Oilers v. Avalanche - Psalm 107:10-16
by Scott Reynolds on Feb 6, 2010 6:10 PM MST
in Game-Day Threads
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PrintEdmonton Oilers at Colorado Avalanche, Feb 6, 2010 8:00 PM MST
The Oilogosphere is left to sit in darkness and unending sadness;
the Oilers suffer defeat even to weak teams like the Avalanche.
Why? Because of rebellion against the words of God
and ignorance toward true wisdom.
For this Yahweh has given the Oilogosphere over to cynicism and bitterness;
when the Oilers stumble, there is now none left to pity them.
But now we must cry out to Yahweh in our time of trouble
that he might come down and judge management in our time of need!
Let the Oilogosphere be filled with light and joy!
let a new Oiler walk to the podium and declare "Seguin!"
And then we will give thanks to Yahweh for his great mercy,
for the grace he has shown us.
It is Yahweh who has brought the Oilers so low.
Let us repent of our misdeeds and be saved!
Edmonton Oilers (18-32-6) @ Colorado Avalanche (31-19-6)
Pepsi Center, 8:00 P.M. MST
Television: CBC
More analysis after the jump...
Visiting Team Scouting Report: Since starting the year 12-3-2 the Avalanche have gone 19-16-4. And while that's not bad, it's not exactly good either. I've been tracking scoring chances for the Avalanche this year so I've seen them a whole lot (though I've only finished the first thirty games) and I can tell you that the 19-16-4 team is a lot closer to the true talent of the hockey club, though even that's being generous. The Avalanche get brutally outshot to the tune of -5.3 shots per game. You may recall that since the lockout no team has made the playoffs getting outshot that badly and more often than not they end up being a lottery team. After 36 games they were dead last in Corsi ratio at EV both overall and with the score tied. This is a bad team at EV. But they've outscored their opponents 5-on-5 103-94 because of very strong percentages (PDO of 102.2) that get even stronger when the score is close (PDO of 103.1). They get outshot. They get outchanced. When it comes to the 2009-10 Colorado Avalanche, I am an unbeliever.
But I do think they'll make the playoffs. The Avalanche are much better at home than they are on the road and have a favourable schedule in that regard (15 at home and 11 on the road). They also don't have the toughest schedule with 12 games left against teams outside of the top 9 in the West or top 5 in the East. Basically, if their goaltending can stay strong, they should be able to maintain .500 hockey. If they do that, their odds of making the playoffs are over 90% which will make them one of the worst teams to make the playoffs since the league expanded to thirty teams.
Expected Lineups:
Edmonton Oilers (18-32-6):
Penner - Gagner - Cogliano
Moreau - Horcoff - Pisani
O'Sullivan - Potulny - Comrie
Jacques - Pouliot - Stortini
Grebeshkov - Gilbert
Chorney - Visnovsky
Strudwick - Plante
Deslauriers
Colorado Avalanche (31-19-6)
Wolski - Stastny - Svatos
Galiardi - Duchene - Yip
Stewart - O'Reilly - McLeod
Mercier - Durno - Tucker
Hannan - Quincey
Foote - Cumiskey
Liles - Wilson
Anderson
Behind the Numbers:
- The Avalanche come into the game having lost four of their last five games with the only win coming against the Columbus Blue Jackets. The Blue Jackets were so depressed that they lost to the Avalanche that they fired their coach.
- Wojtek Wolski is a great player. He's second on the Avalanche with 45 points. He leads the Avalanche in Corsi (minimum 20 games) at -3.47/60 despite carrying a difficult FO load (195 OZ v. 245 DZ) and facing and taking on reasonably difficult competiton (Gabe Desjardins' three methods rank him 2nd, 4th and 5th among regular Avalanche forwards). And he's 23 years old.
