Trade Value Of Your Edmonton Oilers

by Derek Zona on Mar 1, 2010 10:30 AM PST in Analysis Comment 11 comments

The trade deadline is now upon us. Many Edmonton OIlers appeared in print rumors during the run-up to the Olympic deadline and now a battered fanbase hopes that a catatonic General Manager will snap out of whatever condition he is currently in and work a miracle. All he needs to do is move some contracts, move some aging veterans, free up some cap space and restore the Oilers' image. Actually, a miracle's not necessary, the fanbase would settle for somehow ridding this team of one or two burdensome contracts and maybe finding a real NHL forward or two. I guess that would be a miracle.

After the jump, I take a look at the contract status of each of the current Oilers, their expiration, whether they're on the block and attempt to estimate their trade value at the deadline.

		Contract Status	Contract Status		On the
#	Player	Cap Hit	Expiration		block?	Estimated Trade Value
10	Shawn Horcoff	$5,500,000	2014-2015	RFA	Yes	Extremely low. Possibly a mid-round pick
12	Robert Nilsson	$2,000,000	2010-2011	RFA	Yes	None. A comparable player or longshot prospect
13	Andrew Cogliano	$1,133,333	20009-2010	RFA	Yes	High. A high round pick or maybe a legitmate NHL player like a middle six center or a bottom four defender.
16	Ryan Potulny	$595,000	2009-2010	RFA	No	None. A waiver wire player
18	Ethan Moreau	$2,000,000	2010-2011	RFA	Yes	Low. A low-round pick, an unproven bottom six player or a bottom-six prospect
19	Patrick O'Sullivan	$2,925,000	2010-2011	RFA	Yes	A second or third round pick.
22	Jean-Francois Jacques	$525,000	2009-2010	RFA	Yes	None. A comparable player or longshot prospect
27	Dustin Penner	$4,250,000	2011-2012	RFA	No	An impact young blueliner, a first round pick or a can't miss prospect.
32	Ryan Stone	$600,000	2009-2010	RFA	No	None. A comparable player or longshot prospect
34	Fernando Pisani	$2,500,000	2009-2010	UFA	Yes	Low. A low-round pick, an unproven bottom six player or a bottom-six prospect
46	Zack Stortini	$700,000	2010-2011	RFA	No	None. A comparable player or longshot prospect
67	Gilbert Brule	$800,000	2009-2010	RFA	No	A comparable player or middle round pick.
78	Marc Pouliot	$825,000	2009-2010	RFA	No	None. A waiver wire player
83	Ales Hemsky	$4,100,000	2011-2012	UFA	No	Extremely high. Start with a lottery pick and add a younger roster defenseman and a high-end prospect
89	Sam Gagner	$1,650,000	2009-2010	RFA	No	A lottery pick+
91	Mike Comrie	$1,250,000	2009-2010	UFA	Yes	A middle-round pick

5	Ladislav Smid	$1,300,000	2010-2011	RFA	No	Very high. 1st Round pick, impact roster forward, high-end prospect
24	Steve Staios	$2,700,000	2010-2011	UFA	Yes	Low. A low-round pick, an unproven bottom six player or a bottom-six prospect
37	Denis Grebeshkov	$3,150,000	2009-2010	RFA	Yes	High. High round pick, impact roster forward, high-end prospect
41	Taylor Chorney	$941,666	2010-2011	RFA	No	Low
43	Jason Strudwick	$700,000	2009-2010	UFA	Yes	None.
44	Sheldon Souray	$5,400,000	2011-2012	UFA	Yes	A young, unproven defenseman, a possible top six winger, a high-end prospect
71	Lubomir Visnovsky	$5,600,000	2012-2013	UFA	Yes	High. 1st Round pick, impact roster forward, high-end prospect
77	Tom Gilbert	$4,000,000	2013-2014	UFA	Yes	Very High. An impact top six winger, a first round pick or a can't miss prospect.

