and forth but neither team can penetrate the defence for a good chance on goal and the goalies who looked so shaky in Game One have still barely been tested.  Without warning, the game shifts.  Mike Richards takes a Moreaunic hooking penalty in the offensive zone (redundant, I know) as he tries to slow Brian Campbell who he's racing for the puck.  As the play concludes, Dan Carcillo hits Campbell as if to remind us that hockey is a strange game.  The violent play is consequence-free but the skillful stick earns two minutes of shame. 

The Hawks are as stifled on the power play as they had been at even strength and the two minutes come and go without a shot on goal.  Richards is out of the box inspired to make amends.  He takes a pass from Simon Gagne and breaks in on goal alone, a cold Niemi the only man standing between Richards and a "History Will Be Made" promotional video.  Alas, history wasn't made, at least not in the way Richards had hoepd, but the flood-gates are opened.  Duncan Keith with a shot off the rush, Ville Leino with a power move to the front of the net, Richards again off a steal and Marian Hossa with a one-timer from the slot.  It looks like these goalies are playing pretty well.

The teams are set for a faceoff in the offensive zone.  Oskars Bartulis' chance to clear goes hard up the boards but is kept in at the line by Keith.  A second chance for Lukas Krajicek is ripped around the other side with a bit more urgency but this time Seabrook holds it in.  The puck comes to Sharp in the high slot who wastes no time in getting the puck on net.  Like vultures Brouwer and Hossa swoop down to pick Bartulis' and Krajicek's flailing carcasses and the Hawks have the lead.

And then it's 2-0.  Ben Eager is as surprised by his abrupt interjection as he is excited.

Star-divide

Scoring Chances

For those who'd like a definition: a scoring chance is defined as a clear play directed toward the opposing net from a dangerous scoring area - loosely defined as the top of the circle in and inside the faceoff dots, though sometimes slightly more generous than that depending on the amount of immediately-preceding puck movement or screens in front of the net.  Blocked shots are generally not included but missed shots are.  A player is awarded a scoring chance anytime he is on the ice and someone from either team has a chance to score.  He is awarded a "chance for" if someone on his team has a chance to score and a "chance against" if the opposing team has a chance to score.  And, of course, a big thanks to Vic Ferrari for making the whole damn thing possible with his awesome scripts.

Chi-phi_game_2_part_1_medium

Chi-phi_game_2_part_3_medium

In Game One the two teams had six chances each at even strength chance with the score tied.  In Game Two, both teams earned eight chances with the score tied.  Philadelphia may be down 2-0 in the series but they haven't looked like the mediocre Eastern Conference team that many were expecting.  In fact, netminding aside, describing the series as even is being charitable to the Blackhawks more than it is to the Flyers.  As for the third period, I think the Flyers deserve a lot of credit for their +8 differential.  The Blackhawks weren't sitting on their lead.  They were willing to forecheck with two attackers and when a defender had an opportunity to jump into the play with minimal risk, he didn't hesitate.  This was more a case of the Flyers being aggressive and earning chances as a result.  The empty-net chances at the end are a good reflection of the Flyers' attitude throughout the period.  I thought it was kind of funny that Laviolette decided not to pull Michael Leighton after the Hawks iced the puck 1:55 only to then pull him when they iced it for a second time ten seconds later, but his second call was, in my opinion, the right one and a very aggressive move compared to many other NHL coaches.  The Hawks were trapped with Niklas Hjalmarsson and Brent Sopel on the ice and the Flyers almost capitalized.  Laviolette's decision to keep the goalie pulled with a defensive zone faceoff and under thirty seconds to go was another good aggressive call that  might be considered unconventional.  Bottom line: the Flyers earned their chances but just couldn't score.