- The year Wolski was drafted (2004) the Edmonton Oilers selected Devan Dubnyk 14th overall. Had they decided (as all teams should) that drafting goaltenders in the first round is really, really stupid they likely would have drafted a forward. The next forward taken? Wojt... just kidding. He wasn't taken until #21. The next forward taken was Alexander Radulov.
- The Oilers leader for Corsi/ice time on the season? Ryan
SmythPotulnyStone.
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Let us repent of our misdeeds and be saved!
Whoa, whoa whoa. Us?
Editor of The Copper & Blue, and leader of The Cult Of Hartikainen.
That’s the biblical cycle, good sir. Sin-Abandonment-Repentance-Empowerment-Deliverance. I know which one we’re sitting on right now and repentance is what the traditional narrative demands. Plus, the denial of a need to repent is always a classic sign of the need to repent :)
by Scott Reynolds on Feb 6, 2010 7:48 PM MST up reply actions
He wasn’t taken until #21. The next forward taken was Alexander Radulov.
Tambellini would have sent him out for a 4th round pick
Editor of The Copper & Blue, and leader of The Cult Of Hartikainen.
The Oilers leader for Corsi/ice time on the season? Ryan Smyth Potulny Stone.
I’m a big fan of a Stone – Pouliot – Potulny 4th line next year.
Editor of The Copper & Blue, and leader of The Cult Of Hartikainen.
Is this played in Denver when Yip scores?
Editor of The Copper & Blue, and leader of The Cult Of Hartikainen.
In the race to the bottom of the standings, the Hurricanes won tonight over the Islanders. It’s a good thing the Isles have a 12-point lead on us right now. Those guys are in freefall right now.
I think that they’re going to end up with the #2
Editor of The Copper & Blue, and leader of The Cult Of Hartikainen.
Once Deslauriers is out of position, he reacts like he’s stuck in tar to get back into position.
Editor of The Copper & Blue, and leader of The Cult Of Hartikainen.
Kevin Weekes talking about the knock on Pat Quinn being that he can’t work with young guys… and then using this team as evidence against that. I don’t know that the knock is fair, but this team isn’t what you should be pointing to for help.
That seemed like a fairly glowing review of Quinn. Was that accurate?
by Passive Voice on Feb 6, 2010 8:21 PM MST up reply actions
He talks so much and so fast that I doubt he even knows what he says half of the time.
Editor of The Copper & Blue, and leader of The Cult Of Hartikainen.
He’s better than PJ Stock, who tonight had Luongo playing goal for Pittsburgh. Twice in a row.
Writer for The Copper & Blue and primary shareholder of Zorg Industries
"Never be ashamed of who you are" -- Jean-Baptiste Emanuel Zorg
by Bruce McCurdy on Feb 6, 2010 8:27 PM MST up reply actions
That’s what happens when you suffer repeated head trauma.
Editor of The Copper & Blue, and leader of The Cult Of Hartikainen.
Colorado PbP
Is this the Day La Ray guy?
Editor of The Copper & Blue, and leader of The Cult Of Hartikainen.
The Class of ’03 Line is looking good again tonight. Last shift it was wham! wham!! wham!!! 3 crunching forechecks in rapid succession. This time Zorg beats his man behind the net on the cycle, makes the wraparound, then draws a penalty on the continuation.
Writer for The Copper & Blue and primary shareholder of Zorg Industries
"Never be ashamed of who you are" -- Jean-Baptiste Emanuel Zorg
Is this a power play?
Good thing that Hemsky finally got hurt. That guy stinks.
Editor of The Copper & Blue, and leader of The Cult Of Hartikainen.
Good effort by Zorg to earn that powerplay. And for what?
Writer for The Copper & Blue and primary shareholder of Zorg Industries
"Never be ashamed of who you are" -- Jean-Baptiste Emanuel Zorg
by Bruce McCurdy on Feb 6, 2010 8:34 PM MST up reply actions
These linesmen need to read Page 1 of the manual. You know, the part that says STAY THE FUCK OUT OF THE WAY!!!
