That's One Vote For Ellis: TSN Mock Draft
With the Stanley Cup playoffs over, TSN has kicked off its coverage of the 2009 NHL Entry Draft, starting today with Shane Malloy's mock draft. He projects that the Oilers will select defenseman Ryan Ellis with the 10th overall pick:
He's arguably the most talented offensive player in the entire draft and if he was 6 foot 1, Ellis could have been the first overall pick. His hockey sense is elite by NHL standards and he processes information like a chess player - thinking three moves ahead. When it comes to having poise with the puck, very few - if any - are Ellis' equal. His puck skills rival any forward on this list and he can make pinpoint passes. Ellis makes smart, quick decisions with the puck and uses all his choices. His stickhandling skills can create time and space for himself and his teammates. He shoots the puck very well and has a talent and timing for getting the puck on net by finding seams in the defence. The kid has the two-step quickness and agility needed to keep larger opponents at bay and the footspeed to lead the rush. Unfortunately, Ellis is only around 5 foot 10 and 180 pounds so he will be susceptible to being overpowered and forced out of the play physically. To his credit, he is not afraid of rough play and takes his lumps, but Ellis will need to add some strength and weight before he turns pro. His experience winning the WJC U18s, WJC U20s and Memorial Cup will allow him make the jump to the NHL quicker. Ellis has the potential to be a number one defenceman in the NHL in his prime.
Interstingly, Malloy also had Scott Glennie selected in the #11 spot. Lowetide's been pushing for the Oilers to snag Glennie since back in March, and I get the feeling that he's climbed the rankings a lot since that point. I know I'd certainly put him ahead of Zack Kassian, Carter Ashton, and the rest of the big wingers at the draft. Aside from those two players, Jordan Schroeder and Dmitri Kulikov must be of interest to the Oilers, and if Nazem Kadri or Magnus Paajarvi-Svensson somehow fell than the Oilers would have to consider them too.
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Of the defencemen that will possibly be available at the 10 pick, I like
Eckman Larsson>Kulikov>Ellis
Malloy has Eckman Larsson going 6th to the Coyotes. I don’t think he will get picked before the other Swede Magnus Pajvaari Svensson. He also has Kulikov dropping to 15th. Most mock drafts have him going much earlier. As LT says, Bob Mackenzies draft guides are historically about as accurate as it gets. He has Eckman Larsson 8th, Kulikov 9th and Ellis 12th.
Go BIG or go home!
Glennie would be great, don’t get me wrong, normally I agree with picking the best player available but I am not 100% certain of that this year. With the Oil needing grit and size, I would tend to lean that way. The reason I would in this case is that if a big gritty player that can put up a lot of points, if he gets to the NHL and can’t quite put up the expected points, he still has great value on a 3rd or 4th line as a tough gritty guy that still has some hands. If a smaller very offensive guy gets to the NHL, he only has one trick to stay and if he doesn’t put up the points, he is useless.
I think a bigger grittier guy will have a much better chance at playing in the NHL with the Oil because he will still be able to fit a need and that is a need the Oil definitly need and they don’t have much stock on the farm of that type of player in a few years. Those guyse will start to become harder and harder to get in the future.
guy like Kassian is big, strong, gritty, tough and can put up a lot of points he also
by toprightcorner on Jun 15, 2009 12:45 PM MDT reply actions
Personally, I think Glennie >>> Kassian. I very much doubt that Kassian has the offensive game to be a top-six guy in the NHL.
As for big players, there are a couple who might be worth a flyer – Benjamin Casavant out of the QMJHL would be a nice midround pick, as one example.
It's only my opinion, but it's right.
Writer for The Copper & Blue, OilersNation, and CanucksArmy.
by Jonathan Willis on Jun 15, 2009 12:55 PM MDT up reply actions
Kassian
From almost everything I’ve read, he doesn’t have the feet to be in the top six.
Glennie can fly.
RE: Kassian
If I were a team picking between 15-20, I’d think hard about Kassian. But I agree with everyone who says ‘not at 10th’.
