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"The Oilers have come to realize that they cannot win without a superstar"

via cdn.picapp.com


The Darren Dreger quote in the subject line comes from a TSN article discussing the Oilers present and future.  Oiler management believes they've exhausted all possible avenues to build a roster and now must enter into a five-year rebuild, in which they will add a superstar and everything will fix itself after that.  Lowetide already did a great take on the absurdity of this notion, that it's a superstar they lack rather than "...a veteran right handed center, a fricking decision on a small forward, a goalie who is healthy and has a track record."  And he's right.  The Oilers have failed to address the same problems for three years, and somehow still believe it's a superstar the team lacks.

Today, Vic Ferrari chimed in with roster-building advice for the Oilers, taken from Al Arbour via Darcy Regier:

"I once asked Al, what's the secret to building a team? He said no secret, it's not complicated, get good players."

Star-divide

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via www.sportslogos.net

Oilers vs Sharks coverage

Fear The Fin

And therein is the problem.  Rather than get good players, the Oilers continue to bring in flawed players.  The management team has added inexperienced forwards, offense-only forwards, injury-prone veterans, and kids with no NHL experience.  Rather than add men who can play the game, they hitched their wagon to a bunch of kids and now sit in press conferences with incredulous stares.  Their fanbase has been calling for the same thing for three years - no, not a superstar - a second line that can play tough minutes, and a playoff appearance.  That's all.  The fans don't want Marian Hossa, Jaromir Jagr or Dany Heatley and aren't demanding a cup.  They want Dominic Moore, Manny Malhotra and a chance.

This brings me to the San Jose Sharks, today's superstar-laden opponent, and current employer of last summer's whale hunt and as per Tyler, likely the coming summer's whale hunt.  The Sharks are one of four teams favored to win the cup this year, but it's not because of the superstars.  San Jose has had superstars for a few season now.  No, the reason that they're a finals favorite is the  roster depth, replete with real NHL players on all four lines.

It didn't used to be that way.  In fact in 1993, just two years after entering the league as an expansion team, the Sharks still looked like an expansion team.  Their best players were an ancient Russian Sergei Makarov; and a journeyman center named Todd Elik a man that has played in five professional leagues for thirteen teams, and is still plugging along in the Austrian league at age 43; and the crafty old great Igor Larionov.   The Sharks that year had some comers in 21-year-old Sandis Ozolinsh, 21-year-old Ray Whitney, 20-year-old Pat Falloon, and 19-year-old Mike Rathje, but the roster was a mishmash of NHL vets from the expansion draft, waiver wire pickups and trade afterthoughts. 

The thing about the rest of the roster was that they were some players that could play the NHL game.  Bob Errey, Jeff Norton, Gaetan Duchesne, Ulf Dahlen, and Johan Garpenlov were all men that knew both ends of the ice.  They had a goalie in Arturs Irbe that, though tiny in stature, was reliable and durable.  With a young Kevin Constantine (even in his first season in charge in the NHL, he was never one to be outcoached), Makarov and Larionov on the top line, a collection of experienced forwards covering for Whitney and Falloon, and seventy-four games out of Irbe, the Sharks finished third in the Pacific and eighth in the conference, well ahead of ninth place Anaheim.

The Sharks drew Scott Bowman's powerhouse Red Wings and didn't have a chance to win a game, let alone the series.  But a funny thing happened on the way to the second round -- the resilient Irbe and those real NHL forwards began causing big headaches for Bowman's group, eventually taking the series lead, 3-2.  San Jose was blown out of games two and six by a combined score of 11-1, but in the other four games, San Jose hung tough and outscored Detroit 17-14.  Constantine gave Bowman fits and Irbe stood about twice as tall as his 5'8" frame should have allowed him.  Game seven was more of the same.  Irbe standing on his head and Constantine chasing matchups all over the ice.  San Jose pulled off the upset and advanced to meet the Maple Leafs.  The series was eerily similar to the Edmonton / Detroit series in 2006.  In yet another upset, San Jose took Toronto to seven games before finally relenting.