Writer for The Copper & Blue and primary shareholder of Zorg Industries
"Never be ashamed of who you are" -- Jean-Baptiste Emanuel Zorg
Couldn’t agree more. Terrible.
Writer for The Copper & Blue and primary shareholder of Zorg Industries
"Never be ashamed of who you are" -- Jean-Baptiste Emanuel Zorg
by Bruce McCurdy on Feb 6, 2010 8:49 PM MST up reply actions
JDFD's stick hand
Why is he always trying to stab at pucks with his blocker hand? How hasn’t that been corrected? His form is so poor.
Editor of The Copper & Blue, and leader of The Cult Of Hartikainen.
I think it’s a testament to his size, quickness, and athletic ability that he’s shown he could probably at least be a capable backup in the NHL.
Makes you wonder what kind of goalie he could have been (I don’t think he’ll ever be more) if his fundamentals weren’t so terrible.
he could probably at least be a capable backup in the NHL.
Not without an overhaul of his game. His puck skills are bad, his fundamentals are bad, his positioning is bad and his glove hand is bad.
Editor of The Copper & Blue, and leader of The Cult Of Hartikainen.
… and he’s the only reason Oilers are in this game. Go figure.
Writer for The Copper & Blue and primary shareholder of Zorg Industries
"Never be ashamed of who you are" -- Jean-Baptiste Emanuel Zorg
by Bruce McCurdy on Feb 6, 2010 8:57 PM MST up reply actions
When you play a completely random game regardless of the circumstances, sometimes you block everything.
Editor of The Copper & Blue, and leader of The Cult Of Hartikainen.
I know what you're saying
I think I see a little bit more in him than most people here. Probably just being too optimistic though.
I’m honestly kind of amazed that the Oilers thought enough of him to take him at the beginning of the 2nd round considering what a mess he is fundamentally.
He seems to me to be a guy that’s all tools, to use a baseball term, and I guess they must have been intrigued by that. But those guys rarely seem to put it all together, and I doubt JDD does. When I say that I think he’ll be a capable backup in this league, that’s all I really think he’ll be: a below average NHL goalie who’ll probably stick around a while. Not a starter on any kind of NHL team.
Well the Oil buggered up his development pretty thoroughly.
Writer for The Copper & Blue and primary shareholder of Zorg Industries
"Never be ashamed of who you are" -- Jean-Baptiste Emanuel Zorg
by Bruce McCurdy on Feb 6, 2010 9:07 PM MST up reply actions
Look around the league right now and tell me who he is capable of outplaying. I can’t find a single goalie that he can outplay.
Editor of The Copper & Blue, and leader of The Cult Of Hartikainen.
Just a tonne of mistakes tonight but nothing ends up in the net. At this point it’s hard for me to give Desluariers any credit. If he makes an acrobatic save it looks like it’s because he was out of position instead of solid goaltending. But he’s now working on four straight periods of nothing. Is this him playing well or getting lucky or both?
The “tonne of mistakes” wasn’t referring to (just) Deslauriers. You have Visnovsky struggling, Comrie losing the puck in front of the net, Grebs throwing the puck out front…
by Scott Reynolds on Feb 6, 2010 9:10 PM MST up reply actions
Strudwick can’t get it out of his own zone. Ever.
Editor of The Copper & Blue, and leader of The Cult Of Hartikainen.
Well, the Wild did get to him for 4 last game, but he actually played well in that game. By his standards, that is, which always includes lots of chaos in the crease and behind the net too.
Writer for The Copper & Blue and primary shareholder of Zorg Industries
"Never be ashamed of who you are" -- Jean-Baptiste Emanuel Zorg
by Bruce McCurdy on Feb 6, 2010 9:12 PM MST up reply actions
I guess that’s what I get for not watching the game against the Wild.
by Scott Reynolds on Feb 6, 2010 10:04 PM MST up reply actions
Blocker hand again...
