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Oilers v. Ducks - 1 Thessalonians 5:1-11

Edmonton Oilers at Anaheim Ducks, Feb 10, 2010 8:00 PM MST


Now all of you who suffer with me do not need to be reminded that we cannot be distracted by individual games or seasons. The day of the Lord's deliverance may seem to tarry but ou know as well as I do that its coming is certain.  Opposing coaches may continue to say, "With the Oilers in town victory is assured" but defeat will come suddenly, like a thief, and even on their home ice they will be surprised by their inability to escape.  But you, my fellow sufferers, are not blind and walking in darkness so this coming Oiler resurgence should not come to you as a surprise!  Instead, your hearts are filled with the light of God's promise! 

You know that our club is not like the hateful Ducks who have not yet purged Lupul - that disgraceful sinner - from their midst.  The Oilers recognize the need to remain attentive and self-controlled, knowing that those who sleep through the night are awake during the game and that those who drink through the night sleepwalk through whole periods the next day.  Each night every player puts on the shoulder pads of love, the skates of hope and the helmets of salvation waiting for the great and glorious day of God's favour.  For they know as well as you that God did not raise this team up for destruction but for salvation!  And we will enjoy this glory as well! 

So whether you are still alive when the promised deliverance comes or whether you have passed away, know that it is coming!  Now, armed with this knowledge, be sure to encourage one another in this most holy faith!  

 

 

Edmonton Oilers (18-34-6) @ Anaheim Ducks (28-24-7)

Honda Center, 8:00 P.M. MST
Television: TSN

More analysis after the jump...

Star-divide

Visiting Team Scouting Report:  The Anaheim Ducks have been a very good team so far this season.  With the departure of the designated "checking" line the Ducks have depended on players like Ryan Getzlaf, Corey Perry and Bobby Ryan to play against the other team's best players.  The results have actually been pretty good with all three players finishing in the black in terms of scoring and both finishing very close to even in terms of Corsi (three of the top four on the Ducks).  Getzlaf and Perry are also among the team "leaders" in terms of faceoff ratio, with both of them taking more defensive than offensive zone faceoffs (though Todd Marchant is really carrying the mail here with 254 DZ draws compared to only 155 in the OZ).  Getzlaf's needs to be in the lineup for this team to win so I'm sure Ducks fans are relieved to know that Getzlaf's injury last night wasn't serious. 

The problem for the Ducks has been the rest of the forwards.  With those three taking on the toughs to a draw or better (for the most part) the rest of the lineup has struggled against the lesser lines.  Of the remaining forwards only Saku Koivu has a positive Corsi number.  Outside of the big three, Koivu is also the only other forward with a +/- number at EV better than  +1.  The addition of Jason Blake will likely help and if the Ducks add some forward depth at or near the deadline they could be a real force should they make the playoffs. 

 

Expected Lineups:

Edmonton Oilers (18-34-6):

Penner - Potulny - Nilsson
O'Sullivan - Horcoff - Comrie
Brule - Pouliot - Pisani

Moreau - Cogliano - Stortini/Jacques

Gilbert - Staios

Smid - Visnovsky
Gerbeshkov - Strudwick


Backsides

 

Anaheim Ducks (28-24-7)

Ryan - Koivu - Perry
Blake - Nokelainen - Selanne
Chipchura - Marchant - Bodie
Beleskey - Carter - Brown

Niedermayer - Wisniewski
Eminger - Whitney
Festerling - Brookbank

Hiller

 

Behind the Numbers:

  • The Anaheim Ducks have won ten consecutive games at home with only one of those games making it to overtime.  The Oilers have lost ten straight road games with none of them going to overtime.  Since the start of December the Ducks are 15-4-3 against teams outside the Pacific division.  On the year the Ducks are 22-12-5 against teams outside their division.  That's pretty darn good.
  • The Edmonton Oilers are 3-21-2 over the last 26 games.  If they performed at that rate over an entire season they would have 25 points at the end of the year.  And that's actually slightly better than the worst team in NHL history.  The 1974-75 Washington Capitals only managed 21 points in 80 games.  So things could be worse.
  • Shawn Horcoff has the 6th worst PDO number in the league among forwards with at least 30 games played (93.3).  Rod Brind'Amour is last (91.6).  Horcoff averages at least four more minutes per game at even strength than anyone below him.  The Oilers have two other forwards in the bottom thirty (Nilsson, O'Sullivan).
  • George Parros has the highest EV save percentage in the league behind him (.984).  He also has the fourth worst on-ice shooting percentage (3.7%).  In close to four hours of EV ice time there has been a total of five goals scored with Parros on the ice. 

