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2009 NHL Entry Draft: Jeremy Morin and USDP Forwards

Morin_medium

This is part four of my draft preview series.  While the first three itmes dealt with forwards in the OHL, WHL and QMJHL, my focus now shifts south of the border to look at the United States National Team.  Despite a less than stellar year for the U.S. U-18 team that saw many players struggle, there are a number of good forwards available, with Jeremy Morin, Drew Shore and Kyle Palmieri all expected to go in the first round.

As always, the official CSB rankings and THN's draft preview were extremely helpful in putting this list together.

Star-divide

  1. Jeremy Morin: 46G – 39A – 85PTS (33rd NA)
  2. Jerry D’Amigo: 35G – 45A – 80PTS (67th NA)
  3. Ryan Bourque: 34G – 44A – 78PTS (49th NA)
  4. Andrew Treais: 29G – 48A – 77PTS (171st NA)
  5. Kyle Palmieri: 37G – 37A – 74PTS (20th NA)
  6. Kenny Ryan: 32G – 31A – 63PTS (56th NA)
  7. Drew Shore: 22G – 36A – 58PTS (28th NA)
  8. Kevin Lynch: 27G – 29A – 56PTS (100th NA)
  9. Chris McCarthy: 21G – 29A – 50PTS (140th NA)
  10. Chris Brown: 23G – 20A – 43PTS (30th NA)
  11. John Henrion: 25G – 17A – 42PTS (198th NA)
  12. David Valek: 12G – 22A – 34PTS (72nd NA)

Morin, Shore, and Palmieri

Jeremy Morin is probably the consensus top-ranked forward off of the US National Team, but Drew Shore and Kyle Palmieri aren't far back either.  Morin's easily the best shooter of the trio, and is widely regarded as one of the best pure scorers available in the draft.  THN's draft preview raises questions about his character, with one scout calling him an "enigma", but it seems like a few of the questions have been answered elsewhere.  Aside from his goal-scoring ability, Morin has things to work on; he could probably make better use of his teammates and he's not much of a skater and not overly responsible defensively.  Statistically, he's well clear of Shore and Palmieri offensively.

Drew Shore's a different sort of player, and his offensive numbers aren't much to look at.  There have been contradictory reports on him; Western College Hockey put together a nice piece that seems to indicate he's not a great skater and needs to work on being less of a perimeter player; THN on the other hand quotes two different scouts who call him a good skater, although both worried about his passion/consistency.  Regardless, nobody is calling him a budding scorer, and Red Line Report's Kyle Woodlief had the most damning criticism (h/t to Stanley Cup of Chowder):

"Classic case of a guy who looks like he should be a player, but ultimately isn't."  

I don't disagree with that; I'm not a fan of Shore, even as a lower first-round pick.  At 23rd overall (where THN ranks him) he's a poor bet.

Kyle Palmieri may well be the best of the trio.  John Fischer put together a must-read compilation on Palmieri yesterday.  He did great at the NHL Draft Combine; he may not be big, but he's very, very strong and his offensive numbers weren't bad at all.  Additionally, there's this quote, which does as good a job of self-salesmanship as anything I've seen:

"My strongest assets are my ability to create offense, my strength with or without the puck, my work ethic and my hockey sense.  I'm not one of the bigger players on the ice, but I'm never intimated by anyone and I'm willing to go into the corners to get the puck. I know I can't control how tall I am, but the one thing I can control is my work ethic."

Chris Drury is the name that keeps coming up in comparison, but I don't see Palmieri as having Drury's offensive game; he's probably closer to being John Madden.  He's a great skater, plays a two-way game, and is strong but not big.  I'd like to know more about his situational play, but I think he'll be a player.

Jerry D'Amigo

On a team where "character" is a knock on virtually every player, smallish LW Jerry D'Amigo is an exception, at least according to his coach:

"He's a solid player for us," Under-18 coach Ron Rolston said. "He's a great, great character kid. He has a lot of leadership abilities for our team. He competes every night. You know what you're getting out of him every single night. He's got great speed. He makes things happen with his speed."

