Oilers v. Senators - Jeremiah 50:1-3
Edmonton Oilers at Ottawa Senators, Nov 10, 2009 5:30 PM MST
This is the word that Yahweh spoke through Muckler the prophet concerning Ottawa and Bryan Murray, the usurper and man of no class:
"I will announce their sins throughout the league,
proclaim them to players and fans alike.
I will keep nothing back for I am compelled to speak:
'Ottawa will go into a swoon;
Murray - a thief, a usurper and a man filled with evil - will be made to feel shame;
Melnyk will be filled with horror.
They will blame others for their "misfortune,"
not recognizing the hand of Yahweh's judgment.
"An awful team from the North is coming to play them
and even they will lay waste to what is left of Murray's abomination.
Now no one wants to come to Ottawa,
both men and fans alike have run away."
Edmonton Oilers (8-8-1) @ Ottawa Senators (7-5-2)
Scotiabank Place, 5:30 P.M. MDT
Television: PPV
More analysis after the jump...
Visiting Team Scouting Report: At the start of the season I picked Ottawa as a playoff club, mostly because I didn't think they were ever as bad as they seemed last year. Craig Hartsburg just strikes me as a particularly awful coach and Cory Clouston as enough of an upgrade to generate better results. They're also a cap team and, Edmonton Oilers notwithstanding, cap teams usually make the playoffs.
Since Anton Volchenkov went down to injury the Senators have been using Filip Kuba and Chris Phillips as a shut-down pairing, which means they'll probably be assigned the one legitimate first line player left among the Oiler forwards: Liam Reddox. Nevertheless, the Oilers should have some opportunity against the bottom two pairings as three of the four Senator defenders have spent time in the AHL in the 2007-08 season or later. It's not an area of great depth. At forward the Senators have some very good players (none quite as good as Reddox, but still good players) who will put some of the Oilers depth guys to the test. Daniel Alfredsson especiallly is still a real difference-maker at EV and could have a big game tonight against an Oiler team that continues to be ravaged by injury (apparently Nilsson may be out with a concussion and Chorney with an ankle sprain; if so the Oilers don't have a full roster travelling with the club unless MacIntyre clears waivers and they keep him up for this one).
Peter from Silver Seven sends this scouting report:
The Senators are really having a hard time staying out of the penalty box recently, and it looks like their luck has run out on the penalty kill--Ottawa's allowed five goals in the last two games, all powerplay markers. The season started well, but the Senators are going to have to stay out of the penalty box if they're going to start to win consistently. Pascal Leclaire has been solid, even great at times, when the teams are even strength, so goaltending's not an issue (knock on wood). The defence is unpredictable, but benefits from the aggressive backchecking and forcechecking style head coach Cory clouston has instituted since coming on board. And we're all hoping off-season acquisitions Alex Kovalev and Jonathan Cheechoo wake up one of these days, but until then we're pretty happy with the offence spearheaded from a much-improved Jason Spezza, a seemingly ageless Daniel Alfredsson, and the remarkably speedy Milan Michalek. (No matter what Dustin Penner seems to think, I'd take Michalek over Penner any day of the week.)
Expected Lineups:
Edmonton Oilers (8-8-1):
Penner - Gagner - O'Sullivan
Comrie - Brule -
Reddox - Cogliano - Pisani
Moreau - Potulny - Stortini
Grebeshkov - Gilbert
Smid - Visnovsky
Strudwick - Staios
Khabibulin
Ottawa Senators (7-5-2)
Michalek - Spezza - Alfredsson
Foligno - Fisher - Kovalev
Kelly - Regin - Cheechoo
Phaneuf - Winchester - Neil
Phillips - Kuba
Carkner - Picard
Campoli -Lee
Leclaire
Behind the Numbers:
- Dany Heatley has 11 goals and 8 assists for 19 points. Jonathan Cheechoo and Milan Michalek have a combined 7 goals and 5 assists for 12 points. Dany Heatley's cap hit is 7.5M. Cheechoo and Michalek combined have a cap hit of 7.3M.
- Ryan Potulny leads the league in PP points per 15 minutes with 15.385 pts/15. That's a ridiculous number even among the other "leaders" who have onlly played a couple of minutes. The guy in second (Tyler Bozak) has 7.143 pts/15.
