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Khabibulin Done?

Message boards and blogs devoted to the Edmonton Oilers are ablaze with talk that Nikolai Khabibulin could be done for the year as he has surgery to repair a herniated disc.  Having suffered through the same injury, if he's had to go the surgical route, it's severe.  At this point, a surgery like this brings into question Khabibulin's ability to continue his career in the NHL.  If that's the case, Steve Tambellini has caught an amazing break in the world of cap management.  Of course, the injury leaves him with a significant hole in the lineup as Khabibulin was brought in specifically to be a big-game goaltender and a playoff workhorse.  For a team like the Oilers, battling along in 10th place, Tambellini has two options:

a.  Find an affordable goaltending option to split time with Jeff Deslauriers and hope that superior defense saves the season.

b.  Let Jeff Deslauriers and Devan Dubnyk split the work for the rest of the season and see if either one is a long-term solution.

Given the continuing state of the goaltending market, Tambellini shouldn't have to do anything major to land a serviceable goalie to help out the rest of the way.  This is exactly why I think that Tambellini and his shadow management group will choose:

c.  Go after a big name goalie and try to hit a home run.

Star-divide

 

Enter Tomas Vokoun.  This weekend, Chris Botta reported that Randy Sexton is actively shopping Vokoun to anyone that will have him in what can only be a salary dump.  He also falls into the light-thinking trap of reporting that Vokoun "...has the 2010-11 season left on his contract at a hefty $6.3 million..." even though his cap hit is $5.7 million.  While the $6.3 million may matter to a somewhat cash-strapped team like Florida, the cap hit matters most to teams that fly close to the cap ceiling.  Teams such as...the Edmonton Oilers.

If Khabibulin down and out for good, Edmonton will get cap relief to the tune of $3.75 million per season.  The one way out of the ridiculous Over-35 Contract that the Oilers gave Khabibulin is contained in Article 50, Section 50.5 (PDF Warning) in the Collective Bargaining Agreement - AKA the Mike Rathje Section.

The Oilers have an over-abundance of small, skilled forwards that may be attractive to a Southeast team, especially a kid like Andrew Cogliano.  Cogliano's speed has been dazzling scouts, personnel people, coaches and fans, but his game hasn't quite come together.  He would be a perfect candidate to move to Florida as the central piece of a Vokoun deal.  Edmonton would need to clear an additional $2 million in cap space to get Vokoun under the cap, space that can be provided by Ethan Moreau.

Would a trade of Ethan Moreau and Andrew Cogliano for Tomas Vokoun be so far-fetched?  In this case, I don't think so.  Tambellini gets to blame the "unforeseen injury" to Khabibulin and gets to move Cogliano without criticism from most quarters.  Florida gets to clear a huge salary from the books and gets a promising young center in Cogliano and only has one season of Ethan Moreau at $2 million.

As far as the optics go, Vokoun looks like a coup for the Oilers management team, as he's a world-class goaltender (a real one, not like the crumbling wall was purported to be) on a team that is "pushing hard for a playoff spot".  Vokoun also falls into the whale category that the crew of the Pequod has been hunting for the last two-and-a-half years.

I know, I know - Vokoun seems like an unbelievable option.  Martin Biron, Jaroslav Halak, Ty Conklin - they all make much more sense.  Ask yourself this - over the last two years, what has the Oilers management team been, if not unbelievable?

0 recs  |  Comment 30 comments |

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D. Pick up Leighton when he goes back on waivers again.

RT40 writes with An Oilers Refinery and is an avid hockey fan.

by raventalon40 on Dec 14, 2009 6:24 PM PST reply actions   0 recs

That makes sense, which is why it won’t happen.

Editor of The Copper & Blue, and leader of The Cult Of Hartikainen.

by Derek Zona on Dec 14, 2009 6:28 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Touché

RT40 writes with An Oilers Refinery and is an avid hockey fan.

by raventalon40 on Dec 14, 2009 6:29 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

And they passed – surprised?

Editor of The Copper & Blue, and leader of The Cult Of Hartikainen.

by Derek Zona on Dec 15, 2009 3:47 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Tomas Vokoun is a great goaltender, but do we really want to be building for the now right now?

by Benjamin Massey on Dec 14, 2009 6:31 PM PST reply actions   0 recs

“we” as in me and you? No.

“we” as in the boys in the longboats? Yes.

Editor of The Copper & Blue, and leader of The Cult Of Hartikainen.

by Derek Zona on Dec 14, 2009 6:35 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

From the Oilers website...

Nikolai Khabibulin’s back injury is making progress.

“Apparently he had a good day two days ago in his workouts, although he’s still not ready to step on the ice at this point.”

by Crooked on Dec 14, 2009 6:36 PM PST reply actions   0 recs

And he had a spinal procedure today. As a rule, never believe an NHL team on injury diagnosis and prognosis.

Editor of The Copper & Blue, and leader of The Cult Of Hartikainen.

by Derek Zona on Dec 15, 2009 11:15 AM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Don’t you DARE tell me the Islanders have been leading me on about Rick “seeing a specialist this week” DiPietro!

Lighthouse Hockey: Side effects may include Weight gain and frequent game loss.

by Dominik on Dec 15, 2009 12:15 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

It’s a little disconcerting that after all of the issues that the Oilers have had with diagnosis of injuries in the past that someone would take the Oilers website reports at face value.

Editor of The Copper & Blue, and leader of The Cult Of Hartikainen.

by Derek Zona on Dec 15, 2009 3:47 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Why not lehtonen?

by SumOil on Dec 14, 2009 6:57 PM PST reply actions   0 recs

That would be like getting Khabibulin all over again.

