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Canucks 4 Kings 2 - Game 6 Scoring Chances

The puck is already behind him.  It was that kind of night.

Games five and six were the two most lopsided games of the series by the scoring chances but had two very different outcomes on the scoreboard.  The Kings were downright dominant in the first period and held on through the second but for the second time in the last three games they were unable to hold a third period lead and unable to even get the game to overtime.  Their best chance to achieve the latter in this one came with just over a minute left.  Anze Kopitar sent a hard pass across to Jarret Stoll who had a wide open cage if only he could corral the puck.  But the pass was too hard or in his skates or bounced on the soft L.A. ice or who knows what.  The point is, he missed it completely.  The puck went all the way to the boards where Alex Burrows promptly picked it up, put it into the empty and followed with the douchiest tribute for a fallen teammate that a person might actually still go ahead and do.  You'd think it would be impossible to make something like paying tribute to someone who's passed away into an annoying showboat move but... Alex Burrows is a talented guy.  Scoring chances and more after the jump.

Star-divide

Scoring Chances

For those who'd like a definition: a scoring chance is defined as a clear play directed toward the opposing net from a dangerous scoring area - loosely defined as the top of the circle in and inside the faceoff dots, though sometimes slightly more generous than that depending on the amount of immediately-preceding puck movement or screens in front of the net.  Blocked shots are generally not included but missed shots are.  A player is awarded a scoring chance anytime he is on the ice and someone from either team has a chance to score.  He is awarded a "chance for" if someone on his team has a chance to score and a "chance against" if the opposing team has a chance to score.  And, of course, a big thanks to Vic Ferrari for making the whole damn thing possible with his awesome script.

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CBC mentioned that they had the chances at 10-1 Los Angeles after the first so my numbers are flattering to Vancouver if anything.  As I said above, the Kings were dominant in the first period but some fantastic play from Luongo kept them in the game and the teams went off to the first intermission with only one goal separating them.  Once the Canucks tied the score 1-1 about half-way through the story changed.  From that point on the Canucks out-chanced the Kings 12-9 at EV (and that includes the Kings second goal which was pretty much a power play tally) which fits the pattern of the rest of the series a whole lot better.

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With Andrew Alberts only getting one shift in the third period, everybody else needed to pick up the slack.  Interestingly, it really was everybody as the other five guys all played between 18 and 26 minutes on the night.  Alex Edler probably had the most interesting game with a whole lot of pucks flying toward his net while he was out there but he still ended the night +1 and with a PP assist on Bernier's (wrong Bernier) goal that got the Canucks on the board.  The other player I wanted to note was Shane O'Brien who played more than he usually does and ended up being the only Canuck with a positive chance differential.

Those Born of God

3. Henrik Sedin - The best player on the Canucks' best line. In Vancouver, the Sedins had been finding comfortable match-ups and out-chancing their opponents handily.  In L.A., they'd been forced to deal with Michal Handzus and Fredrik Modin and hadn't been able to consistently generate chances despite the gaudy boxcars.  This game was no different in terms of the match-up (except that Dustin Brown had replaced Brad Richardson from the last game in L.A.) but the results were better.  Although the Samuelsson and the Sedins didn't out-chance overall, they were the only three players who generated a positive Corsi number on the club.  Further, if the Sedins break even at 7-7, odds are they've had a decent game.  I know I'd prefer them at 7-7 than at 2-2 if I were their coach and we'd played a lot of the game coming from behind. 

2. Anze Kopitar - I called him out for poor play after last game and he delivered big-time.  In previous contests Kopitar and Co. had been having some trouble with Wellwood's group (of all people) but last night they put the boots to them.  This was a bit of a problem for the Canucks since they didn't use Rypien or Glass pretty much all gmae.  Not that the fourth line would help a whole lot, but it's a lot easier to promote Grabner mid-game if someone isn't playing well than it would be to elevate Rypien.  At any rate, even when the Cancuks got Kesler on Kopitar, he wasn't able to do much better than Wellwood.  Kopitar also deserves some major props for coming back into the game after he was injured on a play below the goal-line when he and Kesler caught skates.  He very nearly set up the tying goal, but the pass just didn't connect.  Nonetheless, this was a very note-worthy performance.

1. Roberto Luongo - He played his best game of the series tonight and it isn't close as far as I can recall.  He kept his team close in the first period and made a couple of remarkable saves throughout the evening.  The save of the game for me was the glove save off of Ryan Smyth, but there were some other dandies mixed in.  You kind of knew that Luongo would play at a very high level at least once in the series; unfortunately for the Kings, it came in a game that they actually carried the play.

