O'Desperate? O'Marra!
Ryan O'Marra. The third-best player on the 2005-06 Erie Otters. The former first-round pick of the New York Islanders, a team renowned for its management genius and drafting acumen. A man whose offense for the Springfield Falcons last season paled next to Bryan Young's. The "and the rest!" of the Ryan Smyth trade.
And an NHLer.
Scott Reynolds referred to O'Marra as "Lazarus" - making a miraculous return to aid the Oilers in their hour of need. But, with all respect to my esteemed colleague, I must dissent. Lazarus came back from the dead. Hockey-wise, we have no indication Ryan O'Marra has ever been alive.
What's really remarkable isn't that O'Marra has dragged himself from the scrap heap of minor hockey and into the show. It's that he hasn't. That he stinks as much as ever but has made it to the major leagues anyway. A much more impressive trick, even if it needs a more-than-usually-cooperative partner.
O'Marra spent last year, his second full season of professional hockey, in Springfield with the Falcons. Having suffered injury problems in the past, it was encouraging to see O'Marra play sixty-two of seventy games last year. Unfortunately, that was the only encouragement we got.
For in those sixty-two games, O'Marra scored once. December 27, against the Hartford Wolfpack, the tying goal in an eventual 4-3 overtime loss. On the Falcons alone he was outscored by goon Guillaume Lefebvre, defensemen Mike Gabinet and Bryan Young, and a cameo appearance by 18-year-old Jordan Eberle, among far too many others. The Internet trembles when it lists how many players on even the remarkably dreadful 2008-09 Springfield Falcons took young O'Marra to the cleaners.
Adding nine assists (tied for fourteenth on the team with Lefebvre), O'Marra stank the joint out offensively. He also went -12, which with his ice time was bad even for the Falcons. And as Gabe Desjardins has shown he did it against cotton candy opposition. There are no positives there, no "well, but..."s. He was awful by traditional statistics and worse by modern ones. In absolutely no category was Ryan O'Marra, a second-year pro and former first round pick, so much as a replacement level AHL player. He was horrible horrible horrible by the numbers and looked even worse. He wasn't Jesse Niinimaki but by the hockey gods he was up there.
So when I say he has been better so far in 2009-10, take taht in context. O'Marra has already doubled his goal production (to, lest we forget, two) on an all-round better hockey team. His points-per-game have also jumped from a historically bad .161 to a merely putrid .267. I don't have the statistics but I wonder how many first-round forwards played over 100 AHL games and were worse than O'Marra's .213 career average to date. Michael Henrich, to pick a name, was .356 over his career.
The Oilers are short on men, of course. Charles Linglet, 27, is the best Falcons forward but has an AHL contract the Oilers seem reluctant to buy. Chris Minard is nearly Linglet's equal and has an NHL deal but picked a bad time to get hurt. The leading remaining Falcon scorer with an NHL contract is Colin McDonald. McDonald is an archetypical Coke machine, reviled in the community for his lack of production, but his career points-per-game of .309 destroys O'Marra while McDonald is a more physical player and far and away O'Marra's superior defensively
McDonald isn't the only one, either. Even Geoff Paukovich, though he has slumped to a two goal, no assist start, outscored O'Marra per game last season against tougher opposition and was also better in his own zone. Fringe Falcons, such as Vyacheslav Trukhno or Bryan Lerg, had offense better than O'Marra's and were arguably better all-round players as well.
But in any case, there are two healthy Falcons with NHL contracts who are miles clear of O'Marra at this stage of their careers, and this is without considering unrestricted free agents or a multitude of good options on AHL contracts. Or thinking about O'Marra's obscene cap hit as a former mid-first rounder ($1.22 million, surely the worst value for money in the NHL while he's up here). If O'Marra had been a third rounder he'd be nowhere near the NHL. Why should his pedigree get him a chance he hasn't earned?
(Thank you to Jennifer Bock for providing the photo used in this article. The Copper & Blue salutes you!)
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Comments
hyperbole
“he stinks as much as ever but has made it to the major leagues anyway”
Apparently the guy that coaches him disagrees with you.
by rent a goalie on Nov 12, 2009 9:05 AM PST reply actions 0 recs
As I do not coach the Springfield Falcons I have only the information available to me, which is the statistics. By the statistics, he’s only managed to knock a “really” off of “really really really really terrible”.