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# Shawn Horcoff has the 6th worst PDO number in the league among forwards with at least 30 games played (93.3). Rod Brind’Amour is last (91.6). Horcoff averages at least four more minutes per game at even strength than anyone below him. The Oilers have two other forwards in the bottom thirty (Nilsson, O’Sullivan).

A spirited defense after you beat up on him recently.

Editor of The Copper & Blue, and leader of The Cult Of Hartikainen.

by Derek Zona on Feb 10, 2010 3:51 PM MST reply actions  

The percentages this year are as much circumstances as they are luck as far as I’m concerned (i.e. about equal parts). If you play with O’Sullivan and Jacques for big chunks of the year your on-ice shooting percentage isn’t going to be any hell and then you’ve got J4D minding the nets so it shouldn’t be too much of a surprise when your save percentage isn’t great either. Hopefully better circumstances will see him improve. Those same circumstances may also explain why he’s been somewhat off in terms of Corsi and SC’s as well. But I think this year and 2006-07 are a pretty good demonstration of the fact that he needs very real quality to succeed in his role. O’Sullivan and a scrub hasn’t been getting it done.

I wasn’t even trying to beat up on him the other night too much, he’s still a good player. I just think that his best offensive seasons are behind him and he was only ever good-not-great in that area to begin with. He’s not the 20-point player we’ve seen this season but as he moves further and further into the decline stage of his career we’re not likely to see really good offensive seasons, especially if his limbs start getting injured on a semi-regular basis. I think for him to cover that cap number he’s going to need to age really well.

by Scott Reynolds on Feb 10, 2010 7:01 PM MST up reply actions  

The Edmonton Oilers are 3-21-2 over the last 26 games. If they performed at that rate over an entire season they would have 25 points at the end of the year. And that’s actually slightly better than the worst team in NHL history. The 1974-75 Washington Capitals only managed 21 points in 80 games. So things could be worse.

“So you’re saying there’s a chance?”

SNN Sports - A theoretical Oilers blog (i.e. theoretically, I write stuff there). Link now 100% less broken.

by Doogie2K on Feb 10, 2010 4:34 PM MST reply actions  

A chance to be the second worst team in history, Lloyd, yes.

Editor of The Copper & Blue, and leader of The Cult Of Hartikainen.

by Derek Zona on Feb 10, 2010 5:51 PM MST up reply actions  

If the Caps had had the three-point game they might have got more points. Realistically, though, instead of 8-67-5 maybe they would have 9-67-4 … that team was so bad I wouldn’t bet on them to win 1 out of 5 in an OT/SO situation either.

Then there’s this: 181 GF, 446 GA. Or on a per-game basis, +2.26/-5.58 = -3.32.

The Oilers suck, but over those 26 games they have 47 GF, 99 GA, or +1.81/-3.81 = -2.00.

Writer for The Copper & Blue and primary shareholder of Zorg Industries

"Never be ashamed of who you are" -- Jean-Baptiste Emanuel Zorg

by Bruce McCurdy on Feb 10, 2010 6:41 PM MST up reply actions  

How is Getzlaf pronounced Gets-lahv?

Editor of The Copper & Blue, and leader of The Cult Of Hartikainen.

by Derek Zona on Feb 10, 2010 8:03 PM MST reply actions  

Good no call there, I believe. That puck had a weird wobble to it

Editor of The Copper & Blue, and leader of The Cult Of Hartikainen.

by Derek Zona on Feb 10, 2010 8:13 PM MST reply actions  

Troy Bodie is playing his twenty-sixth NHL game tonight, and every damned one of them is a huge shock to me.

by Benjamin Massey on Feb 10, 2010 8:21 PM MST reply actions  

Petteri Nokelainen has been a scratch for 5 games?

Moreau for Nokelainen – STAT!

Editor of The Copper & Blue, and leader of The Cult Of Hartikainen.

by Derek Zona on Feb 10, 2010 8:31 PM MST up reply actions  

I like Nokelainen.

Writer for The Copper & Blue and primary shareholder of Zorg Industries

"Never be ashamed of who you are" -- Jean-Baptiste Emanuel Zorg

by Bruce McCurdy on Feb 10, 2010 9:50 PM MST up reply actions  

As do I – he can do Moreau’s job pretty easily for half the cost.