Those Committing the Sin That Leads to Death

3. Dustin Brown - I know that he drew a penalty but he also took two minors, one of which got the Canucks back into the game.  In addition to that, he was on the ice for the next two Canucks' goals as well.  The line he had been playing on was effective in checking the Sedins all series... until tonight.  I know that Brown is a hitter but he also does a lot of flopping which isn't particularly endearing.  I definitely liked the line better when it had Brad Richardson.

2. Michal Handzus - This was by far his weakest game of the series.  Whereas in games three and four he'd been dominating the match-up with the Sedins and in game five he rolled over everyone, the he just wasn't up to the task this evening.  On top of that, he was one of the main culprits on the winning goal.  Doughty directed him specifically over to Daniel Sedin but Handzus decided to leave him alone.  A few seconds later, the puck was in the back of the net.

1. Jonathan Quick - With a bullet.  This was like watching Jeff Deslauriers.  Puck in your crease?  Maybe you should argue with your defender about whether or not to cover.  Need to play the puck behind the net?  May as well kick it.  That didn't work out?  I guess passing it to the Canucks will be better.  Shot from the point with no screen?  I guess we'll let the post handle that one.  Three goals on fifteen chances isn't necessarily bad, but Quick sure did look bad doing it and the tying goal was pretty weak.  It broke my brain all series that Bernier wasn't on the bench.  Personally, I would have given Bernier the start last night but even if you were determined to let Quick see it through, what if Quick had gotten hurt?  You're stuck with Ersberg.  Why wouldn't you have your two best goalies in the line-up at all times?  It was a weird decision all series long.

 

Note - I'll have the full series data updated in a few days and will continue tracking scoring chances for the Canucks throughout the playoffs (I might be busy toward the end of May, but I don't think that'll end up being a problem).

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I’ll have the full series data updated in a few days and will continue tracking scoring chances for the Canucks throughout the playoffs

Woo-hoo! Good news. Thanks Scott first of all for all the write-ups. I found myself waiting with bated breath for my fix on off days. The Oilers management team does not deserve the awesome blog coverage their team gets. (Or maybe they do.) The fans of course definitely do.

The series did seem to sway back and forth based on whether the Kings’ bruising forecheckers and cycling was in charge, or whether the Canucks’ generally more mobile defenders were able to hem those same forwards in with good pinching. Luongo’s rebound control started to return to normal as the series wore on, which helped a lot. Vintage Luongo in the acrobatic save, but not yet vintage in the no drama sense. When he’s really on, he doesn’t actually look that flashy. He also seemed to be doing less of the “ref look over here” stuff as he got more focused, so maybe there’s a lesson in that.

I kinda disagree with Dustin Brown. I warmed up to him. He’s hard on the puck, quick shot, a real bastard who you want to hate (interfering with Luongo’s stick on the second goal was evil genius…and infuriating in the extreme). Almost Kesler-like, though probably not as good a checker.

On Burrows, I’d also like to quietly disagree. I didn’t notice one dive in the games I watched, and I get the sense that he’s off that since Auger-gate.

by antro on Apr 26, 2010 12:55 PM MDT reply actions  

Agreed; I’m really happy to hear that, though I suspect it’ll only keep you (Scott) busy another six, maybe seven games.

by Passive Voice on Apr 26, 2010 1:09 PM MDT up reply actions  

Thanks antro. With Brown, I generally think he’s a positive for his team. I suppose that stick check on Luongo helped his team score a goal, so maybe I wasn’t giving him enough credit for his positive contribution in this game. One of the problems with Brown is that he tries to draw penalties and as a result will sometimes flop when he should just be hard on the puck. He did draw one with a flop on Sedin in the second but there were a few other times where falling over wasn’t a great play. The other part of it is just how well that line had played in previous games. They looked really out of sorts last night.

As for Burrows, I’m not sure what you’re disagreeing about. I didn’t think he played particularly well in the series but I didn’t notice (nor say) that he was diving. I do think that he’s picked a strange way to honour his friend though. An elaborate goal celebration in front of the opposition bench? Judging from his other interaction with opposing teams I’m inclined to believe the reason he goes with that – as opposed to something like changing his number to 82 – is that he loves being able to throw his success in the face of the other guys. Kind of weird thing to do as a tribute.

by Scott Reynolds on Apr 26, 2010 1:17 PM MDT up reply actions  

Kings make a Quick exit from the playoffs.

I saw this guy play a few games late in the year and in this series and he did very, very little to (positively) impress.