Chi-phi_game_2_part_2a_medium

Chi-phi_game_2_part_2b_medium

Both teams were much better tonight which made for a more exciting hockey game.  For the Flyers, the top line was dominant, especially in the last two periods.  I don't know if they were at all spurred on by Dan Carcillo's antics but I thought that guy's play in the first period made it one of the more exciting first periods I've seen in the playoffs (though that head-butt on Tomas Kopecky was filthy).  For the Hawks, the top line was a lot better.  They didn't generate much offense but they weren't giving a tonne back either, which is a big improvement over Game One.  Still, there's no question in my mind that Hossa, Sharp and Brouwer were, again, Chicago's best line.  If I was Peter Laviolette, I'd be tempted to match Richards, Carter and Gagne against Hossa, Sharp and Brouwer.  I can't imagine Bolland's group doing as much damage as Sharp's against the lower half of the lineup and if nothing else it will make Quenneville work hard to get the matchups he wants.

 

Inhabitants of the New Jerusalem

3. Simon Gagne - He played most of the game with Mike Richards and Jeff Carter and that line did a very good job.  They may have been Philadelphia's worst line in Game One (relative to expectations) but tonight they were by far the Flyers' most dangerous unit.  Gagne himself had a splendid game.  The scoring chances include Gagne's goal of course but that certainly wasn't the only one that involved Gagne directly  A couple more were Gagne's own shots and still others involved some great passes.  His best pass is likely the one to spring Mike Richards at 12:27 of the second for a breakaway but...

2. Antti Niemi - made the save.  After a poor game in Game One, Antti Niemi was very good in Game Two.  He was the best goaltender in the game and that was one of the biggest reasons the Blackhawks won.  The Flyers had several chances but tended to miss the net (or hit the post in the case of Claude Giroux) when they went for the high part of the net and couldn't beat Niemi when they went for the low part of the net.  It seemed to me that Niemi played a very strong positional game.

1. Marian Hossa - He was stirring the drink on the line with Patrick Sharp and Troy Brouwer.  The chances don't look all that favourable at +8 -7 but he was +7 -4 without the empty-net sequence at the end of the game.  He was justly rewarded with the go-ahead goal, scored with a wonderful combination of Hossa's skills.  He identified an opportunity, moved in quickly, was strong enough to gain position and elevated the puck from in tight.  Hossa has been great in both of the first two games and if Chicago wins, he'll be the guy I'm most happy for.  I like to imagine Patrick Kane celebrating this win only to have Marian Hossa grab him by his popped collar and yell, "Respect the hockey gods!" as he shakes him half to death.  At the very least, I guarantee Hossa is the guy least comfortable with a 2-0 series lead.

 

Cast Into the Lake of Fire

3. Danny Briere - Yeah, not so good this time.  I thought he ran around a bit when the puck was in the Flyers' zone but by far the most egregious play was the sequence beginning at about 1:25 of the second period with the Hawks up 2-0.  Briere got the puck at the Hawks' blueline but instead of getting it deep, he skated back toward his own zone.  Patrick Sharp followed and instead of moving the puck to a teammate, Briere decided to grab Sharp's stick, either to try to draw a penalty or because he was afraid Sharp was going to steal the puck.  At any rate, he doesn't get the call and Troy Brouwer sneaks in to steal the puck and gets a great scoring chance.  This is followed by Marian Hossa getting the rebound, though at least his shot was blocked.  This was a terrible sequence by Briere that really ought to have resulted in him getting a penalty in the best case scenario.

2. Dave Bolland - Well, when you take out that empty-net sequence in the third he's... still -6.  Damn.  At least he was starting a lot in his own zo...not so much.  Nine OZ draws against seven DZ draws in the game at evens.  In addition to the -6 for the chances, he also "led" the team with a -11 Corsi.  Just bad.  In fairness, he is playing with Tomas Kopecky who, at least in my opinion, is pretty awful.  Against the Canucks Kopecky played with Sharp and Hossa and they just looked awful.  Then Brouwer replaced him and things were fine!  I know the Bolland line wasn't any hell against San Jose with Andrew Ladd in the lineup, but I'd be willing to bet that Ladd is a big improvement on Kopecky.

