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Around SBN: In Crunch Time, Spurs Don't Change Their Game

The always affable Gabriel Desjardins takes a look at shooting percentage. This does not bode well for Gilbert Brule.

about 2 years ago Kurri_tiny Derek Zona 3 comments 0 recs  | 

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Great work by Gabe. I fail to follow the snark directed Brule’s way, however; according to Gabe’s work a player his age should be expected to improve both his shots rate and his Sh% in the next couple of seasons.

Writer for The Copper & Blue and primary shareholder of Zorg Industries

"Never be ashamed of who you are" -- Jean-Baptiste Emanuel Zorg

by Bruce McCurdy on Apr 15, 2010 3:07 PM MDT reply actions  

Shooting percentage is essentially constant from Age 19 to 26,

Editor of The Copper & Blue, and leader of The Cult Of Hartikainen.

by Derek Zona on Apr 15, 2010 4:17 PM MDT up reply actions  

Hmm. I see a remarkably consistent upward slope from ages 22-26. The 18-21 data is much more erratic, no surprise given it’s a progressively smaller sample size. It seems highly improbable that 18-year-olds are the best shooters, for example, although it does follow that only the very best talents even make it to the league at that age which possibly explains that high data point. More likely its due to the sample size being <5% as large as the age 21-26 set. But once Gabe’s full sample of guys age 21+ are all in the league the sample size would be consistent from one age bracket to the next so perhaps that gentle slope from 22-26 is “real”.

No doubt there are other ways to read it. I’m not sure how much it applies to Brule in any event, given he took a year in the minors and returned clearly more ready for the NHL. Or do you see that 1.4% SH% of 2007-08 as his baseline?

Writer for The Copper & Blue and primary shareholder of Zorg Industries

"Never be ashamed of who you are" -- Jean-Baptiste Emanuel Zorg

by Bruce McCurdy on Apr 15, 2010 6:31 PM MDT up reply actions  

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