It's only my opinion, but it's right.
Writer for The Copper & Blue, OilersNation, and CanucksArmy.
by Jonathan Willis on Jun 15, 2009 2:40 PM MDT reply actions
Ellis is a nice idea, but he’s going to be all that with his second NHL team, not his first. I think Kulikov is the much safer pick to be an impact NHL defenseman.
But let’s not all go ahead and put this mock draft up on a pedestal. Dude’s a hack writer who wouldn’t know a spell checker if it checked his spelling. He can’t properly word a sentence, his grammar is horrible and consistently contradicts himself. I can’t believe TSN is still letting him write, they’re losing credibility.
Kulikov’s probably the safer pick, although I’d still take Ellis. I’m not dogmatic about it (both are, after all good prospects and it isn’t like I’ve seen either more than a handful of times) but that’s who I’d take.
As for Malloy, I find he oscillates between good and bad. Certainly his Oilers prospect watch article was out to lunch.
It's only my opinion, but it's right.
Writer for The Copper & Blue, OilersNation, and CanucksArmy.
by Jonathan Willis on Jun 15, 2009 3:14 PM MDT up reply actions
@ JW
Where do you rank OEL along with Kulikov and Ellis?
I'm Probably The Wrong Guy To Ask
But I rank it:
1. Ellis
2. Kulikov
3. OEL
4. Despres
…with everybody being very, very close. I haven’t really had a good look at Ekman-Larsson, something I’ll do in the next day or two to get a feel for him. As always, I’m a rank amateur at this, so I’m open to being convinced otherwise.
It's only my opinion, but it's right.
Writer for The Copper & Blue, OilersNation, and CanucksArmy.
by Jonathan Willis on Jun 15, 2009 4:05 PM MDT up reply actions
We are all amateurs, but its fun.
My top picks
Forwards
1. Tavares
2. Duchene
3. Kane
4. Schenn
5. MPS
Defence
1. Hedman
2. Cowen
3/4 (pick’em) OEL & Kulikov
I am happy if any of these guys fall into the Oilers hands at 10. If all 9 are off the board then Kadri, Ellis, Moore, Glennie, Schroeder, Derpres and Kassian are all the next tier IMHO. Moore is the guy with the highest up side (size, skating, smarts) of the bunch and Glennie is probably the safest pick.
Moore
John Moore could surprise most of ya. Initially I was all for Glennie, but now I am having second thoughts. Also Glennie isnt as physical as many of you believe. He is bigger and may be a more skilled version of Cogliano. I am for drafting Kulikov in 1st round and then either Panik or Budish in the second.
Glennie & Larsson
There are reasons to believe that Glennie may not be a forward who contributes a great deal to an NHL team. His playing a “soft” perimeter game in his draft season and lack of offensive tools might indicate more of a second-line talent not capable of going power vs. power in the NHL.
Larsson is a player who I am greatly interested to now more about. We hear about his meteoric rise in the second half of the season but not a lot of detail as to how. His season is hard to gauge as well since he was playing in the Sweden’s top minor league rather than the SEL. His 17 points in 39 games is not very impressive in this context, though apparently he led the league in +/-.
He supposedly had a phenomenal U18 which might explain the increase in his draft position, putting up 12 points in 16 games. Small sample size though.
Otherwise he’s described as being a smooth skating defenseman with decent size but lacking a physical game. Sounds like a player in Tom Gilbert’s mold.
I think it will be very interesting to see where he goes on draft day.
Draft
“As for big players, there are a couple who might be worth a flyer – Benjamin Casavant out of the QMJHL would be a nice midround pick, as one example.”
I took him 129th overall in a recent mock draft.
His skating is pretty ugly but he racks up garbage goals like Smytty,
Larsson
Jon Kerber:
I think the best way to describe Lasrrson is he’s fluid. Beautiful skater, very agile, his transition from defense to offense is seamless, great instincts.
Unlimited potential.
As for Glennie.. I hope we pass on him. I think he’ll have a transition to pro similar to the way Marc-Antoine Pouliot did.

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