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Darryl Sutter - Decidedly Average

Darryl Sutter has been the General Manager of the Calgary Flames for seven years and six months.  In his first full year as General Manager the Flames made the playoffs for the first time in eight seasons and made a stunning run to the Stanley Cup Finals.  In the five seasons since, the Flames have won the Northwest Division once, placed second once and third three times.  They've made the playoffs four times, but lost in the first round each time.

A significant part of the problem has been Sutter's management style.  The Flames have been delivering mediocre results despite ranking fifth in the NHL since the lockout in total Salary Cap hit.  Sutter mistook an average team that hit a lucky streak during the playoffs in 2004 for one that had a core capable of competing for the Stanley Cup every year.  The 2003-2004 Flames ranked 11th in total goal differential and 15th in even strength goal differential.  By comparison, the Lightning - the team that defeated the Flames in the Stanley Cup Finals - ranked 3rd in total goal differential and 8th in even strength goal differential.

Sutter has spent the last six seasons attempting to re-create a Cup finals run with various incarnations of veterans surrounding that 2004 core, and those veterans have come to the Flames at the expense of youth and the future.  Sutter has traded away younger players and loads of draft picks, stripping the Flames of young talent and keeping them rather bored at the draft table each June.  Hockey's Future currently ranks the Flames' system 27th in the NHL and the future does not look bright in Calgary.

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Edmonton vs. Calgary - 8:00 PM MDT (CBC)

Read more about the Calgary Flames at Matchsticks and Gasoline

 

One stat I've referred to before is Marginal Cap Efficiency, first given to me by The Falconer of Bird Watchers Anonymous.  Marginal cap efficiency tracks the number of points per million dollars in salary cap spent over the league minimum salary.  It's a crude device for analyzing the performance of a General Manager in the cap era.  When we last looked in on MCE, Nashville's David Poile was at the front of the pack and the Oilers' two-headed monster of Kevin Lowe and Steve Tambellini were pulling up the rear.  Using the final standings and the final cap hits for each team in 2009-2010, I've updated the table below:

Team Total Salary (MM) Points/MM Salary
NSH 204.1 2.56
SJS 230.1 2.46
DET 247.8 2.35
BUF 225.5 2.29
WSH 209.0 2.27
NJD 236.8 2.22
DAL 231.6 2.11
CAR 225.6 2.09
PHX 201.0 2.08
PIT 224.5 2.07
OTT 237.4 2.06
ANA 238.0 2.06
VAN 237.4 2.05
MIN 226.8 2.01
CGY 240.1 1.99
NYR 241.4 1.93
MTL 239.1 1.93
FLA 219.6 1.90
COL 231.8 1.89
ATL 219.8 1.87
NYI 206.1 1.82
CBJ 211.6 1.82
LAK 217.4 1.81
CHI 238.7 1.78
STL 216.0 1.77
BOS 248.3 1.72
PHI 245.4 1.71
TBL 225.6 1.69
TOR 237.0 1.68
EDM 236.5 1.58

 

David Poile is still in the lead and the two-headed monster is still twenty-nine lengths behind.  Sutter is decidedly average, coming in at 15th in the league in MCE, fitting considering where the Flames have usually finished under Sutter's regime: over the last six years, the Flames have finished 12th, 7th, 13th, 14th, 10th, and 15th in the NHL in points, also decidedly average. 

As mentioned above, one reason for this performance might be Sutter's tendency to trade away draft picks and young talent for veterans and his penchant for signing unrestricted free agents to fill the roster.  Salary Cap dollars are saved in entry level deals, and to a lesser extent, on most restricted free agent contracts. 

Since 2005, Sutter has traded 2 first round picks, 6 second round picks, 3 third round picks, 2 fourth round picks, 1 fifth round pick, and 1 seventh round pick.  He's traded for 1 first round pick, 2 second round picks, 2 third round picks, 2 fourth round picks, 1 fifth round pick, and 1 seventh round pick.  His net loss in five years has been 1 first round pick, 4 second round picks, and 1 third round pick.

Sutter also traded away a young soft-minutes center in Matthew Lombardi for an older, more-expensive soft-minutes center in Olli Jokinen. He dealt for aging defenseman Steve Staios and his $2,700,000 million contract in 2010.  He attempted to fix the Jokinen mistake by trading him to New York for fourth line winger and power play specialist Ales Kotalik's two remaining years at $3,000,000 each.

Eventually Sutter's attempts to give away cheap contracts and draft picks will catch up with the Flames.  He'll be forced to dump a contract in Abbotsford to get under the cap or sell off Flame forever Jarome Iginla to restock the system.  Until then, however, Darryl Sutter and the Calgary Flames will remain decidedly average.

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Not sure if you’re familiar, but I’ve been calling Sutter’s management the “Sutter Equilibrium” for years. It’s this uncanny knack he has of undermining his own good moves with poor ones.

by Kent Wilson on Oct 7, 2010 8:25 AM MDT reply actions  

Since I still relate everything to Seinfeld, maybe we could call him “Even Steven”?