Editor of The Copper & Blue, and leader of The Cult Of Hartikainen.

by Derek Zona on Dec 14, 2009 9:50 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

You want a goalie with a worse injury history than Khabi? Why not go for DiPietro while you’re at it?

SNN Sports - A theoretical Oilers blog (i.e. theoretically, I write stuff there). Link now 100% less broken.

by Doogie2K on Dec 14, 2009 11:38 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

He is coming back soon and he has played at least 40 games in the last few season. If his surgery is successful, I dont see why we shudnt go for a goalie who has 3 million cap hit and his contract is done after this year

by SumOil on Dec 15, 2009 6:12 AM PST up reply actions   0 recs

I still think it’s highly unwise to give up assets for someone who might only play half of one season with you, unless that guy’s going to win you at least a pennant, if not a Cup. Marian Hossa to Pittsburgh was a good idea two years ago. Anything more than a pick or two for Lehtonen? No sir.

SNN Sports - A theoretical Oilers blog (i.e. theoretically, I write stuff there). Link now 100% less broken.

by Doogie2K on Dec 15, 2009 10:18 AM PST up reply actions   0 recs

IF Khabibulin is done for the year this sounds like a good option. I have gone on the record bashing Lehtonen more than once, but if his contract is one and yer done I don’t mind at all. Fills (80% of) the cap hit of the deactivated guy with a known commodity who is preety good when healthy. Moreover, if he’s playing for his next contract with a fresh set of downs in a new city who knows? The guy is loaded with talent (#2 overall) and has put up good Sv% over the year if you believe in that sort of thing. :) He also has a bit of a rep as a prima donna and is a known injury risk. But the good news is that you could make a decision on the guy later when Khabi’s situation w.r.t. next year becomes clearer. He’s RFA meaning he’s tradeable or could deliver a pick or two if he gets signed elsewhere.

While I look at the short-term nature of his remaining contract as an asset much more than you seem to, Doogie, one place we entirely agree is on price. Given Atlanta is winning without him, have another prima donna in Pavelec all ready to go, and retain one of the most underrated true backups in the league in Hedberg, they would probably dearly love to turn the page on this guy and the ~$2 MM that’s left on his ticket. Also, it’s Don Waddell. If Tambo gets schooled by Waddell, that’ll tell us all we need to know.

Writer for The Copper & Blue and primary shareholder of Zorg Industries

by Bruce McCurdy on Dec 15, 2009 12:04 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Right now I don’t think we might have to give up more than a late round pick or a mid level prospect. Also thrashers will more than happy to get away from the 3 million

by SumOil on Dec 15, 2009 12:46 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

It would make little sense to do Lehtonen if Biron is available. Biron would allow for more maneuverability around the cap for the rest of the year.

Editor of The Copper & Blue, and leader of The Cult Of Hartikainen.

by Derek Zona on Dec 15, 2009 3:45 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

yes going for Biron makes more sense.

However if it comes to head to head Lehtonen is a better goalie. But you are right on that one

by SumOil on Dec 15, 2009 3:57 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Seriously, if Khabby is out and they need a goalie, Halak is the man. He was the guy I wanted the Oilers to get during the summer. If Montreal is looking to move them like they’re saying, go get him!!!!

by Scarlett100 on Dec 14, 2009 7:15 PM PST reply actions   0 recs

If we get a big name the League will question how long term Khabby’s injury actually is.

We don’t want that.

If we get a stopgap like Leighton, then we can play the JDD vs DD card for at least a season or two.

RT40 writes with An Oilers Refinery and is an avid hockey fan.

by raventalon40 on Dec 14, 2009 7:47 PM PST reply actions   0 recs

I don’t disagree with what you say, but it just doesn’t fit with the M.O. of this team right now.

Editor of The Copper & Blue, and leader of The Cult Of Hartikainen.

by Derek Zona on Dec 14, 2009 9:50 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

No doubt.

They will probably try to talk up the injured Khabi and acquire Biron, causing a 4 headed goalie catastrophe.

RT40 writes with An Oilers Refinery and is an avid hockey fan.

by raventalon40 on Dec 15, 2009 6:46 AM PST up reply actions   0 recs

And overpay for Biron in the process.

Editor of The Copper & Blue, and leader of The Cult Of Hartikainen.

by Derek Zona on Dec 15, 2009 7:27 AM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Leighton got claimed by the Flyers apparently. If he got through to them, the Oilers must have passed.

Writer for The Copper & Blue and primary shareholder of Zorg Industries

by Bruce McCurdy on Dec 15, 2009 12:06 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Told ya, T :)

Editor of The Copper & Blue, and leader of The Cult Of Hartikainen.

by Derek Zona on Dec 15, 2009 3:45 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Nikolai Khabibulin had a good day two days ago, but he isn’t ready to skate with the team just yet. Quinn said he was surprised it has taken this long, but they are being very cautious.

http://oilersnation.com/2009/12/14/monday-morning-musings

by SumOil on Dec 14, 2009 8:19 PM PST reply actions   0 recs

I dont think we should spend that money on Vokoun. We should maybe get a cheap gap filler and let JDD kepp playing some games. I dont think he can carry us a season but we could use that cap space for some much needed offensive talent.

by Marty14 on Dec 15, 2009 12:42 PM PST reply actions   0 recs

Oh, I don’t think that the money should be spent on Vokoun either. It just seems like that’s a move that this management team would make.

Editor of The Copper & Blue, and leader of The Cult Of Hartikainen.

by Derek Zona on Dec 15, 2009 3:46 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

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