Teemu Hartikainen's Sophomore Year
Teemu Hartikainen's KalPa team finished the regular season in second place with 109 points in 58 games. They await their playoff opponent as the SM-Liiga's play-in round begins. Hartikianen was fifth on KalPa in points and tied for third in goals as he bounced between the second and third line throughout the season. Hartikainen's second year in the league was a big one as he completed his mandatory military service and took part in the World Junior Championships. Teemu was Finland's best player and leading scorer in the tournament, showing that he could play the North American game and was capable of handling the physical play and dishing it out at the same time.
Below is his season stat line along with his military service splits.
"...I've got a lot more energy because now I'm free and don't have to think about anything Army-related."
--Teemu Hartikainen, after finishing his mandatory military service.
The difference between his time in the army and his time after finishing his service is striking. His shot rate nearly doubled, and his his scoring rates followed. His +/- was outstanding and his even strength play was much better.
In my previous best guess, I said "I think that in order for the kid to become a legit impact prospect around these parts, he would have to post a minimum in the range of 20 goals and 38 points" based on the comparables chart below:
Hartikainen's full season numbers look suspiciously like Jere Lehtinen's rookie season in the the SM-Liiga, and tracks ahead of Ville Nieminen, Mikko Koivu, Sami Kapanen and close to Jussi Jokinen in their second seasons in the league. His scoring pace once he left the army equates to 22 goals and 36 points for a full season -- the impact prospect range. I've since found out that the comparables chart isn't so comparable, really, but I'll have more on that next week. After suffering multiple beatings to the body, psyche and in the win column at the hands of Jere Lehtinen over the last fourteen seasons, don't Edmonton fans deserve Lehtinen, part II?
So what do the Oilers have on their hands in Hartikainen? He posted a spectacular rookie season last year, and followed that up with an excellent (more so after his time in the army) second season that puts him in the range of Jere Lehtinen. Is Hartikainen going to be a reliable, physical second line player like Lehtinen, or is he going to be more of an end of the roster guy like Ville Niemenen? I'll be speaking with Teemu in the coming weeks and we'll find out about his plans for next year, when he's coming to North America and, like Anton Lander, if he likes Journey.
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He would need to beat out some much more highly touted guys to take a job on the top two lines, especially if the Oilers take Hall in the draft. Already he’s got Svensson, Eberle, Penner and Hemsky likely penciled in ahead of him so, IMO, he won’t be getting a lot of opportunity in the top 6 or on the PP. In a related question, do you happen to have his EV-PP-SH splits? If the majority of his scoring comes at EV, I’ll be a lot more encouraged about his chances to make an NHL roster.
by Scott Reynolds on Mar 25, 2010 12:38 PM MDT reply actions
Already he’s got Svensson, Eberle, Penner and Hemsky likely penciled in ahead of him so, IMO, he won’t be getting a lot of opportunity in the top 6 or on the PP.
My hunch is that he won’t be in North America next year. That means Penner and Hemsky aren’t in competition for the same spot.
In a related question, do you happen to have his EV-PP-SH splits? If the majority of his scoring comes at EV, I’ll be a lot more encouraged about his chances to make an NHL roster.
Why yes. If you look at the stat chart in the article, you’ll note his PPG and PPPs.
Last year’s splits are here. He had one short-handed goal this year and none last year.
Editor of The Copper & Blue, and leader of The Cult Of Hartikainen.
Thanks for the heads-up Derek. I obviously didn’t read the chart closely enough. That actually seems like quite a lot of PP offence, not ridiculous but a pretty big number. I hope you’re wrong about Penner and Hemsky. If the Oilers lose both of those players this rebuilding process is going to take an awfully long time. Both of those guys probably have at least five or six very productive seasons left. The Oilers have a lot of problems but the top wingers on the team would be well down the list.
by Scott Reynolds on Mar 25, 2010 2:42 PM MDT up reply actions
That actually seems like quite a lot of PP offence, not ridiculous but a pretty big number.
It doesn’t track far off from the rest of the young scorers, actually.
Editor of The Copper & Blue, and leader of The Cult Of Hartikainen.
Well that’s good. With your TOI column, is that minutes followed by seconds? Or is the last number a fraction out of 100. I ask because 15:69 is an odd amount of ice time. Either way, it’s interesting to me that Hartikainen received more ice time when he was in the army than he did post-army despite the fact that he played much better in the second half.
by Scott Reynolds on Mar 27, 2010 11:16 AM MDT up reply actions

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