Navigation: Jump to content areas:


Pro Quality. Fan Perspective.
Login-facebook
Around SBN: Odds On Peyton Manning's Next Home Includes Three Teams

Flyers 4 Canadiens 2 - Game 5 Scoring Chances

Marc-Andre Bergeron - feeling pretty good about the fact that he's not the one who ran over the goalie this time - and  Mike Richards - feeling pretty good about being the best player on the ice - after Richards scored short-handed to tie the game in the first period.

It's an odd game that has the score close to the third period and yet has an emotionally anticlimactic final frame.  But that's exactly the way it felt - at least through my computer - in Philadelphia.  The second period began with the score tied at one and immediately, the home team was charging forward.  Not yet four minutes in, the Flyers took the lead.  Ninety seconds later, the bulge was two and the party was on.  The building reverberated with shouts of joy, with cheers for their heroes and with the mocking - but mostly it's just fun to do - Ole! Ole! taken from Montreal who took it themselves from the beautiful game.  And what could be more beautiful than two quick goals and an entire period in which the Canadiens never once looked dangerous?

The third period was devoid of that extended joy.  The building was excited, but nervously so, especially after the Canadiens scored and especially when Chris Pronger headed to the penalty box for four minutes.  Even once that penalty was killed, no harm done, there was not so much joy as a very small helping of relief.  Twenty thousand fists remained clenched until Jeff Carter finally put the puck into the empty net with twenty seconds to go and everyone could release.  But there were only twenty seconds to celebrate before the final whistle blew and by the time everyone had finished breathing out, it was over.

Scoring chances and more after the jump.

Star-divide

Scoring Chances

For those who'd like a definition: a scoring chance is defined as a clear play directed toward the opposing net from a dangerous scoring area - loosely defined as the top of the circle in and inside the faceoff dots, though sometimes slightly more generous than that depending on the amount of immediately-preceding puck movement or screens in front of the net.  Blocked shots are generally not included but missed shots are.  A player is awarded a scoring chance anytime he is on the ice and someone from either team has a chance to score.  He is awarded a "chance for" if someone on his team has a chance to score and a "chance against" if the opposing team has a chance to score.  And, of course, a big thanks to Vic Ferrari for making the whole damn thing possible with his awesome script.

Phi-mtl_game_5_part_1_medium

It seems that for the second game in a row, Olivier is too depressed to write about scoring chances.  Yesterday was also in the 20s all day in Montreal, so it's quite possible Olivier gave up on this sad-sack crew and enjoyed the sunshine instead.   If he does end up putting up his rendition of the scoring chances for this game, I'll update this section accordingly.

Update: Olivier Returns!

Olivier (En Attendant Les Nordiques) is back and this time the two of us have similar totals, though still several chances that were scored differently.  I had the Flyers winning on total chances 20-15 while Olivier had them winning 19-15.  But, of the 35 chances I scored, we actually only had 30 chances with Philadelphia winning 17-13 in terms of our shared total.  The Cohen Kappa Test that Vic set up for us comes in with a correlation of 0.75 which is a slight recovery from Game Three.  In the end, each of the four games we both scored was between 0.70 and 0.79. My "unique" chances were as follows:

Mtl - 1st - 16:04 (shot from the point is tipped just in front of the net)
Mtl - 1st - 3:43 (rebound shot from a tough angle)
Phi - 2nd - 2:49 (shot from scoring chance area, Olivier must have thought blocked)
Phi - 2nd - 0:37 (shot off rush is tipped wide just in front of the net)
Phi - 3rd - 11:15 (pass from corner tipped on goal by Flyer Fwd. in front)

And these were Olivier's unique chances:

Phi - 1st - 9:37 (jam play at side of net, I thought the Mtl Def. knocked it away)
Phi - 2nd - 4:09 (shot from beside the net)
Mtl - 3rd - 19:38 (shot from slot, I thought blocked)
Mtl - 3rd - 2:30 (pass in front for shot, I didn't think the Mtl. Fwd. got his shot off)

Phi-mtl_game_5_part_3_medium

I've already said it above but it bears repeating.  Montreal was really let down by their play in the second period and by the ineffectiveness of their power play.  The power play had been a problem for the Canadiens all series but this game took the depravity to a new low: three chances against, a short-handed goal and two minor penalties in just under ten minutes of power play time is truly pathetic.  But even with the horrendous power play, the Canadiens would have still probably had enough to win the game if they hadn't fallen apart in the second frame.  Hockey is a mysterious game sometimes.  How do you explain one team being superior for the first and third but drowning in the second?  I really don't know.