1. Oskars Bartulis - This was weird, weird, weird.  Bartulis played 10:45, all at even strength.  The last time Ryan Parent played at least that much?  The 6-0 win over Montreal.  If Bartulis is going to play this much in a close game, why on earth was Parent even in the lineup before?  A partial answer would seem to be that Bartulis is pretty terrible.  (Edit: Thanks to Geoff Detweiler for correcting my memory of events on this sequence)  On the Hawks' first goal - and why you would use Bartulis and Krajicek for a DZ faceoff I just don't know - Bartulis wasn't able to clear the zone while his partner wasn't able to clear the rebound and wasn't able to box out Hossa.  On the Hawks' second goal, Bartulis and Krajicek were on the bench.  Do you see how easy that is?  I guess some of the defenders must have told the coach that they couldn't handle thirty minutes a game.  This is bad, bad news for the Flyers.

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Laviolette's decision to keep the goalie pulled

I think he tried to put him back in but it was icing on the Flyers. I don’t think you can put the goalie back in there any more then you can make any other changes…

by DaleHalas on Jun 1, 2010 7:42 AM MDT reply actions  

You can put the goalie back in on an icing call. Either that or the refs or crazily inconsistent because I saw it quite a few times during the season.

by Scott Reynolds on Jun 1, 2010 7:46 AM MDT up reply actions  

refs

It looked at the time like the refs were pointing the goalie back to the bench.

But I looked up the icing 81.4 rule:

However, a team shall be permitted to make a player substitution to replace a goalkeeper who had been substituted for an extra attacker…

by DaleHalas on Jun 1, 2010 9:55 AM MDT up reply actions  

Ben Eager shot was Ovechkin-esque.
Yeah well the third period looked like the 1st period for the hawks. the hawks kept the flyers from even registering a shot on goal for about 10 mins in the 1st.
Though Hawks were outchanced, I am happy with the results.
Also if you take out the PP and the EN sequence, the chances for Flyers are 5-3 then right?

by SumOil on Jun 1, 2010 8:06 AM MDT reply actions  

One of the EN chances was Chicago’s so without the EN and PP chances, the total for the third period was 6-2 for the Flyers. In the first period, the chances were only 3-2 Chicago at EV.

by Scott Reynolds on Jun 1, 2010 8:11 AM MDT up reply actions  

Damn…yeah you are right. But in the 1st it looked like it was all hawks.

by SumOil on Jun 1, 2010 8:44 AM MDT up reply actions  

also 5-2
3 pp chance and 3 EN chance

by SumOil on Jun 1, 2010 8:45 AM MDT up reply actions  

Really enjoy your writeups, Scott.

"....we have to find a way to win. And good teams do that."

Tomas Kopecky May 29, 2010

by ballyb on Jun 1, 2010 8:29 AM MDT reply actions  

You’re absolutely right about Bartulis and Krajicek being out for a defensive zone draw, but all Bartulis did was have the failed clear where he missed the winger along the boards. It was Krajicek who failed to clear the rebound in the crease and fail to box out Hossa.

Bartulis played remarkably better than Ryan Parent and earned those minutes. Still can’t trust him and Krajicek in the defensive zone though.

Man-crushin' on Boucher since 1999
Broad Street Hockey - Makin' it look mean since 1967.

by Geoff Detweiler on Jun 1, 2010 8:35 AM MDT reply actions  

Bummer. You are absolutely right about the Krajicek v. Bartulis mix-up. I must have gotten the numbers confused as I watched the sequence. I’ll run through and do a quick edit so that the narrative actually reflects what happened.