He’s going to get burnt one day if he ever plays in a big game.
Editor of The Copper & Blue, and leader of The Cult Of Hartikainen.
More great puckhandling by JDFD
He should never leave the crease. Anytime he does it, it’s an immediate HUA. Every effing time.
Editor of The Copper & Blue, and leader of The Cult Of Hartikainen.
His acronym just keeps on growing. JDFDHUA.
Writer for The Copper & Blue and primary shareholder of Zorg Industries
"Never be ashamed of who you are" -- Jean-Baptiste Emanuel Zorg
by Bruce McCurdy on Feb 6, 2010 9:19 PM MST up reply actions
Not nearly as long as Tambellini’s though.
Editor of The Copper & Blue, and leader of The Cult Of Hartikainen.
Attempted shots are currently 48-8 COL. Midway point of the game. Scott, I thought you said the Avs were an “outshot” type of team.
Writer for The Copper & Blue and primary shareholder of Zorg Industries
"Never be ashamed of who you are" -- Jean-Baptiste Emanuel Zorg
48-8 is just part of the assessment process.
Editor of The Copper & Blue, and leader of The Cult Of Hartikainen.
62-16 end of the second. Yowser.
Writer for The Copper & Blue and primary shareholder of Zorg Industries
"Never be ashamed of who you are" -- Jean-Baptiste Emanuel Zorg
by Bruce McCurdy on Feb 6, 2010 9:39 PM MST up reply actions
They very much are an “outshot” type of team. Before tonight they’d outshot their opponents 16 times, two less than the Oilers.
by Scott Reynolds on Feb 6, 2010 10:05 PM MST up reply actions
This is the worst 40 minutes that the Oilers have played all year.
Editor of The Copper & Blue, and leader of The Cult Of Hartikainen.
On the bright side ...
… Oilers have blocked 18 shot attempts, the Avs just 2. Hurray for our side.
Writer for The Copper & Blue and primary shareholder of Zorg Industries
"Never be ashamed of who you are" -- Jean-Baptiste Emanuel Zorg
And now you know why people call the Avs “excellent shot-blockers”
by Scott Reynolds on Feb 6, 2010 10:06 PM MST up reply actions
Say, Derek ...
How’s the weather?
Writer for The Copper & Blue and primary shareholder of Zorg Industries
"Never be ashamed of who you are" -- Jean-Baptiste Emanuel Zorg
Fine now. Snowy and windy yesterday.
Editor of The Copper & Blue, and leader of The Cult Of Hartikainen.
CBC of all stations said that parts of your part of the world were expecting “up to 68.58 centimetres, maybe even more.”
Writer for The Copper & Blue and primary shareholder of Zorg Industries
"Never be ashamed of who you are" -- Jean-Baptiste Emanuel Zorg
by Bruce McCurdy on Feb 6, 2010 9:58 PM MST up reply actions
Key word “about”. The earnestness of the conversion to cm slays me every time.
Writer for The Copper & Blue and primary shareholder of Zorg Industries
"Never be ashamed of who you are" -- Jean-Baptiste Emanuel Zorg
by Bruce McCurdy on Feb 6, 2010 10:05 PM MST up reply actions
Cogliano
Where did he go?
I heard Paajarvi described as "a bigger version of Cogliano" and I broke down in tears.
Editor of The Copper & Blue, and leader of The Cult Of Hartikainen.
Well, he is in a three game slump. Maybe Cogs is rubbing off through international osmosis.
Editor of The Copper & Blue, and leader of The Cult Of Hartikainen.
Really though – Cogliano is like a less willful Peter Klima.
Editor of The Copper & Blue, and leader of The Cult Of Hartikainen.
… without the hands, or the shot
Writer for The Copper & Blue and primary shareholder of Zorg Industries
"Never be ashamed of who you are" -- Jean-Baptiste Emanuel Zorg
by Bruce McCurdy on Feb 6, 2010 10:01 PM MST up reply actions
Patrick O’Sullivan?