Phi-mtl_game_5_part_2a_medium

Phi-mtl_game_5_part_2b_medium

Many of the Canadiens actually played quite well at even strength but I just can't bring myself to praise them too highly since all of those that did were also part of the putrid power play.  P.K. Subban, for instance, had a mammoth +15 Corsi at even strength (the next best on either team was Mike Cammalleri's +9) but ended the night with only one chance on the power play in over six minutes of ice time.  Players like Scott Gomez and Brian Gionta who had struggled mightily in Game Four were much better at even strength in Game Five but were complete non-factors on the PP.  In fact, both were on the ice for Philadelphia's short-handed goal and ended the night -1 in PP goal differential.  As a team, the Canadiens ended the series having played 36:05 on the power play and a goal differential of "even" (+1 -1).  Their only power play goal came on a 5v3 at the very end of Game 3 against the vaunted PK unit of Ryan Parent, Lukas Krajicek and Andreas Nodl and made the score 5-1.  In other words, the Canadiens didn't score a meaningful power play goal in the series.

 

God's Elect

3. Jeff Carter - Two goals on the night, the first of which was on a great shot from the slot to beat Jaroslav Halak.  Carter is coming off an injury and is already playing in the deep end with linemates Simon Gagne and Mike Richards.  Carter's top four forward opponents in this game were Brian Gionta, Scott Gomez, Mike Cammalleri and Tomas Plekanec.  I, for one, have been very impressed by the quality of play Carter has managed on what is surely a still-injured foot.

2. Claude Giroux - I really like this player.  In almost five minutes on the PK he ended up +2 in terms of chances and +1 in terms of goal differential.  To set up the tying goal Giroux came all the way into the corner to pick up a loose puck and send it softly down the ice.  He probably didn't think that Richards would get there first, but the play was nonetheless emblematic of the Flyers' PK overall: aggressive.  Whenever there was a loose puck, the Flyers went after it aggressively and worried less about maintaining a proper box.

1. Mike Richards - He plays the game hard was physically dominant on a number of different occasions.  On the first goal Richards was everywhere.  He went out to the point and steamrolled over Marc-Andre Bergeron before skating up the ice on a three-on-two.  After the Flyers missed, he raced back and got a stick on two consecutive Montreal puck-carriers before moving high in the defensive zone, noticing that Giroux had moved low.  When Giroux put the puck out of the zone, Richards won the race to the puck by diving to push it forward.  He then got up and had enough time to put it into the net.  Wow.  A fantastic game from a fantastic player.

 

Objects of Wrath

3. Hal Gill - This was not Hal Gill's best game.  At about 1:50 of the first period Gill tried to keep the puck in at the blue-line, missed, and then wasn't able to contain Arron Asham who ended up with breakaway.  That time, Halak bailed him out.  In the second period, Gill wasn't so lucky.  This time, he simply forgot about Asham as the Canadiens tried to break out of the zone.  Matt Carle kept the puck in at the line and fed Asham all alone in front of the net.  This time, Asham put the puck away to give the Flyers the lead.

2. Glen Metropolit - It's obviously not his fault that he played over four minutes on the power play but, my oh my, what a bad choice that is.  I know he's been doing it all season but that, frankly, doesn't make the decision any better.  His shot rate on the PP was the worst of the regular Canadiens' forwards and a quick look at his offensive resume (his career high in points is 33) should let you know this is a bad idea.  Unsurprisingly, he was a non-factor on the PP... well, except for losing the battle in the offensive zone corner that led to the puck being cleared for Mike Richards and for that offensive zone tripping penalty he took in the third period with Pronger in the box.  But other than that, non-factor.

1. Marc-Andre Bergeron - That first goal is almost entirely on him.  He is either one of the slowest players in the league or that was one hell of a lazy shift.  After getting run over by Richards initially, he was too slow to get back and pick up the third high man, allowing Philadelphia to get a good scoring chance.  On the actual scoring play he basically stopped skating for a couple of seconds to watch the collision between Richards, Roman Hamrlik and Jaroslav Halak.  Once he saw Richards had the puck, it was too late.  Had he just skated back hard, he would have no doubt been able to get to the loose puck before Richards and prevent the goal.  Setting that play aside, Bergeron also killed Montreal's second power play by taking a penalty of his own about half-way through.  A truly "special" game from the power play specialist.