Editor of The Copper & Blue, and leader of The Cult Of Hartikainen.

by Derek Zona on Feb 10, 2010 9:59 PM MST up reply actions  

Hey, he’s out there! #17, right? (I wonder why he picked that particular #)

Writer for The Copper & Blue and primary shareholder of Zorg Industries

"Never be ashamed of who you are" -- Jean-Baptiste Emanuel Zorg

by Bruce McCurdy on Feb 10, 2010 10:02 PM MST up reply actions  

Oh Ladi.

I might have to drop you in our rankings.

Editor of The Copper & Blue, and leader of The Cult Of Hartikainen.

by Derek Zona on Feb 10, 2010 8:34 PM MST reply actions  

Nice pass from that Perry kid.

Anaheim’s going to be loading up for a playoff run, presumably. Perhaps we can swap Comrie for the kid?

by Benjamin Massey on Feb 10, 2010 8:35 PM MST reply actions  

Penner looks like he's got a little more jump tonight

Than he has lately. Thought he should’ve drawn a holding call on that last rush too.

by Blackbyrd on Feb 10, 2010 8:38 PM MST reply actions  

Doesn’t look all that much different to me. His line is still the only one that isn’t drowning.

Editor of The Copper & Blue, and leader of The Cult Of Hartikainen.

by Derek Zona on Feb 10, 2010 8:43 PM MST reply actions  

The follow sentence will not make sense to anyone but me:

This is the worst best 5-on-3 I’ve ever seen.

by Benjamin Massey on Feb 10, 2010 9:05 PM MST reply actions  

It wasn’t bad considering it was the Oilers.

Editor of The Copper & Blue, and leader of The Cult Of Hartikainen.

by Derek Zona on Feb 10, 2010 9:08 PM MST up reply actions  

Horcoff blocking shots like Mark Eaton.

Editor of The Copper & Blue, and leader of The Cult Of Hartikainen.

by Derek Zona on Feb 10, 2010 9:09 PM MST reply actions  

Moreau was lucky he didn’t get called for the hook.

Editor of The Copper & Blue, and leader of The Cult Of Hartikainen.

by Derek Zona on Feb 10, 2010 9:11 PM MST reply actions  

RYAN SMYTH POTULNY!

That’s, what, our second shorthanded goal this season?

by Benjamin Massey on Feb 10, 2010 9:11 PM MST reply actions  

Sounds about right.

Re: Potulny. Nicest surprise this season?

by Blackbyrd on Feb 10, 2010 9:14 PM MST up reply actions  

Yeah, I'd say Stone too.

I’d actually go with Brule too. He hasn’t been great, but he’s been a lot better than I thought, and he’s definitely shown some skill somewhat regularly.

by Blackbyrd on Feb 10, 2010 9:25 PM MST up reply actions  

Penner’s first half? Although I dont know if that should count cause any one who paid enough attention knew Penner was good anyways

by AdR23 on Feb 10, 2010 9:26 PM MST up reply actions   1 recs

Still last in the league!

Editor of The Copper & Blue, and leader of The Cult Of Hartikainen.

by Derek Zona on Feb 10, 2010 9:19 PM MST up reply actions  

Pouliot again with a pretty rush.

Editor of The Copper & Blue, and leader of The Cult Of Hartikainen.

by Derek Zona on Feb 10, 2010 9:19 PM MST reply actions  

He;s making it easy to be a MAP fan again

by AdR23 on Feb 10, 2010 9:27 PM MST up reply actions  

Yup. Could be exactly what this team needs. Well, one part of what this team needs.

Which could very well mean this team decides that they don’t need him.

by Blackbyrd on Feb 10, 2010 9:27 PM MST up reply actions  

At $800,000 he’s just find as the #4 center next year.

Editor of The Copper & Blue, and leader of The Cult Of Hartikainen.

by Derek Zona on Feb 10, 2010 9:41 PM MST up reply actions  

I think his QO will be $907,500. They can maybe make it a 2-way deal to scare him off of signing it but I think he probably takes that unless they commit to some longer term.

by Scott Reynolds on Feb 10, 2010 10:06 PM MST up reply actions  

The Oilers are on the power play here, right? Do they know that they are on the power play?

Editor of The Copper & Blue, and leader of The Cult Of Hartikainen.

by Derek Zona on Feb 10, 2010 9:23 PM MST reply actions  

Can a powerplay look worse

Without giving up a shorthanded goal?

Heck, even with a shorthanded goal, can it look any worse?

by Blackbyrd on Feb 10, 2010 9:23 PM MST reply actions  

The offensive zone time was non-existent. It really did look like they didn’t know they had the man advantage.

