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Ryan Ellis, If Available

Ellis_medium
The title to this post is the answer to the question "Who should the Oilers select at the 2009 NHL Entry Draft?"  Ellis has had a phenomenal junior career so far, but doesn't seem to be getting a ton of respect from scouts.

TSN has Ellis ranked #12 for the upcoming draft; ISS puts him at #13 and Central Scouting ranks him as the 16th-best North American skater.  I think they're all wrong, and I have some backing from Puck Prospectus.  Here's a quote from an Iain Fyffe piece answering a question I'd been researching:

To answer my own question, no, there has never been a 17-year-old defenseman who led the OHL in assists. I went back to 1955 to check....

In fact, the only age-17 defenseman I could find to even crack the top three in assists in any year was Bobby Orr, in 1965-66. Orr had one hell of year for Oshawa, scoring 38 goals and 56 assists for 94 points in 47 games (the schedule was 48 games). He finished second in assists, third in points (behind Andre Lacroix and Danny Grant, both age-20), and fifth in goals.

So, this year Ryan Ellis did something not even Bobby Orr could do.

Fyffe than downplays the comparison between Orr and Ellis (Orr was a better goal-scorer) but even so, the magnitude of Ellis' achievement this season isn't being properly recognized by the scouting community as a whole.

Sure, Ellis is undersized.  Sure, he's reportedly got some holes in his defensive game.  But that pales in comparison to his offense.  Here's another fun comparison; this one between Ellis and the consensus #3 selection, Matt Duchene:

  • Ellis: 57GP - 22G - 67A - 89PTS, +52
  • Ducehene: 57GP - 31G - 48A - 79PTS, +32

Both players played for powerhouse teams, and that should be noted.  That said, Ellis' performance means he should be a slam-dunk selection if he's available at #10.  Personally, I'd select him even higher.

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I aint gonna argue that… Good post

by puckdonkey on May 6, 2009 9:06 PM MDT reply actions  

After watching him in the Juniors and looking at his numbers, it astounds me Ellis isn’t amongst the top 5 ranked players. I can almost guarantee if the guy was 6’3" (and played pretty much the same game), he’d probably be talked about in the same breath Tavares and Hedman.

by Kent Wilson on May 7, 2009 8:40 AM MDT reply actions  

If Ryan Ellis were 6'3"...

He’d be going first overall. IF he’s available when the Oilers pick, he has to be the guy. Honestly, I’d strongly consider him from the #3 pick on.

It's only my opinion, but it's right.

Writer for The Copper & Blue, OilersNation, and CanucksArmy.

by Jonathan Willis on May 7, 2009 11:08 AM MDT up reply actions  

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