- After Liam Reddox and Ryan Potulny debuted against the Avalanche there are still three players left in the lineup who are even or better in terms of Corsi. Which one of those two was treading water?
- Through 11 games Peter Regin has not been on the ice for a goal against at 5v5 and yet Chris Phillips, the team leader in quality of competition, who leads the team in +/- (+6).
- Pascal Leclaire's .899 EV save percentage is tied for 34th among 40 goalies with at least five starts. In 12 games last season his EV save percentage was .873. In 24 games in 2006-07 his EV save percentage was .900. He did put up .930 in 54 games in 2007-08 but if I were a Senator fan I'd be at least a little bit worried about "the greatest goaltender that the Senators have ever had."
- The Senators lead the league in penalty minutes per game but would need 16 minor penalties in their next two games to match the 16-game total of the Carolina Hurricanes. I say they go for it all tonight!
- Ryan Potulny is the guy who was treading water for the Oilers against the Avalanche.
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It seems to me that there have been a lot of PPV games so far this year. But then, I’m thinking that before the PPV feed there were plenty of games that just weren’t televised. So I’m not sure if it’s a good thing or a bad thing but I know most folks won’t dole out $10+ for a regular season hockey game. I’d be interested to see what kind of money they generate from PPV sales.
by Scott Reynolds on Nov 10, 2009 10:55 AM MST up reply actions
Well….I think there are 13 games on PPV every season. I dont mind it much. Jus another excuse to hang out with friends. Of course I will surely miss the play by play here,,,,
Quoting Derek’s fanshot earlier:
Robert Nilsson is unable to go because of a concussion. Ryan O’Marra has been recalled.
WHAT?
Are there literally no other forwards left on the Springfield Falcons? Is everybody hurt? When somebody else hits their head, are they going to ask Bucky to suit up? What sort of odds could you have gotten on Ryan O’Marra ever playing a regular season NHL game after training camp this year? 100 to 1? 1,000 to 1?
by Benjamin Massey on Nov 10, 2009 12:03 PM MST reply actions
Actually, I shouldn’t direct a comment like that at Derek, since Daryl Katz just texted me saying that Zona’s the fourth line right wing tonight.
by Benjamin Massey on Nov 10, 2009 12:22 PM MST up reply actions
Pat Quinn’s comment on O’Marra this morning: “Apparently he can skate.” Yes. Yes he can.
by Scott Reynolds on Nov 10, 2009 1:40 PM MST up reply actions
I see your Lazarus nickname and raise you “Really Shitty”.
Ryan “Really Shitty” O’Marra.
How does that not work?
by Benjamin Massey on Nov 10, 2009 1:53 PM MST up reply actions
DESLAURIERS! O’MARRA! REDDOX! POTULNY! It’s the Edmonton Oilers, only on pay-per-view!
by Benjamin Massey on Nov 10, 2009 1:50 PM MST up reply actions
Prediction: Ron Tugnutt is going to be looking for a new record soon.
by Benjamin Massey on Nov 10, 2009 1:50 PM MST up reply actions
Boy am I happy I haven’t bothered to watch the Springfield Falcons Edmonton Oilers play in a few games because of midterms and, now, violence-inducing computer problems. (All you kids out there, don’t upgrade to Windows 7 until you’re sure your motherboard’s compatible.)
SNN Sports - A theoretical Oilers blog (i.e. theoretically, I write stuff there). Link now 100% less broken.
Penner – Gagner – O’Sullivan
Comrie – Brule – Potulny
Reddox – Cogliano – Pisani
Moreau – O’Marra – Stortini
Grebeshkov – Gilbert
Smid – Visnovsky
Strudwick – Staios
Deslauriers
Is that right?!
Editor of The Copper & Blue, and leader of The Cult Of Hartikainen.
I believe so. Not sure about the exact makeup of the forward lines but that would be my guess. I’m interested to see how O’Marra does. You can only get buried so much but that line just looks like it could be terrible.
by Scott Reynolds on Nov 10, 2009 3:24 PM MST up reply actions
God – Guy who can’t drink when we go to Buffalo – POS
Traitor – The greatest bust of the 21st century – Falcon
Falcon – Useless – Colitis
Captain Calamity – ECHLer – Goon
OH GOODEE.
by Benjamin Massey on Nov 10, 2009 3:29 PM MST up reply actions
So… good to know why the Oilers weren’t interested in Adam Mair. Why would they be – they have Ryan O’Marra.