Editor of The Copper & Blue, and leader of The Cult Of Hartikainen.

by Derek Zona on Feb 10, 2010 9:28 PM MST up reply actions  

Moreau wtf???

He might get himself traded yet!

by AdR23 on Feb 10, 2010 9:27 PM MST reply actions  

Moreau on the PK looks…valuable. Leave him in Anaheim and bring Nokelainen home.

Editor of The Copper & Blue, and leader of The Cult Of Hartikainen.

by Derek Zona on Feb 10, 2010 9:28 PM MST up reply actions  

Private eyes!
(clap)
We’re watching you!
(clap-clap)

by Benjamin Massey on Feb 10, 2010 9:28 PM MST reply actions  

And...

JDD lets in a bad goal, and Ferraro knows it

by AdR23 on Feb 10, 2010 9:29 PM MST reply actions  

:D

Writer for The Copper & Blue and primary shareholder of Zorg Industries

"Never be ashamed of who you are" -- Jean-Baptiste Emanuel Zorg

by Bruce McCurdy on Feb 10, 2010 9:51 PM MST up reply actions  

Hey the Oilers are outshooting someone!! Since when does that happen?

by AdR23 on Feb 10, 2010 9:36 PM MST reply actions  

They outshot Phoenix.

Writer for The Copper & Blue and primary shareholder of Zorg Industries

"Never be ashamed of who you are" -- Jean-Baptiste Emanuel Zorg

by Bruce McCurdy on Feb 10, 2010 9:51 PM MST up reply actions  

True. It’s unfortunate that sarcasm doesn’t translate over the interwebz

by AdR23 on Feb 10, 2010 9:53 PM MST up reply actions  

Yeah, I was being sarcastic, sorry.

Writer for The Copper & Blue and primary shareholder of Zorg Industries

"Never be ashamed of who you are" -- Jean-Baptiste Emanuel Zorg

by Bruce McCurdy on Feb 10, 2010 10:01 PM MST up reply actions  

A bit late getting to the party this evening. Looks like the Oilers are making a real game of this one if the shot clock and score are to be believed.

by Scott Reynolds on Feb 10, 2010 9:58 PM MST reply actions  

To add evidence to your assumption both our goals were shorties

by AdR23 on Feb 10, 2010 9:59 PM MST up reply actions  

Two shorties make the score look good, but the chances and shots are on the Oilers side tonight

Editor of The Copper & Blue, and leader of The Cult Of Hartikainen.

by Derek Zona on Feb 10, 2010 9:59 PM MST up reply actions  

Our goalie is being an enigmatic Frenchman again and both teams are playing like this is on a pond and defense is for losers, but apart from that…

by Benjamin Massey on Feb 10, 2010 10:00 PM MST up reply actions  

If defence was for losers we’d be playing some of it.

Writer for The Copper & Blue and primary shareholder of Zorg Industries

"Never be ashamed of who you are" -- Jean-Baptiste Emanuel Zorg

by Bruce McCurdy on Feb 10, 2010 10:02 PM MST up reply actions   2 recs

Thanks everyone for the update. Saw the shorties from the boxscore but the shots implied they were playing well too. Pretty hilarious that the Oilers have more shorties tonight than they’ve had all season.

by Scott Reynolds on Feb 10, 2010 10:12 PM MST up reply actions  

Not a good play there from Staios. At least he won’t be on the PK.

by Scott Reynolds on Feb 10, 2010 10:03 PM MST reply actions  

wicked hit by Strudwick, and then Anaheim scores. Jesus

by AdR23 on Feb 10, 2010 10:06 PM MST reply actions  

Really good tip by Marchant there. The coverage in front of the net was… spotty? It didn’t make a difference on the goal I don’t think but the Ducks had the two closest guys to the net.

by Scott Reynolds on Feb 10, 2010 10:07 PM MST up reply actions  

RF’s analyis of the goal was spot on. He plays on the goal line, he needs to get his heels to the top of the blue

by AdR23 on Feb 10, 2010 10:08 PM MST up reply actions  

I’ve got the Anaheim feed, what did Ferraro say?

by Scott Reynolds on Feb 10, 2010 10:11 PM MST up reply actions  

He said that JDD is a big guy and he needs to learn how to play like it. He plays so far back in his net, it makes him ineffective, and that he should get to the top of the crease.

by AdR23 on Feb 10, 2010 10:12 PM MST up reply actions  

The coverage in front of the net was… spotty?