He's also (like Palmieri) rather heavy (196lbs) despite his lack of height (5'-10 1/2") and given that he's a good skater I'm guessing it's more muscle than anything else.  I'm really not sure why he isn't considered with the top three, given his offensive totals.

The Other Guys

  • Ray Bourque's younger son, Ryan, didn't initially take to hockey, but he's developed nicely with the National Team.  He's a small guy, and despite the bloodlines I'd be hesitant to take him in the early rounds of the draft.
  • Andrew Treias is smaller even than Bourque (5'7", 160lbs), and I honestly don't see him getting drafted this year.
  • Kenny Ryan comes from a football family (both his father and brother played college ball).  Like most of the US NTDP prospects, he did great at the draft combine and is well conditioned and more muscled than most players in his age bracket.
  • Texas-born and developed Chris Brown doesn't bring much to the table in terms of scoring, but he's good at pretty much everything else.  A more detailed profile can be found here.
  • Kevin Lynch is another player who is mostly viewed as a future defensive forward.  Kyle Woodlief loves him ("Was a two-way demon and key cog in the U.S. winning gold in Fargo.") and his dad sounds a lot like Jack Johnson's, at least based on this quote.  A late round possibility.

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US forwards

I think this year, the US crop is marginally better than last(speaking strictly forwards). I think the high school guys will be excellent. A little off-topic, but I will like oilers to draft Z Budish in the 2nd round if he is available

by SumOil on Jun 16, 2009 9:38 PM PDT reply actions  

US pretty good at U-18

Hey JW…just a heads up, the U.S. actually won the U-18’s pretty easily over Russia this year. Also one other scouting source has it the opposite with Shore being ranked the highest (18) then Palmieri (23) and Morin (27). I think Morin is the best goal scorer of the 3 though. That’s ISS, which is the source we use on our show. We’ve had all 3 guys on and I think I would go Palmieri, Shore then Morin. Shore has been compared to Rod Brind’amour by some scouts I’ve talked to, while Palmieri has been linked to Brian Gionta and Morin to Zach Parise Nice write up though.

Cheers,
Deano

by Millard on Jun 16, 2009 10:29 PM PDT reply actions  

US NTDP Struggles

Yeah, I worded that badly. I was more getting at how individual players didn’t perform as hoped (Morin being a prime example) and some of the disciplinary problems associated with the team. Certainly the team’s on-ice performance as a whole was just fine.

It's only my opinion, but it's right.

Writer for The Copper & Blue, OilersNation, and CanucksArmy.

by Jonathan Willis on Jun 17, 2009 7:01 AM PDT up reply actions  

This is pretty random, but I think Palmieri would look pretty sweet on the back of an Oilers jersey. But if we’re talking comps and Dean Millard says that Parise is a good comp for Morin then I’d lean towards Morin because Parise is a heckuva smart player.

RT40 writes with Strange Deadfellows Oilerblog and is an avid hockey fan.

by raventalon40 on Jun 17, 2009 12:57 AM PDT reply actions  

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GP W L OTL PT
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Oilers Stats Leaders

Stat

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Defense

TOI/G:

Horcoff (19:23)

Gilbert (22:24)

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Horcoff (14:24)

Visnovsky (17:14)

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Penner (63)

Visnovsky (32)

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Penner (32)

Visnovsky (10)

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Penner (31)

Gilbert (23)

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Penner (.152)

Smid (.090)

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Penner (203)

Gilbert (96)

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Penner(.405)

Visnovsky (.460)

SCF/15:

Penner (5.241)

Visnovsky (4.517)

SCA/15:

Stortini (3.850)

Gilbert (4.360)

SCDiff/15:

Penner (.448)

Visnovsky (.122)

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