It’s very true though. He managed to acquire guys like Kipper, Bourque and lucked into Giordano but at the same time takes on Kotalik and Staios. It’s maddening.

I wrote my own lengthy piece on Sutter after the season was over, and it was easily the most painful post I’ve ever written.

In case any of you have time to kill – http://sports-opinionated.com/2010/04/general-manager-analysis-darryl-sutter/

Ryan

Matchsticks & Gasoline, Sports Opinionated, Front Office Fans, Pink Shirt Wise Guys: Italian Soccer Podcast & occasionally even Puck Prospectus. Yes, I'm a sports-writing whore...don't hate me.

by SO_RyanP on Oct 7, 2010 10:47 AM MDT up reply actions  

On a prospect note and for a second opinion, the Flames do not have the 4th worst system in the NHL.

Philly
Dallas
San Jose
Toronto
Atlanta

Easily worst systems, Calgary has above-average depth.

I’m done, continue debate :)

by Corey Pronman on Oct 7, 2010 9:19 AM MDT reply actions  

So Calgary has the 6th worst system then?

Everyone knows rock attained perfection in 1974. It's a scientific fact.

by ryanbatty on Oct 7, 2010 10:09 AM MDT up reply actions  

I guess it depends what you mean by “system” but I don’t see too many young players like Evander Kane or Zach Bogosian kicking around the Calgary organization.

by Scott Reynolds on Oct 7, 2010 10:32 AM MDT up reply actions  

Or Burmistrov and Klingberg.

Editor of The Copper & Blue, and leader of The Cult Of Hartikainen.

by Derek Zona on Oct 7, 2010 10:36 AM MDT up reply actions  

@ryanbatty: I don’t know exactly where I’d rank them, they’re below-average, cut certainly not garbage.

@Reyndolds: Not many teams do, harsh standard to judge someone on.

@Derek: Two prospects who I find overrated so that’s a major reason why I have Atlanta in that category (and have a fair amount of Thrashers hate mail). Systems aren’t only defined by the top prospects, but the system throughout. I’d agree Atlanta has a better top, but after Burm, Espo and Cormier (which isn’t a great core by itself anyways) the system takes a steep drop whereas Calgary has 5+ pro quality prospects.

by Corey Pronman on Oct 7, 2010 10:44 AM MDT up reply actions  

So Corey, would it be fair to say the Calgary has depth but no “elite” prospects?

If that’s the case, Sutter could at least stop paying UFA prices for depth players and let a few guys from the farm come up. That would at least give them more cap room. Nowhere is this more obvious than the Staios hit. Pelech or Brodie could easily take his roster spot.

Ryan

Matchsticks & Gasoline, Sports Opinionated, Front Office Fans, Pink Shirt Wise Guys: Italian Soccer Podcast & occasionally even Puck Prospectus. Yes, I'm a sports-writing whore...don't hate me.

by SO_RyanP on Oct 7, 2010 10:50 AM MDT up reply actions  

My point with the above was that Bogosian and Kane are the same age as the prospects we’re talking about. To me, those guys should count as part of “the system” every bit as much as the guys playing outside the NHL, and if they do, I don’t think you can have Atlanta in the bottom five.

by Scott Reynolds on Oct 7, 2010 1:54 PM MDT up reply actions  

@Ryan: Fair statement

@Scott: We differ on a system definition. IMO a farm system is for your prospects only and a prospect as I see it is a prospective NHL player who once they become an established NHL player, lose the prospect tag.

by Corey Pronman on Oct 7, 2010 2:27 PM MDT up reply actions  

I guess it just depends on why someone evaluates who’s “in the system”. For me, it’s to get a sense of each organization’s future, and I don’t think the best way to do that is systematically ignoring all of the best young players in each team has. For you, I guess it’s familiarizing yourself with otherwise unfamiliar players? Is that about right?

by Scott Reynolds on Oct 7, 2010 2:36 PM MDT up reply actions  

There’s a difference between an organizational overview and a farm system overview is what we’re getting at.

by Corey Pronman on Oct 7, 2010 3:17 PM MDT up reply actions  

When we lose to the flames, the contents of this article helps me sleep soundly

Sins can be forgiven but conscience is a killer.

by SumOil on Oct 7, 2010 10:59 AM MDT reply actions  

Nigel Tufnel says

“It’s like, how much more average could this be? And the answer is none. None more average.”

Lighthouse Hockey: You say that like Streit and Okposo were important to this team.

by Dominik on Oct 7, 2010 2:36 PM MDT reply actions  

GAH ! That should’ve been my title:

Darryl Sutter – None More Average

Editor of The Copper & Blue, and leader of The Cult Of Hartikainen.

by Derek Zona on Oct 7, 2010 2:45 PM MDT up reply actions  

I HATE it when that happens.

Lighthouse Hockey: You say that like Streit and Okposo were important to this team.

by Dominik on Oct 7, 2010 4:22 PM MDT up reply actions  

I find it particularly hilarious that three canadian teams have outspent MLSE.

On the Mike Weber bandwagon.
Everything wrong with the Sabres is Drew Stafford's fault.

by Ubiquitous on Oct 8, 2010 8:15 AM MDT reply actions  

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