Desjardins' NHLE for Oilers Prospects

The big club isn't worth talking about right now, so with that we're going to take a look at NHL Equivalency, as developed by Gabriel Desjardins of the Behindthenet.ca and the outstanding Behind The Net Hockey

So what is the methodology that Gabe employs to do his voodoo?  From his translations page:

One way to evaluate the difficulty of one league relative to another is examine the relative performance of players who have played in both leagues.  Players rarely play significant time in two leagues in the same year, but they often play in one league in one year and in another the next.  As long as a player’s skill level is approximately constant over this two year period, the ratio of his performance in each league can be used to estimate the relative difficulty of the two leagues.

It's most interesting to see how this affects prospects, both in amateur and pro leagues on this continent and in European professional leagues, and considering the performance that we witnessed last night, it's a welcome respite.  The values below are the NHLE values based off of their performances, year-to-date.

Player

GP

G

A

P

NHL PPG

NHL82

Jordan Eberle - WHL

21

6

7

13

0.619

51

Magnus-Pääjärvi Svensson - SEL

21

5

6

11

0.524

43

Philippe Cornet - QMJHL

27

5

6

11

0.407

33

Linus Omark - KHL

25

7

3

10

0.400

33

Chris Vande Velde - NCAA

11

1

3

4

0.364

30

Riley Nash - NCAA

6

0

2

2

0.333

27

Alexander Bumagin - KHL

24

2

5

7

0.292

24

Teemu Hartikainen - SM-Liiga

21

1

5

6

0.286

23

Anton Lander - SEL

21

3

3

6

0.286

23

Toni Rajala - WHL

22

4

2

6

0.273

22

Milan Kytnar - WHL

13

1

2

3

0.231

19

Colin McDonald - AHL

19

2

2

4

0.211

17

Alexei Mikhnov - KHL

20

2

2

4

0.200

16

Vyacheslav Trukhno - AHL

18

1

2

3

0.167

14

Jeff Petry - NCAA

13

0

4

4

0.308

25

Kyle Bigos - NCAA

10

1

1

2

0.200

16

Theo Peckham - AHL

11

0

2

2

0.182

15

Cody Wild - AHL

13

0

2

2

0.154

13

Johan Motin - AHL

14

0

1

1

0.071

6

Alexandre Plante - AHL

17

0

1

1

0.059

5

The rule of small sample sizes obviously applies, especially in the case of the NCAA guys Nash, Vande Velde, Petry and Bigos.  Jordan Eberle and Magnus-Pääjärvi Svensson are the big names in the system and they aren't disappointing this year.  Linus Omark made the jump from the SEL to the KHL and isn't having nearly the same success.  Speaking of the KHL, I think this season is the nail in the coffin of Alexei Mikhnov as a North American player.  Alexander Bumagin appears higher than a number of the young European prospects, but Bumagin is 22 years old now, and isn't likely to be a factor. 

Alex Plante seems to be struggling in Springfield, he's getting power play time there but not producing.  Johan Motin isn't going to be an offensive dynamo, so any lack of production isn't a concern.  Kyle Bigos and Jeff Petry are off well, and when we check back in on these numbers we should have a better handle on where they stand.

Take heart Oiler fans, a gaggle of kids awaits to be thrown to the wolves.

----------

Special thanks to Jennifer Bock for the photo of Johan Motin in action against the Albany River Rats.

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