The following year was more of the same.  The Sharks brought on another kid in Jeff Friesen, but they went out and turned Jeff Norton and Todd Elik into Craig Janney.  Irbe was once again a workhorse and the Sharks finished seventh in the conference.  The opening series against the Flames went seven games after the Sharks jumped out to a 2-0 lead.  Calgary rallied with three straight wins, San Jose won game six and forced a game seven.  Much like against Detroit, in games three and five, the Sharks were outscored 14-2.  In the other four games, the Sharks made the Flames go nuts.  Constantine's constant chasing of matchups kept the series tight and San Jose outscored Calgary 19-17 in the other four.  The Sharks took game seven and moved into the second round where they were swept by the Red Wings.

In two years, a severely undermanned team played 25 playoff games.  A team that hitched it's wagon to Igor Larionov and Sergei Makarov.  There were no stars on this team, just NHL veterans that could play the game and shield the multitude of kids.  There was a coach that protected those kids and rode his veterans and goalie hard.  The Sharks did not go whale hunting, and they did not prostrate themselves in front of the league.  An expansion team with very little had more success in two years than the Oilers have had in the last four.  The funny part?  The Oilers have loads more talent at the top of the roster when compared to those Sharks.  What's missing from these Oilers?  Bob Errey, Gaetan Duchesne, Ulf Dahlen, and Johan Garpenlov.  The Oilers aren't missing Dany Heatley or Marian Hossa.

 

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The Sharks also made those playoff appearances in a 12-team conference. If only four teams miss the playoffs the Oilers could well have made a couple of playoff series in the last few years. Apples to oranges, I say.

The other thing is… superstars aren’t a bad thing. That Thornton trade was a pretty good one and I’d say the Sharks are better for the addition of Dany Heatley too. If the Oilers had signed Jagr to a two year deal before last season I know my response wouldn’t have been, “These idiots! Signing a star!” You just need to make sure that the stars yous sign are actually stars. The Nikolai Khabibulin’s of the hockey world need not apply.

by Scott Reynolds on Jan 16, 2010 11:41 AM MST reply actions  

Putting Thornton and Heatley on the Oilers in place of Penner and Horcoff doesn’t change the Oilers fortunes all that much.

Editor of The Copper & Blue, and leader of The Cult Of Hartikainen.

by Derek Zona on Jan 16, 2010 11:42 AM MST up reply actions  

Seriously? I mean, the Oilers would still have huge problems, especially in goal, but the team would be quite a bit better. Those two guys aren’t “sawing off” against the tough comp. They’re mugging it and beating it a bloody pulp. AND, they’re elite on the PP. No contest as far as I’m concerned.

As much as we might want them to address the other issues on the team (and I really, really do want them to address the depth issues) I don’t think it’s fundamentally bad to try to get superstars on the team, so long as they’re superstars by results and not by reputation.

And San Jose’s depth? It’s not all that great. They play Kent Huskins every night on D as their 5th guy, an injury away from Huskins in the top four. Most of the bottom of the roster forwards are also pretty poor. These guys aren’t winning on depth. They’re winning with an exceptional top end.

by Scott Reynolds on Jan 16, 2010 12:18 PM MST up reply actions  

The power play would be exception and the penalty kill would be even worse.

And the rest of the team would still be getting smoked.

Editor of The Copper & Blue, and leader of The Cult Of Hartikainen.

by Derek Zona on Jan 16, 2010 12:29 PM MST up reply actions  

How much worse could the PK really be? They’re already chugging along at 76% with a big fat 0 in the SH goals column. I suppose they could fall a bit further (my goodness, the Maple Leafs) but I’m not sure how much. Joe Thornton might be doing a lot of PK mind you :)