35	Nikolai Khabibulin	$3,750,000!	2012-2013!	UFA	Yes	Negative. The team would have to include high profile assets in order to move him.
38	Jeff Deslauriers	$625,000	2009-2010	RFA	No	None. A late round pick.
40	Devan Dubnyk	$700,000	2009-2010	RFA	No	Low. A middling prospect or a middling pick.

The Oilers are in a terrible bargaining position. They've got some toxic assets and moving any of the valuable pieces on the roster would leave a gaping hole in the roster. Expect Pisani and Comrie to be dealt, and that's about it. Given the circumstances, Oiler fans should be jubilant if Tambellini is able to move one of Moreau, O'Sullivan, Staios or Nilsson, but don't count on it.

Just another long year as an Oilers fan, that's all.

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Comments

Just curious if when you list three options for trade return, are you hoping for one of the three or some combination? Grebeshkov for a 2nd isn’t far off your list if you just mean one of the three, although I’m guessing Oiler fans aren’t happy with the return.

by maimster on Mar 1, 2010 2:26 PM PST reply actions

although I’m guessing Oiler fans aren’t happy with the return.

Go to the message boards…people are soo happy

by SumOil on Mar 1, 2010 2:46 PM PST up reply actions

One of the three. The return for Grebs was pitiful and indicative of a man that is completely overwhelmed in his job.

Editor of The Copper & Blue, and leader of The Cult Of Hartikainen.

by Derek Zona on Mar 1, 2010 6:53 PM PST up reply actions

This table needs a new column

Kindly add “Estimated Tambellini Value” to the far right.

Lighthouse Hockey: Under contract through 2021, knees and hips be damned.

by Dominik on Mar 1, 2010 2:50 PM PST reply actions

O'Sullivan?

Has he really fallen off that badly this year that he would only fetch a 2nd or 3rd rounder?

All things Thrashers + stats: www.birdwatchersanonymous.com

by The Falconer on Mar 1, 2010 3:17 PM PST reply actions

In the year since the Oilers acquired him, the guy we fondly call “POS” has posted 79 GP, 12-24-36, -35. He’s been criticized by many for a low compete level, and doesn’t seem to excel in any area of the game: he’s not a hitter, he’s lousy at faceoffs, he’s lousy on the PK, he hasn’t produced on the PP, and as that minus attests he’s far from a shutdown line guy. He still has another year to run at $2.925 MM. A huge disappointment.

Writer for The Copper & Blue and primary shareholder of Zorg Industries

"Never be ashamed of who you are" -- Jean-Baptiste Emanuel Zorg

by Bruce McCurdy on Mar 1, 2010 3:29 PM PST up reply actions

I’d add Moreau and Staios as negative-value guys, myself.

by Benjamin Massey on Mar 1, 2010 3:48 PM PST reply actions

Thanks, for the info. Sounds like he’s another ‘tweener who doesn’t score enough to merit a top six job and lacks the defense/hitting to win a bottom six role

All things Thrashers + stats: www.birdwatchersanonymous.com

by The Falconer on Mar 1, 2010 4:22 PM PST reply actions

POS might, “might”, do alright in the perfect situation, a perimeter player on a second scoring line with at least one physical linemate. Note that here in Edmonton we have neither a second scoring line – or even a first, too many nights – and the number of potential physical linemates who can legitimately play a top 6 role is 0.

Writer for The Copper & Blue and primary shareholder of Zorg Industries

"Never be ashamed of who you are" -- Jean-Baptiste Emanuel Zorg

by Bruce McCurdy on Mar 1, 2010 5:18 PM PST up reply actions

Is one! Or at least I consider Penner physicale enough to qualify.

by Scott Reynolds on Mar 1, 2010 6:30 PM PST up reply actions

Yeah, I wavered on Penner. He’s certainly big enough, wouldn’t call him a “physical” player in one sense though he certainly does use his strength. Have no idea if POS would click with him, but have my doubts seeing his track record with everyone else.

Writer for The Copper & Blue and primary shareholder of Zorg Industries

"Never be ashamed of who you are" -- Jean-Baptiste Emanuel Zorg

by Bruce McCurdy on Mar 1, 2010 10:24 PM PST up reply actions

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