Writer for The Copper & Blue and primary shareholder of Zorg Industries
"Never be ashamed of who you are" -- Jean-Baptiste Emanuel Zorg
by Bruce McCurdy on Feb 6, 2010 10:07 PM MST up reply actions
Cogliano is less physical. That’s what I was going for with the Klima comp
Editor of The Copper & Blue, and leader of The Cult Of Hartikainen.
Cogs less physical than POS? I would disagree.
Writer for The Copper & Blue and primary shareholder of Zorg Industries
"Never be ashamed of who you are" -- Jean-Baptiste Emanuel Zorg
by Bruce McCurdy on Feb 6, 2010 10:11 PM MST up reply actions
Cogliano 49 hits POS 30
Writer for The Copper & Blue and primary shareholder of Zorg Industries
"Never be ashamed of who you are" -- Jean-Baptiste Emanuel Zorg
by Bruce McCurdy on Feb 6, 2010 11:45 PM MST up reply actions
Marek Svatos
What in the world happened to Svatos? Buddy’s game fell off of a cliff.
Editor of The Copper & Blue, and leader of The Cult Of Hartikainen.
At least in terms of chances through the first 30 games he was doing alright but not getting much playing time.
by Scott Reynolds on Feb 6, 2010 10:08 PM MST up reply actions
He’s going to be an interesting UFA.
Editor of The Copper & Blue, and leader of The Cult Of Hartikainen.
Gagner hurt … what next?
Writer for The Copper & Blue and primary shareholder of Zorg Industries
"Never be ashamed of who you are" -- Jean-Baptiste Emanuel Zorg
That games missed list on HNiC was just time missed with the current injuries for Staios, Smid, and Stone, and they never even mentioned Souray. All 4 guys have been down and out twice this season.
Writer for The Copper & Blue and primary shareholder of Zorg Industries
"Never be ashamed of who you are" -- Jean-Baptiste Emanuel Zorg
Now watch the Oilers score on the PP and win the game in the shoot-out. Hockey is unbelievable that way. You can get thoroughly dominated and still have a legitimate chance to win.
Pouliot on the power play. Give ’er hell kid.
Editor of The Copper & Blue, and leader of The Cult Of Hartikainen.
5v3 now with Foote and Hannan in the box. They’re certainly getting a chance.
by Scott Reynolds on Feb 6, 2010 10:14 PM MST up reply actions
Anderson messed up his D by coming out to stop that shoot-in, resulted directly in the delay of game penalty.
Writer for The Copper & Blue and primary shareholder of Zorg Industries
"Never be ashamed of who you are" -- Jean-Baptiste Emanuel Zorg
Cody Wild
takes the healthy scratch again tonight. Two random mid-season signings play in his place.
Editor of The Copper & Blue, and leader of The Cult Of Hartikainen.
Rob Daum’s opinion of Cody Wild:
“He is a bad hockey player.”
What else can it be? Unless he really is a Friar and it’s causing tension in the room.
by Scott Reynolds on Feb 6, 2010 10:25 PM MST up reply actions
I have no idea. The numbers just don’t prove that out though.
Editor of The Copper & Blue, and leader of The Cult Of Hartikainen.
That’s the first time out of 3 (4?) that JDD needed to drop his stick to kill the play.
Writer for The Copper & Blue and primary shareholder of Zorg Industries
"Never be ashamed of who you are" -- Jean-Baptiste Emanuel Zorg
Brutal goal by JDD there. Not that this is going to be his fault, but that’s exactly why he can’t be relied upon in the NHL.
by Scott Reynolds on Feb 6, 2010 10:24 PM MST up reply actions
Shots on goal with Pouliot on the ice at evens: COL 12 EDM 0
Writer for The Copper & Blue and primary shareholder of Zorg Industries
"Never be ashamed of who you are" -- Jean-Baptiste Emanuel Zorg
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