Comment 11 comments  |  0 recs  | 

Do you like this story?

Comments

Display:

Sad isn’t it, how the Habs do have some really pretty good players and how they’ve been dragged down now that they’re Habs? It’s like the bleu-blanc-rouge acts like Kryptonite sometimes. And it’s not just an impression either — there’s a definite dip in Corsi numbers when players join the Habs and a spike when they leave.

Now this ECF finish will fool people into thinking that they’re close, and the much-needed off-season changes may not come. Pretty clear to me Martin isn’t the right man for the job (I’d call him an outright disaster, actually, but I might be biased against him); the team also needs to continue to add strong 5-on-5 players, but I’m thinking it’ll be for naught if they don’t improve their 5-on-5 strategy a lot.

Hopefully the organization will take a long hard look at what they’ve got once the combination of elation and disappointment at the finish wears off. Montreal got where they got with hot goaltending and a hot stick and IMO, roster-wise they really didn’t need to rely on those two elements quite to that degree. They got outplayed to a degree the talent gap doesn’t justify. They certainly could use more 5-on-5 talent, and it wouldn’t hurt to hang onto the ones they do have (why that Pouliot-for-Latendresse deal was so praised in Habland when it happened I have no idea), but this team needs work.

I don’t think it’s intrinsically hopeless, though. Just… buggy. There needs to be a big improvement, but I think they’re at the point where the right, directed changes could make that difference.

by MathMan on May 25, 2010 7:51 AM MDT reply actions  

I had the game on in the background while I was doing other things yesterday, so I wasn’t paying really close attention. Is it true that the Flyers iced the puck with about 2 minutes left and Martin, with his team down by one and facing elimination, didn’t take the opportunity to pull Halak. If so, how baffling a decision is that?

by Kent Wilson on May 25, 2010 8:48 AM MDT reply actions  

This is true. The Flyers iced the puck with about three minutes left and called a time-out. Then they iced it again with about two and a half minutes left with no TO possible and Martin decided to leave Halak in the net, though I think the Flyers managed to make a change. I guess that extra half-minute made the difference for him.

by Scott Reynolds on May 25, 2010 9:14 AM MDT up reply actions  

Two minutes left is awfully early to pull the goalie in a one-goal game. The long-standing convention used to be to try to tie it up 5-on-5 until pretty much the “last minute of play” announcement. I’ve noticed early pulls are becoming more common these days, but jeez, you give up an empty-netter at any point and you’ve basically pissed away whatever time is left.

Writer for The Copper & Blue and primary shareholder of Zorg Industries

"Never be ashamed of who you are" -- Jean-Baptiste Emanuel Zorg

by Bruce McCurdy on May 25, 2010 9:57 AM MDT up reply actions  

I think coaches should be pulling goalies much earlier, especially when they’re down by more than one. In this case, they had a FO in Philadelphia’s end against a line that had already played about twenty or thirty seconds. It’s hard for me to imagine them getting a better set opportunity in the last two minutes. I’d certainly take him out there, though I think you’re correct that almost all NHL coaches would leave him in.

by Scott Reynolds on May 25, 2010 10:22 AM MDT up reply actions  

Agreed that you pull early when down by more than one, note “in a one-goal game” in my first sentence. ;) The worst of all possible worlds is when an ENGA becomes a GWGA.

Writer for The Copper & Blue and primary shareholder of Zorg Industries

"Never be ashamed of who you are" -- Jean-Baptiste Emanuel Zorg

by Bruce McCurdy on May 25, 2010 7:58 PM MDT up reply actions  

I dunno, in elimination games, I’ve seen some real early pulls at times this playoff. I think coaches are realizing that it makes no sense to sit on that option until there’s only time to run two or three plays.

SNN Sports - A theoretical Oilers blog (i.e. theoretically, I write stuff there). Link now 100% less broken.

by Doogie2K on May 25, 2010 8:32 PM MDT up reply actions  

I really don’t think that’s so bad. If you decide that you’re going to tie (and win) more games by pulling the goalie earlier than you are by waiting until the final minute, it behooves you to do it even if that means losing more often to an ENGWG.

by Scott Reynolds on May 25, 2010 8:37 PM MDT up reply actions  

Halak got them this far, gotta keep him on the ice.