Writer for The Copper & Blue and primary shareholder of Zorg Industries

"Never be ashamed of who you are" -- Jean-Baptiste Emanuel Zorg

by Bruce McCurdy on Apr 26, 2010 1:00 PM MDT reply actions  

To be fair, he is fairly young as goalies go, and was in his first year as a 60+ game starter type. But yeah, the Kings are probably happy to have J.Bernier waiting in the wings.

by Passive Voice on Apr 26, 2010 1:15 PM MDT up reply actions  

Judging from his numbers overall and his numbers in the series, I think Quick just had a really tough last three games. But not in the unlucky sense (as opposed to Luongo who I though played pretty well but ended up with a save percentage under .900). He looked bad, and by game six he was really fighting it. That kind of thing is going to happen once in a while. It sucks when it happens in the playoffs.

by Scott Reynolds on Apr 26, 2010 1:22 PM MDT up reply actions  

You’d think it would be impossible to make something like paying tribute to someone who’s passed away into an annoying showboat move but… Alex Burrows is a talented guy.

This was hilarious. My brother and I had a 10-minute conversation arguing over who was a bigger tool: Shane O’Brien or Alex Burrows. I went with O’Brien, he went with Burrows. I think he might be right.

I was kind of hoping Frolov was going to get a star, but Kopitar was probably more deserving. I felt bad for him, he was trying and trying and he just didn’t have linemates that could finish.

This was great all series, Scott. Really appreciate you doing this.

The West Coast is the Best Coast.

by RudyKelly on Apr 26, 2010 2:17 PM MDT reply actions  

I had a lot of fun following the series. The old Oiler connections sure didn’t do the Kings any favours though. Anyway, glad you enjoyed it. Unless the Oilers pull an Avalanche I’ll probably see you at the same time next season.

by Scott Reynolds on Apr 26, 2010 2:22 PM MDT up reply actions  

Re: Burrows tribute to Bourdon

Really, someone sees this as annoying? It’s a tribute to a friend who died. Way to be a jerk about it…

by skeeter_dan on Apr 26, 2010 5:38 PM MDT reply actions  

Think of all the possible ways you could possibly do a tribute. He could change his number to 82 as a tribute. That would be a classy move. He could put Bourdon’s name or number on his helmet. That would be a classy move. He could show-boat in front of his defeated opponents after scoring into an empty net. That would be a clas… oh wait… no, no it wouldn’t. Judging from Burrows other behavior (the constant chirping) I’d say his “tribute” is at least partly Burrows wanting an excuse to rub his victory in the faces of his opponents. That’s his choice and that’s fine but I don’t think you should expect other people to like it. If he walked around giving the finger to people as a tribute “because that’s what Luc did,” would you defend that?

by Scott Reynolds on Apr 26, 2010 6:01 PM MDT up reply actions  

Just wanted to thank you for the best game reviews I’ve seen out there during these playoffs. Great work, looking forward the next round!

And then there’s a little thing I noticed… Until the last week of the regular season, the Kings were 29-0-0 when leading after two periods. Then they blew leads after 40 and lost the shootouts at home against the Coyotes (2-3, were up 1-0 after two) and Ducks (1-2, 1-0) respectively. And in this series, as you mentioned, they were twice unable to hold on to 3rd period leads. That just might be coincidence – or they got tired already prior to the playoffs…

by BenHasna on Apr 27, 2010 4:51 PM MDT reply actions  

What a piss-off of a series. VAN came back a couple times from deficits and that was just frustrating, teams just don’t do that with regularity.

At least Burrows didn’t score a legit goal. Of all the douchebags on the Canucks, Burrows may be the worst.

The Kings are a good squad though, I think they’ll be back next year. I have doubts about the Bernier hype though, I think he’s going to be like most first-year goalies from the AHL, i.e. unspectacular. I mean I have no justification for this because I have not seen the guy play a game or know anything about his profile, but history just has a way of repeating itself, y’know?

I would imagine the smart money is on LA’s W% being higher (in more parallel universes) if they acquired a Vokoun type instead.

by R O on Apr 28, 2010 8:55 AM MDT reply actions  

Well, I’m not sure what you mean by Vokoun type here. I’d suggest that anyone’s W% would be better if they have a top five goalie NHL goalie than if they don’t, so yeah, I agree there if that’s what you’re getting at.

As for Bernier, he’s having a monster season in the AHL this year. I suspect you’re right that he won’t be lights-out in his rookie year, but you never know. At least they’ll have him and Quick together on the roster though. That way they’re not so dependent on the one guy performing up to snuff.

by Scott Reynolds on Apr 28, 2010 11:57 AM MDT up reply actions  

I should have just said “Vokoun” because I was thinking specifically of Vokoun. But I guess what I mean by that was “high-end goaltender who is actually available”.

Which there aren’t many of, I’ll concede. Although Lehtonen was obtained for not-much, he’s a pretty good goaltender when healthy.

by R O on Apr 28, 2010 3:22 PM MDT up reply actions  

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