Craig MacTavish had a mancrush on Toby Petersen too, but that didn’t make him an effective point man on the powerplay.
by Benjamin Massey on Nov 12, 2009 9:29 AM PST up reply actions 0 recs
well considering the timing of the post you’ve also got the qualitative information available from recent interviews with O’Marra and Daum.
you’re basing the fact that he hasn’t improved on a sample size 15 games this year. you’re using the fact that he’s only scored two goals to judge his level of play without considering his role on the team. has GD done the qualcomp for this year?
Look I don’t mean to come across as though I’m attacking you I just feel you have a tendency to be a little over the top in your conclusions. History definitely tells us to be skeptical of seeing anything positive in the nhl from this player but obviously something must be different if he’s getting call-up this year instead of being sent back to the echl as has happened in the past.
by rent a goalie on Nov 12, 2009 9:55 AM PST up reply actions 0 recs
I think it’s fair to say that he’s an improved player this year. Rob Daum has said as much. I think it’s obvious that O’Marra isn’t a passable player at the NHL level but do agree he must be doing something much better this year in order to get the call-up ahead of the other half-prospects that Ben mentioned.
Nonetheless, some of Ben’s points are very legitimate. Is O’Marra really so much better than McDonald that taking on the extra salary is worth it? Why are the Oilers so reluctant take on Linglet as an NHL player for one year? Is the decision to bring in O’Marra motivated as much by pedigree as it is by performance? Although Ben set the waiver wire aside, why didn’t the Oilers bring in Adam Mair instead? These are worthwhile questions to ask with regard to this call-up and, in the end, the Oilers probably should not have had O’Marra in the lineup.
by Scott Reynolds on Nov 12, 2009 11:06 AM PST up reply actions 0 recs
Well, of course O’Marra’s going to say he’s been getting better? Has any prospect called up to the NHL for the first time said “yeah, I’ve improved but I’m still basically treading water and I can’t even match Colin McDonald’s scoring rates or defense, so I don’t know what the hell I’m doing here.”?
Similarly, Rob Daum has motivation to pad O’Marra’s pillow. First, Daum’s the kid’s third AHL coach, so it behooves him to make it look like he’s making a difference. Second, the kid just got called up (and, we learn, sent down today). You don’t pop his balloon in that situation.
I don’t trust organizational interviews unless they’re revealing a new perspective. The usual “he’s really worked hard and improved as an all-round player and we’re giving him more responsibility” bologna is what convinced a half-decade of Oiler fans that Jani Rita was the next Jari Kurri.
by Benjamin Massey on Nov 12, 2009 4:56 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
I agree with this to a point. They still chose him over the other options down there so, it would seem clear that they think he’s a better option than those guys. Somehow, he’s gained clearance over McDonald, Trukhno, Lerg and Paukovich (I think those are, literally, the only non-injured forwards left on NHL contracts on the Falcons). Now, that’s not much of an accomplishment but it is probably a step up from where he was a year ago.
by Scott Reynolds on Nov 12, 2009 5:03 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
I think his clearance is being a former first-round pick who was traded for Ryan Smyth. No more, no less.
Can anybody, anywhere, in any way find a statistic that suggests that Ryan O’Marra is a better hockey player than Colin McDonald or Bryan Lerg? You can do it for Paukovich if you’re willing to consider offense only and embrace the God of Small Sample Sizes.
by Benjamin Massey on Nov 12, 2009 5:20 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
Sample sizes don’t come much smaller than O’Marra’s “offence”.
Writer for The Copper & Blue and primary shareholder of Zorg Industries
by Bruce McCurdy on Nov 14, 2009 11:32 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
Just listened to the Pipeline Show interview with Daum (very good interview, btw). It’s funny because discussing O’Marra last year he says that he was “not a factor”.
This year he’s been assigned to the third line with McDonald (who Daum also praised) in a shutdown role (last year, I believe he spent most of the year on the 4th line) and has had success. Based on the Daum interview, I think the fact O’Marra takes faceoffs was what gave him the edge over McDonald. Odd, given that he didn’t get any faceoffs in game one, but it does seem to have been a factor.
by Jonathan Willis on Nov 12, 2009 10:18 AM PST reply actions 0 recs

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