Editor of The Copper & Blue, and leader of The Cult Of Hartikainen.

by Derek Zona on May 25, 2010 9:58 AM MDT up reply actions  

Well, I got them at 20-15 for the flyers and no scoring chances in the second either. Damn the long change, eh?

Their luck ran out and, quite frankly, the flyers had something good going for them. But the PP missed Markov dearly and the cop-out solution of playing Subban off-wing was a bad one I think; he isn’t that good at it and they couldn’t, for the life of them, create separation in philly’s box. Gotta give credit to the Flyers PK tough.

by Olivier on May 25, 2010 12:11 PM MDT reply actions  

We ended up with pretty good agreement throughout the series but definitely not perfect. It’s hard to believe the Habs had no chances in a period twice because, in my experience, that’s been pretty rare. And yet, both times, we both had them with nothing. You don’t win too many games playing like that.

by Scott Reynolds on May 25, 2010 2:08 PM MDT up reply actions  

Comments For This Post Are Closed


User Tools

Welcome to SB Nation's Edmonton Oilers community.

FanPosts

Community blog posts and discussion.

Recommended FanPosts

Dukeriver2_small
A Narrative Revisited: Hemsky 83

Recent FanPosts

+ New FanPost All FanPosts >

Northwest Standings

GP W L OTL PT
Vancouver 53 33 15 5 71
Minnesota 53 25 20 8 58
Colorado 55 27 25 3 57
Calgary 53 24 22 7 55
Edmonton 53 21 27 5 47

(updated 2.8.2012 at 7:10 AM MST)

21 - 27 - 5

Lost 1

Clear Victory Standings

Western Conference

  1. Detroit Red Wings (22-7, .759)
  2. San Jose Sharks (13-5, .722)
  3. Vancouver Canucks (17-7, .708)
  4. St. Louis Blues (12-6, .667)
  5. Chicago Blackhawks (16-12, .571)
  6. Los Angeles Kings (10-9, .526)
  7. Nashville Predators (11-10, .524)
  8. Phoenix Coyotes (12-12, .500)
  9. Dallas Stars (11-15, .423)
  10. Edmonton Oilers (11-15, .423)
  11. Anaheim Ducks (10-14, .417)
  12. Colorado Avalanche (9-13, .409)
  13. Calgary Flames (9-15, .375)
  14. Minnesota Wild (7-13,.350)
  15. Columbus Blue Jackets (5-19, .208)

Eastern Conference

  1. Boston Bruins (21-3, .875)
  2. New York Rangers (18-8, .692)
  3. Pittsburgh Penguins (16-9, .640)
  4. Philadelphia Flyers (14-11, .560)
  5. Toronto Maple Leafs (14-12, .538)
  6. Washington Capitals (14-13, .519)
  7. Montreal Canadiens (11-11, .500)
  8. New Jersey Devils (10-12, .455)
  9. Ottawa Senators (10-13, .435)
  10. Winnipeg Jets (10-14, .417)
  11. Carolina Hurricanes (9-13, .409)
  12. Florida Panthers (7-12, .368)
  13. Buffalo Sabres (7-14, .333)
  14. Tampa Bay Lightning (9-20, .310)
  15. New York Islanders (6-14, .300)

Division Standings

  1. Central (51-39, .567)
  2. Northeast (49-39, .557)
  3. Atlantic (45-37, .549)
  4. Pacific (37-36, .507)
  5. Northwest (34-44, .436)
  6. Southeast (33-54, .379)


Managing Editor

Kurri_small Derek Zona

Laraque_horcoff_250x360_small Scott Reynolds

Columnists

Batman_small ryanbatty

0615pisani_small dawgbone98

Okc_shoulder_small Eric Rodgers

Neal_small Neal Livingston

Mike_small Mike Wntrz

Contributors

Newtwitter2_small Jonathan Willis

Mccurdycloseup_small Bruce McCurdy

Esaandstanley_small Benjamin Massey

Me_smyth_bobblehead3__1_of_1__small Lisa McRitchie

Small Triumph44

Gyi0062208469-bobrovsky_small Chase W

Small JaredL