Reading Between The Lines: Jim Matheson On Dany Heatley and the Oilers
Jim Matheson has finally weighed in on what everyone in Edmonton has been talking about over the last couple of days - the acquisition of Dany Heatley - and as usual his piece sheds some light on the issue.
The first quote that jumped out at me was this one regarding Sheldon Souray:
The Oilers would likely only have two players they wouldn't move to get the 28-year-old Heatley -- right-winger Ales Hemsky and centre/winger Sam Gagner... Everyone else is in play, even defenceman Sheldon Souray, who had 23 goals and 53 points this season.
That's an interesting way to phrase it, I think. Matheson doesn't go so far as to say the Oilers are looking to move Souray, but he does single him out when discussing options. Normally, I wouldn't read much into it, but Robin Brownlee has been making some noise about this over at OilersNation, too - most recently just last week. I'd strongly advise anyone who hasn't to read the entire article, but I'm going to quote one part. Brownlee of course first mentioned the rumour that Souray may want out of Edmonton, which Souray denied in a way that still leaves the veteran reporter asking questions:
Like I said, I’ve read the accounts and watched the interview on TV more than once, and all I can say is unless I’m missing something, what Souray said falls well short of being a vehement denial. No?
Did Souray, at any point, say, "No. That’s not true?" He denied talking to Tambellini, but did he deny asking for a trade? What do you make of, "It doesn’t deserve a no and doesn’t deserve a yes?"
And the last quote . . . isn’t Souray saying he wouldn’t tell the media he’d asked for a trade even if it was the case?
Smoke and fire? Possibly. Brownlee had obviously heard something, and for Matheson to make the statement he did it seems to me that either he asked someone (Katz, Lowe, Tambellini) directly if they'd consider moving Souray, or he's heard the same things that Brownlee has. It's certainly worth keeping in mind.
The next line that jumped out at me was this:
"I would say Ottawa needs two wingers to make up for the loss of Heatley," said an NHL executive, who didn't want his named used, but who has followed the Senators closely.
I've been working off the assumption that Ottawa needs another top-four defenseman (they do), but this is the second time that a pair of wingers has been mentioned as part of the return package. Ken Warren of the Ottawa Citizen tossed out the names of Patrick O'Sullivan and Dustin Penner when this news first broke, and while I was initially declined to dismiss it this suggests that the Oilers might be able to build a package around those two players - a vastly preferrable option to building a package around Tom Gilbert and Patrick O'Sullivan.
The other thing to keep in mind here is that Bryan Murray was the general manager of the Mighty Ducks when they recruited Penner out of college; it's certainly possible that Murray would be interested in reacquiring him.
Heatley, who has a summer place in Kelowna, has reportedly let it be known he'd like to play on a Western Conference team.
The bit about Heatley wanting to go out west isn't new, but this is the first I've heard about his Kelowna summer home. Kelowna's midway between Calgary and Vancouver, meaning that the three Canadian western teams are closest to the city. I'm really not sure how big of a deal this is, but it can't work against Edmonton anyway.
Finally (and this isn't news) Matheson talks about the tenth overall pick:
If the Senators want another good first-round draft pick this June to go with their No. 9 selection, the Oilers could be in trouble. They pick 10th.
I realize that it's just a pick at this point, but whoever the Oilers end up selecting (assuming they grab the best player available) should easily be their best prospect immediately. The players likely to be available in that position are superior to anything the Oilers have in the system - including any of Peckham, Nash or Eberle. If Bryan Murray wants that pick, Steve Tambellini should do everything in his power to convince him to instead take some combination of Eberle or Nash and another prospect or lower pick. This may be Edmonton's last chance for a while to grab a true difference maker from the draft.
One last comment, again from OilersNation's Jason Gregor. Gregor's been told that Daryl Katz is "prepared to do whatever it takes" to acquire Heatley from the Senators. At this point, I'd be very surprised not to see a big push for the forward at the entry draft.
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It’s an interesting situation for Murray in Ottawa. He’s dug himself into a hole by building a team that’s too top heavy, and it definitely telegraphs where he has to go with this trade. Four players in his top 6 will combine for a cap hit of 24.1 million next season, which is astonishing.
In terms of dealing with the Oilers, I think we have a problem because unless we are willing to part with Cogliano, Hemsky, or both we are not able to offer a very good package of wingers.
So basically, while a Souray + Cogliano or Gilbert + Cogliano deal might be the most logical the Oilers could offer, I don’t see it as being the most enticing deal out there for Murray.
I think we’re seriously in the running, but I could see LA beating us in any scenario if they so desired. They have an abundance of young cheap prospects on D and F who are on the verge of contributing at the NHL level. They also have the obvious ace in the hole of the 5th overall pick.
The one need that I don’t see mentioning in any of the articles coming out of Ottawa is the team’s glaring need for a second line centre. Fisher is ideally an elite third line centre and I think there’s a real niche for a young, soft opposition centre to thrive under Spezza. For that reason, I could see the deal breaker for any Heatley to Edmonton deal being Sam Gagner.
Regardless, as I mentioned at LT’s, I think the Oilers stand to benefit from Heatley wanting to go out west. Our scenarios are either acquiring Heatley, or not acquiring Heatley but seeing a competitor in the west for Gaborik or Bouwmeester taken out of the equation.
Ottawa's issue.
There is one thing that could keep Heatley from getting dealed sooner, though. If I read correctly, he will earn $8-mil this season, earning half of that as a bonus on July 1. This could keep Murray from moving him before the draft, since it isn’t likely that a team will be willing to shovel an extra $4-mil at him if they really don’t have to (back track: Bryan McCabe to Florida). I see this as being the reason that we won’t see him moved for at least three weeks. Thus, any package offered for him will likely be just players and prospects, unless the picks that are offered pertain to the 2010 draft.
However, if teams are this ardent on acquiring him, maybe it would be the one that is willing to pay that $4-mil and surrender a draft pick as well. As a Senators fan, I know that he won’t get exactly the type of a return that I feel is equal, but his poor play this season was the deciding factor in that case. Had he put up numbers in the 80s-90s or above, I would be very confident that we would get a great return, including an elite level player, second-line offense, and a promising prospect, as well as the potential to add a draft pick into that return. After a 72 point season? I would be fortunate for the Gilbert, O’Sullivan, Eberle scenario to actually happen.
Go Katz Go
I do like our Owners outlook…I remember him saying he wants to win some cups when he was about to own the Oil.
Mt trade would be this
To Ottawa: Dustin Penner, Tom Gilbert, 2nd round pick in 2009 and rylie Nash
To Edmonton: Dany Heatley
also have it in there that if we win the cup Ottawa gets a 1st round pick in 2010.
This way we get rid of Penner who has not been one bit comfortable here, Tom Gilbert because we are going to have to get rid of one of our dman…we can’t keep all of them because of the cap. And the pick is no problem we have 2 2nd rounder I think or is that the 3th anyway and if we have to give them one of our young guys. I would want to give them Nash before Eberle because Eberle I think will be a great Oiler in the future!!!

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