As for Parent, I’ve barely seen him play but given the amount of trust the coach has in him and his results on the year, he can’t be very good. Nonetheless, there’s a massive drop-off from Philly’s top four to whoever is on their third pairing and I don’t think the guys on the third pairing would be playing ten minutes unless the other defenders looked like they couldn’t handle thirty minutes.

by Scott Reynolds on Jun 1, 2010 8:56 AM MDT up reply actions  

As for Parent, I’ve barely seen him play

neither have we. The dude is a walking injury. I beleive he’s had shoulder and back surgery this year (don’t quote me on that ) and had being suffering from groin injuries torward the end season when he finally was activated . He was basically out for the year.
Thanks for the doing the charts.

by j reed on Jun 1, 2010 11:45 AM MDT up reply actions  

Kopecky is, indeed, awful. There’s a reason the Wings got rid of him.

by Kent Wilson on Jun 1, 2010 8:52 AM MDT reply actions  

Nice write-up, Scott.

I thought Chicago was very lucky to win this game. They had a strong first period, but Philly was starting to carry the play before those two sudden goals, and then Philly owned the dying minutes of the second and most of the third. Of course there were score effects, but the Flyers were winning by far the lion’s share of the puck battles and the Blackhawks were back on their heels to my eye. When they did get possession and a chance to move up ice they couldn’t seem to make a simple breakout pass time and again, and just looked very nervous as a group. Except for Niemi, who was the difference in this one.

Interesting to see Brian Campbell with 0 scoring chances against, still drawing the short straw in the third. Surprising to me that he’s on the bench while Brent Sopel gets so much ice on the second pairing. Sopel’s played nearly 42 minutes in the SCF, Campbell under 30. EV scoring chances: Sopel +10/-15; Campbell +5/-3.

Also, Dave Bolland adds to his legend by drawing another peevish penalty from the opposition’s big star. Never mind the +1/-7, he’s obviously getting under Richards’ skin, right?

Writer for The Copper & Blue and primary shareholder of Zorg Industries

"Never be ashamed of who you are" -- Jean-Baptiste Emanuel Zorg

by Bruce McCurdy on Jun 1, 2010 9:27 AM MDT reply actions  

You guys have been great all playoffs. Thanks for doing this.

I think my favorite refrain from Chicago fans is how their depth is just too much for the Flyers. Looking at the scoring chances (and just watching the game objectively), it’s pretty obvious, Philly has no problem with Chicago’s depth.

The real difference is Chicago’s 3rd d-pair is slightly better than Philly’s (Hendry is awful) and most importantly, Niemi is outplaying Leighton. If the series continues the way it is going (i.e. Toews shutdown), I think you can make a strong argument for Niemi as Playoff MVP.

Again, great stuff.

by NTB on Jun 1, 2010 9:36 AM MDT reply actions  

I agree up to a point

I think Philly’s the deepest team that Chicago’s had to face so far and it’s pretty darn close on paper. If anything, Philly’s forward depth is slightly higher (Eager and Burish don’t get much time, but Madden leads in PK ice time; while Philly has two fourth liners guys, I think? on the PK plus can just roll them all at even strength), while Chicago’s blue line depth is slightly higher (Sopel on the PK, plus taking some of Campbell’s shifts as of late; Hendry isn’t as bad as you think — he was pretty good yesterday, tied for 2nd on the Hawks with a +7 Corsi).

I think it’s been a pretty closely played series so far, but perhaps because D men play a higher proportion of the game, the depth on D is a slightly on advantage over depth on forwards?

by VerStig on Jun 1, 2010 10:08 AM MDT up reply actions  

Chicago probably does have an advantage in forward depth. I don’t think Philly can ice three lines as good as Chicago’s top three lines. To be honest, I think lack of depth has actually given Philly some trouble in the match-up against Sharp/Hossa/Brouwer so far but that may be more match-ups than anything else. The Flyers could try to flip Richards to Sharp in the next two games and force Bolland to beat them offensively. That’s probably the smart play at this point.

by Scott Reynolds on Jun 1, 2010 10:37 AM MDT up reply actions  

You could also make the argument

that Briere’s line owned Toews’s in Game 1, but I wonder if the story here is still w/ the D. Quenneville switched Keith and Seabrook to match up with them in Game 2, with good results, while Richards’s line did get that one PP goal.

