Oilers' Penalty Kill Scoring Chances
by Derek Zona on Nov 28, 2010 3:30 PM MST
in Statistical Analysis
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PrintThe Edmonton Oilers currently hold the worst penalty kill in recorded NHL history. Their 67.44% rate is on pace to submarine the 1979-1980 Los Angeles Kings as the worst ever.
One nice thing about keeping a database of the scoring chances is that we're able to do a couple of quick queries and find the chances on special teams as well. Below are the numbers for the first quarter of the season.
Though Shawn Horcoff is second in short-handed goals allowed, he leads the team in chances against. Horcoff's 11.6 chances against per 15 minutes of short-handed time on ice is two chances more per fifteen than the best Oiler on the power play. No wonder the special teams is so abysmal. As a side note - Gilbert Brule should never play the penalty kill again.
| # | Player | TSC | TSCA | CA/15 | ||
| 10 | S. HORCOFF | 6 | 32 | 11.645 | ||
| 28 | R. JONES | 1 | 11 | 11.727 | ||
| 13 | A. COGLIANO | 9 | 27 | 13.393 | ||
| 14 | J. EBERLE | 6 | 38 | 13.919 | ||
| 27 | D. PENNER | 5 | 28 | 16.260 | ||
| 16 | C. FRASER | 6 | 44 | 16.717 | ||
| 83 | A. HEMSKY | 4 | 29 | 16.834 | ||
| 89 | S. GAGNER | 0 | 8 | 18.433 | ||
| 67 | G. BRULE | 1 | 11 | 26.613 |
Jason Strudwick is last in chances against at even strength, so it's no surprise that he's also last in chances against while short-handed. Tom Gilbert is struggling on the penalty kill, perhaps this is the source of all of the ire directed his way by the media and fans? Considering he's the best defenseman at even strength, maybe the "saw him bad" crowd is focused in on the penalty kill?
| # | Player | TSC | TSCA | CA/15 | ||
| 5 | L. SMID | 5 | 25 | 12.187 | ||
| 2 | J. VANDERMEER | 4 | 24 | 13.975 | ||
| 6 | R. WHITNEY | 14 | 55 | 15.346 | ||
| 49 | T. PECKHAM | 3 | 37 | 15.962 | ||
| 77 | T. GILBERT | 8 | 60 | 15.991 | ||
| 43 | J. STRUDWICK | 2 | 24 | 19.565 |
Even though Nikolai Khabibulin has the worst short-handed save percentage in the league, he's not seeing the most chances against per fifteen minutes, Devan Dubnyk is.
| # | Player | TSC | TSCA | CA/15 | ||
| 29 | M. GERBER | 0 | 1 | 4.373 | ||
| 40 | D. DUBNYK | 12 | 50 | 12.701 | ||
| 35 | N. KHABIBULIN | 7 | 64 | 12.723 |
Edit: Scott noticed an issue with the chances and he was correct. The goaltender chances have been updated.
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Great article.
A posse ad esse.
The Copper & Blue|OilersNation|Hockey or Die!
Twitter: @JonathanWillis
Mail: jonathan.willis@live.ca
by Jonathan Willis on Nov 28, 2010 5:09 PM MST reply actions
Just for reference, what would a good CA/15 be for a d-man or forward? If even Horcoff’s 11.6 isn’t very good, what should they be aiming for (i.e., what’s expected of both an elite NHL penalty killer and a not-elite-but-still-reasonable PKer)?
by Stephen's Beaven on Nov 28, 2010 7:56 PM MST reply actions
We will know shortly. The other chance trackers are sending me their work.
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Brooks Laich: 9.3 CA/15
Boyd Gordon: 6.3 CA/15
Editor of The Copper & Blue, and leader of The Cult Of Hartikainen.
any idea from previous years? i know the oil are terrible, but this number seems so low compared to Horcoff as to be unsustainable.
by Passive Voice on Nov 29, 2010 11:16 AM MST up reply actions
The only data we have is from the Oilers last season.
2009-2010 4v5 Horcoff: 10.2 CA/15
Editor of The Copper & Blue, and leader of The Cult Of Hartikainen.
Marty Reasoner: 7.1 CA/15
Radek Dvorak: 7.0 CA/15
Editor of The Copper & Blue, and leader of The Cult Of Hartikainen.
Good to see the EX-Oilers penalty kill is doing well.
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by Bruce McCurdy on Nov 29, 2010 3:18 PM MST up reply actions
Staal 9.847, Girardi 10.111
Callahan 9.901, Dubinsky 9.738
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by George E. Ays on Nov 29, 2010 8:33 PM MST up reply actions
So there you are. Caps PK is better than the Panthers, which is better than the Rangers, which is better than the Oilers.
Editor of The Copper & Blue, and leader of The Cult Of Hartikainen.
I should actually filter out the TB game just to see how badly that did damage.
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by George E. Ays on Nov 30, 2010 8:40 AM MST up reply actions
Love that picture, it encapsulates 2009-10.
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