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Combined Top-25 Prospect Rankings: #21 - #25

Trukhno_medium

The addition of new writers has neccessitated some other changes to this website.  Among them, the prospect rankings are now a shared project between myself and Derek Zona, and so we've decided to put out a new list based on our combined rankings.

This list has a few changes from the old top-thirty, among them a new format.  We include the strengths, weaknesses, and one of Derek's favorites - a "seal value".  The seal value represents the best case scenario, the ceiling, for the players listed here.  Odd-numbered profiles were done by Derek, even-numbered ones by me. 

Star-divide

21. Slava Trukhno

Strengths: Trukhno has an high level of skill, combining outstanding stick-handling, hands and speed. He has the always-desired sandpaper element to his game and isn't afraid to throw his body around. He is also effective in his own zone and on the forecheck when needed.

Weaknesses: He doesn't seem to have any weaknesses on the surface, but he never delivers on all of that talent. It could be that he's dying on the vine in the wasteland that has been Springfield, or there is something more going on with his work ethic.

Seal Value: He grows up, finds ethic, intensity and Voila!...Sergei Brylin.

22. Kyle Bigos

Strengths: The first thing that jumps out is his size (6’5", 235lbs). He’s physical, and has been a dominant player in the BCHL.

Weaknesses: He could be a late-bloomer, but the fact that Bigos is 20 years old and is coming out of such a weak league does not bode well for his professional career.

Seal Value: These kind of guys are hard to project, but if Bigos keeps developing along his current path, he could have a lengthy NHL career ala… Murray Baron

23. Troy Hesketh

Strengths: He's a high school kid playing weak competition, so his strengths are purely physical - he has good size and footspeed.

Weaknesses: Has not played high level hockey, he's extremely light. He has a long way to go to have a chance.

Seal Value: A couple of years in a solid college program and he has a long, quiet career like...Tom Kurvers

24. Colin McDonald

Strengths: McDonald’s a big body, and he has a hard shot. This past season, he played well against top-level competition in Springfield and showed his first glimmer of real offensive ability under Rob Daum.

Weaknesses: McDonald isn’t overly physical for his size, his offensive game came out of nowhere after a year and a half of non-existence at the professional level. He’ll be 25 at training camp.

Seal Value: If his offense is for real, he gets an NHL cameo next season and could become… Brad Winchester

25. Alexander Bumagin

Strengths: Fantastic hands, great agility and good speed.

Weaknesses: Not an all-zones player, not hard on the puck and doesn't do the tough work. He's shown no interest in playing in North America.

Seal Value: He develops his game, stays in Russia and grows into the very similar...Aleksey Morozov

HM. Alexei Mikhnov

Strengths: "Power forward" is an overused term, but with Mikhnov it fits. He combines good hands with size and a willingness to use it.

Weaknesses: Is not a complete player defensively and isn’t exactly fleet of foot either; on top of that, the 26-year old is almost certain to remain in Russia unless he gets a one-way contract

Seal Value: It might not even take much development on his part; if Mikhnov were willing to play in North America he might be… Oleg Kvasha

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Weaknesses for Trukhno: Footspeed bordering on atrocious. His numbers misleadingly indicate offensive ability which is not actually present. Has made a career of putting up numbers because of the specific ability to complement other players on the powerplay.

by Jon Kerber on Jul 10, 2009 3:16 AM MDT reply actions  

I would vaguely contest the “seal value” of Troy Hesketh. By most accounts, there is something brewing there. People seeing him at the development camp seem to be mostly impressed. He has a long, long way to go but I think the Oilers selected him where/when they did because they feel his “seal value” is quite a bit higher than you give him credit for; and the very limited information I’ve encountered suggests that “may” be the case. Your call, I guess.

by alphahelix on Jul 10, 2009 7:26 AM MDT reply actions  

… on second thought, when you said a “long, quiet career like Tom Kurvers”, I didn’t realize that Kurvers had 45 points from the blue in his rookie campaign followed by multiple 50+ pt seasons in his career. Were you being sarcastic? Those are pretty impressive numbers, I’m surprised I don’t remember him better.

by alphahelix on Jul 10, 2009 7:31 AM MDT up reply actions  

Kurvers

I think the Seal Value is perfect, as is the description, especially considering your double-take.

It was, indeed, a long and quiet career from a big, athletic guy.

Contributor to The Copper & Blue, and leader of The Cult Of Hartikainen.

by Derek Zona on Jul 10, 2009 7:45 AM MDT up reply actions  

Seal Value

The Seal Value is the comp that is out there if the player hits the pie-in-the-sky with development, health and luck. Like Seal, marrying Heidi Klum.

Contributor to The Copper & Blue, and leader of The Cult Of Hartikainen.

by Derek Zona on Jul 10, 2009 7:40 AM MDT reply actions  

Like Seal, marrying Heidi Klum.

Simply put, that was epic.

A question regarding Troy Hesketh. It’s been said that he’s not going to be college-bound for another two seasons, playing one season in each of High School hockey and the USHL. Do we not lose his rights to sign after two years? The same year he enters college hockey where signing a contract voids his amateur status? I could be really off-base with this and that he’s protected by amateur status in both High School and the USHL, but it’s been something on my mind ever since we drafted the kid.

by doritogrande on Jul 10, 2009 9:38 AM MDT reply actions  

That’s a really good question, and one that I wish I had an answer for.

A posse ad esse.

Writer for The Copper & Blue and OilersNation.

by Jonathan Willis on Jul 10, 2009 11:17 AM MDT up reply actions  

We have four years to sign Hesketh. He’ll have to opt out of college after his 2nd year or he will be a UFA.

by Traktor on Jul 10, 2009 7:10 PM MDT reply actions  

Thanks for that, Traktor.

A posse ad esse.

Writer for The Copper & Blue and OilersNation.

by Jonathan Willis on Jul 10, 2009 7:14 PM MDT up reply actions  

Appreciate the clairification Traktor. But this brings up a bit of a disturbing scenario for the Oilers. If he becomes a prospect of interest, what’s to stop him from staying in school until after his Junior year, giving him a free pass to UFA status and an entry level contract similar to what Brian Burke’s paying out for the two kids he poached from the NCAA ranks this offeseason?

This reeks of Phoenix’s documented troubles with Blake Wheeler, and it sucks.

by doritogrande on Jul 11, 2009 5:45 PM MDT reply actions  

We have four years to sign Hesketh. He’ll have to opt out of college after his 2nd year or he will be a UFA.

Actually, you’ll have until Aug 15 following his 4th year of college (as long as he enters college before otherwise becoming a UFA). The CBA changes when kids enter college.

With Hesketh being a Badger recruit, we’ve addressed the topic on our blog — along with the Blake Wheeler incident.

Doritogrande, you’re correct that Hesketh could decide to leave school after his junior year simply to become a UFA, but Wheeler is the only player that I recall doing that. Almost all the drafted players who leave school early do so to sign with the team that drafted them. I wouldn’t be concerned unless Hesketh really doesn’t want to play for the Oilers, and everything I’ve seen indicates that he’s excited about the prospect of being an Oiler.

by 60min on Jul 13, 2009 6:13 AM MDT reply actions  

I really appreciate the clarification, and thanks for chiming in.

A posse ad esse.

Writer for The Copper & Blue and OilersNation.

by Jonathan Willis on Jul 13, 2009 12:16 PM MDT up reply actions  

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