Has been for years now.

Editor of The Copper & Blue, and leader of The Cult Of Hartikainen.

by Derek Zona on Feb 10, 2010 10:09 PM MST up reply actions  

Unsportsmanlike conduct: the Edmonton Oilers of penalties.

by Benjamin Massey on Feb 10, 2010 10:08 PM MST reply actions  

I wonder what was said from the bench to draw that minor. Whatever it was, it wasn’t too bright.

by Scott Reynolds on Feb 10, 2010 10:09 PM MST reply actions  

Can Strudwick actually be better than Arsene?

Editor of The Copper & Blue, and leader of The Cult Of Hartikainen.

by Derek Zona on Feb 10, 2010 10:15 PM MST reply actions  

Well, have you seen the Springfield Milk Cartons?

by Benjamin Massey on Feb 10, 2010 10:19 PM MST up reply actions  

He could be. I don’t know that we have any reason to expect that he is, but I don’t think giving it a try would hurt anything.

by Scott Reynolds on Feb 10, 2010 10:19 PM MST up reply actions  

A lot of whistles coming out the last few minutes. Has the whole game been this jerky?

by Scott Reynolds on Feb 10, 2010 10:22 PM MST reply actions  

How bout’ that Nokelainen! I guess if he comes over for Moreau we’ll move all those OZ penalties into the DZ :)

by Scott Reynolds on Feb 10, 2010 10:26 PM MST reply actions  

When you think about it, isn’t this the perfect Fall for Hall game? Oilers not playing bad but in no danger of getting any points.

by Benjamin Massey on Feb 10, 2010 10:26 PM MST reply actions  

Why wouldn’t Quinn pull Deslauriers for the entire power play?

Editor of The Copper & Blue, and leader of The Cult Of Hartikainen.

by Derek Zona on Feb 10, 2010 10:28 PM MST reply actions  

Because then we might score. Jesus, I’m surprised we’re not seeing Jason Strudwick and Jean-Francois Jacques on this thing.

by Benjamin Massey on Feb 10, 2010 10:28 PM MST up reply actions  

That’s just piss-poor coaching. That’s just awful.

Editor of The Copper & Blue, and leader of The Cult Of Hartikainen.

by Derek Zona on Feb 10, 2010 10:29 PM MST up reply actions  

I tend to agree there. At minimum, you’d think he’d be out for the whole last minute. I also found it odd that they had Pisani on the point for that PP. I guess there are worse guys to choose but it just struck me as a bit odd.

Also, 11 straight road losses in regulation for the Oilers and 11 straight wins for the Oilers.

Ethan Moreau is the third star! Let’s hope the Ducks were too lazy to scout him at any other time this season.

by Scott Reynolds on Feb 10, 2010 10:31 PM MST up reply actions  

Or we could direct them to the C&B and try to convince them that our reverse three stars are our actual three stars.

by Benjamin Massey on Feb 10, 2010 10:34 PM MST up reply actions  

I tend to agree there. At minimum, you’d think he’d be out for the whole last minute.

There’s no reason not to try. Are they trying to save face or something by only giving up 3?

Editor of The Copper & Blue, and leader of The Cult Of Hartikainen.

by Derek Zona on Feb 10, 2010 10:37 PM MST up reply actions  

Pulling the goalie with 10 seconds left in the PP makes no sense to me either. I’d rather 30-45 seconds of 6-on-4, maybe even 60.

That said, having seen our 5-on-3 earlier, maybe not.

V-e-r-y strange time to put Pisani on the point. Has he ever played there before? Quinn sure plays weitd hunches at the end of games, and they almost never work out.

Writer for The Copper & Blue and primary shareholder of Zorg Industries

"Never be ashamed of who you are" -- Jean-Baptiste Emanuel Zorg

by Bruce McCurdy on Feb 10, 2010 11:13 PM MST up reply actions  

Jeepers, 11 straight wins for the Ducks.

by Scott Reynolds on Feb 10, 2010 11:41 PM MST up reply actions  

I heard a good one on the radio today, they were talking about how the Ducks had 10 straight home wins and how the Oil had 10 straight road losses, and the punch line was “which one will make it 11?”

Writer for The Copper & Blue and primary shareholder of Zorg Industries

"Never be ashamed of who you are" -- Jean-Baptiste Emanuel Zorg

by Bruce McCurdy on Feb 11, 2010 12:13 AM MST up reply actions  

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Northwest Standings

GP W L OTL PT
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