I must admit, the big difference is between Thornton and Horcoff. Horc is a good player but he’s not close to Thornton IMO. Would the team be a contender if they switched from Horc to Joe? No. But would they be significantly better? I think so. The biggest problem with this team (by far!) is the goaltending. In this fourteen game slide they’ve outshot opponents with the score “close” 207-205 and in all EV situations the shots have been 339-339. The team has been killed by special teams and by abominable percentages. With the score close they’ve had a Sv% of .888 and a SH% of 4.4%. In all EV situations the numbers trend up to a Sv% of .891 and a SH% of 5.3%. The team isn’t actually that bad. They’ve been snakebitten and have AHL goalies. If you replace Horc and Penner with Joe and Heatley and add a real goalie, this team is easily in the hunt for the playoffs.

by Scott Reynolds on Jan 16, 2010 1:28 PM MST up reply actions  

REALLY

THE OILERS BRASS HAS FINALLY FIGURED THIS OUT AFTER 5 YEARS.BOY THERE ON THE BALL.HERE IS WHAT I DONT UNDERSTAND—MR KATZ A SUCCESSFUL BUSINESS MAN WITH REXALL AND OTHER COMPANIES.HOW CAN MR KATZ BE SO SILENT AND LET THIS TRAIN WRECK HAPPEN,THE FANS ARE SHAREHOLDERS AND DONT HAVE A CLUE WHATS GOING ON.HOW IS A BUSINESS SUCCESSFUL AND RUN LIKE A GONG SHOW.DOES MR KATZ RUN THE SHOW OR KEVIN LOWE.
pLEASE REPLY I HAVE BEEN A SEASON TICKET HOLDER SINCE 1979 AND I HAD TO SIT BEHIND PETER POKLINGTON AND BOTOX EVA . GIVE US HOPE AND LET US KNOW WHAT THE FUTURE HOLDS.FANS GET FRUSTRATED.DECIDE ON A DIRECTION AND STICK TO IT.

by indian1 on Jan 18, 2010 9:01 AM MST reply actions  

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Northwest Standings

GP W L OTL PT
Vancouver 54 34 15 5 73
Minnesota 54 25 21 8 58
Calgary 55 25 22 8 58
Colorado 55 27 25 3 57
Edmonton 54 21 28 5 47

(updated 2.10.2012 at 1:26 AM MST)

21 - 28 - 5

Lost 2

Clear Victory Standings

Western Conference

  1. Detroit Red Wings (23-7, .767)
  2. San Jose Sharks (13-5, .722)
  3. Vancouver Canucks (17-7, .708)
  4. St. Louis Blues (12-6, .667)
  5. Chicago Blackhawks (16-12, .571)
  6. Los Angeles Kings (10-9, .526)
  7. Nashville Predators (11-10, .524)
  8. Phoenix Coyotes (12-12, .500)
  9. Dallas Stars (11-15, .423)
  10. Anaheim Ducks (10-14, .417)
  11. Colorado Avalanche (9-13, .409)
  12. Edmonton Oilers (11-16, .407)
  13. Calgary Flames (9-15, .375)
  14. Minnesota Wild (7-13,.350)
  15. Columbus Blue Jackets (5-19, .208)

Eastern Conference

  1. Boston Bruins (21-4, .840)
  2. New York Rangers (18-8, .692)
  3. Pittsburgh Penguins (16-9, .640)
  4. Philadelphia Flyers (14-11, .560)
  5. Toronto Maple Leafs (14-12, .538)
  6. Washington Capitals (14-13, .519)
  7. Montreal Canadiens (11-11, .500)
  8. New Jersey Devils (10-12, .455)
  9. Ottawa Senators (10-13, .435)
  10. Winnipeg Jets (10-14, .417)
  11. Carolina Hurricanes (9-13, .409)
  12. Florida Panthers (7-12, .368)
  13. Buffalo Sabres (8-14, .364)
  14. Tampa Bay Lightning (9-20, .310)
  15. New York Islanders (6-14, .300)

Division Standings

  1. Central (52-39, .571)
  2. Northeast (49-39, .557)
  3. Atlantic (45-37, .549)
  4. Pacific (37-36, .507)
  5. Northwest (34-45, .430)
  6. Southeast (33-54, .379)


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