I’m going to watch that kid like a hawk tonight.
by Jonathan Willis on Nov 10, 2009 5:03 PM MST reply actions
I’m going to be following O’Marra as if I were there scouting the game.
So, through the bottom of a bottle of Crown Royal.
by Benjamin Massey on Nov 10, 2009 5:04 PM MST up reply actions
Four. Four useful players that have gone through waivers with nary a sniff.
Editor of The Copper & Blue, and leader of The Cult Of Hartikainen.
Well, they’ve definitely got 18-13-46 and 27-89-19. The other six guys seem kind of jumbled up but it’s probably just that I haven’t been playing close enough attention.
by Scott Reynolds on Nov 10, 2009 5:49 PM MST up reply actions
Moreau, Cogliano, and Stortini: the “how the hell is Zach Stortini the best player on the line?” line!
by Benjamin Massey on Nov 10, 2009 5:50 PM MST up reply actions
Haha.
Good “line”
Writer for The Copper & Blue and primary shareholder of Zorg Industries
by Bruce McCurdy on Nov 10, 2009 6:49 PM MST up reply actions
91-42-67. Three centers on one line didn’t work so well in that last DZone sequence. Every guy took a turn in front of the net and in a corner.
by Scott Reynolds on Nov 10, 2009 5:54 PM MST up reply actions
O'Marra
At least he got it in deep for the change.
Editor of The Copper & Blue, and leader of The Cult Of Hartikainen.
First time I read that it said “for a change”.
Writer for The Copper & Blue and primary shareholder of Zorg Industries
by Bruce McCurdy on Nov 10, 2009 6:50 PM MST up reply actions
Actual NHL players, baby!
Well, Steve Staios, who is pretty close.
by Benjamin Massey on Nov 10, 2009 5:52 PM MST reply actions
That defenseman needs to learn that simply pushing Penner isn’t sending him anywhere.
Unless your last name is Chara.
Editor of The Copper & Blue, and leader of The Cult Of Hartikainen.
If Cogliano had Reddox’s balls, he’d be Mogilny.
Editor of The Copper & Blue, and leader of The Cult Of Hartikainen.
And if Cogliano didn’t have his speed, he’d be me.
How grotesque an imitation of a hockey player he has sometimes looked.
by Benjamin Massey on Nov 10, 2009 6:13 PM MST up reply actions
Not a good play in there by 71. At all. Given who else we have in the lineup, we really can’t handle any “AHL” plays from the good players.
Heh. mediocre minds think alike.
Editor of The Copper & Blue, and leader of The Cult Of Hartikainen.
So in a game featuring Reddox, O’Marra, Potulny, Brule, Stortini, Moreau and Strudwick, it’s Visnovsky that plays like an AHLer.
Editor of The Copper & Blue, and leader of The Cult Of Hartikainen.
Cogliano looked like Reddox there.
That was really weird to type.
Editor of The Copper & Blue, and leader of The Cult Of Hartikainen.
And Ethan Moreau showed some good finish too. What a line!
by Scott Reynolds on Nov 10, 2009 6:08 PM MST up reply actions
Cycle
Watching O’Sullivan and Gagner not break a cycle was hilarious.
Editor of The Copper & Blue, and leader of The Cult Of Hartikainen.
In their defence, Kovalev is an amazing stickhandler.
by Scott Reynolds on Nov 10, 2009 6:11 PM MST up reply actions
As soon as 19 stepped on his man on the corner, the cycle broke.
Editor of The Copper & Blue, and leader of The Cult Of Hartikainen.
Oh Gilbert Grape. What were you doing on that play? Don’t just stand there and look at the puck in the corner.
Editor of The Copper & Blue, and leader of The Cult Of Hartikainen.
The D hasn’t looked great this game. Another giveaway by 71 earlier in that sequence though he recovered well that time.
Anyway, I’ve got to be going this evening unfortunately so I’ll catch up with you after the game.
by Scott Reynolds on Nov 10, 2009 6:43 PM MST up reply actions
As Scott leaves Bruce arrives. Tuned into this and future ppv games courtesy hockeystreams.com. Listened to much of the game up till now, watched the last few minutes.