What you’re suggesting is probably right, but it’s not like Bolland’s line can’t score — they only got half of the ‘Hawks goals in Game 1. But, given the fact that Philly’s depth is still there — I think if Philly continues to get some good work from Bartulis, they ought to be able to get at least one of the next too.

by VerStig on Jun 1, 2010 12:06 PM MDT up reply actions  

If Philly is as deep as the Hawks, how come one team finished one point shy of best in the west while the other nearly failed to make the playoffs in the East?

more generally, I agree that the Hawks are very lucky to be up 2-0. Of course, I don’t think Philly fans should take much solace in that. The Hawks simply haven’t played good hockey for a majority of the series. Why? I’m not sure — random variation seems as good an explanation as Philly’s play, although both are equally plausible (tough to make too many declarative statements after two games). The good news is that (to my eye — not sure if the stats bear this out) the Hawks have played better as prior series’ have progressed.

by CWSKeith on Jun 1, 2010 12:23 PM MDT up reply actions  

Bolland's defensive zone starts

I wonder if those were down because of his abhorrent faceoff percentage.

by VerStig on Jun 1, 2010 10:04 AM MDT reply actions  

I think they were probably down mostly because Quenneville wanted the match against Richards and Richards isn’t Philadelphia’s default option in the OZ like the Sedins are for Vancouver or Thornton is for SJ. But you may be right that he wasn’t used as the “second” center as often because of a drop in FO%.

by Scott Reynolds on Jun 1, 2010 10:31 AM MDT up reply actions  

That seems plausible. Richards is an all zone player much more than the other two. In the playoffs Richards has a ZoneStart of 47% while both H.Sedin and Thornton were around 55%.

Writer for The Copper & Blue and primary shareholder of Zorg Industries

"Never be ashamed of who you are" -- Jean-Baptiste Emanuel Zorg

by Bruce McCurdy on Jun 1, 2010 5:09 PM MDT up reply actions  

I’ve been surprised by Philly’s quality I have to admit but I still think Chicago does have a little more depth both up front and on the blue and in a long (possibly) series its going to end up making a difference, especially on the back end. Flyers run four, Hawks can run five and Hendry hasn’t looked bad to my eye Sooner or later the Flyers guys wll tire out I think.

If Ladd comes back then they can drop Kopecky who seems to be an anchor for whatever line he plays on. Flyers already have dropped JVR and by my eye Carcillo, Asham and Giroux all look to be a bit overmatched. Cue hattricks for all three next game ;).

All of this doesn’t matter really as long as Niemi outplays Leighton. The Flyers have no margin for error now. They have not played their best but neither has Chicago. A win on Wednesday and that’s about all.

by Pat Mc on Jun 1, 2010 11:07 AM MDT reply actions  

I was surprised that JVR came out of the lineup for Game Two. I thought for sure it would be Powe or Leino but I guess they really like Leino and Powe kills penalties so JVR was the odd man out.

by Scott Reynolds on Jun 1, 2010 11:32 AM MDT up reply actions  

If Ladd comes back then they can drop Kopecky who seems to be an anchor for whatever line he plays on.

The absence of Ladd is a big factor IMO. The drop-off from Ladd to Kopecky is reminscent of that 5 km cliff on the Uranian moon Miranda, and Bolland and Versteeg are in deep enough without having to carry a weaker linemate. Hawks got luckyluckylucky in Game One that Kopecky of all freakin’ people got the game-breaking goal, which is more than you could expect from Andrew Ladd. But Ladd is by far the better player, also a SCF veteran who might have helped calm those nerves that Chicago has been exhibiting throughout much of the Finals.

All of this doesn’t matter really as long as Niemi outplays Leighton.

Yeah. Same story as the WCF. As we’ve discussed to death elsewhere, a hot goalie can make amends for a multitude of team sins.

Writer for The Copper & Blue and primary shareholder of Zorg Industries

"Never be ashamed of who you are" -- Jean-Baptiste Emanuel Zorg

by Bruce McCurdy on Jun 1, 2010 5:05 PM MDT up reply actions  

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