Notcied another routine sharp pass go right through O’Sullivan’s stick behind the Ottawa net to end another Oilers possession. I’ve been watching for that since Scott mentioned it in his touches series, and it’s an issue. Buddy can’t take a pass.
Writer for The Copper & Blue and primary shareholder of Zorg Industries
That’s really strange considering he has good hands.
Editor of The Copper & Blue, and leader of The Cult Of Hartikainen.
Agreed. It happens to everybody once in a while, but to O’Sullivan more often than it should, at least in the limited samplke size I’ve been watching specifically for it.
Writer for The Copper & Blue and primary shareholder of Zorg Industries
by Bruce McCurdy on Nov 10, 2009 7:01 PM MST up reply actions
Stortini does look like the best player on his line. He’s had a couple of terrific shifts since I tuned in.
Writer for The Copper & Blue and primary shareholder of Zorg Industries
That’s not the biggest compliment.
Editor of The Copper & Blue, and leader of The Cult Of Hartikainen.
“Terrific” is pretty complimentary when I say it. Or are you talking about the linemates?
Writer for The Copper & Blue and primary shareholder of Zorg Industries
by Bruce McCurdy on Nov 10, 2009 6:57 PM MST up reply actions
The other problem with having a soft winger playing the point. Fisher just drives the net as if POS isn’t even there.
Writer for The Copper & Blue and primary shareholder of Zorg Industries
Reddox should have a new nickname “Jack” as in Jack Russell Terrier.
He’s so tenacious on the puck and on the boards for a little guy.
Editor of The Copper & Blue, and leader of The Cult Of Hartikainen.
The other smurfs could learn a thing or ten from Reddox.
Writer for The Copper & Blue and primary shareholder of Zorg Industries
by Bruce McCurdy on Nov 10, 2009 6:58 PM MST up reply actions
If the other half of the team would finish a check we might have something.
Writer for The Copper & Blue and primary shareholder of Zorg Industries
Two breakaways and neither on net.
O’Sullivan on a 2 on 1 and gets his shot bocked.
Editor of The Copper & Blue, and leader of The Cult Of Hartikainen.
Can’t say we’re not getting chances.
Writer for The Copper & Blue and primary shareholder of Zorg Industries
by Bruce McCurdy on Nov 10, 2009 7:36 PM MST up reply actions
Looks like Lubo had his skates taken out from him like Souray had his taken.
Editor of The Copper & Blue, and leader of The Cult Of Hartikainen.
If the goalie is going to freeze out there, I’d rather he was somewhere in front of the net at the time. Good gravy, that was brutal.
Writer for The Copper & Blue and primary shareholder of Zorg Industries
That was fun – all four Oilers in the corner. No one in front.
Editor of The Copper & Blue, and leader of The Cult Of Hartikainen.
That’s why Neil makes the big bucks.
Writer for The Copper & Blue and primary shareholder of Zorg Industries
Visnovsky
Lubo has been brutal tonight
Editor of The Copper & Blue, and leader of The Cult Of Hartikainen.
It’s Hang On Harvey time. Let’s play for the third point later.
Writer for The Copper & Blue and primary shareholder of Zorg Industries
What a dumb-ass play to ice the puck from outside your own blueline with <5 seconds left. C’mon Tom, you’re better than that.
Writer for The Copper & Blue and primary shareholder of Zorg Industries
All-World play by Penner there.
Writer for The Copper & Blue and primary shareholder of Zorg Industries
… and then another on the next shit
Writer for The Copper & Blue and primary shareholder of Zorg Industries
by Bruce McCurdy on Nov 10, 2009 8:05 PM MST up reply actions
Cogliano’s best game of the year? I think so. He showed more tonight than he has all season
Editor of The Copper & Blue, and leader of The Cult Of Hartikainen.
Maybe Lubo’s worst game of the year
Editor of The Copper & Blue, and leader of The Cult Of Hartikainen.
Lubo’s worst game as an Oiler. He was terrible by eye, and his team worst Corsi (-7) and traditional +/- (-2) both seem to support that. He was out of sync the whole game it seemed like.
Writer for The Copper & Blue and primary shareholder of Zorg Industries
by Bruce McCurdy on Nov 10, 2009 8:28 PM MST up reply actions

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